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12-10
Staples vs. S&P500: The Synthetic Hedge Is Undervalued
Here's the relative performance line for consumer staples -- you can see how the extremes in relative value were created.Staples lagged behind into the dot com peak, and gained ground during the 08 crash.More recently they have basically lagged for the past decade during the rise of big tech.Staples are described as defensive for this reason (healthcare, utilities, and sometimes REITs and gold miners, among others also fall into this category). $S&P 500(.SPX)$ You can kind of think of staples' relative performance line as a synthetic asset (i.e. long staples vs short S&P500). That synthetic asset did very well in 2022 (and did ok [briefly!] in March 2020, April 2025).This synthetic asset is now very cheap, and will probably serve as a dece
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12-10
LRCX, MSCI, FICO, Visa: Capital Efficiency Standouts
Here are four companies that are becoming increasingly capital efficient - take a look at their cash return on capital. Which do you own? $Lam Research(LRCX)$ $MSCI Inc(MSCI)$ $Fair Isaac(FICO)$ $Visa(V)$ PS： I don't personally believe we can look at FCF yield in isolation. If a company has a 4% yield, but a 1% growth rate, then I would find that very expensive. If a company has a 2% yield, but a very predictable 25% growth rate, then I would find that very cheap.For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as
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12-10
DNUT Tightens Below $4.50 While LLY Extends Its Retracement
1. $Krispy Kreme, Inc.(DNUT)$ ADR% has eased to 5.8% on the VCP, yet it continues to grind higher, showing further VARS. Price has been drifting sideways for the past 8 sessions while holding above the 10-MA, pushing toward its key major resistance level at $4.50.All it probably needs is a high-RVOL day to be in play 2. $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ 8 straight sessions of downside action since clinching 10 x ATR% from 50-MA. This reinforces the core perk of swing trading: “Always sell some into strength”, which allows you to bank realized gains, dampen the volatility of what you’re still holding, and free up capital for the new wave of opportunities as the market evolves. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today
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12-10
🎁TA Education 4｜How to Apply MA in Live-trading?
Hello everyone, welcome to the fourth episode of our Technical Analysis series. Today, we’ll be learning MA.1. What is MA (Moving Averages)A Moving Average is a calculation used to analyze data points by creating a constantly updated average price over a specific period (e.g., 10 days, 50 hours, 200 weeks).Core Purpose: To smooth out short-term price fluctuations and "noise" to reveal the underlying trend direction.Primary Function: It acts as a lagging indicator. It doesn't predict future prices; it confirms and defines the existing trend based on past data.2. Types of MAsThere are several calculation methods, each emphasizing different aspects:Simple Moving Average (SMA): Calculates the average closing price over a selected period, giving equal weight to all data points. It is the smooth
TOPShyon: I found this episode on Moving Averages very helpful — the explanations of SMA, EMA, and how MA reflects the market’s “average holding cost” made the concepts much easier to apply. The points on slope and inflection also gave me a clearer way to judge trend strength beyond basic crossovers. In practice, I use the 200-day SMA for long-term trend direction, while EMAs like the 20 and 50 help me react faster in shorter timeframes. They give earlier signals, but I stay cautious during sideways markets to avoid whipsaws. The AMD divergence example was a good reminder that price alone can mislead, and confirming MA signals with RSI or volume is essential. Looking forward to seeing everyone’s charts and sharing more insights in the event! @Tiger_chat @TigerStars @Tiger_comments
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12-10
FOMC meeting is coming, how to lay out gold
The Federal Reserve is about to announce its latest interest rate decision, and the market has generally bet that it will cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the third consecutive time, but this "interest rate cut" may not be as gentle as imagined. There are obvious differences within the FOMC now. Some people are worried that employment will continue to weaken, while others believe that the easing is sufficient, and further reduction may rekindle inflation. Therefore, the so-called "hawkish interest rate cut" has become the most discussed word in the outside world-the interest rate cut is true, but it will not give a promise of further cuts in the future, and may even imply that "almost, it's time to press the pause button."Bill English, a former senior Fed official from Yale, also
