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323
General
Ah_Meng
·
2025-12-29
The market is simply buying time… AI bubble bursts is simply a matter of time. The best indicator of delusion is in the analysts’ outlook. They have been proven wrong over time and the best part is that in the following year, the same old analysts are making the predictions over again. I mean sooner or later, one or two brave ones would hit the jackpot. The majority are simply follow the crowd, so as not to err too much from the masses… when they say there’s nothing to see there in AI bubble, remember to wear extra protection.
@WeChats
2025 Rewind: Stocks Hit Record Highs, But Is the Economy Secretly Cracking? We are looking at a "Time Machine" review of the US economy in 2025, derived from The New York Times data. The narrative is conflicting: on the surface, the S&P 500 is ripping, hitting its 38th all-time high fueled by AI. But beneath the hood, the engine is sputtering—unemployment is at a 4-year high (4.6%), and inflation data is becoming unreliable due to government shutdowns. Why does this matter? Because we are witnessing a massive divergence between Wall Street (Earnings) and Main Street (Jobs/Inflation). History tells us this gap eventually closes—usually violently. 1️⃣ The Tariff Trap: Revenue Up, Costs Higher Trump’s trade war, launched in April 2025, created a weird paradox. * The Good: The trade
2025 Rewind: Stocks Hit Record Highs, But Is the Economy Secretly Cracking? We are looking at a "Time Machine" review of the US economy in 2025, derived from The New York Times data. The narrative is conflicting: on the surface, the S&P 500 is ripping, hitting its 38th all-time high fueled by AI. But beneath the hood, the engine is sputtering—unemployment is at a 4-year high (4.6%), and inflation data is becoming unreliable due to government shutdowns. Why does this matter? Because we are witnessing a massive divergence between Wall Street (Earnings) and Main Street (Jobs/Inflation). History tells us this gap eventually closes—usually violently. 1️⃣ The Tariff Trap: Revenue Up, Costs Higher Trump’s trade war, launched in April 2025, created a weird paradox. * The Good: The trade
The market is simply buying time… AI bubble bursts is simply a matter of time. The best indicator of delusion is in the analysts’ outlook. They hav...
TOPpizzi: Analysts are just herd followers. AI bubble will burst soon enough.[看跌]
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1.10K
General
Sporeshare
·
2025-12-28
$ComfortDelGro(C52.SI)$    ComfortDelGro - She is slowly climbing higher, looks rather positive! She may test 1.50 soon! Beyond, 1.50, she may rise up further towards 1.55 than 1.60. Pls dyodd. 7 December 2025: ComfortDelGro - She is back to interesting price level, yield is about 5.8 percent, is quite nice yield level! Interim dividend 3.91 cents. Estimating Final dividend of 4.5-4.8 cents. I think boat is back! Their overseas ventures is bearing fruits! I think They are taking advantage of the green loans and earn some interest on their existing cash by placing on FD or short term money instruments! FY results will be out in Feb 2026! Net cash position. Not a call to buy or sell! Pls dyodd.  https://sporeshare.blogspot.com/2025/
$ComfortDelGro(C52.SI)$ ComfortDelGro - She is slowly climbing higher, looks rather positive! She may test 1.50 soon! Beyond, 1.50, she may rise up...
TOPAgathaHume: CDG's momentum is sweet, yield rocks![看涨]
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1.01K
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VNW Capital
·
2025-12-28
Nothing is easy..Every trade involves capital and psychological risk especially during Trump's liberation week and mid Oct to November sell-9ff. Each trade requires informed judgment and conviction.  I missed precious metals, just manage to catch gold in Q4. AMD breakeven. Still a good year at 67% YTD return, beating SPY and QQQ by large extent.
Nothing is easy..Every trade involves capital and psychological risk especially during Trump's liberation week and mid Oct to November sell-9ff. Ea...
TOPextractoi: Congrats on the stellar year! Beating SPY and QQQ handily. Gold was a gem.[得意]
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444
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WeChats
·
2025-12-28
Silver Explodes 10% in a Day: Is $50 Next or Is This Squeeze a Trap? 🥈🚀 Silver just woke up and chose violence. A 10% surge in a single day for a major commodity isn’t just a "move"—it’s a dislocation. While Gold has been steadily grinding to all-time highs, Silver has been the sleeping giant. Now, with analysts shouting about inventory depletion and a potential run to $80, the FOMO is palpable. But for those of us who have traded the "Devil’s Metal" before, we know: when Silver goes parabolic, it takes no prisoners. Is this the start of the "supercycle" everyone promised, or just another massive trap for retail chasers? 1️⃣ Anatomy of a Short Squeeze Let’s be real—commodities don’t move 10% in a day purely on "supply and demand" fundamentals. This was a liquidity event. The paper market f
Silver Explodes 10% in a Day: Is $50 Next or Is This Squeeze a Trap? 🥈🚀 Silver just woke up and chose violence. A 10% surge in a single day for a m...
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978
