• Ivan_GanIvan_Gan
      ·05-18 19:14

      Trump’s China Visit Ends Below Expectations, Has the Short-Term Pullback in U.S. Stocks Begun?

      Trump’s much-anticipated visit to China came to a quiet close. China’s reception was high-level and formal, but after the visit, no joint statement was issued. Instead, the results were mainly reflected through the two sides’ separate communiqués. Compared with Trump’s 2017 visit, which produced a $253.5 billion deal package, this visit focused more on stabilizing the strategic relationship and restoring institutional channels. From the market’s perspective, the two sides agreed to mutual tariff reductions, and the U.S. opened up sales of Nvidia’s H200 chips. Trump also claimed that China had committed to purchasing $20 billion worth of Boeing aircraft and a large amount of U.S. soybeans. However, in the actual announcements, China did not provide any specific procurement figures. For the
      1.80KComment
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      Trump’s China Visit Ends Below Expectations, Has the Short-Term Pullback in U.S. Stocks Begun?
    • Xk2woXk2wo
      ·12:34
      Noooo, but this can actually help
      2Comment
      Report
    • KYHBKOKYHBKO
      ·05-17 22:55

      (part 4 of 5) news and my thoughts (18may2026)

      News and my thoughts from the past week (18May2026) As I predicted on All In, the inflation three-handle is back… the war isn’t ending… the chances of a rate cut are flipping to a rate increase…. our debt is surging FASTER… and Trump’s ratings are at an all-time low. valuations disconnecting from fundamentals to the point of making folks on CNBC telling retail to pump the breaks. The MAGA civil war rages on. A Golden age for the gilded, but the working class remains stalled and forgotten. - X use Jason FT Exclusive: Amazon employees are using an internal AI tool to automate non-essential tasks in a bid to show managers they are using the technology more frequently. The CEOs of SLB, Baker Hughes, and Halliburton, the 3 companies that run the global oil industry's infrastructure, just said t
      332Comment
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      (part 4 of 5) news and my thoughts (18may2026)
    • L.LimL.Lim
      ·05-17 21:14
      I think the biggest factor for trump is that he gets to be the one that spikes the shares he buys, having that exclusive first mover advantage works wonders (and common investors can only hope they catch on quickly enough). It might hint at what companies could be the next big hit (considering the white house gets about the freshest and juiciest information), since everyone wants to strike it rich on the next big player, so maybe Dell (and other hardware) is really the play to make?
      335Comment
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    • xc__xc__
      ·05-17 14:14

      🚨 Trump's $750M Q1 Portfolio Decoded: Why $NVDA Just Became the Ultimate Policy Hedge 💎

