Asymmetry of risk: If any of the AI story breaks – capital spending slows down, model performance bottlenecks, regulatory tightening – the higher the concentration, the sharper the pullback. In a market where the yield of ten-year treasury bond is already higher than the stock earnings yield, why does it still refuse to call back despite soaring nearly 70% in oil prices this year, and the 10-year bond interest rate still remains near 5.24%?

$Rezolve AI(RZLV)$   RZLV is sitting at one of those uncomfortable points where the business story and the stock chart are telling two very different stories. RZLV closed at $2.06, down 3.29%, almost exactly at its session low of $2.05. The stock has fallen from its recent $2.39 high and is now testing the psychologically important $2 level. Meanwhile, short-term RSI has collapsed into oversold territory. That creates a potentially attractive rebound setup. But I would not buy simply because RZLV looks cheap. At $2.06, I want confirmation that sellers are actually running out of ammunition. The fundamental story is still powerful. Rezolve has reported extraordinary revenue acceleration, expanded its customer base and continued building partne

The Myth of "High" Rates: Why Structural Growth and Options Cash Flow Dominate a Normalized Macro Era 1. Introduction: The Anxiety of "Higher for Longer" Across financial media and retail trading forums, the phrase "higher for longer" is routinely treated as a harbinger of market stagnation. Investors who began their journey during the post-2008 bull run have spent years operating under a specific mental model: cheap debt, endless liquidity, and near-zero interest rates as the default background setting for asset appreciation. As central banks maintained elevated baseline interest rates to manage persistent structural inflation, a pervasive anxiety took hold. The dominant fear suggests that elevated cost of capital will permanently compress equity valuations, crush growth stocks, and force

If interest rates stay higher for longer, the obvious response is to hide in cash and collect the yield. I'm taking a different approach. I still want exposure to crypto, but I’m separating Bitcoin from Circle (CRCL) because higher rates affect them very differently. Bitcoin is the scarce asset. Circle is the business trying to build financial infrastructure around digital dollars. One is primarily a liquidity and adoption trade. The other must ultimately deliver revenue, margins and durable competitive advantage. That distinction determines my Pick Levels. Why I Still Want Bitcoin Bitcoin has recovered strongly from its Q3 lows and is back around the mid-$80,000s. Higher rates are not automatically bullish for BTC. A stronger dollar, attractive Treasury yields and tighter liquidity can al

🌟🌟🌟The global financial market is standing on the edge of a dizzying cliff, staring directly down at a 5.5% interest rate.  For months, every investor has been holding their breath, wondering if the relentless drop in asset prices will finally stop or explode into a chaotic market mess. Today, Friday 2 October 2026, the market faces its ultimate test: the US Jobs Report (Nonfarm Payrolls).  Paired with fresh economic drama from Wednesday's PCE Inflation Data, the playbook for investing is about to be completely rewritten in real time. The Bond Blueprint: Hot vs Cold Jobs Data Think of the market as a giant scale and today's jobs numbers is a massive boulder about to drop.  Wall Street is expecting a cozy 90,000 to 100,000 new jobs to have been added last month with the unemp

High Rates for Longer: How Would I Change My Investment Strategy? The biggest mistake in a “higher-for-longer” environment is assuming that the answer is simply to sell stocks and wait for rates to fall. I would do something different. I would make the portfolio more sensitive to cash flow, valuation and balance-sheet strength — while becoming much more selective about how much I pay for future growth. The reason is simple: high rates change the hurdle rate for almost every investment. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield recently reached 5.278%, its highest level since 2007, while the 30-year yield also reached levels not seen since 2002. The Federal Reserve has also raised its policy rate to 3.75%–4.00%, with markets still pricing meaningful odds of another hike.  That creates a very dif