General
WeChats
·
2025-12-28
2026 January Effect: The "Easy Money" Is Gone — Here’s the New Playbook 🚨 As we count down the final hours of 2025, the chatrooms are buzzing with one question: Will we get the "January Effect" to kickstart 2026, or is a rug-pull loading? The setup for 2026 is fundamentally different from the liquidity-fueled rallies of the past. We are transitioning from a market driven by Fed hope to a market that demands earnings reality. While the consensus from Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs is "constructive," the underlying data suggests a much trickier battlefield. If you are planning to deploy cash in Week 1, put down the buy button and read this first. 1️⃣ The Bull Case: The "Handover" to Earnings Growth 📈 The strongest argument for a January rally isn't just momentum—it's the fundamental handov
2026 January Effect: The "Easy Money" Is Gone — Here’s the New Playbook 🚨 As we count down the final hours of 2025, the chatrooms are buzzing with ...
TOPAh_Meng: Looks like you and I are on the same page as far as mid-term election goes. I have written about it some time back but what you have laid out here as the playbook makes so much sense. Thanks for sharing your thoughts. This is the last trading week ahead of 2-Jan this Friday. I have been pondering 🤔 what to sell to build cash for flexibility in manoeuvre should it be needed. With expected increasing volatility in the new year, it won't be a "if", rather a "when" for the correction to set in. AI play has been all the rage in 2025, so was quantum computing. I do not think those plays are sustainable and liable for the biggest correction. Having said that, some of them are long term investment plays. I will take my time to take my pick. Precious metals group is also an interesting place to revisit. Will the recent runs in silver, platinum and palladium run out of steam in 2026? Will gold restart its run to pull the group forward? Correction will come but likely to be mere consolidation.
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Subramanyan
·
2025-12-28
Are you bullish on Rocket Lab's $90 target?: 50:50 I would say. Target of $90.00 is primarily driven by it securing a $805 million contract from the SDA for 18 missile-tracking satellites which is the largest in its history. Optimistic goal and depends on its delivery capability. As of now Rocket Lab presents a high-growth high-risk opportunity as it has potential but currently unprofitable.  SpaceX vs Rocket Lab: which one are you bullish?: tricky question as Rocket Lab is now listed while SpaceX isn't. Between the two, if rumours are true, an IPO is targeted for 2026 at a potential valuation of $1.5 trillion. So, yeah while the head points to SpaceX the heart points to Rocket Lab.
Are you bullish on Rocket Lab's $90 target?: 50:50 I would say. Target of $90.00 is primarily driven by it securing a $805 million contract from th...
TOP0billionaire: Mate, I'm bullish on Rocket Lab[看涨]
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1.94K
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Subramanyan
·
2025-12-28
I wouod think that tge 2026 Outlook for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$   is one of High Risk, High Reward. My worry stems from tge trailing P/E ratio of 317 which is monstrous! significantly higher than legacy automakers. Much depends on the success of its cybercab robotaxi. Analysts rating is to Hold & their average 12-month price target is $385. However, long run price targets range widely from a low of $19.05 (GLJ Research!!) to a high of $600.00. So, I pray that GLJ is proved wrong but I would prefer to sell & reenter.
I wouod think that tge 2026 Outlook for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is one of High Risk, High Reward. My worry stems from tge trailing P/E ratio of 317 wh...
TOPSummerNight: Wah, that P/E is scary high lah. Selling now for a better entry make sense.[看跌]
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1.65K
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Guavaxf3006
·
2025-12-28
What happens when Bitcoin drops? Trouble surfaced after the summer when Bitcoin began falling, eventually dropping below US$90,000 in November, undermining confidence in companies heavily exposed to it. “The market quickly started to ask: ‘Are these companies going to run into trouble? Could they go bankrupt?’” said Mr Eric Benoist, a tech and data expert at Natixis bank. Finance professor Carol Alexander at the University of Sussex told AFP that regulatory uncertainty, cyberattacks and fraud risks are also deepening investor mistrust. An example is software company Strategy, the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin with more than 671,000 coins, or about 3 per cent of all the Bitcoin that will ever exist. Over six months, however, its share price more than halved, and its market value brief
What happens when Bitcoin drops? Trouble surfaced after the summer when Bitcoin began falling, eventually dropping below US$90,000 in November, und...
TOPGuavaxf3006: https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/how-company-bets-on-bitcoin-can-backfire
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782
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KYHBKO
·
2025-12-28

