Hello everyone! Today i want to share some techncial analysis with you!1.Liberation Day Trading: $S&P 500(.SPX)$(1) SPX future is mildly red now, but the previous two session's gaps were all filled;(2) if my roadmap is right, then trmw's small gap-down SHOULD NOT BE FILLED, hence kicked off 2nd leg of w-3/c.(3) over 5650, I will be cautious; pass 5670, I am out.Image2.4pm EST Liberation Time:(1) well, the stock market-savvy president has moved the announcement time from 3:00pm, which released earlier, to 4:00pm, after market closes.(2) so, tmrw would be another yo-yo day with various rumors and leaks. The real show will be on Thur & Fri.😵💫Image3.April Fool's Moves: $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$
HIMS Surges as Telehealth Platform Adds LLY Weight-Loss Drugs
On April 1st, $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ stock surged because the company announced it's adding $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ 's weight-loss drug Zepbound to its telehealth platform.Here’s the scoop:Stock SurgeStock Performance: $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ ' stock closed up 5.1% at $31.05 on April 1st, hitting a high of 14% during trading.Trading Volume: The company saw a huge spike in trading volume that day, reaching $144.4 million, up 150.91% from the previous day and ranking 35th in trading volume.Why Add the Drug?Previous Business: Hims & Hers used to make a killing selling a generic version of $Novo-Nordisk A/S(N
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1.$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Bullish RSI divergences everywhere you look…Makes you wonder—was Monday’s sweep low just a bear trap?Image2.$Apple(AAPL)$ VWAP + trend confirmation = a powerful combo.This AAPL strategy:🔹 Enters on a 30m close above VWAP when 20 EMA is above 50 EMA🔹 Exits at +3% or -1%10,000 candles backtested—2X buy & hold with a 2.88 R/R.Image3.$Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ If we go risk on, Bitcoin is looking RIPE... 🍋Image4.$Alphabet(GOOG)$ Alphabet flashing hidden bullish divergence into a key horizontal level.Image5.
US. IPO Frenzy! CoreWeave Up 42%, Newsmax Up 22x in 2 Days
On Tuesday, Eastern Time, $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ , an AI cloud computing company, made a strong comeback, with its stock price surging by 41.77% to exceed its initial public offering (IPO) price, and its market value broke through $24.3 billion. Another media company, Newsmax, saw a staggering increase of 2,240% within just two days.The US stock market welcomed the strong performances of two new listings this week. On Tuesday, Eastern Time, CoreWeave, an AI cloud computing company that had been highly anticipated, saw its stock price close with a 41.77% increase, rebounding from the initial IPO underperformance. Meanwhile, another digital media company, Newsmax, soared by more than 22 times within two days after its listing, reminiscent of the "m
U.S. Stock Market Rebounds as Investors Await Key Tariff Decision from Trump 🇺🇸 S&P 500 Index: 0.38% 📈 🇺🇸 Nasdaq Index: 0.87% 📈 🇪🇺 Stoxx 600 Index: 1.07% 📈 🇯🇵 Nikkei 225 Index: 0.02% 📈 🇭🇰 Hang Seng Index: 0.38% 📈 🇨🇳 CSI 300 Index: 0.02% 📈 🇸🇬 Straits Times Index: -0.09% 📉 The U.S. stock market rose, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite climbing 0.4% and 0.9%, respectively, driven by a rebound in major tech stocks, which had been heavily sold off earlier this year. However, market sentiment remains cautious as investors await the Trump administration's upcoming tariff measures. U.S. job openings in February fell to 7.57 million, down from the revised 7.76 million, mainly due to declines in retail, finance, accommodation, and food services. Meanwhile, the layoff rate remained low, bu
MercadoLibre: The Amazon of Latin America or Just a Flash in the Pan?
