To The Moon

Warren Buffett's Empty Hook:  Is He Waiting for Big Discounts? 🌟🌟🌟If you are staring at the S&P500 and wondering why Warren Buffett has not pulled the trigger yet, you are not alone.  While the rest of us are buying the dip in April he is saying no to "bottom fishing". Despite sitting on a monstrous, record breaking cash pile of USD 380 billion, Warren Buffett is choosing to wait.  For the Oracle of Omaha, a Big Decline isn't just a red day.  It is a fundamental restructuring of the market. What a Big Decline Actually Means for Me When the market drops another 10% to 20% it is more than just shrinking numbers.  It is a valuation reset that cleans out the expensive AI hype froth. The Yield Boost:  As prices fall, dividend yields instantly rise.  The de

SpaceX's Secret IPO Filing Ignites Space Materials Boom: Who Wins Big? Advanced materials are the cornerstone of space technology development. The space technology field has extremely high requirements for material properties such as strength, hardness, high-temperature resistance, and corrosion resistance. Materials in space technology and aerospace can be categorized into specialty metals, specialty polymers, ceramics, special coatings, power semiconductor materials, energy materials, and other types. Recent geopolitical disruptions have made supply chain security issues increasingly severe, giving related companies more scarcity value. Taking SpaceX as an example, its essential materials include niobium metal, titanium alloys, and coatings. While Starship eliminated carbon fiber, it rem

Now, China has its own oil majors, just like the Americans. But we’d argue the Chinese names offer a better value proposition for investors. Why? Higher dividend yields. Oil prices have stayed elevated since the Iran War started. And for upstream oil & gas companies, this is great news — the oil they pump out of the ground is suddenly worth a lot more. Sell at higher prices, profit margins widen. Simple. But it’s less fortunate for downstream players — refineries and petrol retailers — because their cost of fuel has gone up. So no, it’s not the entire oil and gas industry that benefits from high oil prices. The distinction matters. Take ExxonMobil. The dividend yield is just 2.4%. And after a 30% dividend withholding tax, investors are left with roughly 1.7%. Compare that to China’s oi

Latest SpaceX is looking to IPO this year and it is shaping up to be the largest IPO in history. Reports suggest a valuation of up to $1.75 trillion—eclipsing even Saudi Aramco’s record debut in 2019. The company could raise as much as $75 billion in the process. Naturally, investors are scrambling for exposure. But since SpaceX is still private, you can’t just buy the stock. So the next best thing? SpaceX proxies—stocks, ETFs, and funds that have a stake in SpaceX or are in business with the company. Besides SpaceX, Other like DXYZ stock also holds other marquee names like Databricks, xAI, Revolut, and OpenAI. So if you want broader exposure to high-growth private ventures beyond just SpaceX, this may interest you. This means investors are paying significantly more to own the underlying p

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

Market Outlook of S&P500 (06Apr2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 has completed a bottom cross-over, and this can be the start of an uptrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at -0.27, indicating there is more selling momentum than buying pressure in the market. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has moved below the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bearish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, the MA50 line has begun to slope downward for the first time in recent months, raising the possibility of a “death cross” forming—a bearish techn

My Investing Muse Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies AMAZON JUST EXECUTED 16,000 WORKERS WHILE BURNING $200 BILLION ON AI INFRASTRUCTURE We are expecting more layoff news to come. Let us monitor and hedge accordingly. Private Credit - a canary in the Financial coalmine? The Private Credit sector continues to leak confidence with withdrawal limits and default news. Will this trip up the market? Probably. Data Centre updates Half of US data centers planned for 2026 are expected to be delayed or canceled. One big reason is shortage of electrical equipment, such as transformers, switchgear and batteries. US doesn’t have manufacturing capacity, forcing it to rely on imports. - Bloomberg Outdated electricity grids are now a “national security risk,” JPMorgan has said. The promised AI of a multi

AMD's Renaissance: Record Revenue Meets AI Supercycle  🌟🌟🌟$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  is no longer just playing catch-up.  It is establishing a dominant, independent narrative in the global AI race.  Following an excellent Q4 25 earnings report where revenue hit a record USD 10.3 billion, up 34% YoY, AMD recently surged 3.4% to a high of USD 217.50. This momentum is anchored by the explosive ramp of the Instinct MI300X and MI350 series, with CEO Lisa Su confirming that 8 of the top 10 AI companies are now using Instinct GPUs for production workloads. The Technical Frontier: USD 215 is the New Floor Support Level:  The recent breakout has established USD 215 as a critical new support level. Next

