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06-23

Market Indicies 18 June 2026 review - where are we now?

As of the market close on June 18, 2026 (latest comprehensive data available), here are the Year-to-Date (YTD) performance figures for the requested indexes and groups. Major Indexes (Price Returns, unless noted) S&P 500: +9.57% (Total Return ~+10.20%, including ~0.63% dividends). NASDAQ Composite: ~+14.09% (stronger recent momentum; Nasdaq-100, a related tech-heavy gauge, at +20.42%). Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA): +7.29%. Wilshire 5000 (FT Wilshire 5000 Full Cap): +9.74%. S&P 500 Breakdown and Magnificent 7 S&P 493 (S&P 500 excluding the Magnificent 7): Has generally outperformed the Mag 7 in 2026 so far, contributing to broader market gains. Exact current YTD not pinned in all sources, but it has led relative performance amid Mag 7 weakness (e.g., earlier in the ye
Market Indicies 18 June 2026 review - where are we now?
avatarKYHBKO
06-22
From my friend “Tiger Capital Research” Morning Brief | Overnight Important Developments on June 22 1. The first round of US-Iran negotiations did not discuss the issue of Iran's nuclear program; 2. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 61.5%; 3. Trump said the US might collect 20% of the oil revenue in the Middle East; 4. Canton Strategic launched a $50 million stock buyback plan; 5. Bitfinex report: Bitcoin shows a market structure of "selling pressure paused but buying interest unconfirmed"; 6. Forbes: Funds from crypto super PACs have started pouring into the 2026 US primary elections; 7. The Iranian delegation has left the negotiation venue, but negotiations with the US are still continuing through intermediaries.
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06-22

(Part 5 of 5) - My Investing Muse (22Jun2026)

My Investing Muse (22Jun2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies Meta’s CTO says morale is near “the worst it’s ever been” — leadership will offer increased snack budgets to lift spirits. Freight Distress Report: more carriers shut down, logistics firms cut jobs Bankruptcy filings from Texas to California were accompanied by hundreds of layoffs at Expeditors, Alan Ritchey, DHL and others - FreightWaves My muse The market is returning to a backdrop shaped by a peace deal that still lacks important details, alongside continued restrictions around access to the Straits of Hormuz. There also appear to be different interpretations of the agreement. In my view, this is consistent with the uncertainty we have seen since the start of the conflict, and I would not be surprised if tensions remain e
(Part 5 of 5) - My Investing Muse (22Jun2026)
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06-22

(Part 4 of 5) - News and my thoughts from the past week (22Jun2026)

News and my thoughts from the past week (22Jun2026) NSA Director Gen. Joshua Rudd claims Anthropic’s “MYTHOS” broke into America’s most sensitive classified systems in just a few hours. Eric Schmidt saying the quiet part out loud: "What I don't like about [China's AI] is that it's all open source which means it's largely uncontrolled and not controlled in any way by us." He adds, "if that makes you feel any better," that only 2 or 3 countries can be independent AI powers. In other words, it's all about hegemony: the ideal scenario is a world where AI is controlled by the US - and the fewer countries that can resist that, the better. GIC nears deal to offload US$2 billion in private credit stakes - The Business Times Amazon, Walmart, Uber, Cisco, and Meta have all capped or limited employee
(Part 4 of 5) - News and my thoughts from the past week (22Jun2026)
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06-22

(Part 3 of 5) - Market Outlook of S&P500 (22Jun2026)

Market Outlook of S&P500 (22Jun2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on a downtrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at 0.00, indicating the market has equal buying and selling momentum. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has been above the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have begun to trend upwards, which indicates a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages The exponential moving average (EMA) lines are showing a bulli
(Part 3 of 5) - Market Outlook of S&P500 (22Jun2026)
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06-22

(Part 2 of 5) - Earnings Calendar > FedEx - the market barometer

Earnings Calendar (22Jun2026) I am interested in the earnings of FedEx, Carnival, Micron, Trip and BlackBerrry. FedEx earnings serve as a primary health check for the global economy because the company moves millions of packages daily across more than 220 countries and territories. When businesses and consumers buy fewer goods, FedEx is often the first to notice. FedEx is a market bellwether. As a Global Trade Barometer, Consumer Spending Pulse, Corporate Health Indicator, Transportation Sector Leader and Forward-Looking Guidance, their earnings tell a lot more about the economy than the performance of one company. Valuation and Market Sentiment The stock has risen 44.31% from a year ago. Technical analysis currently points to a “strong sell” recommendation, while analyst se
(Part 2 of 5) - Earnings Calendar > FedEx - the market barometer
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06-22

(Part 1 of 5) - Economic Calendar (22Jun26)

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 22Jun2026) Business Activity · S&P Global Services PMI: The June Services PMI is forecast at 51.0, suggesting modest growth in the services sector. · S&P Global Manufacturing PMI: The June Manufacturing PMI is forecast at 54.8, indicating continued expansion in the manufacturing sector. Housing and Energy Markets · New Home Sales: May new home sales are expected to come in at 637,000 units, up from the previous 622,000 units. This will be an important reference point for assessing momentum in the real estate market. · Crude Oil Inventories: Crude oil inventory data remains a key near-term indicator. A drawdown in inventories may signal stronger demand expectations and provide insight into how oil m
(Part 1 of 5) - Economic Calendar (22Jun26)
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06-22

(Full Article) Preview of the week (22Jun2026) - FedEx a market barometer?

