756
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2025-12-30
L🚨 New Year, New Rules: The "Easy Mode" Trade is Officially Dead The confetti has settled, and the charts are resetting. Are you ready for the 2026 reality check? If you made money in 2025 just by blindly buying the index, congratulations—but don’t expect that strategy to work in January. We are shifting from a market powered by liquidity promises to one that demands profit proof. While the street consensus is calling for a smooth ride to new highs, the internal plumbing of the market tells a different story. The "Fed Put" is in the rearview mirror; now it’s all about execution. Before you load up your portfolio for Q1, here is why the 2026 playbook is completely different. 1️⃣ The Bull Thesis: It’s Time to "Show Me the Money" 💵 The bulls aren't relying on hope anymore—they are betting on
756
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2025-12-30
My focus today will be on silver $FUT:Silver - main 2603(SImain)$ , especially after this sharp pullback. The recent move feels more like a liquidity-driven shakeout than a breakdown in fundamentals, but that doesn’t mean prices can’t stay volatile in the near term. After such a crowded trade unwinds, the market needs time to rebuild confidence & depth. At this stage, I’m firmly in the “steady first, act later” camp. The long-term logic for precious metals remains intact, yet short-term liquidity is clearly thin and sentiment fragile. I’d rather anchor my portfolio with gold ETFs as a core holding, while watching silver patiently for signs that
TOPOgdenHerbert: Good approach, mate. Silver's tricky now; patience pays off. Holding gold too.[强]
990
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2025-12-30
Iy really means nothing if the S&P fell on Monday. Days are irrelevant, so are weeks, even months. And let's face it, most are on holiday atm so everything that happens will be based on low volumes. So don't worry bout a thing. I invest in companies with a 1 to 3 year outlook Minimum. to make meaningful predictions beyond that timeframe is pure conjecture. Example, 10 years from now will $McDonald's(MCD)$ still be the world's biggest burger maker? Well actually McDonalds doesn't make burgers. It owns property and collects franchise fees from franchises that make burgers. So will they be doing that in ten years from now, or will they bulldoze all their restaurants and build high rise apartments and hotels. I know I'm being
1.08K
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2025-12-29
Beyond the Hype: Why Robo.ai's Acquisition of Jidu Actually Reduces Risk
Foreword: Put Away the Champagne, Open ExcelWhile the market revels in the sensational headlines of Robo.ai $Robo.ai Inc(AIIO)$ acquiring Jidu (the Jiyue brand), as an analyst who trusts only data, I care little for grand narratives about "dreams." I care about only one thing: How does this transaction change the denominator in my DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) model—specifically, the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)?The conclusion is cold and counter-intuitive: This merger does not increase "Integration Risk" as retail investors fear; on the contrary, it is the single greatest "Risk Reducer" in Robo.ai's corporate lifecycle.Based on the latest asset injection information, I have lowered AIIO's Beta coefficient from a high-growth tech 2.5 to 1.
TOPSpot on! Lowering Beta makes sense, risk reduction is real.[强]
47.34K
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2025-12-30
$MP Reclaims $100 Level in 2026. Yes !
As the curtains draw on a historic 2025, $MP Materials Corp.(MP)$ (in my humble opinion) stands as the centerpiece of a high-stakes geopolitical drama. After a year defined by a staggering +228.8% surge in share price, the company is not merely resting on its laurels. Instead, MP is preparing for a "Phase II" breakout in 2026, fueled by the commissioning of the West’s first heavy rare earth facility and a unique $1.1 billion government-backed pricing safety net. Before we look at MP materials in 2025 retrospectively, below are posts I have shared previously - Enjoy ! 14 Jul 2025 - AAPL pushed $MP to $62 Intraday. OMG! 11 Jul 2025 -
757
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2025-12-30
I see the recent pullback in the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$
1.35K
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2025-12-30
Why Losing $93K on $JD Wasn’t a Mistake
Lost $93,000 on $JD.com(JD)$ this year following an A+ setup. ❌Monthly BX had just triggered a new bull cycle (55% win rate, 12–15 month rallies on average) and a whale bought 300k worth of Jan 2026 40C. I took the same calls, sized correctly… and they went basically to zero.If I had traded shares, I would’ve only lost ~15% when our exit criteria hit in December. The options amplified the loss, but here’s the key point:I lost $93K and I did not do anything wrong.-The setup met my rules.-Position sizing was correct.-I sold when the system said sell.-A+ setups fail. Whales are wrong. That’s part of trading any real system.-You’re only “wrong” when you:-Oversize-Ignore your exit criteria-Double down out of ego-Bag hold and pray-The moral:Losing money ≠
1.82K
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2025-12-30
Why I’m Passing on PLTR After a 20× Run
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Is Up 2300%… And That’s Exactly Why I’m Not Buying Here Everyone loves PLTRIt’s up over 2,300% since my Monthly BX system flipped it into a bull cycle back in February 2023.Every dip has felt like “the last chance.” Most people on the timeline want to buy more here.I don’t.Not because I hate PLTR. Not because I think the company is done.But because I care more about cycles and risk/reward than narratives.Let me walk you through how I’m thinking about it.1. PLTR’s Bull Cycle Is Old, Not NewIn my system, Monthly BX is the macro filter:Dark red → no interestIncreasing / green → macro bull cycle, allowed to be longPLTR triggered a bull cycle signal in Feb 2023. Since then it’s run over 2,300%.That matters.Across a w
2.22K
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2025-12-30
🚨Precious metals plunge: How do you hedge against the risk?
