To The Moon

This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure.  $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$ $微黃金2612(MGC2612)$

📈 Volatility is your friend in option trading! Yesterday I was down with flu symptoms 🤒, so while resting at home I spent quite some time watching financial channels on YouTube. I decided to dig deeper into $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$   🎥 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p6rjlXLDpcc At 9:30 PM Singapore time, the US market opened 🇺🇸 and I noticed that BE was actually the worst performing stock on my watchlist. I thought: Why not? 😏 Before going to sleep, I sold two PUT options on BE and placed a buyback order at a lower price, hoping it would trigger overnight while I was sleeping. 😴 BE bounced back a little from the lows, but my buyback order didn't trigger. Fast forward to today… 🚀 The market opened, and guess what? BE was suddenly

Weekly options gains amidst a volatile market. 😊 Next week got to watch out for PCE & jobs  data which will affect market sentiment. Also will US accept Iran proposed deal? 

Three Markets, One Rulebook: How I Sell Volatility SPY closed almost flat at 767.40. A calm index often hides big moves in individual stocks, and that's where option sellers get paid. I've run the Wheel for over five years. The idea is simple: Sell a put and collect premium. If assigned, sell covered calls above my cost. When the shares get called away, start again. How I match the tool to the market Bullish: I sell puts on pullbacks, but only on stocks above their 200-day moving average. Delta stays between 0.15 and 0.25. Sideways: This is the best regime for sellers. Time decay does the work, and if I'm assigned, covered calls keep collecting. Bearish: I stop opening new puts. If the 200-day breaks, the trade fails my rules, however rich the premium looks. If you hold stock into a risky

After selling a few Puts, you may start running into the same dilemma. At first, you may be worried about getting assigned, so you choose a strike price further away from the current share price. After doing this a few times, however, you may start thinking: “I’ve set aside so much capital, but I’m only collecting this amount of premium each month. Is it too little?” So you move the strike price closer. The premium goes up, but another concern appears: “What if the share price really drops?” This is exactly what advanced Short Put management is about: how much additional risk are you taking on for the extra premium you collect? For the same stock, where should you set the strike price? When IV is high, is it worth opening a position? If you have already earned most of the premium, should y

The much-anticipated Federal Reserve decision came and went last week, with the 25-basis-point move ultimately causing little market disruption. Following the intraday and weekly tug-of-war between bulls and bears, the short-term outlook has become broadly clear: risk assets are likely to maintain their current choppy upward trend over the next one to two months. Whether it is gold, where our order narrowly missed being filled by just a few dollars, or U.S. equity indices, which remain near their highs, pullbacks should continue to offer opportunities to buy in the near term. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ $E-Micro Gold - Dec 2026(MGC2612)$

Options Is the way in great and good times. 

$Zoom(ZM)$ reports fiscal second-quarter results after the August 25 close. The company is no longer valued as a pandemic-era video-conferencing disruptor. Its next phase depends on turning Zoom Phone, Contact Center, Workplace and AI Companion into an integrated communications platform that can grow faster than basic meetings. For the first fiscal quarter, ended April 30 and reported May 21, revenue increased 5.5% to $1.239 billion. Enterprise revenue grew faster than the company total, while large customers contributing more than $100,000 of trailing-12-month revenue also increased. Zoom’s official quarterly-results page contains the release, presentation and filing. The bullish thesis is that Zoom already sits inside millions of daily business in

$Heico(HEI)$ reports fiscal third-quarter results after the August 25 close. The company has built one of the market’s most successful aerospace-compounding models by acquiring specialised component makers and selling lower-cost replacement parts into a growing installed aircraft base. Its next report must show that organic demand—not only acquisitions—continues supporting that premium valuation. HEICO’s fiscal second quarter, ended April 30 and reported May 27, was exceptional. Net sales increased 25%, consolidated organic sales grew more than 18%, operating income rose 41% and net income advanced 49% to a record $233.8 million, or $1.66 per diluted share. HEICO’s official press-release archive provides the reported figures. The bullish thesis res

$Dollar General(DG)$ reports fiscal second-quarter results on August 27. Its first quarter showed that shrink control, inventory discipline and merchandising can restore profit even when sales grow slowly. The next report must show that those improvements can withstand high fuel costs and continuing pressure on low-income households. For the quarter ended May 1 and reported June 2, net sales increased 3.4% to $10.8 billion and same-store sales rose 2.0%, driven by 1.4% higher traffic and a 0.5% increase in average transaction value. Operating profit increased 10.8% to $638.5 million, while EPS advanced 12.4% to $2.00. Gross margin expanded 65 basis points to 31.6% because of higher markups and lower shrink and inventory damage. Dollar General’s offi

$CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ reports fiscal second-quarter results after the August 26 close. The shares entered the event after a sharp decline, making the report a test of whether the weakness reflects excessive valuation compression or an emerging slowdown in cybersecurity spending. The first fiscal quarter, ended April 30 and reported June 2, was strong. Revenue increased 26% to $1.39 billion, subscription revenue rose 26% to $1.32 billion and annual recurring revenue reached $5.51 billion, up 24%. Record first-quarter net-new ARR of $255.8 million grew 32%, while non-GAAP operating income increased to $325.7 million from $201.1 million. CrowdStrike’s official first-quarter release provides the results and guidance. The bullish case is p

Last night, I shared my latest assessment of gold, equity indices, crypto assets, and the US dollar in the futures livestream room on the Tiger Brokers platform following the release of news regarding US Treasury purchases of government bonds. The central focus of the livestream was how to determine whether the market had shifted from a consolidation phase into a new trending phase by analyzing correlations among different asset classes. For those who were unable to attend, the replay of the video course is available below: Massive US Treasury Rescue Buying! Gold Surges, the Dollar Plunges: What Trading Opportunities Lie Ahead? I will now categorize and summarize the key information and trading-related insights fro

Selling Volatility For Income!  Market has been Quite volatile past 2 months and it's has been good for my tiger option selling Book. Selling cash secured puts, a slow and steady trade that has a high win rate or POP or 80-85%

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ QQQ suddenly initiated a small pullback, with the target being the starting price from August 3, around 710. SPY also looks like it's heading for a pullback to 760. This pullback isn't actually that small, but compared to July, it is. In terms of magnitude, it's simply giving back the excess gains from August 4. Even if it pulls back to 760, SPY's August gains would still be positive. The VIX 24 Call opened 146,600 contracts $VIX 20260916 24.0 CALL$ . Compared to the previous 28 Call opening, this is relatively moderate — suggesting that this pullback will likely push the VIX only into the low 20s. $SanDisk Corp

$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ are in an awkward position — especially CRWV. The key takeaway from earnings isn't in the financial results themselves, but outside the filings: GPU rental prices. It's similar to how storage stocks are priced — earnings only become interesting after long-term agreements (LTAs) are signed; before that, it's all about whether storage prices are going up. For data centers, both of these companies are heavily leveraged and asset-heavy. Whether they can turn a profit depends entirely on whether GPUs can be rented at good prices. If GPU rental prices fall, even stellar earnings won't save the stock — because institutions will reason that if you're renting cheap but bought

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ The news came out the day before yesterday that Anthropic is planning an IPO in September or early October. That would be right after Triple Witching on 9/18 — which roughly translates to bullish after Triple Witching. The bullish playbook is probably similar to before: continue squeezing the shorts, with the broader market dipping first then rallying. Oh, SPY might not drop, but some sectors will. IGV opened 50,000 contracts of the September 18-expiry 90 put$IGV 20261218 90.0 PUT$ — a buy-side bearish bet with a notional value of approximately $13.5 million. On the same day, PLTR opened 28,000 contracts of the 140 put

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ This week, SPY is being held below 780 — not my opinion, but dictated by the Bull Call Spreads: $SPY 20260814 780.0 CALL$ $SPY 20260814 788.0 CALL$ Rotation is back in play, with semiconductors once again becoming the sector being reined in. Last week's big regulator, NVIDIA, pulled back, while pharmaceuticals and software rebounded. $SpaceX(SPCX)$ There are two possible scenarios for this week: one is the stock being trapped in a 125–135 consolidation range; the other is breaking above 135 and trading in a 135–155 range. Either way, selli

Color Legend 🔴 Red: Broke above/below the forecast range, or broke above/below the simulated strike alternative. 🟠 Orange: Briefly broke above/below the range, but closed within the strike range. I. This Week's Simulation Results: ✅ All 4 Trades Profitable TSLA Sell Call: 8/7 expiry 340 — Note: Ample buffer on the upside. AAPL Sell Put: 8/14 expiry 290 — Note: No material negative surprises from earnings. AMD Sell Put: 8/14 expiry 400 — Note: Sustainable (roll to next week's 400 Put). INTC Sell Put: 8/14 expiry 90 — Note: Sustainable (roll to next week's 90 Put). The seller environment was broadly favorable this week, but there is an important risk reminder in the broader market section below. II. Broader Market Assessment (SPY & QQQ) Coordinated U.S.-Japan FX intervention + surging eq