Preview of the week starting 29Dec25 - How to find great companies?

Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 29Dec25) New Year’s Day Closures In the upcoming week, several major financial markets will observe closures in celebration of New Year’s Day. The United States, Singapore, Hong Kong, and China will be closed on January 1st. Additionally, China will extend its holiday and remain closed on both January 1st and January 2nd. In Hong Kong, the market will have a half-day session on December 31st before closing for the holiday. Crude Oil Inventories and Market Outlook It is anticipated that there will be a drawdown of 2 million barrels in crude oil inventories. This reduction suggests an increase in demand at the production site, which may be interpreted as a positive signal for the market outlook. Upcoming FOMC Meeting Minutes The Federal Open Mark
Preview of the week starting 29Dec25 - How to find great companies?
TOPzippixo: Solid strategy on hedging. Volatility ahead, stay nimble![看涨]
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987
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KYHBKO
·
2025-12-28

(Part 3 of 5) - S&P500 market outlook (29Dec2025)

Market Outlook of S&P500 (29Dec25) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator Following the recent top crossover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator continues to suggest an uptrend. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated above both the 50-day and 200-day moving average (MA) lines. This positioning indicates a bullish trend in both the short-term and long-term outlooks. Furthermore, both the 50 MA and the 200 MA are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a bullish outlook as they fan outwards. This convergence and subsequent uptrend further support the case for continued bullish momentum in the market. Chaiki
(Part 3 of 5) - S&P500 market outlook (29Dec2025)
TOPflipzy: Solid indicators, but volume's a worry. Needs close watching.[得意]
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812
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KYHBKO
·
2025-12-28

(Part 5 of 5) - my investing muse (29Dec25)

My Investing Muse (29Dec25) Layoffs, Bankruptcy & Closure news This offshoring jobs to India and other countries thing was already happening. It has been for quite some time. - X user Amanda Goodall L.A.’s entertainment economy is spiralling downward: Work is evaporating, businesses are closing, and the city’s creative middle class is hanging on by a thread. - WSJ "The job market is so bad, people in their 40s are resorting to going back to school instead of looking for work," per FORTUNE “Auto Delinquencies Hit Record High as Consumers Caught Off Guard.” “PYMNTS Intelligence data showed that 34% of consumers who live paycheck to paycheck and struggle to pay their bills have had to spend more than usual in the past six months, which in turn has eaten into their savings. The cost of foo
(Part 5 of 5) - my investing muse (29Dec25)
TOPBlinkfans: Bear son is back after selling at all thine high
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6.68K
Selection
Barcode
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2025-12-29

🪙⚡🔥 $SLV Parabolic Surge, When Volatility and Options Flow Redefine Silver 🔥⚡🪙

$iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$  $Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF(SILJ)$  $VanEck Gold Miners ETF(GDX)$  I’m watching silver undergo a rare transition, from a range-bound macro metal into a volatility-dominated momentum regime. This is not a simple breakout. This is a structural realignment where price acceleration, options positioning, and supply-demand dynamics are reinforcing each other in real time. 📈 Price dynamics and technical architecture I’m seeing $SLV extend cleanly into the 3.618 Fibonacci expansion from the 2024 lows. Historically, this zone is where pow
🪙⚡🔥 $SLV Parabolic Surge, When Volatility and Options Flow Redefine Silver 🔥⚡🪙
TOPBarcode: $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ Silver futures flipped from roughly +6% to about -2% on the session, an 8% intraday reversal, right into the $SLV Fibonacci extension I mapped out in the post at 0726. That’s classic parabolic behaviour, volatility expands first, then price snaps back to test structure. As of after 1452, this post was still under review. In fast-moving regimes like this, timing matters. I’m curious about the review timing process. This post was written and submitted at 0726 and as of after 1452 it was still under review during a high-volatility session where timing matters. Understanding how review delays work for time-sensitive market analysis would be really helpful @CaptainTiger @Tiger_comments @TigerObserver @Daily_Discussion
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339
General
Pinkspider
·
2025-12-29
1. Market Selloff is probably likely to happen - at least a small one 2. Because Tesla is running on hopium right now - it went up because of soft catalysts and needs a hard catalyst (cash flow) to solidify base here and reprice in earnest to 600-$1,000. The earliest this hard catalyst is coming is in April. That means in between, the news will be wearing off , FUD creeping in, and it can only stay here or go up here again if more soft catalysts are coming that are not the same as the previous ones. Safety driver removal, more cities, Cybercab anticipation has all been used up imo. So from here, you need conviction to believe in a Q2 inflection to keep the stock up here or higher - and most people don't have conviction.
1. Market Selloff is probably likely to happen - at least a small one 2. Because Tesla is running on hopium right now - it went up because of soft ...
TOPJanetFast: Spot on, mate. Tesla's bubble could burst soon.[看跌]
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8.13K
Selection
Barcode
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2025-12-29