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12-09
2026 Stock Market Outlook: Continued Rally, But With Caution?
Are we going to see a strong stock market finish by end of December, and will this drive the continued rally into 2026 with strong momentum coming from tech stocks and bigger firms? I would think that there might be continued rally, but with caution, so in this article I would like to share the current, evidence-based view of whether we are likely to see a strong stock market finish in December 2025 and whether that could carry into a sustained 2026 rally, especially driven by tech and large caps — and what it might mean for a renewed or extended bull market: 1) Near-Term: Year-End Rally (Santa Claus Effect) — Possible but Not Guaranteed Many strategists and market participants expect typical year-end strength (a “Santa Claus rally”) in stocks driven by seasonality, holiday flows, an
TOP📈 My 2026 Investment Keyword: Bullish‑Neutral 🐂⚖️2025 showed me that markets can roar like bulls 🐂 yet pause in balance ⚖️. For 2026, I’m leaning bullish 🚀 — Expecting Growth and Opportunities 🌱 — BUT staying neutral enough to keep Discipline 🧘 and Patience ⏳. It’s about riding the upside while Respecting the Risks ⚠️, keeping Conviction steady 🔥, and letting Compounding do its work 💹. Bullish‑Neutral means Optimism ✨ with Caution 🛡️, Momentum with Mindfulness 🧠. That’s my vision for the year ahead 🔥🐯🎉. @JC888 @Barcode @Shyon @koolgal @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @Aqa @DiAngel
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12-09
SingPost 52¢ Trap + OCBC Buy | Daily Market Update (9 Dec) 🦖 EP1305
🟩 If you’re watching the Singapore market today, you probably felt the confusion. SingPost just announced a massive price hike on stamps, which feels like a desperate move from a legacy giant. At the same time, the Straits Times Index dropped as investors flee to safety ahead of the Federal Reserve’s decision. To the average investor, it looks like the market is flashing danger signals everywhere, and the temptation to sell and run is high.But if you panic now, you might miss the real story happening under the radar. While the headlines focus on 52-cent stamps and interest rate fears, the smart money is quietly making moves into future-proof assets that most people are ignoring. In this video, we strip away the noise to reveal why OCBC’s latest billion-dollar "green steel" deal is the most
TOPOCBC's green steel play is smart money move[看涨]
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12-09
A 25 bp cut on 10 December is largely priced in, so the market’s reaction will depend less on the cut itself and more on Powell’s guidance. If he signals confidence in disinflation and avoids hinting at a policy pause, risk assets can continue to advance. Liquidity conditions are already improving, and seasonality typically supports year-end strength, so an orderly grind higher is still possible. The risk is a “sell the news” move if Powell stresses data-dependence or pushes back against aggressive easing bets. Positioning has shifted repeatedly in the past two months, and any sign of hesitation could trigger short-term volatility. For 2026, the framework should be simple. Cuts will be determined by two forces: the durability of disinflation and the resilience of labour markets. If inflati
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12-09
Regulatory pressure has become the central variable in the Netflix–Warner Bros. situation. Trump’s comments highlight that any US$72 billion bid faces a steep antitrust hurdle, because a Netflix–WBD combination would concentrate both content and distribution power. Even if the economics look attractive, the political overhang creates significant execution risk. That limits near-term bullishness for Netflix, since a large deal with uncertain approval typically weighs on sentiment. Paramount’s proposal to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery at US$30 per share is more straightforward. A cash offer places a floor under WBD’s valuation and signals that industry consolidation interest remains strong. The key question is whether WBD’s board views Paramount’s price as credible and whether competing bid
TOPThis is the ONLY CHANCE TO ENTER NFLX. Sorry for missing all these opportunities for years and thank good god they bid OMG
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12-09
The signal that Nvidia may resume H200 sales to China is meaningful because China once accounted for roughly 20 to 25 percent of its data-centre demand. The export restrictions created a structural gap in Nvidia’s growth trajectory, and the company’s attempts to replace that revenue with downgraded “China-compliant” chips had limited success. If policy genuinely shifts, even a partial reopening of the China market could stabilise Nvidia’s forward revenue expectations. That said, one must separate headline reaction from actual earnings impact. Approvals, licensing terms and volume caps are still unknown. China demand is strong, but the competitive landscape has evolved, with local accelerators and Huawei’s Ascend series gaining traction while Nvidia was restricted. The recovery will not be
TOPTrump is holding Nvidia back. It would be over $200 right now if it weren’t for his reckless tariffs.
