Shyon
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avatarShyon
00:36
Semiconductors have clearly shifted from last yearโ€™s AI storytelling to a hard execution phase. Capital is chasing memory names, while logic and architecture players are under intense scrutiny on real orders, margins, and guidance. This earnings week is less about vision and more about proof. My predictions:AMD: Jump | SMCI: Jump | QCOM: Drop | ARM: Drop I expect $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ to benefit from solid AI accelerator momentum and data center demand, enough to drive a post-arnings bounce. $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ , despite past issues, could see a relief rally if management shows backlog conversion
avatarShyon
02-03 11:10
My stock in focus today is $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ . Elon Muskโ€™s latest memo highlights Starshipโ€™s push toward ultra-high launch frequency, massive satellite deployment & even space-based AI data centersโ€”an ambitious roadmap that will significantly stretch SpaceXโ€™s execution capacity. As Starship resources are increasingly tied to Starlink V3 and long-term Moon/Mars initiatives, outsourcing parts of launch or satellite manufacturing becomes more likely. RKLB stands out here, with a solid Electron launch track record, Neutron progressing, and vertically integrated satellite manufacturing capabilities. This shifts RKLB from a niche launch provider to a potential beneficiary of space industrialization. Even limited outsourcing from SpaceX
avatarShyon
02-02 21:39
January closed green, but for me it was a very unusual start to the year. While the S&P 500 and Dow advanced, the NASDAQ lagged. Value and defensives leading while tech underperforms tells me this isnโ€™t a clean risk-on rally โ€” itโ€™s capital rotating & the market reassessing leadership. The collapse in gold & silver looked like a crowded trade unwinding fast, driven by a stronger dollar & expectations of a more hawkish Fed under Kevin Warsh. Crypto selling alongside precious metals reinforces the same message: liquidity assumptions are changing, speculative assets are feeling the pressure first. Heading into February, Iโ€™m staying cautious. A positive January is historically supportive, but it doesnโ€™t rule out near-term digestion, especially with a Fed leadership shift. Iโ€™m n
avatarShyon
02-02 18:18
My focus today is on $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ ahead of its Q4 2025 earnings release after the U.S. market close. Consensus expects revenue of about $1.34B, EPS of $0.23, already slightly above managementโ€™s prior guidance, meaning expectations are not low going into the print. Growth continues to be driven by strong AI demand across both government & commercial segments. Government revenue is supported by rising defense spending & contracts like the $448M Navy deal, while commercial revenue momentum remains key, following last quarterโ€™s triple-digit U.S. growth. Ongoing adoption of AIP & tools like AI Hivemind further reinforces Palantirโ€™s position in large-scale data integration. With the stock up roughly 78% in 2025 & o
avatarShyon
02-02 09:41
I remain bullish on $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ despite the ~20% pullback since Q3. Expectations are already high going into earnings, with consensus revenue above prior guidance, but the real focus will be on 2026 outlook, especially U.S. commercial growth & free cash flow. If management maintains its track record of raising guidance, the narrative can shift quickly back to forward growth. Historically, PLTR trades more on changes in forward EPS expectations than on valuation alone. Estimates havenโ€™t been revised down despite the selloff, which is constructive. Valuation risk is real, but Palantir has shown before that strong guidance can drive rapid re-rating, as seen in past sharp rebounds. For the earnings guess, I lean ๐ŸŸก $140โ€“$16
avatarShyon
02-01
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ I continue to dollar-cost average (DCA) into SOXL because my conviction in the semiconductor sector this year remains strong. Semiconductors sit at the center of nearly every structural growth theme todayโ€”AI, cloud computing, data centers, automotive electrification, and edge devices. These aren't short-term fads; they're multi-year demand drivers that continue to expand even through economic cycles. When I look at where capital spending is going globally, chips are clearly a top priority. This year in particular, the industry is benefiting from a powerful combination of AI infrastructure build-out and normalization in cyclical demand. Hyperscalers are still ramping aggressively on GPUs, ne
avatarShyon
01-30
From my view, Microsoftโ€™s $Microsoft(MSFT)$ drop looks like a valuation reset rather than a broken business. Azure is still growing at a very high level, but the market owned MSFT for acceleration, not deceleration. Iโ€™d be cautious but constructive โ€” $400 feels like a reasonable first entry, though Iโ€™d scale in slowly rather than go all-in. Meta $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ is the clearest winner for me. The +10% move is supported by real ad re-acceleration and visible AI-driven efficiency gains. I wouldnโ€™t chase after a vertical rally, but on consolidation or pullbacks, this still looks like a stock you want to own. Apple $Apple(AAPL)$ delivered objectivel
