My Investing Muse Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies Oracle is considering slashing up to 30,000 jobs as the company struggles with the cost of its AI build-out. - X user Markets & Mayhem Peloton looks to cut about 11% of its workforce. - Bloomberg US layoffs have surged to recessionary levels: US employers announced 1,206,374 job cuts in 2025, up +58% YoY, the highest since the 2020 Crisis. Excluding 2020, this was the worst year since the 2008 Financial Crisis. - X user Global Markets Investor Chemical maker Dow is cutting 4,500 jobs and will rely on AI. - X user MacroEdge My Final Thoughts Here is the S&P 500 denominated in gold (i.e., the S&P 500 to Gold Ratio), which shows how many ounces of gold are equivalent to the S&P 500 index level at month-end closes (or closes

News and my thoughts from the past week (02Feb2026) Several explosions were reported just now in Tehran and other cities in Iran. - X user Jesse Cohen The U.S. Senate passes a bill to fund the government, averting an imminent shutdown. The legislation now moves to the House. Seems like the Government shutdown is over (for now). - X user Conflict Alarm Ray Dalio just said the quiet part out loud. "If you depreciate the money, it makes everything look like it's going up." The Stock Market boom is a lie. We are witnessing the death of the Dollar, not the growth of the economy. 99% of people have no idea. - X user Bark 26.4% of US federal debt is maturing within 12 months, near the highest % in 26 years, according to Tavi Costa's analysis. This is about $10 TRILLION of debt. - X user Global Ma

Market Outlook of S&P500 (02Feb2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has completed a top crossover, which implies a bearish outlook. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated above both the 50-day and 200-day moving average (MA) lines. This positioning indicates a bullish trend in both the short-term and long-term outlooks. Furthermore, both the 50 MA and the 200 MA are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines have yet to converge. We can expect a change from the current bullish trend after the 3 lines have completed their overlap. Currently, EMA is suggesting a more bullish outl

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases for January 2026 (week of 02Feb2026) Consumer Price Index (CPI) Update The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is scheduled for release in the coming week. Previously, the year-on-year CPI was reported at 2.7%. This data is significant as it provides insight into the current inflation rate, a critical economic indicator. Market volatility is expected around the release, given CPI’s role in reflecting inflation trends. Controlling inflation remains a central focus for the Federal Government, which has set a target rate of 2%. Existing Home Sales for January Another important economic indicator to be released is the existing home sales data for January. The previous report showed a figure of 4.35 million. The upcoming data will offer valuable insight into the

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases for January 2026 (week of 02Feb2026) Consumer Price Index (CPI) Update The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is scheduled for release in the coming week. Previously, the year-on-year CPI was reported at 2.7%. This data is significant as it provides insight into the current inflation rate, a critical economic indicator. Market volatility is expected around the release, given CPI’s role in reflecting inflation trends. Controlling inflation remains a central focus for the Federal Government, which has set a target rate of 2%. Existing Home Sales for January Another important economic indicator to be released is the existing home sales data for January. The previous report showed a figure of 4.35 million. The upcoming data will offer valuable insight into the

Paper profits are not profits until they are realized. 

Latest Meta earnings $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$  from X user Economyapp  Meta Q4 FY25: 👨‍👩‍👧‍👦 Daily active people +7% Y/Y to 3.58B. 👀 Ad impressions +18% Y/Y. • Revenue +24% Y/Y to $59.9B ($1.4B beat). • EPS $8.88 ($0.66 beat). • FY26 Capex $115-135B (vs. $72B in FY25). Is Meta going for $800?

Tesla earnings summary by X user Economyapp  Tesla Q4 FY25: • Revenue -3% Y/Y to $24.9B ($0.1B beat). • Gross margin 20% (+4pp Y/Y). • Operating margin 6% (flat Y/Y). • Capex -14% Y/Y to $2.4B. • Free cash flow -30% Y/Y to $1.4B. • Non-GAAP EPS $0.50 ($0.05 beat). Tesla stocks was soaring after the latest earnings.

Microsoft Q2 FY26 earnings (Dec. quarter): ☁️ Azure +38% fx neutral. • Revenue +17% Y/Y to $81.3B ($1.0B beat). • Gross margin 68% (-1pp Y/Y)  • Operating margin 47% (+2pp Y/Y). • Non-GAAP EPS $4.14 ($0.22 beat). • $10B gains from investments in OpenAI. Data and earnings chart are from X user economyapp. The stock fell since earnings was announced. Expect some volatility.

