Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1. $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ Technical Analysis: The $5000 level has become the first resistance zone for a short-term rebound. If the rebound is limited and fails to hold, the downtrend will be difficult to reverse. Further key resistance lies around $5020; only a recapture of this level can allow the market to resume its upward trend. Momentum indicators show the daily RSI has rapidly fallen below 50, indicating a significant weakening of bullish momentum. The MACD histogram is also contracting and showing signs of a death cross, reinforcing the short-term pullback signal. Increased trading volume suggests that this decline has a certain degree of emotional release rather t
Stocks Reverse Again as Dow Falls 669 Points; Home Sales Slump Ahead of CPI
The stock market delivered another head fake Thursday. After opening higher on overseas momentum, all three major indexes reversed sharply into the close , extending what has become a frustrating pattern for investors. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 669 points (-1.3%), while the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ dropped 1.6%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite sank 2.0%, leading the declines. $Apple(AAPL)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Sell-Off... All three major averages are now on track for weekly losses exceeding 1%. Another Intraday Reversal Thursday’s selloff continued a recent pattern: strong openings fol
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Weekly | Can JHX, LYC, CBA, ORG & ANZ Sustain Their 10%+ Weekly Rally?
As of the close on Friday, $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$ closed at 8,917.60, up 1.21% in the past 5 days. But It was a disappointing end to what had otherwise been a stellar week for the S&P/ASX 200 Index and many ASX shares this Friday. After bumper sessions on both Monday and Wednesday, investors seemed to get a case of cold feet. The five Australian stocks experienced significant gains in the five trading days, primarily driven by strong earnings reports and guidance upgrades released during this period. These updates came amid a broader ASX rally, with financials and utilities sectors leading on resilient economic signals, cost management, and sector-specific positives. 1. $JAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES-CDI
Under the strong resistance level, how to use the spread strategy to stabilize returns
In the past two weeks,$Intel (INTC) $The stock price as a whole is in the rhythm of "the surge is blocked and the pullback/retracement is increasing": it was once touched in early FebruaryNear $51, and then fell back to the shock$46-48 Range(The intraday low on February 13 was about46.2, high point about48.95)。 This trend means that the selling pressure above is beginning to concentrate, and the market's risk appetite for the semiconductor and technology sectors is cooling down. From a technical perspective,$50 is the first "psychological barrier + near-end intensive transaction area", the kinetic energy has weakened after several recent rebounds close to this position; More upper50.5–51One zone overlaps with the upper edge of the recent fluctuation
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AAPL and QQQ Show Buyable Dips While HOOD and DUOL Stay Under Pressure
Markets are pulling back, but not all dips are created equal. While fear is rising and headlines are turning negative, my system focuses on structure, trend alignment, and capital positioning rather than emotion. Some names are testing high-probability buy zones, while others remain firmly in distribution. The key right now is selective execution, not blanket dip-buying. 1. $Apple(AAPL)$ AAPL just got smacked 5% on bad headlines + tech weakness… and I still think this is a dip worth watching. Monthly BX is bullish, price pulled back into my trend support, and my buy zone is 260–250. 2. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Everyone’s screaming “correction” on $QQQ 🚨 I’m not there yet. This pullback is still a buyable dip in
According to revised federal data, US economy experienced almost zero job growth in 2025. Preliminary data had indicated that the US economy added 584,000 jobs last year. However, US Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) revised that number after it received additional state data and found that the labour market had added only 181,000 jobs in all of 2025. This is far fewer than the 1.46 million jobs that were added in 2024. (see below) It will go down US jobs’ history as the worst year for hiring since 2020, or since 2003 outside of a recession. Additionally, the BLS subtracted 862,000 jobs from March 2024 - March 2025, as part of its annual benchmark revisions. Wednesday’s revisions also show that US labour market (in 2025) contracted for 4 months (January, June, August and October) instead o
Recent developments indicate that Google is indeed embedding shopping capabilities directly into its AI-driven products — both within Search’s AI Mode and the Gemini chatbot — in a bid to monetise AI usage more directly. Reports confirm that users can now see product offers, engage with “direct offers” from brands and make purchases (for example from merchants such as Etsy and Wayfair) without leaving the AI experience. The company is also experimenting with new ad formats linked to these shopping features. Will this strengthen Google’s AI monetisation strategy? Yes. The strategy represents a logical extension of Google’s broader efforts to monetise its large and growing AI user base. Traditional search monetisation through advertising is a core revenue driver for Alphabet. As users
Stronger non-farm payrolls reduce urgency for the Fed to ease. A resilient labour market means policymakers can wait for clearer disinflation before cutting. My base case: two cuts this year, likely in the second half. Why not more? • Jobs growth remains firm • Wage pressures have not fully cooled • Core inflation is easing but not convincingly at 2% Why not zero? • Policy is still restrictive • Growth is slowing gradually • Financial conditions could tighten unexpectedly Risk scenario: if inflation re-accelerates, we may see only one cut. If growth cracks sharply, three cuts return to the table. For markets, timing matters more than count. Later cuts support risk assets, but delay near-term liquidity boosts.
