90% of people looking at this chart has no idea what is happening, but it impacts everyone. Here's why:JPM says there's a crisis in the financial system right now — kind of like the pipes in a house getting clogged, but no one's noticing yet.What’s causing this?3 big reasons:Foreign countries are selling US bonds – Countries like China and Japan are selling the “IOUs” they hold. This is like them saying, “We need our money back.”Big investors are getting scared – So they’re protecting their money instead of trading freely. Like if you were worried about the stock market, and decided to hide all your money under the mattress.Hedge funds are backing out of complicated trades – They used to make money by doing fancy trades with bonds, but now those trades are too risky, so they’re pulling out
SPX - A bear market rally is more likely to happen
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The loss of the 40 weekly average has proven to be a major signal anticipating a major correction. Since the signal has been more than confirmed, now it's worth watching the Average True Range, which has reached extreme overbought levels compared to bear market bottoms in 2008, 2018, and 2020. For 2022 it preceded a bear market rally starting in June of that year.Is a bear market rally coming? or is the bottom in and a V shaped Trump style will happen again?Until proven otherwise, a bear market rally is more likely to happen, setting lower highs.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well a
$Zillow(Z)$ remains a 100x opportunity because of its ability to dominate housing discovery and transactions long-term.When I wrote the Zillow Spotlight on October 31, 2023, the company was a popular app for finding homes, but it was far from “winning” the housing market.Realtors still controlled the market, and the idea that Zillow could aggregate demand onto one app for the entire country (eventually the world?) was still far-fetched given agents’ power. And rentals were a bifurcated market, to say the least.But the 10x — or 100x — opportunity was for Zillow to be an aggregator of demand and ultimately own the best strategic position in the housing market.A lot has changed since then, and I think we are starting to see aggregation take hold.Consume
VIX Overheated, Bullish Candles Flash: Is This the Rebound Signal?
Piercing and Bullish Engulfing Candles Across the Board - The VIX is Still OverheatedThis past week was likely one of the most volatile many investors will ever witness. If you navigated it, take pride in that, because intense periods like these offer unparalleled learning opportunities across several crucial aspects:Recognizing Euphoria and Trusting Technical Warnings: Next time, you'll be more inclined to act on sell signals despite optimistic market noise suggesting imminent new highs. You'll remember the technical warnings, such as the ones I highlighted as early as December, and the subsequent confirmations in February, even when the initial market declines were minimal.The Indispensable Role of Stop Losses: You'll appreciate the critical importance of setting stop losses. These autom
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Following the post-election euphoria and the bearish outlook shared with premium subscribers on December 21st, the stock entered a sell-off, breaching multiple support levels before finally attempting consolidation above $217, an annual level highlighted since January. Notice the confluence with the lower edge of the current volume shelf, and recent price action suggests a likely breakout next week. If $247.1 holds, bullish momentum towards $279.9 is possible; however, a break below this level could trigger a bearish move towards $219.4. Looking ahead one to two weeks, the $295-$303 range can be considered the bullish target for this bounce.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privile
For next week, the odds for a bounce are significant, and the Support and Resistance levels for next week play an essential role for all indices. In the case of semiconductors $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ , there will be bullish momentum towards $219.4 as long as price stays above $194.7; a break below this key level could trigger a bearish move towards $176.7. For that reason a trader or investor can use as a reference $194.7 to set their stop losses according to their own risk tolerance (the exact level is not recommended since the levels can act as a bouncer as we have studied for bullish and bearish reversals).For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ appears to be stepping back on multiple data center projects both domestically and globally. (see below) At the same time, it is raising new doubts about the speed of artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure development. Although MSFT still maintains that it’s still on target to invest $80 billion in capital expenditures in 2025 alone, the charge has since raised investors’ concerns. But, to say that the AI-hype is over will be a misnomer. This is because it (AI) will be next IT frontier for businesses to adopt & refine over time. Menial & repetitive tasks will, increasingly be taken over by customized AI apps, improving productivity and driving down costs of businesses drastically. Right-Sizing. Current scale back is
Weekly | Will Gold’s Surge Boost Aussie Gold Stocks Like DEG and NST?
As of the close on Friday, $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$ closed at 7646.50 on Friday, down 0.28% in the past 5 days.1. $Zip Co Ltd(ZIP.AU)$ +15.56%Zip's shares rose following the announcement of a A$50 million buyback plan, reflecting its strategy to capitalize on favorable market conditions, after reporting strong financial growth in its digital retail finance and payments operations.State Street Corporation have gained significant voting power in Zip, potentially influencing its strategy and governance.Zip issued 144,501 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme to align staff interests with company goals and boost efficiency.2. $DE GREY MIN
Weekly | Trade Tensions Drive HK stocks down with Southbound funds buying!
