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2025-12-27
🎅 The Santa Rally That Wasn’t: Is Bitcoin’s “Extreme Fear” a Trap or a Gift? The Christmas miracle traders were hoping for didn’t arrive. Instead of a breakout to $90K, Bitcoin ($BTC) got rejected at $88,500 and slipped back below $87,000, dragging the rest of the market with it. While stock futures quietly inched higher, crypto found itself stuck in the mud. With Ethereum ($ETH) failing to hold $3,000 and altcoins like $XRP and $DOGE bleeding out, the sentiment has shifted aggressively to "Extreme Fear." But for seasoned traders, this specific setup—thin liquidity + high fear—usually signals that the real move is brewing just beneath the surface. Is this the start of a deeper correction to flush out the late bulls, or a final bear trap before 2025 kicks off? Let’s break down the data. 1️⃣
🎅 The Santa Rally That Wasn’t: Is Bitcoin’s “Extreme Fear” a Trap or a Gift? The Christmas miracle traders were hoping for didn’t arrive. Instead o...
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2025-12-27

🚀📊🔥 Crowded Shorts, Relentless Momentum and a Market Stress-Testing Bear Conviction 🔥📊🚀

$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$  $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$  26 Dec 2025 🇺🇸 | 27 Dec 2025 🇳🇿 One of the most persistent and under-appreciated positioning imbalances I’ve seen in years is now developing across U.S. equities. Short interest is rising across small caps, mega-cap tech, and the S&P 500 simultaneously, yet price continues to hold and grind higher. 📉 Short Interest Is Rising Everywhere, Not Selectively Short positioning has pushed into the 100th percentile across Russell 2000 constituents versus both the past 1Y and 5Y. Exposure is now up +45% in 2025 and +23% over the
🚀📊🔥 Crowded Shorts, Relentless Momentum and a Market Stress-Testing Bear Conviction 🔥📊🚀
TOPPetS: This post connects the dots well between positioning and regime. I’m watching $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ closely because the call flow tells a different story to price. Cheap convexity plus rising short interest is a dangerous mix. Liquidity looks fine until it suddenly isn’t, and that’s when structure matters most.
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Barcode
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2025-12-27
$NIO Inc.(NIO)$  $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$  🚗⚡📈 $NIO Reclaims the 200 Day, China EVs Rotate Back Into Power 📈⚡🚗 I’m watching a clear shift in character unfold. $NIO has reclaimed its 200 day moving average after repeatedly defending the $5 base, while riding the same descending diagonal trendline throughout December. This was not a one day pop, it was a month of acceptance and compression resolving higher. I’m seeing confirmation beyond the chart. XPeng just surged +7.3% after unveiling Middle East and Africa expansion, launching models in Qatar an
$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ 🚗⚡📈 $NIO Reclaims the 200 Day, China EVs Rotate Back Into Power 📈⚡🚗 I’m watching a clear sh...
TOPPetS: I’m liking how you tied liquidity and structure together. $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ defending that range while volatility stayed bid hinted at accumulation. I’m watching similar behaviour in $Boyd Gaming(BYD)$ where momentum is rebuilding quietly. The way you framed resistance as acceptance rather than a ceiling reads experienced, not promotional.
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BTS
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2025-12-27
Looking ahead to 2026, the AI sector is poised for continued growth as industries like healthcare, autonomous vehicles, and finance deepen adoption, making a bubble burst unlikely and the trajectory remain strong。。。 In terms of gold, prices could surpass $5,000 as central bank demand drives a shift toward safe-haven assets, with global uncertainty keeping the upward pressure Similarly, US equities are on track to hit new highs as strong corporate earnings and tech sector innovation support further market growth, indicating the bull run could extend into 2026 The future of Fed policy remains uncertain, with its impact depending on inflation trends and potential leadership changes Contrary to the view that "nothing happens" in 2026, the convergence of shifts in AI, gold, and equities points

2026: Will “Nothing Happen,” or Will Everything Be Repriced?

