$AxoGen(AXGN)$ AXGN: take profit of close to 100%. Continue to consolidate positions and preserving cash to prepare to take up assignments on some of the short puts that will likely ended up in the money by Friday 6th Feb. Happy to be collecting on this trade.
The market has reached a clear pricing consensus on $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ . The upward revisions to hyperscaler AI capex for 2026, as well as the successful ramp of the Blackwell platform, are now fully reflected in the stock. As a result, NVDA’s valuation framework has shifted away from being a pure “AI beta” trade toward a more structural question: Can the winner of the AI infrastructure buildout sustain its advantage into 2027 and beyond? At this stage, marginal buyers are increasingly focused on long-term visibility rather than near-term upside surprises. NVDA has effectively entered a valuation regime where narrative matters more than near-term financials. Core Investment Thesis 2027 Revenue Visibility Is the New Valuation Anchor Upside to NVDA’s 20
SG Space Ambitions vs. Valuation: Can a $32.6B Order Book Justify the 11x P/B? |🦖EP1410
🟩 Singapore is officially launching its National Space Agency in April 2026, and the hype surrounding ST Engineering (S63) has reached stratospheric levels. With a massive $32.6 billion order book and headlines promising a new era of satellite constellations, the narrative is intoxicating. However, with the stock trading near $9.95 and P/E ratios hitting 40x, smart investors are asking the ten-dollar question: Are we buying into the final frontier, or just chasing a financial mirage?In this deep dive from the Pit, we strip away the sci-fi headlines to examine the hard numbers behind the "National Champion." We analyze the new Incremental Dividend Payout Model to see if the future yield can actually justify the current premium. We also put S63 through a rigorous Health Check, comparing its
🌟🌟🌟Being a dividend focused investor, I like $Valero(VLO)$ . Valero isn't a glamorous tech stock . It doesn't promise moonshots or hype. What it offers is something far rarer in a chaotic world: cash flow discipline , operational excellence & leverage to geopolitical shocks. With tensions rising in Iran, Valero sits in a uniquely advantaged position. Valero has been one of the strongest performing refiners over the past few years. Refiners tend to outperform when oil prices rise due to geopolitical risk, supply disruptions and global fuel demand stays firm. Valero has benefited from all these factors. Valero is one of the lowest cost refiners in the US. It exports heavily to regions affected by supply tightness.&
Arm Earnings: The High Cost of Innovation and the Wait for an AI Takeover Global semiconductor IP leader $Arm Holdings(ARM)$ released its FY26 Q3 earnings after hours, but the stock tumbled more than 7% in the aftermath, dragged down by weak guidance from mobile chip giant $Qualcomm(QCOM)$ , which reported earnings simultaneously. Let's peel back the layers of this report to see the true quality of the results and identify exactly what has the market worried. Three Things to Watch Data Center Royalties Continue to Double, but Mobile Growth Faces Pressure $Arm Holdings (ARM.US)$ reported Royalty revenue of $737 million for
If I could only go all-in on one, my pick would be OpenAI. Generative AI is rapidly becoming the core layer of the digital economy & OpenAI has unmatched scale, distribution & monetization momentum. An IPO wouldn’t just be a listing — it could reshape major index weightings, similar to what Microsoft once did. SpaceX remains the most visionary long-term bet. Its launch dominance and Starlink’s recurring cash flows make the trillion-dollar valuation plausible, but it’s a capital-intensive, regulation-sensitive play that requires patience and near-flawless execution. The upside is enormous, but so is the complexity. Anthropic is the strategic dark horse. Backed by Google and Amazon, it offers institutions a credible alternative to OpenAI with potentially better valuation discipline.