This week, the Hong Kong stock market faced heavy losses, with $HSI(HSI)$ dropping 8.47%.Trade War IntensifiesLast Wednesday, the U.S. government announced "reciprocal tariffs" on Chinese imports. In response, China imposed a 34% tariff increase on all U.S. imports. This escalated trade tensions caused a global market sell-off. The HSI plummeted 13.22% on Monday, marking its biggest one-day drop since 1997.In mainland China, the ChiNext Index dropped 12.5%, the largest single-day fall in history.Government Support Amid growing panic, the Central Huijin Investment Co. reaffirmed its confidence in China's capital markets, announcing further ETF purchases. The People's Bank of China also expressed support, stating it would provide sufficient re-lendin
📈 Ticker: $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ⏱️ Time Frame: Weekly🎢 Market Bias: Monthly Bullish / Weekly Bear🏗️ Structure: Bullish + Support and Resistance Zone✅ BX Trender: Higher Low 🚀🎯 Target: $360🛑 Invalidation: LL or break of Support and Resistance Zone⏳ Time Horizon: 30 - 45 days🧠 Confidence Level (1–5): ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️TSLA looking good going into next week 😎This setup has a 62% win rate historically, with an average 3:1 risk-to-reward ratio.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.
Is This the Turn? SPX's First Notable Bounce in 8 Weeks
After the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ spiked to 60, U.S. indices showed a positive week, but be aware that intra-week volatility has been extreme, exhausting both bulls and bears, triggering stop losses on both sides. Price action has been erratic, leading to short-term invalidation of setups, yet remaining consistent with the Support and Resistance Levels.The previous publication presented how violent can be the bounces during bear markets, providing visual guidance on how technical analysis can be used in your favor to be profitable in bear markets as well and not even shorting (if so, the potential is higher, but with the right preparation, mindset and use of S/R levels. The publication studies the technicals of six bear markets (1987, 2000, 20
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is testing the 20-day moving average again, a level that has acted as strong resistance in recent weeks. Given the last three bullish candles, not to mention Monday's strong bullish reversal validated by volume. Price action suggests a potential break above this resistance. Will the downtrend finally yield?ImageBitcoin: The 20 daily moving average (DMA) will provide breakouts validations.The more a line is tested...ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Nice rally, and price remains near the 10-day moving average zone, similar to last Wednesday⚠️, and the death cross is looming⚠️. While further short-term bullish momentum is possible, without a V-shaped recovery akin to 2020 or 2018, this area could act as resistance before a resumption of the sell-off.That signal, the 50-day moving average crossing below the 200-day moving average, was the subject of an educational analysis covering the last decade, published just two weeks ago. Review that publication to see for yourself the signal's historical relevance for $S&P 500(.SPX)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$iShares
SE & GRAB – On Growth Watchlist as Potential Winners in the Tariff Storm
$Sea Ltd(SE)$$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ – On Growth Watchlist as Potential Winners in the Tariff StormThese two 2024 growth stock darlings might actually be viewed as defensive plays going forward, given their lack of direct exposure to US, and (minimal China trade for SE) and the fact that all their revenue is generated within Southeast AsiaQ1'24 Earnngs Date: SE: 20/5GRAB: 15/5ImageImage1-Month Relative Strength (sorted) for my 15 Liquid watchlist $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$$Netflix(NFLX)$$Microsoft(MSFT)$$Robinhood(HOOD)$
Whirlpool’s 8.2% Dividend Powerhouse Spinning Through the Downcycle
8.2% Dividend YieldDespite current headwinds in North American sales WHR’s high domestic manufacturing footprint (80% of US sales) provides insulation against potential tariff impacts.With a debt reduction target from 4.4x to 3.4x by end of 2025 and projected $550 million in free cash flow, WHR appears financially positioned to weather current housing market weakness.The stock has declined 27.0% over the trailing twelve months, potentially creating an attractive entry point as worst-case scenarios appear priced in.Investment Thesis $Whirlpool(WHR)$ is a US-based manufacturer of home appliances. Globally, WHR owns and operates 25 manufacturing facilities, with 11 in the United States. It owns 13 brands across small and large appliances, including Ki