avatarShyon
01-30
From my perspective, this move feels less like a normal pullback and more like a liquidity-driven shakeout. When gold starts swinging $100 per minute and CME has to hike margins, thatโ€™s not fundamentals talking โ€” thatโ€™s leverage being forcefully unwound. Once liquidity dries up, even the strongest narratives get punished first. The Kevin Warsh factor matters here. A hawkish Fed Chair candidate immediately reprices the entire rate and USD path, and gold is extremely sensitive to that shift. I donโ€™t fully buy a 60% crash scenario, but I do agree with Cathie Wood on one thing: this rally went parabolic, and parabolic moves donโ€™t correct gently. For now, Iโ€™m not rushing to catch the knife. The $5,000 level is critical โ€” if it stabilizes with volume and volatility cools, thatโ€™s a different con
avatarShyon
01-30
My stock in focus today is $Apple(AAPL)$ , following a strong earnings report and solid forward guidance. Apple delivered an impressive fiscal Q1 and guided for 13โ€“16% revenue growth in the March quarter, even after accounting for iPhone supply constraints. Management emphasized that demand remains strong, and sales could be higher if chip supply were more sufficient. More importantly, the supply bottleneck lies in advanced SoC manufacturing capacity for A-series and M-series chips, not memory. With heavy reliance on TSMCโ€™s leading-edge nodes, Appleโ€™s silicon strategy once again proves to be a long-term competitive advantage rather than a structural risk. Despite rising component costs, Apple expects gross margins to improve to 48โ€“49%, highlight
avatarShyon
01-30
$Kulicke & Soffa(KLIC)$ I'm initiating a position in KLIC at these levels because the company's product portfolio positions it well for what appears to be the next phase of semiconductor capital equipment demand.  Kulicke & Soffa is a leader in wire bonding systems, which remain a core technology for connecting semiconductor dies to packages. Even as advanced packaging evolves, wire bonders are still essential in a wide range of devices โ€” especially power semiconductors, discrete components, RF front-ends, and many legacy technologies that continue to see growth in automotive, industrial, and consumer markets. Given the recent uptick in order activity and quoted lead times, it looks like demand for these foundational tools is fin
avatarShyon
01-29
This earnings week confirmed my view that the market is no longer just pricing Revenue and EPS โ€” itโ€™s pricing AI efficiency and ROI timing. META stood out with the clearest payoff story: ads stayed strong, engagement held up, and despite heavy capex, the monetization path felt direct, which is why the stock was rewarded. MSFT showed that beating numbers isnโ€™t enough anymore. Azure growth and EPS were solid, but higher-than-expected capex pushed investors to question how long AI returns will take. TSLA is different โ€” near-term EV pressure remains, but the market is clearly valuing the long-term optionality in Robotaxi, Optimus, and Physical AI. My Mag 7 Bingo picks: ROI Payback Test + Beat But Sold Off + Capex / Spending Plan. For 2026, META tells the strongest AI ROI story so far, while M
avatarShyon
01-29
This weekโ€™s SGX earnings felt like a real stress test for S-REIT investors. $OUEREIT(TS0U.SI)$ stood out as the dark horseโ€”FY DPU up 8.3% with a strong 2H rebound shows the deleveraging strategy is working. An 18% cut in interest expenses and asset pruning is exactly what I want to see in this rate environment. On the other hand, the Mapletree duo $Mapletree Ind Tr(ME8U.SI)$ $Mapletree Log Tr(M44U.SI)$ tested my patience. DPU declines at MLT and MIT werenโ€™t operationalโ€”occupancy is still solidโ€”but driven by forex pressure and high rates. Iโ€™m not shaken on fund
avatarShyon
01-29
My stock in focus today is Tesla $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ , as the market is shifting from EV delivery metrics toward its AI-led future. Elon Musk emphasized that Teslaโ€™s long-term value lies in autonomous driving, robotics, and AI, even suggesting a potential in-house chip fabโ€”reinforcing Teslaโ€™s positioning as a vertically integrated AI company, not just an automaker. Tesla disclosed 1.1 million FSD subscribers out of 8.9 million vehicles, a ~12% penetration rate. Musk said FSD is already running fully unsupervised in Austin, with Robotaxi services targeted for 1H 2026 across multiple U.S. cities. This pivot is backed by aggressive investment, with 2026 capex exp
avatarShyon
01-28