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 22Jun2026) Business Activity · S&P Global Services PMI: The June Services PMI is forecast at 51.0, suggesting modest growth in the services sector. · S&P Global Manufacturing PMI: The June Manufacturing PMI is forecast at 54.8, indicating continued expansion in the manufacturing sector. Housing and Energy Markets · New Home Sales: May new home sales are expected to come in at 637,000 units, up from the previous 622,000 units. This will be an important reference point for assessing momentum in the real estate market. · Crude Oil Inventories: Crude oil inventory data remains a key near-term indicator. A drawdown in inventories may signal stronger demand expectations and provide insight into how oil majors view market consumption. Inflation
(Full Article) Preview of the week (22Jun2026) - FedEx a market barometer?
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06-14

Part 5 of 5: My Investing Muse (15Jun2026)

My Investing Muse (15Jun2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies The latest filings include a mix of Chapter 11 re-organizations and Chapter 7 liquidations involving trucking carriers, freight brokers, logistics consultants and transportation service providers operating in Illinois, Tennessee, Maryland, North Carolina and Michigan. - FreightWaves News summary from Gemini The global layoff landscape for the week of June 8, 2026, marks a decisive macro shift: companies are aggressively substituting traditional workforce overhead to fund and integrate agentic AI workflows. Over 55% of global tech layoffs this year now explicitly cite AI restructuring. Tech & Gaming Adjustments: Sea Group’s Shopee cut hundreds of developer roles (~8% of engineering) globally, offering “N+2”
Part 5 of 5: My Investing Muse (15Jun2026)
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06-14

Part 4 of 5: News and my thoughts from the past week (15Jun2026)

News and my thoughts from the past week (15Jun2026) The preferred sequence should be legislation to governance to innovation but now, governance and legislation are catching up with innovations. There's risk. Without governance, aligning innovation with legislation can be painful. - Pukka Solutions "people gotta understand... [SpaceX] raised $75 billion... [and only] floated 5% of the stock... it's a very small float". "[But its valuation], that's a different story". "$1.7 trillion did not go to SpaceX. [It is] $75 billion. So people need to understand that". "then when Anthropic and OpenAI, if they ever make it to IPO, they're going to raise about $100 billion each. So the total raised actual real money is about $300 billion between these three IPOs". "Their valuations, that's a different
Part 4 of 5: News and my thoughts from the past week (15Jun2026)
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06-14

Part 3 of 5: Market Outlook of S&P500 (15Jun2026)

Market Outlook of S&P500 (15Jun2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on a downtrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at 0.04, indicating there is more buying momentum than selling pressure in the market. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has been above the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have begun to trend upwards, which indicates a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages The exponential moving average (EMA) lines ar
Part 3 of 5: Market Outlook of S&P500 (15Jun2026)
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06-14

Part 2 of 5: Earnings Calendar (15Jun2026) - Accenture

Earnings Calendar (15Jun2026) I’m reviewing the companies reporting earnings in the coming week: Kruger, Accenture, Jabil, CarMax, and Quantum. Accenture Overview Valuation and Market Sentiment Accenture’s share price has declined by more than 45% compared with a year ago. At a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.9 and earnings per share of $12.32, the stock appears to offer an interesting valuation opportunity. From a market perspective, technical analysis indicates a “strong sell” signal, while broader analyst sentiment remains constructive, with a “buy” recommendation and an average price target of $236.86, implying potential upside of more than 39%. Income Statement Performance (2021–2025) Over the 2021 to 2025 period, total revenue increased from $50.5 billion to $69.6 billion, gr
Part 2 of 5: Earnings Calendar (15Jun2026) - Accenture
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06-14

Part 1 of 5: Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 15Jun2026)

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 15Jun2026) Consumer and Demand Indicators May retail sales are expected to rise by 0.5%. Together with core retail sales, this release should provide a clearer view of consumer demand and spending momentum. Energy Market Indicator Crude oil inventory data will also be closely watched, as it offers insight into how producers are positioning for expected market demand. Federal Reserve and Labour Market The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision will be the week’s most closely watched event. Rates are expected to remain unchanged at 3.75%, but the accompanying statement and updated economic projections are likely to have the greatest market impact by shaping expectations for the months ahead. We expect this announcement to introduce volatility ac
Part 1 of 5: Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 15Jun2026)
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06-14

Full article: Preview of the week (15Jun2026)