📅📊🔥 Holiday Tape Precision | Week of 29Dec2025 🇺🇸 New Year’s Thin Liquidity Minefield 🚀🧠📈

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Bullish $Lockheed Martin(LMT)$ Bullish  I’m treating this holiday week like a microstructure trap, because thin liquidity makes headlines louder and price moves more honest. I’m heading into New Year’s week with a very specific mindset. Liquidity is patchy, positioning is distorted by year-end flows, and the market is hyper-reactive to a small number of catalysts. I’m not here to get hypnotised by narratives. I’m here to identify where the tape can get forced, where options positioning can amplify moves, and where the obvious take becomes the wrong trade. This week is New Year’s. Wednesday is the last tr
📅📊🔥 Holiday Tape Precision | Week of 29Dec2025 🇺🇸 New Year’s Thin Liquidity Minefield 🚀🧠📈
TOPKiwi Tigress: yeah this one hit tbh, kinda wild how thin liquidity flips the script fr. your point on structure over vibes makes sense, especially with $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ where momentum feels fragile. lowkey feels like one of those weeks where patience actually pays 😅
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285
General
Ah_Meng
·
2025-12-29
Looks like you and I are on the same page as far as mid-term election goes. I have written about it some time back but what you have laid out here as the playbook makes so much sense. Thanks for sharing your thoughts. This is the last trading week ahead of 2-Jan this Friday. I have been pondering 🤔 what to sell to build cash for flexibility in manoeuvre should it be needed. With expected increasing volatility in the new year, it won't be a "if", rather a "when" for the correction to set in. AI play has been all the rage in 2025, so was quantum computing. I do not think those plays are sustainable and liable for the biggest correction. Having said that, some of them are long term investment plays. I will take my time to take my pick. Precious metals group is also an interesting place to rev
@WeChats
2026 January Effect: The "Easy Money" Is Gone — Here’s the New Playbook 🚨 As we count down the final hours of 2025, the chatrooms are buzzing with one question: Will we get the "January Effect" to kickstart 2026, or is a rug-pull loading? The setup for 2026 is fundamentally different from the liquidity-fueled rallies of the past. We are transitioning from a market driven by Fed hope to a market that demands earnings reality. While the consensus from Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs is "constructive," the underlying data suggests a much trickier battlefield. If you are planning to deploy cash in Week 1, put down the buy button and read this first. 1️⃣ The Bull Case: The "Handover" to Earnings Growth 📈 The strongest argument for a January rally isn't just momentum—it's the fundamental handov
2026 January Effect: The "Easy Money" Is Gone — Here’s the New Playbook 🚨 As we count down the final hours of 2025, the chatrooms are buzzing with one question: Will we get the "January Effect" to kickstart 2026, or is a rug-pull loading? The setup for 2026 is fundamentally different from the liquidity-fueled rallies of the past. We are transitioning from a market driven by Fed hope to a market that demands earnings reality. While the consensus from Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs is "constructive," the underlying data suggests a much trickier battlefield. If you are planning to deploy cash in Week 1, put down the buy button and read this first. 1️⃣ The Bull Case: The "Handover" to Earnings Growth 📈 The strongest argument for a January rally isn't just momentum—it's the fundamental handov
Looks like you and I are on the same page as far as mid-term election goes. I have written about it some time back but what you have laid out here ...
TOPMurielRobin: Silver and palladium may ease, but gold likely to surge again.[看涨]
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917
Selection
nerdbull1669
·
2025-12-29

Nvidia Groq Deal, A Strategic Move For Better Market Leadership?

