Most Volatile Earnings Season Coming! What to Focus?
@Tiger_comments:
The market expects Q3 earnings growth of 8%, marking the 9th straight quarter of YOY gains.But here’s the twist — historically, S&P 500 companies almost always beat estimates.💡 In 37 of the past 40 quarters, actual earnings topped forecasts.🔺 On average, actual EPS beats estimates by 7–8%.📊 If that trend holds, Q3 earnings growth could easily exceed 13%, making it the 4th consecutive quarter of double-digit profit growth.Actual earnings growth rate has exceeded the estimated earnings growth rate at the end of the quarter in 37 of the past 40 quarters for the S&P 500. The only exceptions were Q1 2020, Q3 2022, and Q4 2022.Earnings season: Justify the truth for AI capital spendingIn the upcoming earnings season, capital expenditures — especially those tied to artificial intelligence