      🔥 The Pulse $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ The White House just dropped a bomb that Wall Street is still digesting: 3,642 trades in Q1 alone, totaling between $220M–$750M, with Trump aggressively rotating OUT of legacy software and INTO $NVDA, $AAPL, $AVGO, and broad S&P 500 exposure. Meanwhile, his Beijing trip ended hours ago with ZERO relief on AI-chip export controls—meaning US semiconductor leaders just got another layer of regulatory moat protection. This isn't a meme portfolio; it's a macro factor bet on AI infrastructure, commodities, and EM reflation. The question isn't whether to follow—it's how to position before the next disclosure
      969Comment
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      🚨 Trump's $750M Q1 Portfolio Decoded: Why $NVDA Just Became the Ultimate Policy Hedge 💎
    • ECLCECLC
      ·05-17 12:30
      When news out, it could be too slow to follow portfolio rotation and likely get left behind when any changes down the road. Be aware of news lag and continue to trade on own picks.
      219Comment
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    • LanceljxLanceljx
      ·05-17 11:21
      I would be careful taking that disclosure at face value as a tradable signal. First, 3,642 trades in a quarter, ~58 per day, is not an “investment view” portfolio. It looks like either: delegated/algorithmic execution, structured products rolling, or liquidity/hedging flows. That means the signal-to-noise ratio is low. You are not seeing conviction positions, you are seeing activity. On the rotation itself, selling software and buying hardware (NVDA / SNDK / AVGO) is directionally consistent with what the market has already been doing: bottleneck has shifted to compute, memory, interconnect, AI capex is still accelerating, hardware is nearer-term monetisable than software promises. So the question is timing, not direction. If you follow it blindly now, you are likely late-cycle in position
      386Comment
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    • JoshuaYeoJoshuaYeo
      ·05-17 09:45
      Geoff.   Vvfdss9soododff
      300Comment
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    • MadluvyzMadluvyz
      ·05-16 23:41
      Keep calm and look for favorable entry opportunities. Scrutinize and make your choices wisely as the market swings really wildly now. 
      292Comment
      Report
    • Success88Success88
      ·05-16
      Trump busy with the Iran war and no role focus in his portfolios. But eventually he will beat the market once things setter down
      55Comment
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    • LanceljxLanceljx
      ·05-16
      I would not treat Trump’s portfolio as a signal. With thousands of trades, it reflects high turnover and mandate-driven execution, not conviction. The hardware tilt is directionally right but late. AI bottlenecks still sit in chips and networking, benefiting names like NVIDIA and Broadcom. However, much of that upside is already priced in. On Morgan Stanley SPX 8300 vs Shiller P/E ~42: earnings growth is real, but expectations are stretched. View: Not a full bubble yet Early excess forming Upside remains but fragile Focus on selectivity, not broad chasing.
      337Comment
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    • LanceljxLanceljx
      ·05-16
      I would not treat that portfolio as a directional signal. ~3,600 trades in a quarter points to high-turnover, mandate-driven execution, not conviction. At that frequency, you are seeing liquidity management, tax positioning, and model rebalancing. Trying to “follow” or “fade” it is essentially noise trading. The hardware tilt itself is not controversial. NVIDIA, Broadcom, and SanDisk sit at real AI bottlenecks, so earnings visibility is stronger than most software names today. But the key point is timing. That trade worked best 12–18 months ago when supply constraints were underpriced. Now, parts of hardware are priced for sustained scarcity and flawless demand. So: Do not follow the disclosure mechanically Do not reflexively fade it either Use it as confirmation of where capital is cluste
      3422
      Report
    • LanceljxLanceljx
      ·05-16
      Trump’s “rotation” is not a clean signal. Disclosures are lagged, partial, and likely managed by advisors, so treating them as a trading edge is unreliable. The hardware tilt does reflect reality: AI bottlenecks sit in GPUs, memory, power, and networking. That is where pricing power is strongest today. Software monetisation is lagging as enterprises still test ROI. But following that blindly now is late-cycle behaviour. Much of hardware is already priced for near-perfect demand. On SPX 8300 vs Shiller P/E ~42: the EPS growth story is real, but expectations are stretched. At these valuations, markets need sustained high growth with minimal disruption. Base case: not an immediate bubble pop, but conditions are forming. Upside remains, downside risk is asymmetric. Selectivity matters more th
      4851
      Report
    • nitori123nitori123
      ·05-16
      Ojjbbbnnnnnnn...........
      229Comment
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    • AlubinAlubin
      ·05-16
      Personally, I won’t follow his rotation. he’s trading, but I prefer to invest so a good mix of both hardware and software is better for my portfolio. Will continue to dca.
      190Comment
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    • JL28168JL28168
      ·05-16
      both hardware n software is important... need each others...buy when the stock price is drop regardless hardware or software
      287Comment
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    • koolgalkoolgal
      ·05-16
      Should Investors Follow Trump's Trades? 🌟🌟🌟On May 14 - 15 2026, the US Office of Government Ethics dropped a staggering 113 page OGE Form 278-T financial disclosure detailing the personal portfolio moves of President Donald Trump. This wasn't the standard dusty balance sheet review.  The filing revealed an absolutely frenetic 3,642 securities transactions executed in Q1 2026.  Clocking an average 60 trades per day, Trump orchestrated a massive USD 220 million to USD 750 million capital rotation right from the White House. The Great Tech Realignment  The Massive Exit: Dumping the Software Stocks  The portfolio executed massive liquidations in software stocks.  Microsoft, Amazon and Meta Platforms were sold off.  This implies a view that these stocks have become
      1.15KComment
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    • ChrishustChrishust
      ·05-16
      Trump is changing his portfolio to take advantage of the changes in value of software and hardware. $Microsoft(MSFT)$: trump is using this opportunity to sell at a high price to re buy at a lower price $Intel(INTC)$ with the negative outlook for this company trump is likely to sell this stock to take advantage of the high prices for hardware and re invest in software $meta the future of Facebook and social media is bright with a positive outlook for media
      1.99K2
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    • SandyboySandyboy
      ·05-16
      Trump or his brokers are smart. They have invested into momentum and strength and sold weakness. Irrespective of his political leanings he is making money in the stock market and in his position he should know which sectors will grow. Sometimes he promotes his holdings too like he did with Dell. So all in all I would take a close look and see what can be derived from his trades
      288Comment
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    • highhandhighhand
      ·05-16
      just keep buying the undervalued stocks and allocate proportionally. don't all in. time in the market better than timing the market
      162Comment
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    • TimothyXTimothyX
      ·05-15
      Large-scale sells ($5M–$25M per trade): $Microsoft(MSFT)$ , $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ , $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Large-scale buys ($1M–$5M per trade): $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , $Apple(AAPL)$ , $S&P 500(.SPX)$ index funds New positions: $Broadcom(AVGO)$ , $Oracle(ORCL)$ , $Synopsys(SNPS)$, $Cadence Design(CDNS)$, $Texas Instruments(TXN)$ Financial exposure includes: $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ , $Bank of America(BAC)$, $Citigroup(C)$, $Morgan Stanley(MS)$, $Wells Fargo(WFC)$, as well as multiple municipal bonds.
      799Comment
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    • Ivan_GanIvan_Gan
      ·05-18 19:14

