nerdbull1669
nerdbull1669
A.I. Stock Scanner. Strong TA Believer . @nerdbull1669
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12-12 20:04

Investor Concerned About Macro and Valuation Drivers Amplifying Rotation Behavior, Sentiment In Scrutiny Mode?

Current market analysis and recent activity, as of December 2025, suggest that sector rotations away from a narrow focus on AI tech are currently in progress and are expected to continue.  AI spending not generating sufficient investment returns—exemplified by weak earnings from companies like Oracle and mixed signals from Broadcom— are accelerating a sector rotation away from the AI trade and whether this trend is likely to continue into 2026. 1. Investor Sentiment Has Shifted From Unquestioning AI Enthusiasm to Scrutiny Recent earnings events, particularly Oracle’s earnings disappointment and aggressive AI capex guidance, have acted as a catalyst for investor rethink rather than a standalone fundamental breakdown in AI demand: Oracle’s stock plunged sharply after disappointing forec
Investor Concerned About Macro and Valuation Drivers Amplifying Rotation Behavior, Sentiment In Scrutiny Mode?
avatarnerdbull1669
12-12 09:21

Micron (MU) Need To Deliver "Beat and Raise" That Exceeds "whisper numbers"

$Micron Technology(MU)$ upcoming Fiscal Q1 2026 earnings, which is scheduled for Wednesday, December 17, 2025 (After Market Close). We need to be aware of the concerns about the "beat and drop" phenomenon seen with $Broadcom(AVGO)$ dropping more than 4% even though it handily beat estimates for its fiscal fourth quarter and with its guidance for the current period. Consensus Expectations: Revenue: ~$12.5B – $12.7B (approx. +45% YoY). EPS: ~$3.83 (a massive swing from losses/low profits in previous cycles). The "Broadcom Risk": Broadcom fell because while its AI business boomed, its non-AI segments (broadband) were soft, and guidance was "good, not great." Micron faces a similar dynamic: AI is red-hot, but P
Micron (MU) Need To Deliver "Beat and Raise" That Exceeds "whisper numbers"
avatarnerdbull1669
12-12 07:20

Broadcom Earnings Did Not Surprise High Expectations Already Priced Into Stock Price

$Broadcom(AVGO)$ expects AI revenue growth to accelerate even higher in 2026, and Broadcom CEO sees spending momentum by customers for AI to continue to accelerate in 2026, but why is Broadcom share price still not surging after earnings release? In this article we would like to discuss why Broadcom (AVGO) did not surge despite bullish AI commentary, what this signals about market expectations, and how investors can still position for advantage. 1. Why Broadcom’s Stock Did Not Surge After Earnings Even with strong AI commentary from management, several market dynamics generally cap post-earnings upside. (A) Expectations were already extremely high By late 2025, Broadcom is widely viewed as one of the “AI infrastructure oligopoly” players. Investor
Broadcom Earnings Did Not Surprise High Expectations Already Priced Into Stock Price
avatarnerdbull1669
12-11 22:07

Precious Metals Strategy: Silver's Surge and the Falling Gold-to-Silver Ratio

With institutional bullish, Silver at all-time high, as of early December 2025, the Gold-to-Silver Ratio is around 68.5 to 75:1, now the ratio goes below $68, so a high ratio (above 80) suggests silver is undervalued; a low ratio (below 50) suggests gold is undervalued. In this article, I would like to share a structured, investment-grade assessment of the Gold–Silver environment and how to position across GLD and SLV given the ratio shift below ~68. 1. Interpretation of Today’s Gold–Silver Ratio (≈68 → breaking lower) Current signal: Above 80: silver historically undervalued. Below 50: gold historically undervalued. Between 60–75: transition region where momentum shifts matter more than absolute thresholds. Today (ratio slipping under ~68): Indicates relative strength in silver versus gol
Precious Metals Strategy: Silver's Surge and the Falling Gold-to-Silver Ratio

Adobe App Integration With ChatGPT -> Better Opportunities or Risks Ahead!