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Friday's nonfarm payrolls data is the big test, but Wednesday's ADP small employment report showed only 44,000 new jobs — missing expectations — which has made the market less certain about a September rate hike. It's not out of the question that SPY could retrace to 760 over the next two weeks. After that pullback, it's expected to remain in a high-level consolidation range. $SK hynix(SKHY)$ All seven storage companies have now reported earnings: Samsung, Hynix, Micron, SNDK, Kioxia, WDC, and STX. There's nothing wrong with the earnings themselves — the only problem is that prices got too expensive and got in the way of the cloud providers. How could a Korean storage comp

One-sentence theme for today: Storage earnings are wrapping up and entering a valuation re-pricing phase; gold is breaking out on rising rate-cut expectations; SPCX faces its first massive lock-up expiry. The common thread across all three: it's not a time to chase highs, but a stage to position cautiously at support levels via Sell Puts. I. Storage Sector: Earnings Behind Us, Entering Valuation Adjustment Phase SanDisk (SNDK): Down ~10.7% pre-market, breaking below the 120-day moving average, with next-quarter revenue guidance below consensus. Western Digital (WDC): Down ~14% pre-market, still holding above the 120-day MA; results fell short of the elevated expectations set by STX's earnings. Key variable: SNDK disclosed an aggregate LTA revenue floor of $93.9 billion — establishing a val

This week, the key pricing driver across major asset classes shifted from geopolitical risk premiums to a US rates shock. Oil prices retreated sharply from their mid-month peak as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions eased. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose 30 basis points over the week to 5.26%, its highest level since June 2007. Falling oil prices failed to halt the rise in long-term yields, suggesting that term premiums and Treasury supply pressures had become the main drivers. As a result, equities, industrial metals and precious metals came under broad pressure.  $黃金主連 2612(GCmain)$ $微黃金2612(MGC2612)$

After selling a few Puts, you may start running into the same dilemma. At first, you may be worried about getting assigned, so you choose a strike price further away from the current share price. After doing this a few times, however, you may start thinking: “I’ve set aside so much capital, but I’m only collecting this amount of premium each month. Is it too little?” So you move the strike price closer. The premium goes up, but another concern appears: “What if the share price really drops?” This is exactly what advanced Short Put management is about: how much additional risk are you taking on for the extra premium you collect? For the same stock, where should you set the strike price? When IV is high, is it worth opening a position? If you have already earned most of the premium, should y

The much-anticipated Federal Reserve decision came and went last week, with the 25-basis-point move ultimately causing little market disruption. Following the intraday and weekly tug-of-war between bulls and bears, the short-term outlook has become broadly clear: risk assets are likely to maintain their current choppy upward trend over the next one to two months. Whether it is gold, where our order narrowly missed being filled by just a few dollars, or U.S. equity indices, which remain near their highs, pullbacks should continue to offer opportunities to buy in the near term. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ $E-Micro Gold - Dec 2026(MGC2612)$

Three Markets, One Rulebook: How I Sell Volatility SPY closed almost flat at 767.40. A calm index often hides big moves in individual stocks, and that's where option sellers get paid. I've run the Wheel for over five years. The idea is simple: Sell a put and collect premium. If assigned, sell covered calls above my cost. When the shares get called away, start again. How I match the tool to the market Bullish: I sell puts on pullbacks, but only on stocks above their 200-day moving average. Delta stays between 0.15 and 0.25. Sideways: This is the best regime for sellers. Time decay does the work, and if I'm assigned, covered calls keep collecting. Bearish: I stop opening new puts. If the 200-day breaks, the trade fails my rules, however rich the premium looks. If you hold stock into a risky

📈 Volatility is your friend in option trading! Yesterday I was down with flu symptoms 🤒, so while resting at home I spent quite some time watching financial channels on YouTube. I decided to dig deeper into $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$   🎥 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p6rjlXLDpcc At 9:30 PM Singapore time, the US market opened 🇺🇸 and I noticed that BE was actually the worst performing stock on my watchlist. I thought: Why not? 😏 Before going to sleep, I sold two PUT options on BE and placed a buyback order at a lower price, hoping it would trigger overnight while I was sleeping. 😴 BE bounced back a little from the lows, but my buyback order didn't trigger. Fast forward to today… 🚀 The market opened, and guess what? BE was suddenly