Hey Tigers! 🐅Spark the next wave of ideas. 💥Share your unique perspective and inspire a chain reaction of brilliance.Let’s break it down. These stories drove the markets.More NewsTiger Community TOP10 Tickers🎯 S&P500 Most Active Today 👉@TigerObserverWeekly Five Key Areas: Earnings, Macro, Singapore Stocks, Options, Futures✨Tuesday — Singapore StocksSingapore stocks opened higher on Tuesday, with the Straits Times Index rising 0.4%. Nio surged 3%, ST Engineering gained 1%, while ThaiBev fell 1%. In corporate news, Keppel's real estate subsidiary terminated an US$800 million multicurrency term note programme established in 2002. An indirect subsidiary of Manulife US Re
TOPMy focus today will be on silver $FUT:Silver - main 2603(SImain)$ , especially after this sharp pullback. The recent move feels more like a liquidity-driven shakeout than a breakdown in fundamentals, but that doesn’t mean prices can’t stay volatile in the near term. After such a crowded trade unwinds, the market needs time to rebuild confidence & depth. At this stage, I’m firmly in the “steady first, act later” camp. The long-term logic for precious metals remains intact, yet short-term liquidity is clearly thin and sentiment fragile. I’d rather anchor my portfolio with gold ETFs as a core holding, while watching silver patiently for signs that selling pressure is easing. Only when emotions cool and the gold–silver ratio stops spiking would I consider adding silver gradually. This is not a moment to test courage or timing skills; it’s about discipline and survival. Missing the first rebound is acceptable—being caught in another forced sell-off is not. @TigerStars @Tiger_comments
1.32K
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2025-12-30
$Eightco Holdings Inc.(ORBS)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 🔥🧠💥 Eightco $ORBS: When Capital Returns Collide With a Vanishing Float 💥🧠🔥 🧠 This buyback is not symbolic, it is strategic firepower I’m focused on the $125M share buyback authorised by the board on 28Dec25 and disclosed 29Dec25 because, relative to Eightco’s current market size, this is a material deployment of capital. Management is explicitly signalling valuation dislocation. Dan Ives calling the stock “increasingly attractive” based on valuation and partnership pipeline matters, because he rarely highlights buybacks unless he sees asymmetry forming. This is
TOPI’m watching the mechanics more than headlines. Shrinking borrow plus elevated off-exchange flow usually precedes disorderly moves. $GameStop(GME)$ taught me how quickly regime shifts once liquidity pockets disappear.
1.43K
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2025-12-30
🌍🛢️ Crude firms on geopolitics. Volatility diverges in $DVN and $APA 📊⚖️
$Devon(DVN)$
TOPReally clean breakdown. $apache(APA)$ caught my eye too, compression, elevated vol, and structure tightening. The way you tied flow and macro together explains why momentum hasn’t faded despite resistance overhead.
2.57K
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2025-12-30
📉💰 Why I Sold an NVDA 192.5 Put: Getting Paid to Buy NVIDIA Cheaper l: Turning Volatility Into Opportunity 🚀
NVIDIA (NVDA) is one of the most talked-about stocks in the market. Some people chase it higher. Some are afraid to touch it because it looks “expensive.” I take a different approach. I let the market pay me while I wait. Instead of buying NVDA outright at market price, I sold a cash-secured put at the 192.5 strike and collected $8.09 in premium. This strategy allows me to either: 1. Keep the premium if NVDA stays above the strike, or 2. Buy 100 shares of NVDA at an effective price of about $184, which I consider a very attractive retracement level. This article explains why I did this trade, how the math works, why 192.5 is a good level, and 10 strong reasons why NVIDIA is a great long-term stock 📊✨. ⸻ What Trade Did I Do? 🧾 I sold: • NVDA Put • Strike price: 192.5 • Premium received: $8.