@Tiger_comments
Deutsche Bank macro strategist Jim Reid recently put forward a highly counterintuitive view: after years of shocks—from the pandemic and surging inflation to abrupt policy pivots—the most surprising outcome ahead might actually be no surprises at all.Yet right after that, Deutsche Bank laid out 10 “black swan pathways” that could fundamentally alter the direction of global markets—ranging from an AI-driven, 1990s-style boom to an AI bubble bursting alongside a debt crisis, covering nearly every extreme scenario imaginable.The 10 potential market-changing paths include:AI drives the U.S. back to high growth:A surge in AI capital spending boosts productivity, pushing U.S. annualized growth back above 4%, echoing the late-1990s boom.S&P 500 rallies toward 8,000:Fueled by AI optimism and l
2026: Will “Nothing Happen,” or Will Everything Be Repriced?
Looking ahead to 2026, the AI sector is poised for continued growth as industries like healthcare, autonomous vehicles, and finance deepen adoption...
TOPfrosti: Spot on! AI and gold set to boom, equities rallying hard.[开心]
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koolgal
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2025-12-27
🌟🌟🌟After the rollercoaster ride of 2025, my 2026 plan is less about get rich quick casino vibes & more about gardening - A Year of Growth & Harvest achieved through a Steady, Disciplined Climb. Am I aiming for non stop wins? No. Expecting every trade I make to be green is like expecting every seed I plant to become an oak.  Some may not sprout, others get eaten by volatility. The wins in 2026 will be about consistency & resilience. I plant the seeds (like buying DBS at a fair price), I water them by reinvesting those beautiful dividends & I wait patiently for the harvest. Will I perfectly time every market move?  No. The chase for perfect timing is an exhausting wallet draining pursuit.  A good gardener does not force a flower to bloom.  It is more impo
🌟🌟🌟After the rollercoaster ride of 2025, my 2026 plan is less about get rich quick casino vibes & more about gardening - A Year of Growth & Harvest...
TOP4M65: Thanks for sharing.
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koolgal
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2025-12-27
🌟🌟🌟Seeing the RMB rise above 7 against the US Dollar means higher purchasing power and a huge valuation boost for companies earning in RMB , listed in HKD.  It is a greenlight that global capital is finally flowing into the Hong Kong market. With the RMB strengthening, the pressure to dump shares which had IPO in 2025 is being offset by institutional bargain hunters, waiting to scoop up quality stocks at a discount. I am happy to see that the RMB breaking through 7 against the US SD.  It is time for Chinese stocks to shine.🥰🥰🥰🌟🌟🌟🌈🌈🌈💰💰💰 @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG

【🎁有獎話題】離岸人民幣升破7,港股年末解禁潮嚟襲,係風險更係機遇?

@虎港通
小虎們,臨近年末,人民幣持續走強!25日離岸人民幣對美元升破7.0大關![Cool]關於本輪人民幣升值的原因,背後是市場對2026年聯儲局降息預期升溫,帶動人民幣在內的非美貨幣普遍升值,或對股市形成提振![666]而港股年末的解禁潮也即將來襲,從本次解禁名單看,無論是調味品龍頭 $海天味業(03288)$ ,還是半導體企業 $英諾賽科(02577)$ 都在當中![Allin]事實上,解禁不改長期價值,基本面方為根本,對於普通投資者來說是風險更是機遇!那麼你最近會怎樣佈局港A股呢?[YoYo]港股今日上升12月25日,離岸人民幣對美元匯率升破「7」算,為15個月來首次收復這一心理關口。在港交所交易大堂,年內鑼聲不斷,截至12月24日,共迎來111家新上市公司,合計募資2786.61億港元。隨着2025年步入尾聲,港股市場也將迎來一波新股禁售期滿的小高峯,據彭博行業研究估計,年底前密集到期的股份限售將釋放約1938億港元的可流通股票。01 匯率破局12月25日,離岸人民幣對美元匯率升破「7」關口,創下自2024年9月以來的首次記錄。這一突破並非偶然,而是多重因素共同作用的結果。人民幣升值直接推動力來自美元環境的轉變。市場預期聯儲局繼續開展降息,將進一步壓制美元長期走勢,為人民幣提供外部升值空間。年末企業結匯需求增加成為重要助推因素。年底臨近,企業為回籠資金、鎖定利潤集中釋放結匯需求,帶動人民幣季節性走強。人民幣升值的背後還有更深層的支撐。這輪升值是外部壓力趨緩、內部韌性增強、政策精準調控與市場預期轉向等多種因素共同作用的結果。離岸人民幣兌美元升破7關口為2024年以來首次!在岸人民幣升破7.01,創202
【🎁有獎話題】離岸人民幣升破7,港股年末解禁潮嚟襲,係風險更係機遇?
🌟🌟🌟Seeing the RMB rise above 7 against the US Dollar means higher purchasing power and a huge valuation boost for companies earning in RMB , listed...
TOPicycrystal: thanks for sharing
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koolgal
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2025-12-27