The Logistics Game-Changer In the world of e-commerce, logistics is king. And MercadoLibre (MELI) is no longer content playing second fiddle to third-party providers. Its $MercadoLibre(MELI)$ Logistics arm is revolutionising how goods move across Latin America, making deliveries faster and more reliable. This is a big deal. One of the biggest pain points for online shopping in the region has been slow, unpredictable deliveries. By investing in its own logistics network, MercadoLibre is building a moat against competitors like $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ and local upstarts. The company is already handling over 90% of its own deliveries in key markets such as Brazil, Argentina, and Mexico. Faster deliveries mean hap
April has historically been a strong month, and with extreme fear in the market, a rebound could be likely. Fear-driven sell-offs often create buying opportunities, but tariff uncertainties and inflation risks make it unclear if we’ve hit bottom. I’m cautiously optimistic while watching macro trends. The tariff situation is a major risk. If the worst-case scenario unfolds, volatility could intensify, dragging markets lower. However, if investors grow desensitized to tariff news, temporary recoveries may follow. The key is whether tariffs remain a persistent concern or fade into the background. An antifragile approach seems smart in this environment. Gold, Treasuries, and defensive currencies offer hedges against volatility, while Buffett’s strategy of holding strong companies is proving re
Acuity Brands (AYI) Increased Debt For Acquisition To Watch
$Acuity(AYI)$ is expected to release its quarterly earnings result for fiscal Q2 2025 on 03 April 2025 before the market open. AYI is anticipated to report revenues to amount to $1.03 billion, this represent an increase of 13.4% compared to the year-ago quarter. The earnings per share for AYI consensus estimate is expected to come in at $3.69 per share in the upcoming reporting quarter, which would be an increase of 8.6% compared to same period last year. Acuity Brands (AYI) Last Positive Earnings Call Saw Share Price Decline 13.18% Acuity had a positive earnings call on 08 Jan 2025 but the share price saw a decline of 13.18% since. The earnings call depicted a generally positive outlook for Acuity Brands with solid sales growth, strategic acquisit
Lamb Weston (LW) Earnings Affected By International Market Competitive Pricing
$Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.(LW)$ is expected to release its quarterly earnings result for fiscal Q3 2025 on 03 April 2025 before the market open. LW is expected to report a decline in its bottom line, with the consensus estimate for earnings per share to come in at 86 cents, this have been reducing for the past 30 days, this would be a 27.5% decline compared to same quarter last year. The consensus estimate for the upcoming quarter revenue is anticipated to come in $1.50 billion, which is an 2.9% growth from same period last year. Lamb Weston (LW) Last Neutral Earnings Call Saw Price Decline By 31.43% LW last neutral earnings call on 19 Dec 2024 saw its share price decline by 31.43%. The earnings call revealed significant challenges with declining s
Daily Charts - Nothing good happens below the 200DMA for SPX
1."Nothing good happens below the 200-day moving average"As a trend indicator, a crossover below the 200dma is intuitively a bad thing in terms of the price trendBut another aspect is historically volatility has been materially higher below $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$Image2.Credit Spread CyclesLow spreads are not necessarily a bad thing, especially if they are falling from high levels under improving conditions.Rising spreads OTOH are almost always bad (unless and until they reach a climax and turn down)Image3.Gold Market Strategy Dashboard-looking overvalued-sentiment heating up-but strong price momentum-(and monetary tailwinds) $Gold -
We are currently 29 trading days into this $S&P 500(.SPX)$ correction.The median non-recessionary SPX correction lasts 60 days.The median recessionary SPX correction lasts 282 days, almost 5x as long.Image Open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here.Other helpful links:💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉How to open a CBA.