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12-09
🚨🚨🚨📰 Market Analysis Summary: December 9, 2025 The market is characterized by pre-Federal Reserve caution in traditional finance and a modest cooling in the crypto space, though both remain near recent highs. 🏛️ Traditional Stock Markets (US & Global) * Sentiment: Cautious and generally lower as investors await the highly-anticipated Federal Reserve (Fed) policy meeting later this week. Expectations of a possible Fed rate cut are driving short-term volatility. * Performance: Major US indices (Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq) are registering slight declines, consolidating after recent gains. * Macro Focus: The primary driver remains the upcoming Fed Interest Rate Decision (expected on Wednesday, Dec 10th) and the language used regarding future monetary policy. * Key Eco
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12-09
H200 Green Light: What Nvidia, AMD and Intel Really Gain $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ just won political cover to ship its H200 AI accelerator to approved customers in China, with President Trump saying the United States will take a 25% cut of revenue on those chips and applying a similar framework to $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$
TOPTPUs require a completely new eco system very costly to do so or Alternatively a tie-in bridge to GPUs to use CUDA....so TPUs technically add to the Revenue for NVDA....this going 250+
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12-09
Why I Am Waiting for S$2.46 to Buy ESR-REIT 🦖 EP1307
🟩 If you own ESR-REIT or you are hunting for yield on the SGX, that 7.9% headline number will catch your eye. You know T-bills pay about 3%, so a yield this high can feel like either a gift or a trap. In this video, Iggy breaks down whether ESR-REIT is a solid income engine for your CPF and SRS, or a time bomb wrapped in dividends.You will see how the 23% revenue growth compares with almost flat DPU, and why dilution and gearing matter more than the glossy top-line. Iggy also walks through InvestingPro’s fair value model, the Japan logistics angle, the REC Solar concentration risk, and the silent drag from land lease decay. By the end, you will see the full risk–reward picture in simple numbers, not sales talk.Watch this video all the way through to learn Iggy’s exact verdict: why he rate
TOPSolid analysis! 🧐 Need to balance yield vs risks carefully.
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12-09
The United States has approved NVIDIA $NVIDIA(NVDA)$
TOPNice Sharing 😊 NVDA 🚀😜🚀 @JC888 @Barcode @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @DiAngel @koolgal @Aqa
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12-09
Zcash Elliott Wave Analysis: Equal Legs Perfection and the Start of a Massive Bull Cycle
A perfect equal-legs reaction at Wave ((Y)) sparked a 9000% surge in Zcash. This powerful move confirmed the end of Wave II and the start of a new bullish cycle. Now ZEC prepares for its next impulsive advance as the structure continues to unfold. Zcash (ZECUSD) has recently shown one of the cleanest Elliott Wave reactions in the entire crypto market. The weekly chart highlights a textbook end to a long corrective structure, followed by a powerful bullish cycle. From the Wave II low, ZEC has already delivered a massive 9000% rally. This explosive move began at a price level that matched the equal legs extension of the previous corrective sequence. It is a perfect example of how Fibonacci symmetry can mark major turning points with high accuracy. The decline into the 2025 low completed the
TOPZEC's wave setup looks spot on! Ready for the next leg up 🚀
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12-09
Has IndiGo Finished Its Pullback? Wave V Rally Next?
A detailed weekly Elliott Wave analysis of IndiGo highlighting the Wave IV blue-box zone, right-side bullish outlook, and long-term upside potential. InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (NSE: INDIGO) remains in a strong long-term uptrend. The weekly chart shows a clean Elliott Wave structure that supports this view. The stock recently completed a higher-degree Wave III near the ₹6,000 area. After this peak, the price started a Wave IV correction. This pullback is normal within a larger bullish cycle. The long-term rally began after Wave II finished in 2020. Since then, IndiGo moved higher in a strong impulsive structure. This move created a clear five-wave advance into Wave III. The current decline is part of Wave IV and is likely forming a double correction. Wave IV Blue Box and Trading Strategy
TOPHolding strong! Wave V rally looks imminent 🚀
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12-09
From my view, the $Paramount(PGRE)$ – $Netflix(NFLX)$ battle for $Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$ is now driven as much by politics as valuation. Paramount’s USD 30 all-cash bid values the full WBD empire higher, while Netflix’s mixed cash-stock offer faces more regulatory pushback. With WBD trading above USD 27.75, the market is clearly expecting either a higher bid or a longer fight. For trading, Netflix feels like an event-driven name now. With slowing growth and a huge acquisition uncertaint
TOPstronger wants to get stronger in order to win the war, and keep compentcy.
