To The Moon

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Extreme Greed is Back:The chart highlights previous occurrences when the index was at extreme levels of greed during a bull market, and the red arrows indicate the pullbacks in the SPX.A breather after such rally is likely and healthy. "To be a big success in the stock market, you must have definite rules and a profit-and-loss plan." - William J. O'NeilImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Tel

$Apple(AAPL)$ - Fourth Attempt to Breach $214The challenge is that the Stochastic is overbought, a condition that was present during the previous two rejections from this level. However, this breakout attempt comes after a period of consolidation on the $200 volume shelf, an area that should now provide strong support if revisited.If $214 is finally conquered, the next major resistance area to watch will be the 200DMA.Make or break? I vote for the first with potential turbulence considering the overall market conditions.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on

Asset LIGHT businesses generally outperform capital INTENSIVE businesses.Some of the best ratios for screening for asset light businesses are:- high return on tangible assets- low physical assets as a percentage of total assets- low CAPEX / OCF- margin expansionWhat would you add to this list?For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉💰CBA Mini Course 1: What is Cash

got some excellent queries on the requirement to maintain the performance for much lower trade frequency; the lower the frequency, the higher the expectancy value is required of your trading.Yesterday's 35 trades average per month example will equate a trade 'Expectancy' of 0.65R per tradeExpectancy per R = (win rate x Avg R Gain) + ( (1 - win rate) x Avg R Loss).To churn a 6% avg monthly return to compound beyond 100% annualized return at lower trade frequency will require higher trade expectancy more than 0.65R per trade. I will further reduce 35 to 20, this is 40% reduction in trade frequency.eg. Reduce '35' trades avg per month to '20'since per R is 0.3% risk in my example. 6% monthly compounded return will require 20R. 20 R / 20 trade = trade expectancy of 1R per trade (up from 0.65R

$Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ - VCP for 20% ADR name, only 2.8% capital required at 0.3% risk.Just hovering around 10-MA with daily range for the past 4 session below 30% to its ATR. +6% move yesterday from an extremely contracted price action due to current high ADR of 20% (less than 30% of avg range). Since i've written several post about High ADR% equating to lower capital requirement at execution, I will use this as an example. If a trade is able to be designed and executed at range breakout of $194 entry and $175 stop, this trade only requires 2.8% of your equity for execution at 0.3% risk of your equity. Execution of this trade definitely requires high RVOL as reflected in the recent run.Image For whom haven't open CBA can know more from bel

The monthly Market Cycle Guidebook is a key resource for investors — providing insight into the stage of the business cycle, monetary policy trends, leading indicators, earnings momentum, valuations across multiple different assets and markets, long-term return expectations, and tactical asset allocation views.Key Findings from the Latest Monthly pack:Global monetary policy settings are shifting from headwind to increasing tailwind as inflation remains contained and economic cycle data soft.The big edge risks are recession (+deflation) on one edge vs reacceleration (+inflation resurgence) on the other edge.The US faces heightened risk of recession given policy uncertainty and confidence shocks from the chaotic start to the year, albeit with some offsetting factors e.g. fiscal stimulus.Mean

The $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ was in a bear market for a minute intraday back in April, not even 3 months ago.Today it’s up a clean +7% ytd.The $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ has done even better at +9% ytd.Annualize this and we are looking at another +14% and +18% ytd, respectively.Simply an amazing comeback. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ : Who knows, someday a pullback will come, is this the indecisive candle announcing a well deserved breather?Worth noting the overbought and divergent RSI.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unl

$Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ is a leading fabless semiconductor firm that excels in developing complex System-on-a-Chip (SoC) solutions. Harnessing a broad portfolio of intellectual property that spans computing, networking, optics, storage, and security, Marvell integrates advanced analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing. This expertise allows the company to deliver high-performance standard and semi-custom products that power critical infrastructure across the cloud, enterprise, automotive, telecom, and industrial markets.Marvell Technology: Engineering AI Dominance Through Strategic FocusMarvell Technology is executing a masterful transformation into a data center powerhouse, strengthening bullish conviction in the company's trajector