The Space Race of 2026: Rocket Lab vs SpaceX

🌟🌟🌟Is $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ a serious challenger to SpaceX?  I believe that Rocket Lab is quickly becoming the investable alternative that Wall Street has been dreaming of.  While SpaceX is a massive private behemoth, Rocket Lab is publicly traded and executing flawlessly.  RKLB's share price is up a whopping 183% year todate, like a rocket to the moon! Needham's USD 90 Target : Bullish or Myth? Needham analyst Ryan Koontz is bullish on Rocket Lab with a Price Target of USD 90.  His thesis is built on solid quantifiable catalysts that are aligning for a stellar 2026 for Rocket Lab: 1. The Big Win -The SDA Contract:  The record breaking USD 805 million contract win from the US Spac
The Space Race of 2026: Rocket Lab vs SpaceX
TOPicycrystal: thanks for sharing
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highhand
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2025-12-27
no regrets..in retrospect, every trade seems easy, that you should have known. but the truth is no one knows the market direction. for e.g. can anyone sat which stock will go up next and buy when. timing the market sounds sexy and smart but it's hard. Best advice is to do your research, manage risk through your allocation, and stock to your plan unless something is fundamentally wrong. hone your skills not think about regret
no regrets..in retrospect, every trade seems easy, that you should have known. but the truth is no one knows the market direction. for e.g. can any...
TOPAdamDavis: Spot on! Timing market's tough, focus on your plan and skills.[强]
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Mkoh
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2025-12-27