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 15Jun2026) Consumer and Demand Indicators May retail sales are expected to rise by 0.5%. Together with core retail sales, this release should provide a clearer view of consumer demand and spending momentum. Energy Market Indicator Crude oil inventory data will also be closely watched, as it offers insight into how producers are positioning for expected market demand. Federal Reserve and Labour Market The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision will be the week’s most closely watched event. Rates are expected to remain unchanged at 3.75%, but the accompanying statement and updated economic projections are likely to have the greatest market impact by shaping expectations for the months ahead. We expect this announcement to introduce volatility ac
Full article: Preview of the week (15Jun2026)
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06-07

Part 5 of 5 - My investing muse (08Jun2026)

My Investing Muse (08Jun2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies US-based technology employers announced 38,242 job cuts in May, the highest monthly total since August 2024, according to Challenger Gray data. Year-to-date, tech sector job cuts rose +66% YoY, to 123,653, the highest among all sectors, and 3x larger than transportation, the next closest sector. AI was the most cited reason for job cuts for the 3rd consecutive month, with 38,579 cuts attributed to AI in May alone, the highest since Challenger began tracking in 2023. This accounts for 40% of all layoffs announced last month, up from just 7% in January. Year-to-date, AI has been cited in 87,714 job cuts in 2026, or 22% of the total, already surpassing the 54,836 recorded in all of 2025 and 12,742 in 2024. AI continues to resha
Part 5 of 5 - My investing muse (08Jun2026)
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06-07

Part 4 of 5 - News from the past week (08Jun2026)

News and my thoughts from the past week (08Jun2026) India’s fertility rate has fallen below replacement for the first time in the country’s history, declining from a TFR of 2.3 to 1.9 in just a decade. Delhi’s fertility rate now sits at 1.2, lower than Finland’s. - AF Post President Trump says the Trump Administration might buy equity stakes in US AI companies and that he will host a meeting with AI executives as soon as next week, per Reuters. Iran announces it is ending all negotiations with the US and vows to "completely" block the Strait of Hormuz, per CNBC. Iran says it is ending negotiations due to repeated ceasefire violations, including Israeli strikes in Lebanon. Iran also threatens to block the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. - X user the Kobeissi Letter
Part 4 of 5 - News from the past week (08Jun2026)
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06-07

Part 3 of 5 - S&P500 outlook (08Jun2026)

Market Outlook of S&P500 (08Jun2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 has started a downtrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at 0.19, indicating there is more buying momentum than selling pressure in the market. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has been above the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have begun to trend upwards, which indicates a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages The exponential moving average (EMA) li
Part 3 of 5 - S&P500 outlook (08Jun2026)
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06-07

Part 2 of 5 - Earnings Calendar (08Jun2026) - Oracle for you?

Earnings Calendar (08Jun2026) I am interested in the coming earnings announcements for Oracle and Adobe. Let us look at Oracle - one of the key links in the AI ecosystem. Oracle shares are up 22.78% from a year ago. Technical indicators currently suggest a strong buy, while analyst sentiment is also positive, with a consensus buy rating. The average price target is $251.20, implying potential upside of 17.58%. Valuation With a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 37.8 and earnings per share (EPS) of $5.69, the stock appears relatively expensive on current earnings. Financial Performance Total annual revenue increased from $40.4 billion in 2021 to $57.3 billion in 2025. Gross profit also improved, rising from $32.6 billion to $40.4 billion over the same period. Net income, howeve
Part 2 of 5 - Earnings Calendar (08Jun2026) - Oracle for you?
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06-07

Part 1 of 5: Economic Calendar review (08Jun2026)

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 08Jun2026) Housing Market Existing home sales data for May will be released, with forecasts pointing to an annualized rate of 4.08 million units. This will be an important indicator for the direction of the U.S. housing market. Inflation Indicators The main focus in the coming week will be the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May. Headline CPI is expected to rise 4.2% year over year, up from 3.8% in the previous month. Core CPI is also projected to increase, with a monthly gain of 0.5%, compared with 0.4% previously. Another key release will be the Producer Price Index (PPI) for May. PPI measures inflation at the producer level and often provides an early signal of price pressures that may later be passed on to consumers. The forecast stands at 0.
Part 1 of 5: Economic Calendar review (08Jun2026)
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06-07

Full article - Preview of the week (08Jun2026) - Oracle has risen 24%

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 08Jun2026) Housing Market Existing home sales data for May will be released, with forecasts pointing to an annualized rate of 4.08 million units. This will be an important indicator for the direction of the U.S. housing market. Inflation Indicators The main focus in the coming week will be the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May. Headline CPI is expected to rise 4.2% year over year, up from 3.8% in the previous month. Core CPI is also projected to increase, with a monthly gain of 0.5%, compared with 0.4% previously. Another key release will be the Producer Price Index (PPI) for May. PPI measures inflation at the producer level and often provides an early signal of price pressures that may later be passed on to consumers. The forecast stands at 0.
Full article - Preview of the week (08Jun2026) - Oracle has risen 24%

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