Calm Before the Storm? Markets Eye US Troop Movements
This past weekend was actually the calmest in recent weeks. Markets had expected the U.S. to deploy ground forces to seize Iran’s Kharg Island, but aside from strikes on Iranian steel plants, there was little major action. Overall, it was relatively quiet compared to prior weeks. However, actions of this scale alone by the U.S. and Israel are not enough to resolve the current blockade of the strait. The real turning point will come when the strait is reopened—that’s when a fundamental shift occurs. At present, the Pentagon appears to be aiming to replicate the rapid success seen during the 1990 Gulf War, hoping to quickly resolve the blockade within one to three months. Whether that is realistic remains to be seen, and only actual deployment will provide answers. But if even U.S. ground fo
Both DXY and Crude Oil Break Above 100 — Why Is Gold Rising Against All Odds?
💬 Gold traders & macro investors: DXY >100, oil >$100… and gold is RISING? Is this the new inflation hedge playbook? Let’s debate! $Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$On Monday, the U.S. Dollar Index closed at 100.57 and crude oil futures climbed above $102.88 per barrel — both breaking the 100 level at the same time. By traditional trading logic, this is a double bearish signal for gold: A stronger dollar raises costs for non-U.S. buyers, while a sharp crude oil spike usually sparks fears of tighter liquidity first. Yet gold rose for five straight sessions, settling at $4,540 — up 2.84% in total. This unusual move is forcing traders to rethink gold’s pricing model. Why Did the Traditional Playbook Fail? The textbook says: Stro
Technical Analysis:$Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$ On the H4 chart, the short-term trend shows a rebound and correction structure, with prices gradually rising along short-term moving averages, but lacking strong breakout momentum. The MACD oscillates repeatedly around the zero line, indicating a clear divergence between bulls and bears; the RSI is in the 50-60 range, reflecting a slightly bullish but weak market. If the price fails to effectively break through the $4800 resistance, it may fall back to test the $4500 support. A break below this level could trigger further declines; conversely, a break above key resistance with fundamental support would confirm a trend reversal. In summary, the current gold technical structure exhibi
Before You Buy the Gold Dip, Revisit the Three Most Important Gold Rallies in History
First, let's take a step back: why did precious metals suddenly plunge? most people in the market see three main explanations for the sharp drop in gold and silver: Logic 1: Global central banks have turned more hawkish, and higher interest rates effectively raise the cost of holding precious metals. Logic 2: The Middle East conflict has created an oil shortage, and energy has replaced precious metals as the “hard currency” of choice. Logic 3: Gold and silver were heavily crowded trades, and profittaking on stretched long positions has triggered a selling spiral. But I’m not really convinced by any of the three explanations above I broke these three arguments down in detail and leaned more toward a different interpretation: gold and silver are being sold as assets to raise cash, wh
Dip-Buying Steps In to Support Gold; Three-Year Secular Bull Market Intact
💬 Gold investors: Are you buying this dip? Do you think the worst of the selloff is over? Let’s hear your take! $Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$After an unusually concentrated selloff in years, international spot gold has staged a key stabilization and rebound. Aggressive dip-buying inflows have strongly supported the market, successfully defending a historic three-year bull run. Gold’s short-term correction has been sharp. Data shows gold plunged 15% so far this month. From its January closing high through last Thursday’s trading session, prices retreated 19% — nearing the 20% threshold that defines a technical bear market — putting bullish sentiment to a severe test. Meanwhile, escalating geopolitical tensions involving Iran and ri
GOLD: Breaking through the Key Resistance Level of $4,600!
$Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$On Monday (March 30), gold rose slightly for the second consecutive trading day, gaining about 0.36% to close near $4,510 per ounce, after briefly touching $4,580 during the session; US gold futures also rose 0.7%, settling at $4,557.50. However, despite a slight recovery in short-term safe-haven demand, gold has fallen more than 14% so far in March, poised to record its worst monthly performance since the 2008 financial crisis. Behind this unusual trend lies a complex interplay of escalating conflict in the Middle East and macroeconomic pressures. The war has pushed up oil prices and exacerbated inflation concerns, while the Federal Reserve's cautious stance has led to a sharp adjustment in market exp
GOLD: The Continued Rise in the US Dollar Index Put Downward Pressure on Gold Prices
$Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$On Monday (March 30) in early Asian trading, the US dollar index continued its upward trend, rising as much as 0.17% to 100.33, a new high since March 16 and marking its fifth consecutive day of gains. Spot gold rose and then fell back, initially reaching $4514.42 per ounce before retreating to around $4450 per ounce, a drop of nearly 1%. Although safe-haven buying provided some support for gold prices, the escalating conflict in the Middle East and the continued rise in international oil prices, with US crude oil jumping more than 3% to a three-week high of $103.38 per barrel, exacerbated inflation concerns and d
Gold and Silver at a Crossroads: How to Trade the Geopolitical Uncertainty
Hello everyone. Under normal circumstances, with a war still going on, gold should be benefiting from its safe-haven appeal, so why has the price collapsed instead? What does this selloff tell us about trading gold and equity indices, and are there similar periods in history that we can use as reference points? Today, Mr. Gan will go through all of this in the livestream. Below are some notes I put together. The Gulf states have fallen into a strange trap: oil prices are rising, but their income is falling because they cannot sell enough crude. Why? Because of the Strait blockade. $WTI原油主连 2605(CLmain)$$美国原油ETF(USO)$$小原油主连 2605(QMmain)$
Money Is Fleeing Gold ETFs — But the 3 Core Logics Supporting Gold Prices Remain Unbroken
💬 Gold Investors: Is this massive ETF selloff a buying opportunity? Do you still trust gold’s long-term hedge value? While conflicts in the Middle East rage on, the gold market has witnessed an unusual “capital exodus.” According to Bloomberg Intelligence data, as of March 26, approximately 100 commodity ETFs across the U.S. have recorded net outflows of around $11 billion — the largest single-month redemption since records began in 2005. Among them, gold funds led by $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ suffered the most severe outflows, with over $7 billion exiting a single product. Silver ETFs also saw roughly $1.4 billion in redemptions. Against the backdrop of escalating geopolitical conflicts — which should stoke safe-haven sentiment — gold E
GOLD: Exhibited a Dramatic "V"-shaped Recovery During the Session
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$On Monday (March 23), international gold prices rebounded strongly after a sharp sell-off overnight, exhibiting a dramatic "V"-shaped recovery during the session. US President Trump initially threatened to strike Iranian power infrastructure if Iran did not reopen the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours, a statement that triggered a nearly 9% overnight plunge in gold prices. However, Trump later stated that the US was engaged in "productive" communication with Iran and would postpone any potential strikes, prompting gold prices to quickly recover mos
Where Is the Bottom After the Massive Sell-Off in Gold and Silver?
Remember at the beginning of the year, numerous reports projected that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates four times. However, following the surge in oil prices, the market has swung from one extreme to another. Today, hardly anyone dares to anticipate any rate cuts this year. In fact, working backward from the latest U.S. Treasury yield data, the market has even begun to price in potential rate hikes starting in October. This dramatic shift—going from extreme euphoria to sheer panic in just two to three weeks—clearly demonstrates that market trends are currently driven by future sentiment and expectations rather than genuine, medium-to-long-term fundamental changes. Investors must deeply understand this reality. Predictably, if the strait blockade eventually concludes and rate c
GOLD: Extremely Brutal Combination of Macroeconomic Shocks
$Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ is currently facing a typical but extremely brutal combination of macroeconomic shocks: a stronger dollar, rising US Treasury yields, and a rapid reassessment of global market expectations regarding interest rate paths following the Middle East wars that pushed up oil prices. This confluence of factors has turned gold, which should have benefited from the geopolitical crisis, into a target of continuous selling. As the Middle East war enters its fourth week, with the US and Iran continuing to threaten to expand their attacks, gold prices fluctuated wildly at the beginning of the week. After experiencing its worst weekly drop in over 40 years, spot gold fell to a new low since early January at $4319.32
Crash? Gold Down Over $1,000, Silver Plunges More Than 45%
💬 Hot Market Talk: Are you cutting losses on precious metals or buying the dip? What’s your next move for gold and silver? Global precious metals markets suffered a “Black Thursday” meltdown, as gold and silver prices crashed sharply, both hitting six-week lows. Escalating geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East sent energy prices soaring, stoking renewed inflation fears and rapidly cooling market expectations for major central bank policy easing — dimming the safe-haven appeal of precious metals.$Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ Spot gold tumbled as much as 6% during the session, testing the key psychological level of $4,500, marking its lowest level since the sharp sell-off in late January. Gold has now closed lower for seven cons