      Trump’s China Visit Ends Below Expectations, Has the Short-Term Pullback in U.S. Stocks Begun?

      Trump’s much-anticipated visit to China came to a quiet close. China’s reception was high-level and formal, but after the visit, no joint statement was issued. Instead, the results were mainly reflected through the two sides’ separate communiqués. Compared with Trump’s 2017 visit, which produced a $253.5 billion deal package, this visit focused more on stabilizing the strategic relationship and restoring institutional channels. From the market’s perspective, the two sides agreed to mutual tariff reductions, and the U.S. opened up sales of Nvidia’s H200 chips. Trump also claimed that China had committed to purchasing $20 billion worth of Boeing aircraft and a large amount of U.S. soybeans. However, in the actual announcements, China did not provide any specific procurement figures. For the
      1.80KComment
      Report
      Trump’s China Visit Ends Below Expectations, Has the Short-Term Pullback in U.S. Stocks Begun?
    • Xk2woXk2wo
      ·12:34
      Noooo, but this can actually help
      2Comment
      Report
    • xc__xc__
      ·05-17 14:14

      🚨 Trump's $750M Q1 Portfolio Decoded: Why $NVDA Just Became the Ultimate Policy Hedge 💎

      🔥 The Pulse $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ The White House just dropped a bomb that Wall Street is still digesting: 3,642 trades in Q1 alone, totaling between $220M–$750M, with Trump aggressively rotating OUT of legacy software and INTO $NVDA, $AAPL, $AVGO, and broad S&P 500 exposure. Meanwhile, his Beijing trip ended hours ago with ZERO relief on AI-chip export controls—meaning US semiconductor leaders just got another layer of regulatory moat protection. This isn't a meme portfolio; it's a macro factor bet on AI infrastructure, commodities, and EM reflation. The question isn't whether to follow—it's how to position before the next disclosure
      969Comment
      Report
      🚨 Trump's $750M Q1 Portfolio Decoded: Why $NVDA Just Became the Ultimate Policy Hedge 💎
    • KYHBKOKYHBKO
      ·05-17 22:55