Elliott Wave Analysis on USDJPY Signals Broader Pullback
$USDJPY has concluded the cycle from the April 22, 2025 low and is now entering a corrective phase of larger magnitude. From the January 14, 2026 peak, the pair has begun to retrace with internal subdivision unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. The initial decline from the January 14 high saw wave (A) finish at 152.08, as shown on the one‑hour chart. Following this, the pair advanced in wave (B), which itself developed as a zigzag of lesser degree. Within this move, wave A ended at 155.51, wave B pulled back to 154.53, and wave C extended higher to 157.7. This completed wave (B) in the larger sequence. From that point, the pair turned lower in wave (C), which is unfolding as a five‑wave impulse. The initial leg, wave ((i)), ended at 155.51. The corrective rally in wave ((ii)) reac
Hollywood Turmoil: Activist Uprising Derails Netflix's Warner Bros Power Play! 🎥💥
$Netflix(NFLX)$ Buckle up, entertainment fans – the battle for Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) just exploded into a full-blown drama worthy of its own blockbuster script. 😲 Ancora Holdings, a fierce activist investor managing a whopping $11 billion, has snapped up a $200 million stake in WBD and is charging headfirst against the proposed mega-deal with Netflix. They're calling it "inferior" and riddled with risks, pushing instead for a rival all-cash bid from Paramount Skydance that promises sweeter rewards for shareholders. 🤑 Let's break down the chaos: Netflix's offer clocks in at around $83 billion for WBD's crown jewels – the movie and TV studios plus the HBO Max streaming empire. But here's the twist – it involves spinning off legacy assets like
Micron & SNDK's Explosive +10% Rally: Morgan Stanley's $450 Call – AI Data Boom's Ultimate Fuel? 😲🚀
Micron Technology ( $Micron Technology(MU)$ ) and SanDisk ( $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ ) defied gravity with blistering +10% surges, bucking broader market chop as capital floods back into AI infrastructure plays that promise massive data center expansions. 😎 This rotation spotlights the insatiable demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and storage solutions, with Micron leading the charge on its HBM4 capacity ramp accelerating faster than expected. Morgan Stanley slapped an Overweight rating on MU, hiking its price target from $350 to $450 – a bold bet citing AI's endless compute hunger driving 50%+ revenue growth in memory segments by mid-2026. SNDK's parallel pop reinforces the narrative, with sustained momen
US Bankruptcy Tsunami Hits Covid Peaks – Debt Doomsday or Bargain-Hunting Bonanza? 😱💥
Corporate America's debt dam is bursting, with large US bankruptcies spiking to levels not seen since the 2020 pandemic chaos – 9 major filings last week alone pushed the 3-week rolling average to 6, the highest reading in over five years. At least 18 firms with liabilities exceeding $50 million have collapsed in the past three weeks, signaling deep economic strain as high rates, sticky inflation at 2.8%, and tariff threats crimp cash flows across sectors. This surge echoes dark days: only the post-2001 slowdown, 2008 financial crisis, and 2020 lockdowns saw worse, with the century's peak hitting a 3-week average of 9 in 2009. Bloomberg's chart captures the alarming climb, as courts average more than six big bankruptcies per week – a red flag for investors eyeing fragility in retail, real
AppLovin & Palantir's Brutal 20% Bloodbath: AI Apocalypse Bargain Hunt or Total Flameout? 😱💥