💬 Let’s Chime In: Did you expect gold to rally on Fed pause? Share your thoughts on the “hawkish words, dovish moves” and gold’s next move! On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve announced it would keep the federal funds rate unchanged in the 3.5%-3.75% range, in line with market expectations. This marks the second time the Fed has hit the pause button after three consecutive rate cuts at the end of 2025. What truly sparked market interpretation was the simultaneous release of the interest rate dot plot — this quarterly summary of economic projections showed that the median forecast by Fed officials for the interest rate at the end of 2026 is 3.4%, meaning there will be at least one more 25-basis-point rate cut this year. Meanwhile, interest rate expectations for 2027 and 2028 have also continu
Gold Remains Generally Biased Towards an Uupward Trend
$Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Analysis: Gold remains generally biased towards an upward trend. The 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $4577 forms a key support level; short-term support lies around $4633. A decisive break below this level could open the door for a test of $4200. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a clear increase in selling momentum, potentially indicating further downside for gold. If gold closes below the 100-day moving average on the daily chart, watch for a test of $4500. A break below this level would target the February 2nd low of $4402, followed by $4200. Further downside would see the 200-day moving average at $4060/oz. Conversely, if gold
Gold Drops for 2 Weeks, But the Big Gold Stock Rally Is Just Beginning
Hey gold investors! 🚨 Don’t be fooled by the recent drop in gold prices — the big run for gold stocks is just getting started. A rare divergence is playing out right now, and the smart money is already positioning for the next leg up. Let’s dive into why this could be the early stage of a massive gold stock bull market! $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$has closed lower for two straight weeks, yet safe-haven demand has not faded. A rare divergence is unfolding: gold prices are under pressure, but mining stocks are quietly building momentum. Some fund managers are stating plainly that the real move in gold stocks has not even started. Last week, gold prices fell nearly 3%, marking a second weekly loss. Although the metal barely held the
GOLD: Market Sentiment Remains Cautious ahead of the Fed's Interest Rate Decision
$Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold Trading Analysis: Short-term focus on the 4967 double bottom support; a break below could lead to further declines. Gold's short-term trend has clearly weakened. The daily chart shows that gold prices briefly fell below the key psychological level of $5000 and are currently hovering around this level. Simultaneously, gold prices are trading below major short-term moving averages, and momentum indicators are showing signs of decline, indicating that short-term bears still dominate. The first important support level for gold prices is currently around $4967, which is also the area where Monday's intraday low w
The Longer Oil Prices Stay High, the Worse It Gets: A Dollar Rebound Adds to the Pressure!
Trump ultimately opted for the "Winning Strategy" we predicted to try and defuse the situation in Iran. While this somewhat delayed move briefly pushed oil prices down from $119 to below $80, the unresolved issue in the Strait of Hormuz has kept oil prices firm, preventing the situation from returning to an ideal state. As the Middle East narrative is likely to stretch into a significantly longer cycle, the risks of high oil prices transmitting into broader inflation will materialize. One thing is certain: the longer this drags on, the bigger the trouble for financial markets. From a technical standpoint, oil prices printed a massive Doji star last week, characterized by exceptionally long upper and lower shadows. Typically, after such a structure appears, the market requires time to dige
Bull vs. Bear: Morgan Stanley Warns of 7% Drop, Fundstrat Predicts Rally to 7300
Hey everyone, let's dive into the fiery debate gripping Wall Street! Is the US stock market about to take a nosedive or soar to new heights? Two heavyweight strategists are throwing down the gauntlet, and their predictions couldn't be more different. Let's break down the bull vs. bear showdown! As mid-March unfolds, the battle between bulls and bears in the US stock market is intensifying. On one side, Mike Wilson, Chief Investment Officer at Morgan Stanley, warns that the S&P 500 could drop another 5% to 7% in the short term, stating the correction is far from over. On the other, Tom Lee, Co-Founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors, is bullish, declaring a market rebound is imminent and the index could surge to 7300 later this year. This clash of titans has left investors scratching their
GOLD: The Downward Momentum in the Short Term Come True!
$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$On March 16th, in Asian trading, gold prices decisively broke below the key $5000 level, with spot gold in London hitting a low of $4967, confirming a short-term downtrend and continuing its correction. This breakout was driven by a confluence of negative factors, leading to a cautious market sentiment. London gold is likely to maintain its weak downward trend today. On the news front, stronger-than-expected US economic data significantly reduced expectations of a Fed rate cut, suggesting that high interest rates will persist for longer. The dollar and US Treasury yields strengthened in tandem, continuing to suppr
Both DXY and Crude Oil Break Above 100 — Why Is Gold Rising Against All Odds?