Nvidia announced on Christmas Eve, that it is acquiring Groq IP and talent for $20B, with strong talent from Groq joining $NVIDIA(NVDA)$, could this be Nvidia gameplay to up its position in the leadership in both the AI infrastructure and also overall leadership in the AI market? In this article, we would like to discuss Nvidia’s announced agreement with Groq (reported at ~$20 billion) — specifically regarding whether it is likely to strengthen Nvidia’s leadership in AI infrastructure and widen its competitive moat: Nature of the Deal — Not a Traditional Acquisition Key structural points: Nvidia has licensed Groq’s AI inference technology and is hiring key Groq personnel — including founder Jonathan Ross and President Sunny Madra — in what analyst
Nvidia Groq Deal, A Strategic Move For Better Market Leadership?
TOPChungllq: Absolutely, Nvidia's Groq deal will crush Alphabet's TPU dominance. Solid move![看涨]
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941
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Cedric77
·
2025-12-29
What just happened: Acquisition: Google acquired Intersect Power for ~$4.75 billion cash (plus assuming existing debt) Who they are: Utility-scale clean energy developer focused on solar, battery storage, and integrated energy infrastructure What they do: Develop, own, and operate multi-gigawatt clean-energy projects - specifically designed to co-locate with large power users. Here a **ranked list of publicly traded companies similar to Intersect Power — ordered from most potential (growth + profitability) to least based on recent analyst outlooks and fundamentals in the renewable/clean energy space (as of late 2025): 📈 Top-Tier (Strong Growth + Profits + Scale) NextEra Energy (NYSE: NEE) — Best overall renewable utility play • World’s largest wind + solar generator with stable utility cas
What just happened: Acquisition: Google acquired Intersect Power for ~$4.75 billion cash (plus assuming existing debt) Who they are: Utility-scale ...
TOPAmandaViolet: Google's buy is massive for clean energy! NextEra looks solid.[看涨]
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1.32K
General
Barcode
·
2025-12-29
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ 📊📉🔥 73% of Active Funds Crushed by Structure in 2025, Not Skill 🔥📉📊 📉 73% of large-cap active mutual funds underperformed $SPX in 2025, and I’m reading this as a structural verdict, not an indictment of talent. I’m operating in a regime where liquidity concentration, momentum amplification, factor crowding, and systematic inflows dominate price discovery. When capital is channelled mechanically into index replication, beta becomes the primary return driver and dispersion collapses. In that environment, discretion struggles, regardless of experience. This is why positioning has shifted away from isolated stock selection toward factor exposure, flow alignment, and benchmark gravity. When inflows target index weightings, price sig
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ 📊📉🔥 73% of Active Funds Crushed by Structure in 2025, Not Skill 🔥📉📊 📉 73% of large-cap active mutual funds underperformed $SPX in 2...
TOPKiwi Tigress: yeah this hit tbh. reading your post I’m like ok it’s not bad managers it’s the setup. kinda wild how $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ flow just keeps price glued, volatility stays chill, momentum wins, lowkey makes stock picking feel pointless rn
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225
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Lanceljx
·
2025-12-29
Context on the current rally Prices of silver have surged to multi-year and record highs in late 2025, driven by a mix of macroeconomic and fundamental factors: strong institutional demand, expectations of lower interest rates, weak US dollar, tightening supply, and industrial absorption in sectors such as solar, EV, and data centre infrastructure. These drivers have boosted not only silver but also other metals such as palladium and copper. Recent price action has seen silver briefly above US$80 before volatility pushed it back lower.  What’s underpinning the surge Structural supply deficit — Silver has been in deficit for several years, with demand consistently outpacing supply. Inventories globally have declined, and new mine output cannot quickly expand due to the long lead time a
Context on the current rally Prices of silver have surged to multi-year and record highs in late 2025, driven by a mix of macroeconomic and fundame...
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399
General
Lanceljx
·
2025-12-29
A sober reading of probabilities suggests that “nothing happens” is the most under-appreciated outcome for 2026, even if it sounds unsatisfying. My base case for 2026 Most likely: U.S. equities grind to new highs Not via euphoria, but through earnings growth, AI productivity gains, and multiple stability rather than expansion. A slow, uneven advance fits a mature cycle better than a dramatic break. Very plausible: repeated Fed policy reversals Not full U-turns, but frequent recalibration. Sticky services inflation, election-year pressures, and data-dependent messaging make policy whiplash more likely than a clean, linear path. Conditional upside: gold above US$5,000 This requires a renewed confidence shock, sustained real-rate compression, or a material loss of trust in fiscal discipline.
A sober reading of probabilities suggests that “nothing happens” is the most under-appreciated outcome for 2026, even if it sounds unsatisfying. My...
TOPbingoo: Spot-on analysis! Slow grind beats flashy moves any time.[强]
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