$Exxon Mobil(XOM)$   $Chevron(CVX)$   $Spdr S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Etf(XOP)$   $Micron Technology(MU)$   Oil above $100 naturally makes XOM, CVX and COP look like the obvious winners. But I think the more interesting trade is happening somewhere else. At these levels, oil stops being only an energy story. It becomes an inflation, interest-rate and valuation story. The chain I'm watching is simple: Oil ↑ → Inflation pressure ↑ → Rate-cut expectations ↓ → Treasury yields ↑ → Growth va

HIGHER INTEREST RATES FOR LONGER, IS THE STOCK MARKET ABOUT TO CRASH? Hey everyone, this article is for everyone that follows me. Over 1300 of you here in tiger. Sorry for the clickbait title, but there's a lot of clickbait at the moment. So I wanted to address the topic of a crash rationally, plus discuss what I'm doing about it. So I'm the emotional investor. This is actually an antonym. Meaning Im the absolute opposite of emotional when it comes to investing. My philosophy with investing is that I cannot help people that feel, I can only help people that want to think. With that said, let's think. We will begin with the US fed raising interest rates by 0.25 basis points and a potential for them to raise again by another 0.25 basis points prior to the end of the year. So that would bring

Oil above US$100 changes the market equation for me. The biggest issue is not simply higher petrol prices, but the chain reaction: higher energy and transport costs → higher inflation → higher-for-longer interest rates → pressure on corporate margins and equity valuations. 🟢 Potential winners: Energy Oil producers such as $Exxon Mobil (XOM)$, $Chevron (CVX)$ and $ConocoPhillips (COP)$ should generally benefit if crude remains elevated because higher realised oil prices can translate into stronger cash flow. Refiners may also benefit when refining margins are favourable. We have already seen this rotation: when Brent moved above US$100 on 9 September, the S&P 500 Energy sector gained 1.1% while every other S&P sector declined. 🟡 Technology: Strong fundamentals meet a macro headwind

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌ So PCE and job numbers are more optimistic than market estimates, sending bullish shockwaves to majority of hyperscalers and sectors. However, this does not discount the elevated yields and various macro factors that are still in play. I anticipate a rotation in funds into defensive sectors such as $Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLC)$ $Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLU)$ $Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLV)$ from high valuations sectors $Technology Select Sec

🌟🌟🌟As global crude oil crashes through the USD 100 per barrel milestone, a raw energetic current is tearing through the Singapore stock market.  For months, the Straits Times Index or STI tried to maintain its cool, insulated by its stable, defensive banks.  But with the Middle East supply stretching thin, triple digit oil has ceased to be an abstract metric.  It is affecting Singapore companies' balance sheets in real time. Some local blue chips are surfing a wave of pure windfall profit while others are holding their breath as massive operational expenses begin to threaten their bottom lines. 2 Winners Riding the Crude Oil Wave: $Sembcorp Ind(U96.SI)$  - The Strategic Play  Sembcorp acts as th

$United Parcel Service Inc(UPS)$ fell 4.35% on September 21 as investors focused on slower $Amazon.com(AMZN)$-related shipments and weaker domestic volume. The decline arrived as a separate pressure intensified: a global diesel shortage that analysts expect may persist into 2027. Reuters reported on September 21 that US diesel prices had exceeded $6 per gallon and inventories were at their lowest September level since 1982. Reuters' diesel-market analysis attributes the squeeze to disruptions involving Iran and Russia, low stocks and refinery constraints. The bullish UPS thesis is deliberate mix improvement. Management has been reducing low-margin Amazon volume and reconfiguring its network, accepting fewe

For week ending Fri, 21 Aug 2026, US stock market rally bent but didn't break - a disaster week, if I could say so. All the key indexes fell below their 21-day moving averages on Thu, 20 Aug 2026 with the Nasdaq also closing below its 04 Aug 2026’s follow-through day low — a highly bearish signal that the market rally will ultimately fail. The indexes rose modestly on Friday, with all except Nasdaq regaining their 21-day lines. For the week: (see above) DJIA : -0.75% (-386.10 to 53,277.01). The Dow is posting back-to-back weekly losses. S&P 500 : -1.49% (-116.31 to 7,674.37). Nasdaq : -2.26% (-604.20 to 26,180.46). In the wake of the latest market drawdown, Verdence Capital Advisors, founder & CEO, Leo Kelly thinks US equities could see even more losses, a slide toward correction t