💬 Gold traders & macro investors: DXY >100, oil >$100… and gold is RISING? Is this the new inflation hedge playbook? Let’s debate! $Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$On Monday, the U.S. Dollar Index closed at 100.57 and crude oil futures climbed above $102.88 per barrel — both breaking the 100 level at the same time. By traditional trading logic, this is a double bearish signal for gold: A stronger dollar raises costs for non-U.S. buyers, while a sharp crude oil spike usually sparks fears of tighter liquidity first. Yet gold rose for five straight sessions, settling at $4,540 — up 2.84% in total. This unusual move is forcing traders to rethink gold’s pricing model. Why Did the Traditional Playbook Fail? The textbook says: Stro
Calm Before the Storm? Markets Eye US Troop Movements
This past weekend was actually the calmest in recent weeks. Markets had expected the U.S. to deploy ground forces to seize Iran’s Kharg Island, but aside from strikes on Iranian steel plants, there was little major action. Overall, it was relatively quiet compared to prior weeks. However, actions of this scale alone by the U.S. and Israel are not enough to resolve the current blockade of the strait. The real turning point will come when the strait is reopened—that’s when a fundamental shift occurs. At present, the Pentagon appears to be aiming to replicate the rapid success seen during the 1990 Gulf War, hoping to quickly resolve the blockade within one to three months. Whether that is realistic remains to be seen, and only actual deployment will provide answers. But if even U.S. ground fo
Technical Analysis:$Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$ On the H4 chart, the short-term trend shows a rebound and correction structure, with prices gradually rising along short-term moving averages, but lacking strong breakout momentum. The MACD oscillates repeatedly around the zero line, indicating a clear divergence between bulls and bears; the RSI is in the 50-60 range, reflecting a slightly bullish but weak market. If the price fails to effectively break through the $4800 resistance, it may fall back to test the $4500 support. A break below this level could trigger further declines; conversely, a break above key resistance with fundamental support would confirm a trend reversal. In summary, the current gold technical structure exhibi
Before You Buy the Gold Dip, Revisit the Three Most Important Gold Rallies in History
First, let's take a step back: why did precious metals suddenly plunge? most people in the market see three main explanations for the sharp drop in gold and silver: Logic 1: Global central banks have turned more hawkish, and higher interest rates effectively raise the cost of holding precious metals. Logic 2: The Middle East conflict has created an oil shortage, and energy has replaced precious metals as the “hard currency” of choice. Logic 3: Gold and silver were heavily crowded trades, and profittaking on stretched long positions has triggered a selling spiral. But I’m not really convinced by any of the three explanations above I broke these three arguments down in detail and leaned more toward a different interpretation: gold and silver are being sold as assets to raise cash, wh
Dip-Buying Steps In to Support Gold; Three-Year Secular Bull Market Intact
💬 Gold investors: Are you buying this dip? Do you think the worst of the selloff is over? Let’s hear your take! $Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$After an unusually concentrated selloff in years, international spot gold has staged a key stabilization and rebound. Aggressive dip-buying inflows have strongly supported the market, successfully defending a historic three-year bull run. Gold’s short-term correction has been sharp. Data shows gold plunged 15% so far this month. From its January closing high through last Thursday’s trading session, prices retreated 19% — nearing the 20% threshold that defines a technical bear market — putting bullish sentiment to a severe test. Meanwhile, escalating geopolitical tensions involving Iran and ri
GOLD: Breaking through the Key Resistance Level of $4,600!
$Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$On Monday (March 30), gold rose slightly for the second consecutive trading day, gaining about 0.36% to close near $4,510 per ounce, after briefly touching $4,580 during the session; US gold futures also rose 0.7%, settling at $4,557.50. However, despite a slight recovery in short-term safe-haven demand, gold has fallen more than 14% so far in March, poised to record its worst monthly performance since the 2008 financial crisis. Behind this unusual trend lies a complex interplay of escalating conflict in the Middle East and macroeconomic pressures. The war has pushed up oil prices and exacerbated inflation concerns, while the Federal Reserve's cautious stance has led to a sharp adjustment in market exp
GOLD: The Continued Rise in the US Dollar Index Put Downward Pressure on Gold Prices
$Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$On Monday (March 30) in early Asian trading, the US dollar index continued its upward trend, rising as much as 0.17% to 100.33, a new high since March 16 and marking its fifth consecutive day of gains. Spot gold rose and then fell back, initially reaching $4514.42 per ounce before retreating to around $4450 per ounce, a drop of nearly 1%. Although safe-haven buying provided some support for gold prices, the escalating conflict in the Middle East and the continued rise in international oil prices, with US crude oil jumping more than 3% to a three-week high of $103.38 per barrel, exacerbated inflation concerns and d
Gold and Silver at a Crossroads: How to Trade the Geopolitical Uncertainty
Hello everyone. Under normal circumstances, with a war still going on, gold should be benefiting from its safe-haven appeal, so why has the price collapsed instead? What does this selloff tell us about trading gold and equity indices, and are there similar periods in history that we can use as reference points? Today, Mr. Gan will go through all of this in the livestream. Below are some notes I put together. The Gulf states have fallen into a strange trap: oil prices are rising, but their income is falling because they cannot sell enough crude. Why? Because of the Strait blockade. $WTI原油主连 2605(CLmain)$$美国原油ETF(USO)$$小原油主连 2605(QMmain)$
Money Is Fleeing Gold ETFs — But the 3 Core Logics Supporting Gold Prices Remain Unbroken
💬 Gold Investors: Is this massive ETF selloff a buying opportunity? Do you still trust gold’s long-term hedge value? While conflicts in the Middle East rage on, the gold market has witnessed an unusual “capital exodus.” According to Bloomberg Intelligence data, as of March 26, approximately 100 commodity ETFs across the U.S. have recorded net outflows of around $11 billion — the largest single-month redemption since records began in 2005. Among them, gold funds led by $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ suffered the most severe outflows, with over $7 billion exiting a single product. Silver ETFs also saw roughly $1.4 billion in redemptions. Against the backdrop of escalating geopolitical conflicts — which should stoke safe-haven sentiment — gold E
Where Is the Bottom After the Massive Sell-Off in Gold and Silver?
Remember at the beginning of the year, numerous reports projected that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates four times. However, following the surge in oil prices, the market has swung from one extreme to another. Today, hardly anyone dares to anticipate any rate cuts this year. In fact, working backward from the latest U.S. Treasury yield data, the market has even begun to price in potential rate hikes starting in October. This dramatic shift—going from extreme euphoria to sheer panic in just two to three weeks—clearly demonstrates that market trends are currently driven by future sentiment and expectations rather than genuine, medium-to-long-term fundamental changes. Investors must deeply understand this reality. Predictably, if the strait blockade eventually concludes and rate c
GOLD: Extremely Brutal Combination of Macroeconomic Shocks
$Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ is currently facing a typical but extremely brutal combination of macroeconomic shocks: a stronger dollar, rising US Treasury yields, and a rapid reassessment of global market expectations regarding interest rate paths following the Middle East wars that pushed up oil prices. This confluence of factors has turned gold, which should have benefited from the geopolitical crisis, into a target of continuous selling. As the Middle East war enters its fourth week, with the US and Iran continuing to threaten to expand their attacks, gold prices fluctuated wildly at the beginning of the week. After experiencing its worst weekly drop in over 40 years, spot gold fell to a new low since early January at $4319.32
CFTC Update: Big Money Is Chasing Soybeans, Copper, and Crude
If you want to trade futures, then CFTC data is something you really shouldn’t ignore. The CFTC is the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which you can think of as the regulator of the U.S. futures market. Every week, it publishes large-trader positioning data that tells you which side the big money is on. So today, let’s go through the latest set of CFTC data. Before we begin, let me briefly explain what CFTC data actually is. The CFTC report tracks positions in futures contracts, and these are divided into reportable positions and non-reportable positions. Reportable positions are further split into commercial and non-commercial positions. You can think of commercial positions as those held by industrial capital, such as mines, smelters, manufacturers, and other business entiti
Crash? Gold Down Over $1,000, Silver Plunges More Than 45%