$Adobe(ADBE)$ Q4 earnings and FY2026 guidance beat expectations, they also announced the integration of Photoshop, Adobe Express and Acrobat apps into ChatGPT, this integration looks like Adobe is going for a broader push of its tools into conversational AI platforms, so that this could help their users to reduce the need to switch between different applications. But we are seeing that investors are still concerned of the AI disruption that could bring to Adobe. The recent developments at Adobe (photoshop, Acrobat, Express integration into ChatGPT, FY2026 guidance, investor reactions) reveal both opportunities and risks. In this article I would like to share how we can look at each issue from current available public evidence. What Adobe’s ChatGPT
Adobe App Integration With ChatGPT -> Better Opportunities or Risks Ahead!

Oracle Mixed Earnings Signalling Cracks in The AI Bubble?

The decline in $Oracle(ORCL)$’s share price after its mixed fiscal Q2 results, despite an increase in its Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) and AI-driven cloud revenue, has indeed intensified the debate around a potential "AI bubble." Oracle's situation is often cited as a key example of the risks inherent in the AI boom. In this article, I would like to examine the breakdown of the key factors that lead investors to debate whether this signals cracks in the AI bubble: What Happened with Oracle’s Latest Results Mixed earnings with negative investor reaction Oracle beat earnings per share expectations, helped by a one-time gain from an asset sale, but narrowly missed revenue and cloud growth forecasts — a key metric tied to its AI strategy. I
Oracle Mixed Earnings Signalling Cracks in The AI Bubble?

Nvidia's H200 Chips Export Approval : Conflicting Factors and Uncertainty

Before we jumped at the news of President Trump’s approval for Nvidia's H200 chips export to china, we might need to ask ourselves whether $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is benefitting from this approval, and what are some factors and uncertainities we need to be aware of. The headline “approval” helps remove one big permission roadblock, but the 25% surcharge + Beijing’s likely curbs create a large accounting & commercial uncertainty that can meaningfully dent Nvidia’s reported revenue and margins depending on who legally/contractually ends up paying that 25%. In this article, I would like to share how we can walk through the mechanics, 3 quantified scenarios (optimistic / base / bearish), accounting consequences, and the exact signals to watch. What the new
Nvidia's H200 Chips Export Approval : Conflicting Factors and Uncertainty

Lululemon Athletica (LULU) Earnings -> Profitability and Growth Deceleration Concerns

$Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$ leading up to its fiscal Q3 2025 earnings report, which is currently expected to be released on Thursday, December 11, 2025, after the market closes. Lululemon Athletica (LULU) Q3 2025 Earnings Outlook The consensus view for Lululemon's Q3 2025 suggests a challenging quarter in terms of profitability and growth deceleration, especially in its largest market. Note: Some analysts' estimates have seen slight downward revisions over the last 30 days, suggesting a slightly more bearish sentiment. Lululemon (LULU) Fiscal Q2 2025 Earnings Summary Lululemon's Q2 2025 results were a classic example of the market punishing a miss on the top line (revenue) and a disappointing outlook, even if the bottom line (EPS) beat expectation
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) Earnings -> Profitability and Growth Deceleration Concerns

Costco (COST) "Core-on-Core" Margin Expansion To Justify Premium Valuation

$Costco(COST)$'s upcoming Fiscal Q1 2026 earnings release scheduled for Thursday, December 11, 2025 (After Market Close). Consensus EPS Forecast: ~$4.25 (vs. $3.82 in Q1 2025). Revenue Forecast: ~$67.1 Billion. Implied Move: Options markets are pricing in a move of approximately ±4% post-earnings. The "Open Secret" Factor: Unlike most companies, Costco releases monthly sales data. We already know that Net Sales for Q1 came in at $65.98 Billion (+8.2%) and November sales specifically were up 8.1%. Because the "top line" surprise is largely removed, the stock's reaction will depend almost entirely on margins (EPS) and forward guidance. Summary: Costco (COST) Fiscal Q4 2025 Earnings Report Date: September 25, 2025 The Headline: A "Good Enough" Beat T
Costco (COST) "Core-on-Core" Margin Expansion To Justify Premium Valuation

2026 Stock Market Outlook: Continued Rally, But With Caution?

Are we going to see a strong stock market finish by end of December, and will this drive the continued rally into 2026 with strong momentum coming from tech stocks and bigger firms? I would think that there might be continued rally, but with caution, so in this article I would like to share the current, evidence-based view of whether we are likely to see a strong stock market finish in December 2025 and whether that could carry into a sustained 2026 rally, especially driven by tech and large caps — and what it might mean for a renewed or extended bull market:  1) Near-Term: Year-End Rally (Santa Claus Effect) — Possible but Not Guaranteed Many strategists and market participants expect typical year-end strength (a “Santa Claus rally”) in stocks driven by seasonality, holiday flows, an
2026 Stock Market Outlook: Continued Rally, But With Caution?