I read Pelosiโ€™s trade as risk management, not a tech bearish call. Trimming $Apple(AAPL)$ and $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ after a strong run while rolling exposure into LEAP calls is a smart way to lock in gains and stay positioned for long-term upside with less capital at risk. Itโ€™s about efficiency and optionality, not exiting tech. For retail investors, the lesson isnโ€™t to copy congressional trades, but to understand the thinking behind them. Most retail traders canโ€™t size or structure trades the same way, so blindly following disclosures rarely works. What does help is learning when to take profits and how to maintain exposure without overcommitting capital. $UnitedHealt
avatarShyon
01-28
I see the new Monday/Wednesday options mainly as short-term tactical tools, not something to trade aggressively. The extra expiries allow tighter positioning around specific catalysts like macro headlines or post-earnings moves, without overpaying for time value. Iโ€™d mostly use them in defined-risk spreads rather than straight long options. From the eligible names, Iโ€™m most interested in $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ . Both tend to show strong short-term momentum and active Gamma behavior, which fits Mon/Wed expiries well. NVDA often reacts quickly to AI-related news, while META works nicely for short-term volatility or quick Nasdaq hedges. Between the two, Wednesday expiries suit my
avatarShyon
01-28
My picks: TSLA-B, MSFT-A, META-B, AAPL-B. Iโ€™m staying bullish on all four into the peak of earnings season. Positioning feels cautious, expectations are mixed, and that creates room for upside if results or guidance are even slightly better than feared. For MSFT and META, the AI CapEx debate is front and center, but I think this quarter shifts the focus toward monetization. Signs of improving ROI from Azure AI workloads, Copilot adoption, and Metaโ€™s AI-driven ad efficiency could quickly flip sentiment and trigger relief rallies. AAPL & TSLA look like sentiment laggards with asymmetric upside. Apple just needs to outline a credible Apple Intelligence roadmap tied to its ecosystem, not dominate AI headlines. Tesla appears close to a margin & expectations trough; any stabilization in
avatarShyon
01-28
My stock in focus today is $Seagate Technology PLC(STX)$ after a blowout earnings report that further confirms the storage super cycle. Seagate beat expectations across revenue, margins & guidance, driven by surging demand for enterprise nearline HDDs & high-performance SSDs from AI data centers, reinforcing storage as a core pillar of AI infrastructure. Guidance was the key highlight. Seagate expects FY26 Q3 revenue of around $2.9B and EPS near $3.40, both well above consensus, with record margins underscoring strong pricing power. Management also noted nearline HDD capacity is effectively sold out through 2026, providing rare demand visibility. Stepping back, AI data centers are expanding both SSD and HDD usage as hyperscalers adopt hyb
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avatarShyon
01-27
Micronโ€™s $Micron Technology(MU)$ increased investment in Singapore looks like a strong long-term move to me. Singapore offers stability, supply-chain security, and execution certainty, and memory is now essential AI infrastructure rather than a purely cyclical play. This level of capex signals confidence in sustained demand and improving pricing power. Between Micron and SanDisk $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ , I see stability versus momentum. SanDiskโ€™s AI-driven re-rating has been explosive, but after a near-1,000% rally, expectations are stretched. Micron feels more balanced and diversified, making it a name Iโ€™d rather accumul
avatarShyon
01-27
$Apple(AAPL)$ Apple is my stock in focus today ๐ŸŽ. On the technical side, AAPL just touched and rebounded strongly from its EMA200, a key long-term trend support, which usually signals buyers are still in control and the broader structure remains intact. Fundamentally, the news flow supports this move. Mark Gurman highlighted that 2026 could be Appleโ€™s most exciting year in years, with major upgrades across Mac, iPhone, iPad, wearables, and smart home. Highlights include OLED touch MacBooks, a new low-cost MacBook, earlier-than-expected M6 chips, a foldable iPhone, and Appleโ€™s in-house C1 modem. When a solid EMA200 bounce lines up with a renewed innovation narrative, it improves the risk-reward profile. Volatility may persist, but structurally, A
avatarShyon
01-26
My stock in focus today is $ST Engineering(S63.SI)$ after news that its Commercial Aerospace business secured a five-year nacelle MRO agreement with LOT Polish Airlines for 15 Boeing 787 Dreamliners. While not a headline-grabbing mega deal, the contractโ€™s length and fleet coverage provide solid earnings visibility. Whatโ€™s more interesting is the predictive maintenance and structured refurbishment programme. This shifts nacelle support from reactive fixes to data-driven lifecycle planning, which typically leads to higher switching costs, stickier customer relationships, and better margin stability over time. From an investment perspective, this reinforces S63โ€™s strength in recurring aerospace services revenue, particularly on long-life wide-bo

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