      (part 4 of 5) news and my thoughts (18may2026)

      News and my thoughts from the past week (18May2026) As I predicted on All In, the inflation three-handle is back… the war isn’t ending… the chances of a rate cut are flipping to a rate increase…. our debt is surging FASTER… and Trump’s ratings are at an all-time low. valuations disconnecting from fundamentals to the point of making folks on CNBC telling retail to pump the breaks. The MAGA civil war rages on. A Golden age for the gilded, but the working class remains stalled and forgotten. - X use Jason FT Exclusive: Amazon employees are using an internal AI tool to automate non-essential tasks in a bid to show managers they are using the technology more frequently. The CEOs of SLB, Baker Hughes, and Halliburton, the 3 companies that run the global oil industry's infrastructure, just said t
      332Comment
      Report
      (part 4 of 5) news and my thoughts (18may2026)
    • Tiger_commentsTiger_comments
      ·05-15

      Trump Q1 Portfolio Drops: Would You Follow Hardware Trade?

      Trump officially wrapped up his China visit. The summit outcomes focused on energy and agricultural purchase frameworks, with zero announcement on easing chip export restrictions. But the real thing worth watching today isn’t the summit communiqué — it’s the simultaneously revealed Trump holdings disclosure: 3,642 trades within just Q1 alone, with estimated total trading volume between $220 million and $750 million, averaging 58 trades per day. Trump’s portfolio aligns with the three policy themes: AI infra, financial deregulation, and fiscal stimulus. Large-scale sells ($5M–$25M per trade): $Microsoft(MSFT)$ , $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ , $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$
      7.92K23
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      Trump Q1 Portfolio Drops: Would You Follow Hardware Trade?
    • Futures_ProFutures_Pro
      ·05-15

      Futures Weekly:Copper Inventories Oscillate Lower, Crude Oil Inventory Breaks the Five-Year Average

      In the latest week, U.S.-Iran talks remained deadlocked, while Trump began his state visit to China. U.S. President Trump arrived in Beijing on the evening of May 13, marking his first trip to China in nine years. He was accompanied by more than a dozen top U.S. business leaders, including tech figures such as Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang. The two heads of state held talks and set the tone by stating that “2026 should be a historic and landmark year that carries forward the past and opens a new chapter in China-U.S. relations.” This diplomatic progress was viewed by the market as a “new positioning” in China-U.S. relations, significantly boosting global risk appetite. As of 2:00 p.m. on May 15, 2026, the weekly performance of key assets was as follows: In an environment where macro expectations
      456Comment
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      Futures Weekly:Copper Inventories Oscillate Lower, Crude Oil Inventory Breaks the Five-Year Average
    • koolgalkoolgal
      ·05-16
      Should Investors Follow Trump's Trades? 🌟🌟🌟On May 14 - 15 2026, the US Office of Government Ethics dropped a staggering 113 page OGE Form 278-T financial disclosure detailing the personal portfolio moves of President Donald Trump. This wasn't the standard dusty balance sheet review.  The filing revealed an absolutely frenetic 3,642 securities transactions executed in Q1 2026.  Clocking an average 60 trades per day, Trump orchestrated a massive USD 220 million to USD 750 million capital rotation right from the White House. The Great Tech Realignment  The Massive Exit: Dumping the Software Stocks  The portfolio executed massive liquidations in software stocks.  Microsoft, Amazon and Meta Platforms were sold off.  This implies a view that these stocks have become
      1.15KComment
      Report
    • nerdbull1669nerdbull1669
      ·05-15

      Find Opportunities As Visit Seems To Be Selective Reopening of Profitable Corridors

