Two ‘more’ pertinent economic reports were out yesterday, Tue 29 Apr 2025 : US consumer confidence index by The Conference Board. Jobs opening and labour turnover surveys (JOLTs) by US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Needless to say, both were disappointing, to put it mildly. Consumer Confidence Index - April 2025. Consumer confidence for April 2025, sank -7.9 points to 86, its lowest level since May 2020. (see above) It’s a larger decline than economists’ projection of 87.7. Another report, US’s Expectations Index, that captures people’s outlook on the economy, plummeted -12.5 points this month to 54.4, also the lowest level since October 2011. It is well below the threshold of 80 that usually signals a recession ahead. (see below) In the release, the Conference Board said consumers exp

On Mon, 14 Apr 2025, the S&P 500 reached an ominous-sounding milestone even as stocks largely added to their gains from last week’s rebound. When trading ended at 4pm, the large-cap index managed to tally a “death cross” — its first since March 2022, according to Dow Jones Market Data. S&P 500 - 14 Apr 2025 - Death Cross !! What is a “Death Cross” ? A death cross occurs when the 50-day moving average (ma) of a stock or index dips below its 200-day ma. Technical analysts interpret it as a sign that a correction could be metastasizing into a deeper downtrend. Did You Know ? As US stocks continue to struggle of late in 2025, a death cross has already appeared to: The small-cap Russell 2000 index. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ , it has flashed this pat

(Note: This article mainly examines the situation from the perspectives of corporate earnings expectations, investor sentiment, valuation expectations, technical analysis, and historical data. The data is sourced from publicly available materials. The views are for discussion purposes only and should not be taken as direct investment advice.)Recently, Trump's new tariff policy has disrupted the market and even raised expectations of an economic recession. To determine whether the economy is heading towards a recession, it is necessary to continue monitoring the negative impacts brought about by Trump's trade policies and policy uncertainties:Are the Q2 GDP growth rate, consumer confidence index, manufacturing and services indices, leading economic indicators (LEI), and non-farm employment

💰Major indices opened high and continued to rise, with most tech stocks seeing green.💹 $Astera Labs, Inc.(ALAB)$/$Marvell Technology(MRVL)$/$Broadcom(AVGO)$ : Catch those stalwart performers in the semiconductor sector.📣 Stay tuned and supercharge purchasing power with CashBoost!The market's been soaring, as Trump's words brought some cheer, and the Fed's signals gets clear.| Market recapThe market has seen consecutive gains on Wednesday and Thursday, accumulating over 5% since Tuesday. A more conciliatory stance from Trump, combined with positive signals from the Federal Reserve, has buoyed the market. Stocks that were at recent price lows, particularly large te

Public Holidays The USA, Hong Kong & Singapore have no public holidays in the coming week. America, Hong Kong and Singapore celebrate Good Friday on 18 Apr 2025. I wish you all a great weekend as Christians celebrate the love, sacrifice, and victory of Jesus. Economic Calendar (14Apr25) Notable Highlights China's GDP (Q1) is expected at 5.2% YoY (vs. 5.4% prior). This can be a good indicator of both Chinese production and global consumption. The Core Retail Sales (Mar) are forecasted at 0.4% MoM (vs. 0.3%), and Retail Sales at 1.4% MoM (vs. 0.2%). The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Apr) is forecasted at 3.1 (vs. 12.5). From investing dot com A level above zero on the index indicates improving conditions; below indicates worsening conditions. The data is compiled from a survey of

$S&P 500(.SPX) Market Analysis: S&P 500's Death Cross, Powell’s Stance, and the Path Ahead The S&P 500’s recent formation of a "death cross" (50-day moving average below 200-day) and subsequent volatility have intensified debates about whether the index will stabilize, form a double bottom, or plunge further. Here’s a synthesized outlook based on technicals, fundamentals, and geopolitical risks: 1. Death Cross Context: Not All Doom and Gloom - *Historical Precedent*: While the death cross is traditionally seen as a bearish signal, historical data shows mixed outcomes. In 54% of cases since 1971, the S&P 500 had already hit its lowest point before the death cross formed, suggesting potential for a rebound . - Example: The March 2020 death cross preceded a 50% rally with

In today’s volatile market, investors are grappling with a combination of geopolitical risks, economic shifts, and market corrections that are shaping investment strategies. With recent market volatility, changes in trade policies, and significant corporate developments, it's crucial to take a measured approach when deciding whether to "buy the dip" or "sell the rally." In this blog post, we synthesize insights from recent analyses to help you navigate these uncertain times and refine your investment strategy. 1. The Market Pulse: Key Developments Citi’s Downgrade of U.S. Equities: A Shift in Market Sentiment In a notable move, Citigroup downgraded U.S. equities from "Overweight" to "Neutral" in early March 2025. This marked a significant shift, with the bank also upgrading Chinese stocks.