💬 Hot Market Talk: Are you cutting losses on precious metals or buying the dip? What’s your next move for gold and silver? Global precious metals markets suffered a “Black Thursday” meltdown, as gold and silver prices crashed sharply, both hitting six-week lows. Escalating geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East sent energy prices soaring, stoking renewed inflation fears and rapidly cooling market expectations for major central bank policy easing — dimming the safe-haven appeal of precious metals.$Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ Spot gold tumbled as much as 6% during the session, testing the key psychological level of $4,500, marking its lowest level since the sharp sell-off in late January. Gold has now closed lower for seven cons
💬 Let’s Chime In: Did you expect gold to rally on Fed pause? Share your thoughts on the “hawkish words, dovish moves” and gold’s next move! On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve announced it would keep the federal funds rate unchanged in the 3.5%-3.75% range, in line with market expectations. This marks the second time the Fed has hit the pause button after three consecutive rate cuts at the end of 2025. What truly sparked market interpretation was the simultaneous release of the interest rate dot plot — this quarterly summary of economic projections showed that the median forecast by Fed officials for the interest rate at the end of 2026 is 3.4%, meaning there will be at least one more 25-basis-point rate cut this year. Meanwhile, interest rate expectations for 2027 and 2028 have also continu
Gold Remains Generally Biased Towards an Uupward Trend
$Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Analysis: Gold remains generally biased towards an upward trend. The 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $4577 forms a key support level; short-term support lies around $4633. A decisive break below this level could open the door for a test of $4200. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a clear increase in selling momentum, potentially indicating further downside for gold. If gold closes below the 100-day moving average on the daily chart, watch for a test of $4500. A break below this level would target the February 2nd low of $4402, followed by $4200. Further downside would see the 200-day moving average at $4060/oz. Conversely, if gold
Gold Drops for 2 Weeks, But the Big Gold Stock Rally Is Just Beginning
Hey gold investors! 🚨 Don’t be fooled by the recent drop in gold prices — the big run for gold stocks is just getting started. A rare divergence is playing out right now, and the smart money is already positioning for the next leg up. Let’s dive into why this could be the early stage of a massive gold stock bull market! $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$has closed lower for two straight weeks, yet safe-haven demand has not faded. A rare divergence is unfolding: gold prices are under pressure, but mining stocks are quietly building momentum. Some fund managers are stating plainly that the real move in gold stocks has not even started. Last week, gold prices fell nearly 3%, marking a second weekly loss. Although the metal barely held the
The Longer Oil Prices Stay High, the Worse It Gets: A Dollar Rebound Adds to the Pressure!
Trump ultimately opted for the "Winning Strategy" we predicted to try and defuse the situation in Iran. While this somewhat delayed move briefly pushed oil prices down from $119 to below $80, the unresolved issue in the Strait of Hormuz has kept oil prices firm, preventing the situation from returning to an ideal state. As the Middle East narrative is likely to stretch into a significantly longer cycle, the risks of high oil prices transmitting into broader inflation will materialize. One thing is certain: the longer this drags on, the bigger the trouble for financial markets. From a technical standpoint, oil prices printed a massive Doji star last week, characterized by exceptionally long upper and lower shadows. Typically, after such a structure appears, the market requires time to dige
Bull vs. Bear: Morgan Stanley Warns of 7% Drop, Fundstrat Predicts Rally to 7300
Hey everyone, let's dive into the fiery debate gripping Wall Street! Is the US stock market about to take a nosedive or soar to new heights? Two heavyweight strategists are throwing down the gauntlet, and their predictions couldn't be more different. Let's break down the bull vs. bear showdown! As mid-March unfolds, the battle between bulls and bears in the US stock market is intensifying. On one side, Mike Wilson, Chief Investment Officer at Morgan Stanley, warns that the S&P 500 could drop another 5% to 7% in the short term, stating the correction is far from over. On the other, Tom Lee, Co-Founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors, is bullish, declaring a market rebound is imminent and the index could surge to 7300 later this year. This clash of titans has left investors scratching their
Hey gold bugs and long‑term investors — you need to see this forecast! 🚨 $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$Gold is already flying, but top strategists are calling $6,000 soon and $10,000 long term. This isn’t hype — it’s backed by debt, geopolitics, and a collapsing trust in the system. Let’s break it down. As the closure of the Strait of Hormuz entered its 11th day, global energy markets have been roiled — but the real battle may not be in the Middle East. It’s in the U.S. Treasury market. Markets had expected geopolitical stress to push Treasury yields lower, yet the 10‑year U.S. yield climbed to 4.2%. Behind this unusual move lies a powerful lo