TOPSolid strategy! Getting paid to buy NVDA cheap is genius. Well played![财迷]
1.89K
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2025-12-30
Great Stocks, Late Entries: Risk/Reward Check on $PLTR, $MU, $SOFI
1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ PLTR is up 2300% since Monthly BX signaled a bull rally in Feb 2023.The average bull cycle lasts 12–24 months. PLTR is in the late stages now.Every dip so far has been great to buy, but I would not start a new position here. R/R isn’t ideal this late. I’d rather be patient and stalk fresher cycles. 2. $Micron Technology(MU)$ MU is up 200%+ in 7 months, almost 2x what my model expected.I still think we see $400+ in Q3 2027, but short term this is clearly overpriced.Monthly BX is still strong, but if I were still in, I’d be trimming into Q1 and hoping for a reload sub‑200 rather than chasing here.Congrats if you followed our call out in June 🤝 3.
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2025-12-30
Hold, Base, Breakout: Reading $AAPL, $SBUX, $OKE Into 2026
1. $Apple(AAPL)$ AAPL is up 20%+ since Monthly BX triggered a new bull cycle in September. Our model targeted 270 by Jan 2026 and we’re right on track, still pricing in a move toward 325 by July 2026. If I were in, I’d hold. But this is not where I’d start a new position. Short term it’s a bit overpriced. 2. $Starbucks(SBUX)$ SBUX has been compressing for almost 5 years and finally looks ready to release.My model is pricing in roughly a 15% move by June 2026 and about +40% by the end of 2026 if this breakout holds.Long, boring bases often turn into the best trends. 3. $ONEOK Inc(OKE)$ Big year setting up for $OKE in 2026 🚨Monthly BX just confirmed a new bull cycle
1.27K
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2025-12-30
Badger Meter - A lesson in how to understand a compounding machine
$Badger Meter(BMI)$ is a company that I've been aware of for a while, but prior to writing this report, it was also a business that I knew very little about. I first became aware of BMI as part of my linearity analysis of the S&P 600, which is the US small cap index. Since their IPO in 1985, their share price has grown more than 25,000%, often with low volatility.Presented here is a breakdown of how I would analyse a company for the first time. Let's assume that we've never heard of this company, which for many, may have been the case. Here's a step-by-step process we could take in understanding the business further. The steps are categorised in to determining whether a company has predictable growth, pricing power and capital efficiency. At th
2.46K
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2025-12-30
Why SLV ETF is My Superhero Trade: The Geopolitical Squeeze & the Path to USD 100
🌟🌟🌟This year the Silver market didn't just rally. It exploded leaving Gold in its dust. The price surged over 120% in 2025, hitting record highs above USD 70 to USD 80 an ounce. I am invested in $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$
4.28K
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2025-12-30
Divergent Views
$SPY$Theoretically, the market should consolidate sideways this week, then correct after positive news from the CES conference is digested.However, a large bearish spread order was opened on SPY: buying the 684 put and selling the 672 put $SPY 20260102 684.0 PUT$ $SPY 20260102 672.0 PUT$ . This implies a potential pullback to around 680 this week.Currently, the source disrupting market rhythm could potentially be precious metals.$SLV$Options activity on the Silver ETF suggests a clear short squeeze scenario. Front-month call options are being closed continuously, while front-month put options are seeing significant additions. However, a squeeze-driven ral
5.84K
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2025-12-29
Banks Feeling the Heat as Silver Market Frenzy Hits
The rumor says a major bank collapsed on a silver margin call at 2:47 AM December 28. I cannot verify that. $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ $UBS Group AG(UBS)$ What I can verify is more interesting. JPMorgan filed an 8K on December 27 disclosing 4.875 billion dollars in unrealized silver losses. They flipped from 200 million ounces short to 750 million ounces long physical. The largest position reversal in the history of the silver market happened in the last 30 days and nobody on financial television said a word. The rumor claims 34 billion in emergency Fed repos. Official data shows rou
TOPWhere hear so many gossip haha 😛 Later become aunty sister Great article! And entertainment
4.21K
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2025-12-29
$Pony AI Inc(PONY)$ ⭐ Stock Review: Pony AI Inc (PONY) Pony AI is increasingly standing out as one of the most advanced and commercially focused players in the autonomous driving space. What differentiates Pony AI from many “concept-stage” AI companies is its clear transition from R&D to real-world monetisation. The company’s 7th-generation robotaxi fleet in Guangzhou has reportedly achieved positive unit economics, a key milestone that very few autonomous driving companies globally can claim today. From a business perspective, Pony AI is demonstrating: Strong revenue momentum, with meaningful year-on-year growth Improving gross margins, reflecting better cost control and operational efficiency A clear scaling roadmap, targeting thousan
TOPSolid analysis! PONY's growth looks unstoppable.[看涨]