Chewy (CHWY) Full-Year Net Sales Guidance In Focus

$Chewy, Inc.(CHWY)$ fiscal Q3 2025 earnings report is scheduled to be released before market open on Wednesday, December 10, 2025 Fiscal Q3 2025 Earnings Analysis & Forecast Analysts are generally expecting a positive year-over-year increase in profitability, but it is important to note that different sources have varying consensus EPS figures, which can indicate volatility based on the metric used (GAAP vs. Adjusted). Revenue Growth: The key focus will be on whether the company can meet or exceed its revenue guidance, maintaining a healthy single-digit growth rate in a competitive and potentially softer consumer spending environment. Profitability: The wide range in EPS forecasts ($0.12 vs. $0.30) suggests that investors should pay close atte
Chewy (CHWY) Full-Year Net Sales Guidance In Focus

Watch Synopsys (SNPS) Visibility Into Ansys Deal's Benefits

$Synopsys(SNPS)$ fiscal Q4 2025 earnings report, which is currently scheduled for Wednesday, December 10, 2025, after the market close. Synopsys (SNPS) Q4 2025 Earnings Preview The general sentiment leading into the earnings report is one of continued strength in the core business, driven by the persistent demand for chip design and verification, particularly with the acceleration of AI-driven workloads. Consensus Estimates EPS Outlook: The year-over-year (YoY) decline in the consensus EPS estimate is notable, but this is largely due to the company's guidance and analysts adjusting expectations, particularly following a Q3 miss and revised full-year guidance in September. Revenue Outlook: The anticipated strong YoY revenue growth of nearly 38% hig
Watch Synopsys (SNPS) Visibility Into Ansys Deal's Benefits

Broadcom (AVGO) To Ride On AI Momentum For Earnings Beat?

With AI bubble, tech stocks seling, we have seen that $Broadcom(AVGO)$ suffer a decline on 03 Dec 2025, before rising again to close last week around $390. So will we be seeing Broadcom providing a beat on the AI momentum? In this article, we would examine this would come into play with the Broadcom (AVGO) upcoming fiscal Q4 2025 earning with a comprehensive pre-earnings analysis of Broadcom (AVGO) as it heads into its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings (expected after market close on ~Dec 12, 2025) — focusing on AI momentum, key metrics, consensus expectations, and potential short-term trading opportunities. What Wall Street Is Expecting for Q4 2025 Consensus estimates (prior to earnings): Revenue: ~$17.0–17.4 billion, ~24% YoY growth. Adjusted EPS: ~$1.87/
Broadcom (AVGO) To Ride On AI Momentum For Earnings Beat?

Watch If Adobe (ADBE) Digital Media ARR Acceleration Works

$Adobe(ADBE)$ is scheduled to report its Q4 2025 results after the market closes on Wednesday, December 10, 2025. Consensus Estimates vs. Company Guidance Adobe has a history of beating consensus earnings estimates, as it has done in the last four consecutive quarters. However, the stock's reaction can be volatile, as recent quarters show the stock has sometimes sold off despite an earnings beat, often due to a cautious outlook (guidance) for the following quarter. Summary of Adobe (ADBE) Fiscal Q3 2025 Earnings Adobe reported strong results for its fiscal Q3 2025 (period ended August 29, 2025), surpassing analyst expectations on both the top and bottom lines. The results demonstrated successful execution of their AI strategy and robust subscripti
Watch If Adobe (ADBE) Digital Media ARR Acceleration Works

Watch Oracle (ORCL) RPO Conversion Rate For Earnings Surprise

$Oracle(ORCL)$ upcoming Q2 Fiscal Year 2026 earnings report is scheduled for Wednesday, December 10, 2025, after the market close. Oracle has recently transformed from a legacy software giant into a high-growth AI infrastructure play. The stock is currently trading with high volatility expectations following a massive +36% surge after the last earnings report (Q1 FY26) in September. The market is pricing in continued hyper-growth in its cloud division, meaning the bar for this quarter is "priced for perfection." Key Estimates (Consensus) Revenue Estimate: ~$16.15 Billion (+15% YoY) EPS Estimate: ~$1.63 - $1.64 (+11% YoY) Executive Summary: The "RPO Shock" Oracle's Q1 FY26 report was a watershed moment that fundamentally repriced the stock. While t
Watch Oracle (ORCL) RPO Conversion Rate For Earnings Surprise

SoFi Public Offerings News - Is It For Better Long Term?

