• Tiger_SGTiger_SG
      ·06-09 22:29

      $50 Billion in Bets! Is the World Cup “Curse” Real?

      The World Cup kicks off on June 11, and every time it comes around, someone digs up that old “curse” chart: over the past eight World Cups, the Nasdaq fell during five of them, with an average return of -1.2%. The measurement window is from the close before the opening match to the close of the first trading day after the final $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ - 1994, United States: -1.7% - 1998, France: +9.2% - 2002, Korea/Japan: -13.1% - 2006, Germany: -1.3% - 2010, South Africa: -0.9% - 2014, Brazil: +2.5% - 2018, Russia: +1.4% - 2022, Qatar: -5.4% So it’s 5 down, 3 up. More red than green. But once you look at the backdrop, the story is obvious: 2002 was still dealing with the aftermath of the dot-com bust, 2022 was hit by the Fed’s aggressive
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      $50 Billion in Bets! Is the World Cup “Curse” Real?
    • IsleighIsleigh
      ·46 minutes ago

      $50 Billion in Bets, $41 Billion in GDP. Who Actually Wins From the World Cup?

      The World Cup "curse" is real. But it is probably not what you think it is. The data is clear. Over past World Cup tournaments, trading volume in major stock indexes during knockout rounds fell dramatically. In the US, shares changing hands on the S&P 500 dropped more than 18% during match periods. The FTSE 100 saw a nearly 23% decline. Germany's DAX fell 33%. Markets do not crash during the World Cup. They just go quiet. And thin markets amplify volatility in both directions. The 2026 FIFA World Cup kicks off June 11 with France leading implied tournament probability at 16.2%, narrowly ahead of Spain at 16.0%, Portugal at 11.3%, and England at 10.9%. Argentina, the defending champion, sits at 8.8%. Brazil at 8.3%. But forget the football predictions. Here is where the real money moves
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      $50 Billion in Bets, $41 Billion in GDP. Who Actually Wins From the World Cup?
    • highhandhighhand
      ·09:15
      people like to find all sorts of reasons to correlate to the market. today my pet fish died, so I think stock market will go up to make me Happy [Happy]
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    • LazyCat InvestsLazyCat Invests
      ·08:00

      Tiger BOSS Debit Card Epic Rewards

      Find out more here:Tiger BOSS Debit Card Epic Rewards Refer More Earn More!
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      Tiger BOSS Debit Card Epic Rewards
    • moliyamoliya
      ·07:07
      world cup increase economic activities by government spending, sport spending fans travelling to see world cup matches, fans , enthusiastic spending on mercantile n travel n food,goods increase economic activities simulates cash flows
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    • ChrishustChrishust
      ·06:03
      1. World Cup increases economic activities due to government investment 2. World Cup investment increases economic activities in infrastructure and crowds out other activities 3.my biggest winner is investment in the USA World Cup
      52Comment
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    • koolgalkoolgal
      ·05:30
      🌟World Cup Fever is here with the first match kicking off on June 11.  So is the World Cup Curse real?  Actually it is simply a case where everyone is distracted by the games & divert their attention away from the stock markets. Football is a magnificent distraction but the cost of capital is the true driver with US 10 year Treasury yield climbing back to 4.45%.  When investors can lock in high guaranteed return from the US bonds, they naturally trim their exposure to stocks. I believe the biggest winner would be $Alphabet(GOOG)$ for no matter which country wins the trophy, billions of fans globally will spend the next month continuously flooding into YouTube and Google Search to stream match highlights, watch live recaps and
      152Comment
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    • TimothyXTimothyX
      ·06-09 23:30
      So it’s 5 down, 3 up. More red than green. But once you look at the backdrop, the story is obvious: 2002 was still dealing with the aftermath of the dot-com bust, 2022 was hit by the Fed’s aggressive rate hikes, and that +9.2% in 1998 was simply the tech bull market doing its thing. The matches go on, but the market trades on its own logic. The World Cup is background noise, not the engine.
      59Comment
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    • ShyonShyon
      ·06-09 22:39
      I don’t really believe in the World Cup curse. Looking at the past tournaments, the market performance was driven much more by macro conditions than football. The dot-com crash, Fed rate hikes, and earnings cycles mattered far more than what was happening on the pitch. Correlation doesn’t always mean causation. What I do think is real is the impact on liquidity. With matches being played during U.S. trading hours this year, I wouldn’t be surprised to see lighter volumes and more short-term volatility. Traders are fans too, and attention is a limited resource. My biggest winner is still the sports betting ecosystem. The World Cup is a massive customer-acquisition event, and companies like DraftKings, Flutter, Sportradar, and Genius Sports could see a surge in engagement. That said, I’m als
      145Comment
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    • LanceljxLanceljx
      ·06-09 22:39
      I don't put much weight on the "World Cup curse." Football can affect short-term investor sentiment, especially after major wins or losses, but markets are ultimately driven by earnings, interest rates, inflation, liquidity, and economic growth. A national team crashing out might cause a brief dip in local stocks, but it is usually a sentiment effect rather than a fundamental one. The impact tends to be small and temporary. For the current market, I think macro matters far more than football: • Fed rate expectations • AI spending cycle • Corporate earnings • Geopolitical risks • Global liquidity Biggest winner? Usually not the winning country's stock market. I'd look at sectors that directly benefit from the tournament: broadcasters, advertisers, travel, hospitality, sportswear, and betti
      117Comment
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    • IsleighIsleigh
      ·46 minutes ago

      $50 Billion in Bets, $41 Billion in GDP. Who Actually Wins From the World Cup?