Capital One’s Full-Stack Rebellion: When the Bank Eats the Middlemen
I have long been sceptical of banks declaring themselves ‘technology companies.’ Most still behave like utilities with better apps and bigger marketing budgets. $Capital One(COF)$, however, is quietly dismantling the universal banking playbook rather than polishing it. By owning the payments network, the software layer, and the balance sheet, Capital One is assembling a full-stack model that collapses boundaries most banks still treat as sacred. The result is a business that looks increasingly mislabelled — benchmarked as a bank, but behaving more like a platform with regulated funding. When payments, software, and banking stop pretending they’re separate The Tollbooth Heist Nobody Is Modelling Most coverage frames the Discover acquisition as a sca
My favourite is $Graham(GHC)$ because it combines stability, quality, and strong shareholder returns. Its diversified businesses across media, insurance, manufacturing, and automotive provide steady cash flow, making the dividend reliable rather than just financial engineering. GHC has also performed well YTD25, and Tiger Trade Analysis shows upside potential supported by a strong balance sheet and disciplined capital allocation. This makes the upcoming ex-dividend attractive, as I’m looking for long-term compounding, not just a quick dividend. I also appreciate that the company has a track record of consistent dividend growth over the years. I’m also watching energy names like $Valero(
My pick for this earnings season is $Philip Morris(PM)$ . I like it because the company has a strong global brand portfolio and consistent cash flow, which supports both stable dividends and potential EPS growth. Its diversified markets make it a relatively safe choice even amid macro uncertainties. Philip Morris is expected to report higher EPS compared with the same period last year, signaling both profitability and operational efficiency. Strong EPS performance can also act as a catalyst for the stock price, making it appealing for dividend income and potential capital appreciation. I’m bullish on PM because it balances steady cash generation with long-term growth initiatives. While tech often dominates headlines, I appreciate companies like PM
🚨🚨🚨Market sentiment today is characterized by a "risk-off" mood as investors pull back from both traditional tech stocks and digital assets. Here is your summary for Thursday, February 5, 2026. 📉 Crypto Market Summary The cryptocurrency market is currently under significant pressure, hitting levels not seen in over a year. * Bitcoin (BTC): Dropped nearly 2% today to around $71,000, marking its lowest point in 15 months. It has now retraced over 42% from its October 2024 peak of $126,000. * Market Cap: The total crypto market cap has shed approximately $460 billion in value over the past week. * Key Drivers: Analysts point to a lack of "crypto-specific" bad news, instead blaming a spillover from a global sell-off in technology stocks. High leverage in the system has trigge
Google FY 2025: Stability Already Priced In, AI Clarity Needed
Online search giant and ascendant AI services leader Alphabet Inc (tickers: $Alphabet(GOOG)$, $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ ) – better known as "Google" – released its Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 results on the 4th of February, a decidedly pivotal moment when investments in AI technology and returns from thereof are under heavy scrutiny in this market. Trends indicate that, on balance and relative to the overall mood prevalent in the market, it could best be described as either “so-so” or reassuring, depending on what investors are looking to find within the results. Trend Analysis Google's top and bottom lines show, i.e. revenue and diluted earnings per share (EPS) – are showing trends that have been consistent since 202
$Beyond Meat, Inc.(BYND)$ 139.94 million shares sold short, which is 31.1% of all regular shares that are available for trading. Last quarters result will be published by the end of this month. Can they beat the forecast of 60 to 65 million in sales USD ? And have they been able to cut costs per unit sold ? At the moment the share price are diving down towards the 50 cents mark again. But if they can deliver signs of a real turnaround could we see another short squeeze et triggered ? Worth a gamble ....
Advanced Micro Devices: reset or opportunity? This looks less like the end of the Al story and more like a valuation and expectations reset. The sell-off was driven by guidance, not execution. The earnings beat confirmed solid operations, but management did not deliver the near-term Al inflection the market had aggressively priced in. With China demand removed and MI300 ramp visibility pushed out, investors recalibrated from “immediate Al winner” to “cycle participant with timing risk”. That said, calling this the end of AMD’s Al optimism is premature. Three points matter: 1. Crowded trade unwind AMD had become a consensus Al proxy outside Nvidia. When guidance failed to accelerate, positioning, not fundamentals, did the damage. A 17 percent drawdown in one session has clear capitulation c
This looks more like a positioning and narrative shock than the start of a structural bear phase for software. What is really driving the selloff The catalyst was not earnings deterioration but perceived disruption risk. The announcement by Anthropic reframed Al from “software tailwind” to “software margin threat”, particularly for legal tech, workflow automation, fintech tooling, and parts of asset management. That narrative shift hit a sector that was already crowded, richly valued, and sensitive to duration. Once selling began, ETF and factor unwinds amplified the move. Six consecutive down sessions, coupled with sharp index-level drawdowns, suggest forced de-risking rather than fresh fundamental discovery. Does software continue to dip Near term, volatility can persist. When thematic l
The AUDUSD pair continues to display an incomplete bullish sequence from the April 7, 2025 low, suggesting further upside potential. The structure favors continuation toward the 100% Fibonacci extension target at 0.72. In the short term, the cycle from the November 21 low remains in progress, unfolding as a five-wave Elliott Wave impulse. This development provides a clear framework for traders monitoring the pair’s near-term trajectory. From the November low, wave ((i)) advanced and concluded at 0.6766. A corrective pullback in wave ((ii)) followed, ending at 0.666 as illustrated in the one-hour chart. The pair then resumed its upward momentum in wave ((iii)), which itself subdivided into a smaller impulsive structure. Within this sequence, wave (i) terminated at 0.6727, while wave (ii) re