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12-09
Morgan Stanley's Tesla Takedown: Valuation Vortex or $500 Breakout Beast Unleashed? 🚨📉🤖
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Buckle up, investors – Morgan Stanley just flipped the script on Tesla with a rare downgrade from Overweight to Equal Weight, slapping a $425 price target amid "fully reflected" valuations that price in every AI and robotics dream Elon Musk's cooking up. Shares tumbled 3.39% to $218.70 on December 9, 2025, extending YTD gains to a modest 12% while the Nasdaq rips 25% higher – the only Mag7 laggard without new highs this year. Analyst Andrew Percoco's note roasts the hype: FSD and Optimus are baked in at sky-high multiples, leaving little room for error if robotaxi ramps stall or tariffs bite. But with Q4 deliveries eyeing 500K+ and China sales surging 10% in November, is this downgrade a death knell or the ultimate contrarian
TOPwaymo lost. Uber is toasted. Next waymo option now is to make a deal with Rivian. or be destroyed by Tesla. meanwhile- Tesla $520 in January secured.
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12-10
📈🎯🎮 GME Earnings Shock Zone: Liquidity Tightens as Positioning Attempts to Cap the Upside 🎮🎯📈
$GameStop(GME)$ $Oracle(ORCL)$ $Adobe(ADBE)$ This is where the next move begins. 🎮 Fundamentals Driving Expectation GameStop trades at $23.47 heading into earnings with volatility fully loaded. The implied move is 8.05%, roughly plus or minus $1.88 from the current price. Liquidity gaps remain narrow. A single catalyst can drive aggressive price discovery when positioning resets. Analysts expect $987.4M in Q3 revenue which would be 15% year over year growth. EPS projected at $0.20 versus $0.06 last year would mark a sixth straight beat if delivered. Hardware and collectibles strength continues shifting the margin curve higher. I also like the balance sheet strengt
TOPThe way you laid out the structure makes the momentum read clean. 4H bullish but intraday mixed is exactly where volatility takes control. I’m thinking like your $22.50 downside pocket if gamma drains. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ sympathy flows post print could matter too if the market leans tech risk. The decision tree feels tight. Nice work.
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12-10
🔥🍏📈 $AAPL Breaking Free from Big Tech: The Anti AI Rotation Magnet and Volatility Powder Keg 📈🍏🔥
$Apple(AAPL)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ I am stalking a regime change in $AAPL that could unleash asymmetric volatility as capital flees AI fragility 🎮 Fundamentals Driving Expectation I have a market that wants stability inside a chaotic AI tape. UBS reiterates Neutral with a $280 price target implying about 0.8% upside from $277.89. App Store growth is slowing but resilient at 6% YoY in November after 9% in October and 7% in September. FX added about 5%. Quarter to date is tracking near 7% reported and 6% FX neutral. December must deliver mid teens growth to print double digits which creates a high stakes comp setup. Apple quietly retired its AI chief on
TOPI’m impressed with how you framed the rotation mechanics in your $Apple(AAPL)$ post. The volatility regime shift is exactly what I am monitoring too. When correlations collapse, liquidity flows change personality. I see a similar defensive structure forming in $Microsoft(MSFT)$ where earnings momentum and cloud demand keep support intact around that $360 zone. Price is riding its mid Keltner and volatility pockets above are clean if it clears overhead supply. Cross asset positioning is shifting into names that display less gamma vulnerability when AI beta shakes. Apple is showing that pattern. Momentum is coiled and structure looks constructive. Watching those reaction levels closely 😻