Dan Ives' 2026 Investment Outlook: The AI Revolution Accelerates

As we approach the new year, few voices carry as much weight in the tech investment space as Dan Ives, the Global Head of Tech Research at Wedbush Securities. Known for his bullish calls on transformative technologies, Ives has built a reputation over 25 years on Wall Street for spotting winners in high-growth sectors. His predictions often focus on the intersection of innovation and market opportunity, and for 2026, he's doubling down on what he calls the "AI Revolution" entering its next gear. Drawing from his recently published Top 10 Tech Predictions, Ives envisions a year where AI moves beyond hype into widespread monetization, driving gains across software, chips, infrastructure, and related fields. In this article, we'll break down Ives' key themes, his top investment picks, and pra
Dan Ives' 2026 Investment Outlook: The AI Revolution Accelerates
TOPBonnieHoyle: Spot on! AI's next phase will be huge for gains, mate.[看涨]
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Derek Cheung
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2025-12-29
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Ssimsim
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2025-12-29
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Lanceljx
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2025-12-27
Current market context • Silver has recently set fresh records, trading above $75 per ounce and surging strongly as 2025 draws to a close. This rally is part of a broader precious and industrial metals advance that includes gold, platinum, copper, and palladium. Key drivers include structural supply deficits, tight inventories, strong industrial demand and expectations of monetary easing.  • Retail sentiment surveys show a majority of traders expect silver to continue higher in 2026, with many even anticipating a move above $100. Institutional forecasts vary, but there is a persistent bullish tilt in medium-term outlooks.  Why the rally is happening Supply constraints and inventories — Physical stockpiles, especially in major centres like London and Shanghai, have declined sharpl
Current market context • Silver has recently set fresh records, trading above $75 per ounce and surging strongly as 2025 draws to a close. This ral...
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Lanceljx
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2025-12-27
A sober reading of 2026 points towards “nothing happens” being the most counterintuitive yet plausible outcome. After years of extreme shocks, markets may enter a phase of noisy consolidation rather than dramatic regime change. Growth slows but does not collapse, inflation trends lower but remains sticky, and policy becomes reactive rather than revolutionary. This would feel underwhelming precisely because investors are conditioned to expect fireworks. A brief assessment of the alternatives: • AI bubble bursting Possible, but a full collapse is unlikely. Capital may rotate and valuations compress, yet AI adoption is increasingly embedded in real productivity and capex cycles rather than pure speculation. • Gold above $5,000 Achievable only under renewed crisis conditions such as aggressive
A sober reading of 2026 points towards “nothing happens” being the most counterintuitive yet plausible outcome. After years of extreme shocks, mark...
TOPclipzy: True lah, sideways markets can be frustrating. Patience is key thought.[看涨]
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Lanceljx
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2025-12-27
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ What truly defines 2025 The defining feature of 2025 was not a single headline event, but the re-pricing of uncertainty. Markets learned to operate with political volatility, rapid technological acceleration, and shifting policy signals all at once. Trump’s return amplified policy risk, but it did not break markets. Instead, capital adapted. If one theme stands out, it is the computing and AI capex boom. Unlike prior tech cycles, this was not driven purely by narrative. It was underpinned by real balance-sheet spending, energy demand, data-centre build-outs, and second-order effects across semiconductors, power, and materials. That structural shift reshaped capital allocation globally and quietly set the tone for future grow
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ What truly defines 2025 The defining feature of 2025 was not a single headline event, but the re-pricing of uncertainty. Mark...
TOPWebbBart: Adaptation beats prediction, mate. Patience paid off big time in '25.[看涨]
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Shyon
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2025-12-27
Looking back at 2025, I missed the precious metals rally and AMD’s catch-up move. Gold, silver, and AMD all benefited from strong macro and AI-driven trends, but I stayed on the sidelines and underestimated how quickly these opportunities would reprice. On the bright side, I’m glad I caught the Tesla rebound. The $200 level held firmly, offering an attractive risk–reward setup, and the recovery reinforced the value of stepping in when sentiment is most negative. It also reminded me how important patience is when a long-term thesis remains intact despite short-term noise. Overall, the year reminded me that the best opportunities often feel uncomfortable in real time. Going forward, I’ll pay more attention to overlooked themes and secondary beneficiaries, not just the obvious market leaders
Looking back at 2025, I missed the precious metals rally and AMD’s catch-up move. Gold, silver, and AMD all benefited from strong macro and AI-driv...
TOP1PC: Nice Sharing 😁. Well, we win some, lose some hee hee 😉 @JC888 @Barcode @DiAngel @koolgal @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @Aqa
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koolgal
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2025-12-27
🌟🌟🌟"Easy Trades" are the ultimate stock market myth.  They only look obvious in the rear view mirror once the charts are already printed and the millions have been made.  In 2025 it might feel like common sense that Gold would skyrocket or NVIDIA would hit USD 5 Trillion.  But back in April, most of us were sweating over tariffs & recession fears. That is why I have invested in $Vanguard Total World Stock ETF(VT)$ as it gives me exposure to over 8,000 stocks globally from the US, China, Europe and Asia. When NVIDIA surges, I already own it because it is VT's top holding. When Tesla hits new highs? I already have a piece of the action. Even China's Big Tech stocks.  They are all part of VT holdings. In 2025 VT delivered a re
🌟🌟🌟"Easy Trades" are the ultimate stock market myth. They only look obvious in the rear view mirror once the charts are already printed and the mil...
TOPicycrystal: thanks for sharing
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Subramanyan
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2025-12-27
(1) BNP Paribas & Citi, have given scenarios where silver could reach $100 to $110 per ounce in 2026, driven by a so called perfect storm of structural supply deficits and aggressive green energy demand. So, going by these, it may be possible.  (2) there is one maxim, attributed  to JFK's dad, that we need to know: when your shoeshine boy gives stock tips, it is time to exit. Somewhat similarly widespread retail buying is often viewed as a late-stage "euphoria" signal. However, the current rally has distinct structural supports: in the bear case, if industrial demand falls due ti high cost, silver could correct. Otherwise, it could go up further. (3) is silver a meme stock? Perhaps unfairly so, silver is called the devil's 😈 metal due to it's volatility & h
(1) BNP Paribas & Citi, have given scenarios where silver could reach $100 to $110 per ounce in 2026, driven by a so called perfect storm of struct...
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MHh
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2025-12-27
I think trump’s liberation day and the related taco trades really defined 2025. The stock market responded in fear and dropped rapidly, bringing back to memories of Covid and the market crash that was still fresh in many minds. Of course, his taco also brought the stock market to the later upswings and dips again when the so-called trade talks failed and tariffs were introduced or heightened. I think the taco trades really taught me the most this year. It taught me to really depend on fundamentals yet also allowed me to capitalise on the market volatility to trade on top of just investing. It taught me to be really convicted about fundamentals and to block out all noise and fear to continue to add to my positions. Of course, when the fear subsided and the stock prices rebounded, I took pro
I think trump’s liberation day and the related taco trades really defined 2025. The stock market responded in fear and dropped rapidly, bringing ba...
TOPUrsulaFowler: Solid lessons! Embracing volatility builds convention.[强]
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MHh
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2025-12-27
It’s hard to tell if gold will really hit $5000 in 2026. It will require all the stars to align where geopolitical risks remain high, US debts continue to deepen, consistent buying by both retail investors and the central banks, high risk of economic recession and Japan raise rates. Rate cuts might help with the US debt. If these fade off then gold prices should start to fall. Personally, my preference has always been to trade ETFs as it carries the least risk compared to futures and leveraged ETFs. I also do not have to try to predict future events and gives me the flexibility of trading when the prices are right with less fear even in situations where I unfortunately become a bag holder. @SPOT_ON
It’s hard to tell if gold will really hit $5000 in 2026. It will require all the stars to align where geopolitical risks remain high, US debts cont...
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PandoraHaggai
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2025-12-26
$Qifu Technology(QFIN)$ Technology’s core business is essentially a monetization pipeline for financial traffic and risk-control technology. It’s very much like an upgraded online version of Silicon Valley Bank, except without doing traditional deposit-and-loan banking. Looking ahead, its business model should incorporate selective, indirect investments to break through the profit constraints imposed by regulation — and once that happens, the valuation logic will change as well.
$Qifu Technology(QFIN)$ Technology’s core business is essentially a monetization pipeline for financial traffic and risk-control technology. It’s v...
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