USD is in trouble... I have said that 2 years ago (dated April 2023) in a series of articles titled, "US pushes China towards world dominance Series (5 Parts Series)".  Not sure if anyone had read that, not to mention remember those... Having said that, when I wrote those, even though I had mentioned Donald Trump as one of the main culprit for the demise of the dollar, the current scenario is not one I had predicted. The rest of those 5 part-series remains intact. I think 🐯 should give those articles another review and share with the readers! @TigerStars  I would love to share them here again (but not sure how to link them). Each article is a heavyweight on their own right and worth a read... I will probably repost

$S&P 500(. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ )$ $NASDAQ(. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ )$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average(. $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ )$ As of April 16, 2025, the S&P 500 faces a critical juncture. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has dashed hopes of a market bailout, stating, “Our focus is on inflation, not equity prices.” Meanwhile, Citi equity strategists, led by Beata Manthey, have downgraded the U.S. stock market from Overweight to Neutral, pointing to fading U.S. exceptionalism amid challenges like Deepseek, Europe’s fiscal stance, and rising trade tensions. With the index hovering near key support levels, is a double bottom forming, or are we headed for 5000—or low

$S&P 500(. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ )$ $Emerging Markets ETF( $iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF(EEM)$ )$ $Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund( $Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLI)$ )$ $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund( $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$ )$ On April 22, 2025, President Trump’s declaration that he has “no intention” of firing Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell triggered a swift market turnaround. U.S. stocks roared back, with the S&P 500 climbing 2.8% to 5,302, the U.S. dollar strengthening, and bonds rallying, while gold retreated from its highs. Investors are now asking: Is this a massiv

$S&P 500(. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ )$ $NASDAQ(. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ )$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average(. $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ )$ On April 9, 2025, the US stock market delivered a jaw-dropping performance, with the S&P 500 surging 9.78%—its third-largest single-day gain since World War II—and the Nasdaq soaring 12.34%, marking its second-biggest day ever. The catalyst? President Trump’s announcement of a 90-day tariff suspension for countries not retaliating against US trade policies. This move sparked a massive relief rally, pulling markets out of a trade-war-induced tailspin. But as of April 10, stocks are retreating, with the S&P 500 down 3.5% and the Nasdaq of

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Intel(INTC)$ $Applied Materials(AMAT)$🚨📰🤖 Mag 7 Stocks: The Tariff Twist That Could Change Everything 🤖🚨 In a move that reverberates through boardrooms and trading floors alike, the U.S. has granted a tariff reprieve to the tech sector’s most vital components. For the Mag 7 stocks: Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Tesla, and Nvidia, this is more than a policy update, it’s a potential inflection point in their market trajectories. I can’t help but feel a mix of relief and cautious optimism for the tech sector. The recent

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ US Tariffs: A Fatal Mistake Triggering Global Repercussions Global supply chains are on the verge of breaking, and US bond yields are spiking—clear signs that US-China relations have entered an irreversible collapse. The recent spike in rates stems directly from the trade war, revealing a critical failure in the US strategy to suppress yields. The partial U-turn on tariffs by the US isn’t a strategic shift—it’s damage control. The aim to lower bond yields has backfired spectacularly. China’s retaliation was swift and brutal: raising tariffs on US goods to an astronomical 84%. This isn't just economic maneuvering—it's a declaration of full-scale trade war. As of April 1

$S&P 500(. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ )$ $Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund( $Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund(UUP)$ )$ $ProShares UltraShort S&P 500( $ProShares UltraShort S&P500(SDS)$ )$ $iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF( $iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF(EEM)$ )$ The U.S. dollar’s slide below the critical 98 support level on April 20, 2025, has sent shockwaves through financial markets, with the S&P 500 closing at 5,158 on Monday, April 21, after a 2% loss. The CNN Fear and Greed Index, sitting at a jittery 21, reflects a market teetering on the edge of "extreme fear." With the USD Index (DXY) now

$Apple( $Apple(AAPL)$ )$ $NVIDIA Corp( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ )$ $S&P 500(. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ )$ $Citigroup( $Citigroup(C)$ )$ The U.S. stock market is at a pivotal moment as of April 14, 2025. Citi equity strategists, led by Beata Manthey, have downgraded their U.S. market rating from Overweight to Neutral, citing fading economic exceptionalism amid pressures like China’s DeepSeek AI, Europe’s fiscal policies, and escalating trade tensions. Yet, a tariff exemption on tech goods has sent Apple (AAPL) and NVIDIA (NVDA) soaring in overnight trading. With the S&P 500 teetering and tech stocks rallying, investors face a burni

The stock market is a high-stakes casino right now, and the Federal Reserve is spinning the wheel. With inflation stubbornly hovering at 3.1% in March 2025 and the 10-year Treasury yield spiking to 4.62%, investors are sweating bullets. The Nasdaq has shed 5.1% this month, closing at 17,342.19, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average clings to 42,108.63 after a 4.2% drop. Whispers of a rate hike—or a surprise pause—are swirling, and the stakes couldn’t be higher. Will the Fed’s next move tank growth stocks or ignite a relief rally? Let’s break it down with fresh data, market vibes, and trading plays to ride the wave. The Fed’s Tightrope: Inflation vs. Growth Inflation’s refusing to back down, clocking in at 3.1% last month—above the Fed’s 2% target. Meanwhile, jobless claims ticked up to 21