My Investing Muse (26Jan2026) Layoffs, Bankruptcy & Closure news Amazon is planning a second round of job cuts next week as part of its broader goal of trimming some 30,000 corporate workers, two people familiar with the matter told Reuters Citi cutting 1,000 now. More layoffs coming in March. Announced after bonuses, of course. - X user Amanda Goodall 55% of companies expect layoffs in 2026, including 48% who say layoffs will definitely or probably occur in Q1. - X user Amanda Goodall 45% of employers post fake listings, per Forbes. - X user Unusual Whales 6 in 10 companies will conduct layoffs in 2026. By analyzing $4 trillion of shipments between January 2024 and November 2025, the Kiel Institute researchers found that foreign exporters absorbed only about 4% of the burden of last y

News and my thoughts from the past week (26Jan2026) Civil unrest. Jamie Dimon says that’s what happens when AI layoffs move faster than society can adapt. AI isn’t the danger. Speed is. If technological displacement arrives in sudden, concentrated waves, Dimon warned that the consequences could be destabilising. “You’ll have civil unrest.” - X user Amanda Goodall Trump admitted the reason he doesn’t want home prices to fall so people can afford them, is that current homeowners and mortgage lenders would lose money. But if homes are so overpriced that people can't afford to buy them, they’re not worth what people think. A crash is coming. - Peter Schiff One of the most overvalued stock markets by any metric - X user Lukas Ekwueme The Federal Reserve is injecting $55.3B into the financial sy

Market Outlook of S&P500 (26Jan2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has completed a top crossover, which implies a bearish outlook. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated above both the 50-day and 200-day moving average (MA) lines. This positioning indicates a bullish trend in both the short-term and long-term outlooks. Furthermore, both the 50 MA and the 200 MA are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are converging. We can expect a change from the current bullish trend after the 3 lines have completed their overlap. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)

Earnings Calendar (26Jan2026) I am monitoring the earnings results from Microsoft, Apple, Meta, Tesla, UPS, GM, Chevron and ExxonMobil. Let us explore the recent performance of ExxonMobil. Stock Performance and Analyst Recommendations Technical analysis for ExxonMobil indicates a “Strong Buy” recommendation, suggesting favourable market signals and trends. In addition to technical factors, analyst sentiment supports a positive outlook for the stock, with a consensus rating of “Buy.” The current price target stands at $132.48. However, this target implies a potential downside of approximately 1.84%, reflecting a drop from the current trading price. ExxonMobil Earnings Highlights Revenue Growth ExxonMobil has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the past decade. The company’s revenue incr

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases for January 2026 (week of 26Jan2026) This week features several key economic indicators and events that will offer insights into the economy's health. On Monday, durable goods orders for November will be released. This data serves as a key measure of consumption and investment in the economy. Alongside this, the Conference Board (CB) Consumer Confidence Index for January will be published. The previous index reading was 89.1, which pointed to declining consumer confidence. Additionally, President Trump is scheduled to deliver a speech on Wednesday, January 28. This event has the potential to introduce volatility to the markets, depending on the topics addressed and the market’s reaction. Crude oil inventory data will also be updated in the coming week. T

One day does not make a trend.  If we bought with convictions after research, we can consider another purchase if there is adequate margin of safety.  $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$   $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$  

Global bonds is signalling caution. $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$   $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$  

My Investing Muse (19Jan2026) Layoffs, Bankruptcy & Closure news Big Tech is quietly moving jobs overseas. 52% of tech and banking professionals say their companies will increase hiring in India in 2026. 38% say those hires are replacing US jobs. 93% of employees at global firms expect India's headcount to keep expanding. Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Uber, eBay… the shift is real. This is not globalisation. It is workforce offshoring in plain sight. - IB Times CITIGROUP Layoffs -- They are done with participation trophies. Jane Fraser: “We are not graded on effort. We are judged on results.” This week: 1,000 jobs cut. Target: 20,000+ total. - X user Amanda Goodall My Final Thoughts War threats against Iran and Greenland remain unresolved despite diplomatic efforts, heightening global con