$AppLovin Corporation(APP)$$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ AppLovin's Q4 earnings just dropped like a bombshell, smashing expectations with revenue soaring 66% year-over-year to $1.658 billion and net income exploding 84% to $1.102 billion – adjusted EBITDA jumped 82% amid AI-driven ad tech dominance that's turning mobile gaming into a cash machine. Yet, despite this powerhouse performance pushing back against the "software apocalypse" sparked by Anthropic's workflow-crushing AI agents, APP shares cratered 20% post-earnings to $80 levels, dragging Palantir (PLTR) down 15% in sympathy as the sector reels from Apollo Co-President's chilling warning of an "extremely violent" tech cycle. Valuations are res
AI Angst Tanks Tech Titans While Rivian Rockets – Market Mayhem Unleashes Epic Winners & Losers! 😱🚀
Wall Street sank into red territory as tech rout deepened on soaring AI budgets sparking flight to safety, with Big Tech names taking the hardest hits amid capex fears without clear ROI. Apple dropped 5% to $240 on AI concerns, AppLovin tumbled 20% to $65 despite strong earnings pushing back against "software apocalypse" narrative from Anthropic's agents – this ad tech powerhouse's Q4 rev +66% to $1.658B and net +84% to $1.102B crushed est, but panic selling overshadowed. SanDisk jumps 5% to $82 on 2Q profit beat driven by AI demand, Fastly soars 12% to $25 amid edge computing surge. Apple sees $200 billion market-cap wipeout as stock slides on AI fears, erasing gains in a flash amid broader rotation out of growth plays. Coinbase posts surprise loss on crypto trading slowdown, shares up 1%
$IFAST(AIY.SI)$ In FY2025, the Group achieved a number of major milestones as the Group total revenue crossed S$500 million (34.4% YoY increase to S$514.72 million) and Group net profit hit S$100.01 million (50.1% YoY increase). In 4Q2025, total revenue for the Group grew 45.7% YoY to S$151.74 million and net profit for the Group grew 70.4% YoY to S$32.86 million. Dividend of 2.5 cents is 56% higher than last year 1.6 cents. • For the Group’s core wealth management platform business, Group AUA increased 27.9% YoY to new record high of S$31.98 billion. Growth was seen in all the various markets that the Group is in, with Singapore continuing to be the main contributor. Group net inflows was a record S$4.72 billion in FY2025. • iFAST
Nebius Q4 Review: 2026 ARR Unchanged, Execution Still Key; Not the Best Time for NeoClouds Yet? $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ The Q4 earnings report is very “cloud-provider” in its core message: demand is strong → capacity is the real ceiling → first secure power and data-center space, then turn revenue into a run-rate (ARR), while in the short term the income statement may actually look weaker as depreciation and expansion investments weigh on it. Financial Snapshot Q4 2025 – Revenue: 227.7 million (slightly below expectations). – Adjusted EBITDA: +15 million (first time turning positive at the consolidated/group level but below the expected $33 million). – Net loss from continuing operations: -$249.6 million. Why is “Adjusted EBITDA positive”
Applovin Q4 Earnings Review: Blowout Results, Strong Guidance. How Should Investors Play the Volatility? Amid intensifying debate over AI's long-term impact on software business models and heightened volatility following Unity's earnings, $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ reported its fourth-quarter results. The company delivered revenue of $1.66 billion (vs. $1.62 billion expected), up 66% year over year, and Adjusted Diluted EPS of $3.24 (vs. $3.07 expected). Shares initially fell more than 10% in after-hours trading before sharply narrowing losses to around 1%. Such volatility suggests the market is digesting concerns about future competition and structural industry shifts rather than questioning the quarter