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Not much movement overall, aside from filling the gap from March 21st.Buyers stepped in and held the daily market bias—a strong sign. That said, I’m not in love with the Daily BX just yet. It’s still 🟢, but I’d like to see it make a higher high to confirm strength.On the weekly, the picture looks much better:• BX still showing higher lows• Structure remains bullish• Testing the monthly market biasIt doesn’t mean this has to rip—but it does mean every box is checked on my setup.I’m bullish here.Image Open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here.Other helpful links:
SPY Strong bounce, but bigger signals suggest caution
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Strong bounce, but bigger signals suggest caution. ⚠️Today’s recovery was impressive after a rough open.On the daily, we’re still holding the smart money zone between $550–$548—a key level where institutions often defend structure.But zooming out 👇The monthly BX closed 🔴, signaling that buying pressure is fading. Combine that with price still trading below the weekly market bias, and it’s hard to ignore the downside risk.I still believe $540–$500 is likely in the coming months.Best-case scenario? A short-term rally to $580–$590 before potential rejection.No positions open here—just patiently waiting for confirmation.Image Open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commi
TSLA - Buy and Hold as long as the stock remains in a Bullish Zone
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$GraniteShares 2x Short TSLA Daily ETF(TSDD)$$Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ Long-Term Investment StrategyTrend Analysis & IntensityCurrent Trend Zone: BullishTrend Strength: 56% Bullish (Expected to rise to 63% Bullish in the next 10 days)Investment Position: Buy and HoldTSLA remains in a Bullish Zone, where strong buying pressure continues to support an upward trend with only mild corrections. Within this zone:Uptrend: A dominant rising movement with brief pullbacks.Correction Trend: Temporary declines with frequent upward reversals.Investors focusing on a medium to long-term horizon should maintain a Buy and Hold strategy,
Hysterical Sell-Off Seamlessly Transitions to Earnings-Season Optimism
The market’s behavior on Monday was peculiar—it might have hit a key support level, forcing both bulls and bears to make decisions. Bulls cautiously went long, while some bears retreated, and others rolled their positions. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ There were numerous large single-leg bullish trades on $SPX$, most of which had expirations at the end of June. The bullish strike prices were concentrated at 588–590, which seems like a reasonable target.However, based on $SPY$ options activity, bearish open interest remains higher. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ The situation is very complex, as both bullish and bearish positions are extremely polarized. At this point, it’s likely that some individuals know the specifics of the ta
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ fell on Mon, 31 Mar 2025, just ahead of key sales data due later this week. Shares of the EV maker closed down -1.7% at $259.16, while the S&P 500 gained +0.55% and the Dow also gained +1.00%, respectively. The Downgrade. It did not help that Stifel, Analyst, Stephen Gengaro: Trimmed Tesla target price to $455 from $474, while retaining a “Buy” rating. Expects Q1 deliveries around 353,000 based on (a) rollout of the new Model Y as well as (b) headwinds from the "anti-Elon Musk crowd”. Confirmed that “Democrats’ favorability rating about Tesla has plunged, creating near-term sales headwinds. True that Musk, has fallen out of favour with Democrats partly because of : His close alignment with Trump. His position in the newly
📉 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ is down 8.28% YTD, and leading chip stock $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ has taken an even bigger hit, plunging 19.29%.In a downtrend, how do you react? Are you the type to quietly add to your position, or do you seize opportunities in both directions?Did you catch the wave? Some traders did!🎉 Huge congrats to @TRADER456 who secured a $5,311 profit shorting NVDA, with unrealized gains reaching $7,111 at one point!He first shared:Markets are already crashing 2 days before in anticipation of liberation day. Predicting huge imminent crash on liberation day April 2nd that could possibly plunge the market into a recession phase. Fear is at an all
🌟🌟🌟Warren Buffett believes in Index ETFs. He even had a USD 1 million bet with hedge funds that Index ETFs will beat hedge funds. Ultimately Warren Buffett won the bet. Warren Buffett has 2 ETFs in his portfolio - $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$ and $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$. When the markets are volatile, just simply invest in them and in the long term, they will continue to gain in capital growth. Investing can be so simple with $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$ and $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ No need to worry which stock to invest. Just buy VOO and let it ride.