      The World Cup "curse" is real. But it is probably not what you think it is. The data is clear. Over past World Cup tournaments, trading volume in major stock indexes during knockout rounds fell dramatically. In the US, shares changing hands on the S&P 500 dropped more than 18% during match periods. The FTSE 100 saw a nearly 23% decline. Germany's DAX fell 33%. Markets do not crash during the World Cup. They just go quiet. And thin markets amplify volatility in both directions. The 2026 FIFA World Cup kicks off June 11 with France leading implied tournament probability at 16.2%, narrowly ahead of Spain at 16.0%, Portugal at 11.3%, and England at 10.9%. Argentina, the defending champion, sits at 8.8%. Brazil at 8.3%. But forget the football predictions. Here is where the real money moves
      0Comment
      Report
      $50 Billion in Bets, $41 Billion in GDP. Who Actually Wins From the World Cup?
    • Tiger_SGTiger_SG
      ·06-09 22:29

      $50 Billion in Bets! Is the World Cup “Curse” Real?

      The World Cup kicks off on June 11, and every time it comes around, someone digs up that old “curse” chart: over the past eight World Cups, the Nasdaq fell during five of them, with an average return of -1.2%. The measurement window is from the close before the opening match to the close of the first trading day after the final $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ - 1994, United States: -1.7% - 1998, France: +9.2% - 2002, Korea/Japan: -13.1% - 2006, Germany: -1.3% - 2010, South Africa: -0.9% - 2014, Brazil: +2.5% - 2018, Russia: +1.4% - 2022, Qatar: -5.4% So it’s 5 down, 3 up. More red than green. But once you look at the backdrop, the story is obvious: 2002 was still dealing with the aftermath of the dot-com bust, 2022 was hit by the Fed’s aggressive
      3.73K20
      Report
      $50 Billion in Bets! Is the World Cup “Curse” Real?
    • koolgalkoolgal
      ·05:30
      🌟World Cup Fever is here with the first match kicking off on June 11.  So is the World Cup Curse real?  Actually it is simply a case where everyone is distracted by the games & divert their attention away from the stock markets. Football is a magnificent distraction but the cost of capital is the true driver with US 10 year Treasury yield climbing back to 4.45%.  When investors can lock in high guaranteed return from the US bonds, they naturally trim their exposure to stocks. I believe the biggest winner would be $Alphabet(GOOG)$ for no matter which country wins the trophy, billions of fans globally will spend the next month continuously flooding into YouTube and Google Search to stream match highlights, watch live recaps and
      152Comment
      Report
    • highhandhighhand
      ·09:15
      people like to find all sorts of reasons to correlate to the market. today my pet fish died, so I think stock market will go up to make me Happy [Happy]
      1Comment
      Report
    • LazyCat InvestsLazyCat Invests
      ·08:00

      Tiger BOSS Debit Card Epic Rewards

      Find out more here:Tiger BOSS Debit Card Epic Rewards Refer More Earn More!
      0Comment
      Report
      Tiger BOSS Debit Card Epic Rewards
    • moliyamoliya
      ·07:07
      world cup increase economic activities by government spending, sport spending fans travelling to see world cup matches, fans , enthusiastic spending on mercantile n travel n food,goods increase economic activities simulates cash flows
      2Comment
      Report
    • ChrishustChrishust
      ·06:03
      1. World Cup increases economic activities due to government investment 2. World Cup investment increases economic activities in infrastructure and crowds out other activities 3.my biggest winner is investment in the USA World Cup
      52Comment
      Report
    • ShyonShyon
      ·06-09 22:39
      I don’t really believe in the World Cup curse. Looking at the past tournaments, the market performance was driven much more by macro conditions than football. The dot-com crash, Fed rate hikes, and earnings cycles mattered far more than what was happening on the pitch. Correlation doesn’t always mean causation. What I do think is real is the impact on liquidity. With matches being played during U.S. trading hours this year, I wouldn’t be surprised to see lighter volumes and more short-term volatility. Traders are fans too, and attention is a limited resource. My biggest winner is still the sports betting ecosystem. The World Cup is a massive customer-acquisition event, and companies like DraftKings, Flutter, Sportradar, and Genius Sports could see a surge in engagement. That said, I’m als
      145Comment
      Report
    • LanceljxLanceljx
      ·06-09 22:39
      I don't put much weight on the "World Cup curse." Football can affect short-term investor sentiment, especially after major wins or losses, but markets are ultimately driven by earnings, interest rates, inflation, liquidity, and economic growth. A national team crashing out might cause a brief dip in local stocks, but it is usually a sentiment effect rather than a fundamental one. The impact tends to be small and temporary. For the current market, I think macro matters far more than football: • Fed rate expectations • AI spending cycle • Corporate earnings • Geopolitical risks • Global liquidity Biggest winner? Usually not the winning country's stock market. I'd look at sectors that directly benefit from the tournament: broadcasters, advertisers, travel, hospitality, sportswear, and betti
      117Comment
      Report
    • TimothyXTimothyX
      ·06-09 23:30
      So it’s 5 down, 3 up. More red than green. But once you look at the backdrop, the story is obvious: 2002 was still dealing with the aftermath of the dot-com bust, 2022 was hit by the Fed’s aggressive rate hikes, and that +9.2% in 1998 was simply the tech bull market doing its thing. The matches go on, but the market trades on its own logic. The World Cup is background noise, not the engine.
      59Comment
      Report