Last night, I shared my latest assessment of gold, equity indices, crypto assets, and the US dollar in the futures livestream room on the Tiger Brokers platform following the release of news regarding US Treasury purchases of government bonds. The central focus of the livestream was how to determine whether the market had shifted from a consolidation phase into a new trending phase by analyzing correlations among different asset classes. For those who were unable to attend, the replay of the video course is available below: Massive US Treasury Rescue Buying! Gold Surges, the Dollar Plunges: What Trading Opportunities Lie Ahead? I will now categorize and summarize the key information and trading-related insights fro

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ This week, SPY is being held below 780 — not my opinion, but dictated by the Bull Call Spreads: $SPY 20260814 780.0 CALL$ $SPY 20260814 788.0 CALL$ Rotation is back in play, with semiconductors once again becoming the sector being reined in. Last week's big regulator, NVIDIA, pulled back, while pharmaceuticals and software rebounded. $SpaceX(SPCX)$ There are two possible scenarios for this week: one is the stock being trapped in a 125–135 consolidation range; the other is breaking above 135 and trading in a 135–155 range. Either way, selli

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ I think these two lines are all the headline this article needs today. No need to analyze any other stocks. SPY has rallied to 775 — just close your eyes and pick any stock, and you'd make money. SPY dropped a massive block trade on the market — the August 21-expiry 775 call $SPY 20260821 775.0 CALL$ opened 50,000 contracts (buy-side). And today, more large bullish call trades continued to open during the session: 49,700 contracts of the August 14-expiry 775 call l$SPY 20260814 775.0 CALL$ , and 20,000 contracts of the September 18-expiry 820 call

Weekly options gains amidst a volatile market. 😊 Next week got to watch out for PCE & jobs  data which will affect market sentiment. Also will US accept Iran proposed deal? 

"Stock God" Leopold was margin-called and forced to transfer his holdings — Citadel Securities swooped in and picked them up at a bargain price. The very next day, the market rebounded sharply with a massive surge. There's something worth reminding everyone about: Citadel Securities acquired Morgan Stanley's options market-making business in 2025 and is likely the largest options market maker in the market today. As we all know, options liquidity is provided by market makers, so Leopold's large block buy orders were essentially visible chips in the eyes of the market makers. This reminds me of the old saying — "the mantis stalks the cicada, unaware of the oriole behind." The large block trades I've been tracking might just be fat lambs waiting to be sheared in the eyes of the market makers

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ QQQ suddenly initiated a small pullback, with the target being the starting price from August 3, around 710. SPY also looks like it's heading for a pullback to 760. This pullback isn't actually that small, but compared to July, it is. In terms of magnitude, it's simply giving back the excess gains from August 4. Even if it pulls back to 760, SPY's August gains would still be positive. The VIX 24 Call opened 146,600 contracts $VIX 20260916 24.0 CALL$ . Compared to the previous 28 Call opening, this is relatively moderate — suggesting that this pullback will likely push the VIX only into the low 20s. $SanDisk Corp

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Friday's nonfarm payrolls data is the big test, but Wednesday's ADP small employment report showed only 44,000 new jobs — missing expectations — which has made the market less certain about a September rate hike. It's not out of the question that SPY could retrace to 760 over the next two weeks. After that pullback, it's expected to remain in a high-level consolidation range. $SK hynix(SKHY)$ All seven storage companies have now reported earnings: Samsung, Hynix, Micron, SNDK, Kioxia, WDC, and STX. There's nothing wrong with the earnings themselves — the only problem is that prices got too expensive and got in the way of the cloud providers. How could a Korean storage comp

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ The news came out the day before yesterday that Anthropic is planning an IPO in September or early October. That would be right after Triple Witching on 9/18 — which roughly translates to bullish after Triple Witching. The bullish playbook is probably similar to before: continue squeezing the shorts, with the broader market dipping first then rallying. Oh, SPY might not drop, but some sectors will. IGV opened 50,000 contracts of the September 18-expiry 90 put$IGV 20261218 90.0 PUT$ — a buy-side bearish bet with a notional value of approximately $13.5 million. On the same day, PLTR opened 28,000 contracts of the 140 put