      The composition of the U.S. business delegation accompanying Donald Trump on his May 2026 state visit to Beijing signals a highly transactional "deals-driven" approach to U.S.-China relations. While Big Tech and semiconductors (Apple, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Nvidia, Qualcomm, Micron) naturally command the biggest headlines, the inclusion of multi-industry titans opens significant trading and capital flow opportunities across non-tech sectors. A breakdown of where the non-tech opportunities lie, how capital is shifting, and how investors can structurally position their portfolios to capture the momentum follows. 1. Trading Opportunities Beyond Big Tech The official 18-member CEO list hig
      1.22K2
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      Find Opportunities As Visit Seems To Be Selective Reopening of Profitable Corridors
    • DoTradingDoTrading
      ·05-15

      Dow Jones Reclaims 50,000 as Tech Earnings and U.S.-China Talks Lift Markets

      Wall Street delivered another historic session Thursday as the Dow Jones Industrial Average finally surged back above the 50,000 mark for the first time in months, fueled by strong tech earnings and renewed optimism surrounding U.S.-China relations. The Dow climbed 371 points, or 0.8%, while both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed at fresh record highs. The rally reflects growing investor confidence that easing geopolitical tensions and continued artificial intelligence momentum can keep powering markets higher through 2026. Dow Jones Crosses 50,000 Again After multiple failed attempts in recent weeks, the Dow Jones Industrial Average officially closed above 50,000, marking a major psychological milestone for investors. Dow Jones Industrial Average: 50,063.46 (+0.75%)
      221Comment
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      Dow Jones Reclaims 50,000 as Tech Earnings and U.S.-China Talks Lift Markets
    • LanceljxLanceljx
      ·05-17 11:21
      I would be careful taking that disclosure at face value as a tradable signal. First, 3,642 trades in a quarter, ~58 per day, is not an “investment view” portfolio. It looks like either: delegated/algorithmic execution, structured products rolling, or liquidity/hedging flows. That means the signal-to-noise ratio is low. You are not seeing conviction positions, you are seeing activity. On the rotation itself, selling software and buying hardware (NVDA / SNDK / AVGO) is directionally consistent with what the market has already been doing: bottleneck has shifted to compute, memory, interconnect, AI capex is still accelerating, hardware is nearer-term monetisable than software promises. So the question is timing, not direction. If you follow it blindly now, you are likely late-cycle in position
      386Comment
      Report
    • KYHBKOKYHBKO
      ·05-14

      🇺🇸 Trump–Xi Beijing Summit Day 1 — Full Brief 🇨🇳

      Executive Summary Problem: The world’s two largest economies have been locked in a grinding trade war since April 2025 — tariffs topping 140%, rare earth export controls weaponised, and now a three-month Iran war that has closed the Strait of Hormuz and driven up global energy costs. Neither side can absorb indefinite pain. Observation: Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13 — his first visit in nine years — with a dozen CEOs in tow, including Musk, Cook, Jensen Huang (last-minute addition, boarded Air Force One in Anchorage at a refuelling stop), Fink, and Boeing’s CEO. Xi received him with full military ceremony and then proceeded to spend the first two-hour-fifteen-minute session making Taiwan the centrepiece of China’s messaging — which the White House readout then omitted entirely. That g
      1.54KComment
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      🇺🇸 Trump–Xi Beijing Summit Day 1 — Full Brief 🇨🇳
    • L.LimL.Lim
      ·05-17 21:14
      I think the biggest factor for trump is that he gets to be the one that spikes the shares he buys, having that exclusive first mover advantage works wonders (and common investors can only hope they catch on quickly enough). It might hint at what companies could be the next big hit (considering the white house gets about the freshest and juiciest information), since everyone wants to strike it rich on the next big player, so maybe Dell (and other hardware) is really the play to make?
      335Comment
      Report
    • TigerClubTigerClub
      ·05-14