In July, $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ stock declined 7% Wednesday morning after the fintech company priced its previously announced public offering of common stock at $20.85 per share, below Tuesday’s closing price of $22.40. This time, in December, its stock fell 5% in after-hours trading 4 Dec (Thursday) after the company announced a $1.5 billion public offering of common stock. So if we noticed, SoFi stock did went up after its previous public offering in July. In this article we would like to discuss a breakdown of what is going on with SoFi’s stock price reaction to public offerings — both in July and now in December — and what it could mean for short-term and long-term investors. Why the Stock Often Drops on Offering News When a company an
SoFi Public Offerings News - Is It For Better Long Term?

Here's Why! Prefer High Quality Stocks In Wedbush's Picks Into My 2026 AI List.

Dan Ives is back with a fresh shakeup to his popular IVESAI 30 list. The veteran tech analyst at Wedbush just added two red-hot AI pure-plays in CoreWeave (CRW), Iren (IREN), and another tech giant, Shopify (SHOP), to his roster of AI winners heading into 2026. In this article I would like to share why I prefer to look at high-quality AI stocks in 2026, and here is a forward-looking analysis on why investors may favor high-quality tech names like $Alphabet(GOOGL)$, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Amazon (AMZN), $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Palantir (PLTR), $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Nvidia (NVDA), and
Here's Why! Prefer High Quality Stocks In Wedbush's Picks Into My 2026 AI List.

AMZN and NVDA Buy The Dip and Option Play For Potential Upside Opportunities

We saw Amazon (AMZN) showing a dip in recent trading while Nvidia seek to make an upside move, as I hold both $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Amazon.com(AMZN)$, I might consider to buy the dip at the same time, play option to take advantage of any potential upside. as the market often presents contrasting movements between major stocks like Amazon (AMZN) and Nvidia (NVDA). For Amazon (AMZN), the recent dip is viewed by some analysts as a potential buying opportunity, especially given its accelerating cloud (AWS) and AI momentum. For Nvidia (NVDA), analysts are also widely bullish, with a recent pullback being highlighted as an enticing buy-the-dip target ahead of expected strong earnings. In this article, I would lik
AMZN and NVDA Buy The Dip and Option Play For Potential Upside Opportunities

Toll Brothers (TOL) Next Fiscal Year Outlook In Focus

$Toll Brothers(TOL)$ is expected to release its fiscal Q4 2025 results after the market close on Monday, December 8, 2025, with the conference call scheduled for Tuesday, December 9, 2025. As a leading luxury homebuilder, its results are often seen as an indicator for the high-end segment of the housing market. Consensus Estimates The consensus suggests a modest increase in profit (EPS) on essentially flat or slightly lower revenue, indicating potential margin strength or effective cost management. Analyst EPS estimates have remained stable over the last 30 days, suggesting a general agreement on the expected performance. Toll Brothers (TOL) released its fiscal Q3 2025 earnings (for the period ending July 31, 2025) on August 19, 2025. Here is a sum
Toll Brothers (TOL) Next Fiscal Year Outlook In Focus

Victoria's Secret (VSCO) Disciplined Inventory Management Key To Better Margin

$Victoria's Secret & Co(VSCO)$ is expected to report its fiscal Q3 2025 earnings before the market open on December 5, 2025 (for the quarter ending October 2025). Consensus Forecasts Consensus EPS Forecast: $-0.60 per share. (Note: This is an expected loss, which is common for the non-holiday Q3 retail quarter). Compare to Prior Year (Q3 2024 reported): $-0.50 per share (reported loss, but this was a beat on the consensus of $-0.64 at the time). Consensus Revenue Forecast: $1.41 Billion. Compare to Prior Year (Q3 2024 reported): $1.35 Billion (reported, which was a beat on the consensus of $1.29 Billion). The forecast suggests a narrowing of the loss on a per-share basis compared to what was expected last year ($-0.60 vs. $-0.64), and a modest
Victoria's Secret (VSCO) Disciplined Inventory Management Key To Better Margin

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