$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ are in an awkward position — especially CRWV. The key takeaway from earnings isn't in the financial results themselves, but outside the filings: GPU rental prices. It's similar to how storage stocks are priced — earnings only become interesting after long-term agreements (LTAs) are signed; before that, it's all about whether storage prices are going up. For data centers, both of these companies are heavily leveraged and asset-heavy. Whether they can turn a profit depends entirely on whether GPUs can be rented at good prices. If GPU rental prices fall, even stellar earnings won't save the stock — because institutions will reason that if you're renting cheap but bought

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ This is the most aggressive single-leg bullish bet I've ever seen: $SPY 20260821 785.0 CALL$  — a block trade buying the August 21-expiry 785 call, opening 85,000 contracts. $SPY 20260814 775.0 CALL$— a block trade buying the August 14-expiry 775 call, opening 85,000 contracts. $SPY 20260918 820.0 CALL$ — a block trade buying the September 18-expiry 820 call, opening 26,000 contracts. Notably, the 785 call is a roll — the previously mentioned $SPY 20260821

I. Fundamentals: Revenue and EPS Expected to Beat Consensus Q2 results are expected to beat consensus on both revenue and EPS, with additional upside to EPS driven by the cost-cutting effect of a 10% headcount reduction in May and a 49% month-over-month decline in job postings during Q2. AI integration + external compute sales are emerging as new growth drivers. Based on rumors that Meta may reach a compute leasing agreement with Anthropic, the market has priced in an additional $5 billion in AI compute revenue expectations by 2027. The bull case is well-rounded (stable advertising + AI monetization + cost reduction + reasonable valuation). However, like Microsoft and Google, Meta is one of the heaviest capex spenders among tech giants — with both AI infrastructure and Reality Labs burning

The July FOMC confirmed no rate hike — that's good. The U.S. stock market really can't handle any more turbulence right now. It may seem "reasonable" that only South Korea and Japan are plummeting, but in reality, it's not reasonable at all. The 100,000-contract IGV weekly call position $IGV 20260731 88.0 CALL$ was closed before Tuesday's close. Although IGV continued to rise today, for weekly options with less than five days to expiration, the trading discipline is exactly that — open on the day, close on the same day or the next. The noteworthy point is that I initially thought this trade was betting on upside from MSFT and META earnings, and that after closing it would at least roll into a new position. But the block trad

$Heico(HEI)$ reports fiscal third-quarter results after the August 25 close. The company has built one of the market’s most successful aerospace-compounding models by acquiring specialised component makers and selling lower-cost replacement parts into a growing installed aircraft base. Its next report must show that organic demand—not only acquisitions—continues supporting that premium valuation. HEICO’s fiscal second quarter, ended April 30 and reported May 27, was exceptional. Net sales increased 25%, consolidated organic sales grew more than 18%, operating income rose 41% and net income advanced 49% to a record $233.8 million, or $1.66 per diluted share. HEICO’s official press-release archive provides the reported figures. The bullish thesis res

$Zoom(ZM)$ reports fiscal second-quarter results after the August 25 close. The company is no longer valued as a pandemic-era video-conferencing disruptor. Its next phase depends on turning Zoom Phone, Contact Center, Workplace and AI Companion into an integrated communications platform that can grow faster than basic meetings. For the first fiscal quarter, ended April 30 and reported May 21, revenue increased 5.5% to $1.239 billion. Enterprise revenue grew faster than the company total, while large customers contributing more than $100,000 of trailing-12-month revenue also increased. Zoom’s official quarterly-results page contains the release, presentation and filing. The bullish thesis is that Zoom already sits inside millions of daily business in

I. Fundamentals: Long-Term Value vs. Near-Term Supply Shock 1. Long-term bull case unchanged, but short-term price under four layers of pressure ① tactical concerns over the upcoming lock-up expiry; ② AI business uncertainty; ③ potential Tesla merger complexity; ④ lower-than-expected passive index buying. As the lock-up expiry passes, the stock is expected to stabilize at some level. 2. Valuation: SOTP stress test suggests AI business is nearly free At the current price of approximately $108/share (~$1.4 trillion valuation), a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) stress test suggests that just the Space + Connectivity segments alone already support the bulk of the value: Space, benchmarked against Blue Origin, is valued at roughly $390–650 billion; Connectivity is conservatively valued at over $748 bil