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit

As a regular Singaporean middle-class investor  Ive been nodding along to Warren Buffett’s recent vibes. The Oracle of Omaha (or his successors at Berkshire) has been sitting on a mountain of cash—hundreds of billions—while being a net seller of stocks for quarters on end. Valuations look stretched, the Buffett Indicator is screaming high, and he’s basically saying: “Not much compelling out there right now. Patience is the name of the game.” It makes sense. With the S&P 500 and tech names trading at lofty multiples amid AI hype, chasing growth stocks feels like paying full price for a crowded kopitiam during peak lunch hour. Safe Singapore options? Fixed deposits are hovering around 1.3–1.5% p.a. at best, T-bills barely cracking 1.4%, and even USD deposits top out around 3.5–3.6%.

The S&P 500 Broke Its 200-Day MA. What Its Chart Says Now The $S&P 500(.SPX)$   has been rebounding recently after the key index broke its 200-day Simple Moving Average and hit a nearly seven-month low in recent days. Let's see what its chart says might happen next. The S&P 500's Fundamental Analysis The entire ball game for U.S. equities has changed rather quickly as hopes have risen somewhat for an end to both the Iran War and Big Tech's recent sell-off. First, The Wall Street Journal reported last week that U.S. President Donald Trump had told those around him he'd be willing to end America's Iran operation even if the key Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Trump also publicly said the U.S. mil

$Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.(LW)$ $ConAgra(CAG)$  $General Mills(GIS)$  📊 Lamb Weston Q3 FY26: North American Volume Acceleration of 12% Reveals Core Competitive Strength Amid International Margin Erosion and Supply Demand Realignment 📊 🟩 Revenue: $1.56B vs $1.48B est 🟩 Adj. EPS: $0.72 vs $0.60 est 🍟📈 12% Volume Surge Masks 80% International Collapse as Margin Reset Forces Strategic Pivot 🌍⚠️ Lamb Weston delivered a headline beat in Q3, but the underlying profile deteriorated meaningfully. Revenue rose 3% to $1.56B, driven almost entirely by a 12% surge in North American volumes 🇺🇸📊. That level of acceleration, particularly against soft restaurant

$Pedevco(PED)$ $Ring(REI)$  $Amplify Energy Corp.(AMPY)$  🛢️📊⚙️ PEDEVCO $PED: Post-Merger Cash Engine Ignites as Scale Rewrites Baseline While LOE Execution Defines the Re-Rating Path ⚙️📊🛢️ The Q4 2025 release marks a genuine inflection point where operational scale has moved materially ahead of reported earnings. The Juniper merger has reset the company’s production, reserves, and cash flow capacity in a single step, yet GAAP accounting is lagging that reality. I see a business that has structurally transitioned into a cash-generative platform. I also see a narrow execution window where cost discipline and integration efficiency will determine

Earnings Calendar (06Apr2026) Let us look at Delta Airlines for this week’s stock analysis. Valuation Metrics The company currently has a Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.7 and an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $7.72. These figures suggest that, based on its earnings, Delta appears to be an attractive investment opportunity. It will be intriguing to observe how Delta manages the ongoing energy crisis, especially given the expected increases in jet fuel prices in various regions. The key question is whether consumers will continue to travel or begin to cut back, as rising energy costs contribute to inflationary pressures throughout the business, including the supply chain and overall cost of living. Analyst Recommendations Tanika’s analysis recommends a strong buy for Delta’s sto

Rare levels of bearish sentiment in $SPX historically lead to relief rallies and often precede major bottoms, while $GOOG shows a bullish stochastic crossover in oversold territory—typically a strong setup for a rebound. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Over the last 30 years, we have seen this level of bearish sentiment (55%) only a few times. Relief rallies have followed without fail; even when those rallies were short-lived A major bottom materialized few weeks after. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 2. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ Bullish stochastic crossovers in the oversold zone (at or below 20) usually precede solid bounces. 11 successful cases and 2 exceptions (2022) in 10 yea

The global semiconductor supply chain is built on a handful of "unblockable" monopolies. My infographic attempts to map out the bottlenecks in the supply chain. What’s currently the best investment opportunity in the sector? $Synopsys(SNPS)$ $Cadence Design(CDNS)$ $TE Connectivity(TEL)$ $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ $Lam Research(LRCX)$ $Applied Materials(AMAT)$ $KLA-Tencor(KLAC)$ My views： 1.Many investors new to semis jump straight to ASML. I think it’s worth digging into as many semi companies as y