The rapid ascent of crude oil to $108 per barrel—occurring alongside a synchronized surge in benchmark sovereign bond yields—presents a complex structural crossroads for global asset allocation. Traditional financial playbooks suggest that elevated energy prices function as an arbitrary tax on global consumption, while rising interest rates compress stock valuations by inflating discount rates. However, contemporary cross-asset dynamics reveal a far more bifurcated and nuanced reality. In this article, we would like to look at other than the Energy (Undisputed Leader), could Technology which present bifurcated opportunity could produce winners, we would be looking at losers to weigh the opportunity in more balanced way, lastly, we would look at Consumer Staples on Pricing Power vs. Input C

Oil is easing—but has the Hormuz supply shock really eased? If you saw my previous post, you’ll know I’m watching for mean reversion in oil. Today’s move is encouraging for that thesis: USO was recently around $148.23, down $5.59 (3.63%), while WTI also fell sharply. One possible reason: more Middle Eastern crude is still finding ways to reach buyers, despite the disruption. Saudi Arabia has reportedly increased exports through Hormuz after its East–West Pipeline was attacked. Reuters reported that 22 tankers carrying around 42 million barrels exited the strait during the week of September 13. But the wider picture is still far from normal: just 17 commodity vessels transited over the weekend, compared with roughly 125 vessels a day before the war. Tanker availability and shipping costs al

Last night, in a futures livestream on the Tiger platform, I shared my latest views on the movements of gold, equity indices, and the U.S. dollar following the U.S. Treasury’s announcement on Treasury bond purchases. The core of this session was how to assess, through correlations across different asset classes, whether the market has shifted from a range-bound environment into a new trend phase. Those who were unable to attend may watch the replay of our video course here: >>> Could the U.S. Treasury’s Aggressive Market Support Backfire? Three Ways to Track the Current Market Next, I will summarize the key information and

For week ending Fri, 14 Aug 2026, US market performance could at best be described as “mixed”. Overall, the week reflected a classic “good news is good news” dynamic: cooling inflation & steady earnings supported valuations. Soft activity data capped upside and prompted a modest Friday pullback from record highs. By the time market called it a week: DJIA: -0.36% (-340.25 to 53,732.41). S&P 500: +0.44% (+34.02 to 7,785.76). Crossed the 7,800 mark for the 1st time on Thu, 13 Aug 2026. Nasdaq: +0.18% ( +48.72 to 26,729.16). Eked out its 3rd weekly gain in a row, ending the week higher marginally. Weekly Catalysts. Catalysts that have either lifted / dampened market sentiments include: Cooling inflation. July 2026 - Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports rele

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$   $Micron Technology(MU)$   $SK hynix(SKHY)$   August 2026 was not a month. It was a stress test. In the span of four weeks, the market experienced its sharpest single-day crash of the year, a record high close, a Warsh hawkish shock, an NVDA blowout, a China memory threat, and a SanDisk Investor Day that rewrote the NAND story permanently. If your positions survived all five of those in sequence and you still have conviction, you have earned it. If you did not, August just taught you something worth learning before September. Here is the honest review, and the September pla

🌟🌟🌟The S&P 500 has blasted through the stratosphere to reach new spectacular all time highs.  With global bond yields hovering new multi decade highs, investors face a defining choice: Are we looking at a permanent mainline offensive breakout, or is a violent correction lurking around the corner? How High Can the S&P500 Go?  Target 8000, 8500 or a Pullback? The bullish analysts on Wall Street argues that treating the current breakout as a standard, overextended bubble is a mistake.  Their reasons are: The AI Productivity Moat:  Premier research desks at Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan indicate that if corporate investments in AI infrastructure successfully trigger an efficiency wave across non tech sectors, the S&P 500 index commands an uninterrupted runway towar