      Ross Dong's H2 2026 Playbook — Fed Pivot, AI Hardware Supercycle & Gold

      Speaker: Ross Dong @Ross_Macro_Trading (Founder of Gongxing Academy, Partner at Morning Cloud Asset Management) Live Date: May 12, 2026 ( Review Link>>) @Ross Macro Trading 🎯 3 Key Takeaways Fed pivot is coming. Market underpricing aggressive rate cuts in H2; AI is a structural deflationary force. AI = hardware cycle. Memory & optics are in a supply-tight supercycle; software faces disruption. Rotate, don’t chase. Balance AI/Tech with neglected cyclicals (airlines, cruise lines) and gold. 🏛️ The 5 Strategic Pillars # Pillar Co
      9.19K2
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      Ross Dong's H2 2026 Playbook — Fed Pivot, AI Hardware Supercycle & Gold
    • ECLCECLC
      ·05-17 12:30
      When news out, it could be too slow to follow portfolio rotation and likely get left behind when any changes down the road. Be aware of news lag and continue to trade on own picks.
      219Comment
      Report
    • LanceljxLanceljx
      ·05-16
      I would not treat that portfolio as a directional signal. ~3,600 trades in a quarter points to high-turnover, mandate-driven execution, not conviction. At that frequency, you are seeing liquidity management, tax positioning, and model rebalancing. Trying to “follow” or “fade” it is essentially noise trading. The hardware tilt itself is not controversial. NVIDIA, Broadcom, and SanDisk sit at real AI bottlenecks, so earnings visibility is stronger than most software names today. But the key point is timing. That trade worked best 12–18 months ago when supply constraints were underpriced. Now, parts of hardware are priced for sustained scarcity and flawless demand. So: Do not follow the disclosure mechanically Do not reflexively fade it either Use it as confirmation of where capital is cluste
      3422
      Report
    • koolgalkoolgal
      ·05-14
      Trump's China Visit: Which Trading Opportunities to Watch With 16 US CEOs In China? 🌟🌟🌟The geopolitical chess board has just turned into a high stakes gambit with 16 elite American CEOs in tow on Trump's visit to China.  The message is as subtle as a sledgehammer.  America is open for business. Top Trading Opportunities To Watch  $Apple(AAPL)$  Tim Cook is the ultimate corporate diplomat, having spent a decade turning China into Apple's indispensable manufacturing fortress. The Objectives: Tim Cook needs to protect the massive Zhengzhou iPhone City production hubs from retaliatory Chinese tariffs, while at the same time defending Apple's Chinese consumer market share.  He is also quietly pushing f
      981Comment
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    • LanceljxLanceljx
      ·05-14
      If you strip away the optics, the sequencing usually follows what can be signed quickly versus what requires regulatory clearance or political capital. 1) BA / GE – most immediate (highest probability) Aircraft orders are the cleanest “headline deliverable”. China can announce bulk orders for Boeing with engines tied to General Electric (GE Aerospace). These deals are politically symbolic, commercially straightforward, and have precedent during state visits. Expect this first, possibly even during the visit. 2) MU / ILMN – medium-term (policy signalling first, fundamentals later) Micron Technology easing is plausible as a goodwill gesture. But actual earnings impact depends on procurement recovery, which takes quarters. For Illumina, any thaw is slower. Genomics sits closer to national sec
      3.89K2
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    • JoshuaYeoJoshuaYeo
      ·05-17 09:45
      Geoff.   Vvfdss9soododff
      300Comment
      Report
    • LanceljxLanceljx
      ·05-16
      Trump’s “rotation” is not a clean signal. Disclosures are lagged, partial, and likely managed by advisors, so treating them as a trading edge is unreliable. The hardware tilt does reflect reality: AI bottlenecks sit in GPUs, memory, power, and networking. That is where pricing power is strongest today. Software monetisation is lagging as enterprises still test ROI. But following that blindly now is late-cycle behaviour. Much of hardware is already priced for near-perfect demand. On SPX 8300 vs Shiller P/E ~42: the EPS growth story is real, but expectations are stretched. At these valuations, markets need sustained high growth with minimal disruption. Base case: not an immediate bubble pop, but conditions are forming. Upside remains, downside risk is asymmetric. Selectivity matters more th
      4851
      Report
    • MadluvyzMadluvyz
      ·05-16 23:41
      Keep calm and look for favorable entry opportunities. Scrutinize and make your choices wisely as the market swings really wildly now. 
      292Comment
      Report