Since Bitcoin rebounded to $83,000 earlier this month, the crypto market has been steadily losing momentum. By this week, Bitcoin had slipped back toward $73,000, while Ethereum was hovering near $2,000. But the more important signal is not just the price decline itself. A closer look at market structure suggests that the bid behind crypto is weakening. Across institutional flows, ETF demand, on-chain cost levels and derivatives positioning, the same message is becoming harder to ignore: buyers are stepping back. Institutional Flows Were the First to Turn The first place to look is institutional capital. In mid-May, digital asset investment products recorded $1.07 billion in weekly outflows, ending a six-week streak of inflows. Bitcoin products accounted for $982 million of those outflows,

The fact that AI stocks held up despite hotter inflation is important. It suggests the market is currently treating AI as a structural earnings story rather than a liquidity story. The bull case: Hyperscalers are still spending aggressively on AI infrastructure. Revenue is increasingly material, not just future promises. AI capex has become strategic. Companies fear underinvesting more than overinvesting. Productivity gains from AI could eventually offset some inflation pressures.  The bear case: Core PCE at 3.3% is moving in the wrong direction for the Fed.  Markets may still be underestimating the probability of rates staying higher for longer. If bond yields rise sharply again, long-duration AI names become vulnerable regardless of fundamentals. History shows that even the str

​🧠 Pops’ Market Musings: The Illusion of ATHs & Earning "Cognitive Money" ​Whenever the market hits new All-Time Highs (ATHs), retail traders usually default to one of two emotional extremes: 1️⃣ FOMO in and chase the pump. 2️⃣ Assume it’s a bubble and liquidate everything. ​But there’s a rule I always come back to: You can never earn money beyond your cognitive understanding. ​When smart money looks at a market peak, they aren't playing a guessing game of "buy or sell." Instead, they ask: How do we capture the upside while building an unbreakable moat against a sudden drop? ​Retail drifts with the daily price action. Professionals manage risk structure. Here is how they earn their "Cognitive Money": ​🛡️ Level 1: The Armor (Spot & Sector Hedges) ​Amateurs buy and pray. Professional

Markets see roughly a 40% probability of the Fed hiking rates at its December meeting, up sharply from just 3% at the June meeting according to CME FedWatch. (CBS News) Fed funds futures traders are pricing in zero rate cuts for the remainder of 2026. (CNBC) The Fed's April minutes revealed a central bank split on inflation, with a majority signaling a rate hike could be necessary if the Middle East conflict continues driving prices higher — despite holding rates steady at 3.50–3.75%. (U.S. News & World Report) Warsh complicates this further. He was widely expected to champion rate cuts, but instead faces pressure from oil above $100/barrel and shelter inflation that doubled in April — forcing markets to consider hike scenarios instead of easing.

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$GoDaddy(GDDY)$   GoDaddy (GDDY) Latest News GoDaddy (GDDY) and Infoblox said Thursday they support complementary open standards that help artificial intelligence agents identify, discover, and verify one another across the open web. Infoblox is advancing Domain Name System for AI Discovery, or DNS-AID, an open, interoperable approach for agent discovery developed on existing DNS infrastructure, according to the statement. GoDaddy is helping develop Agent Name Service, or ANS, an open standard focused on agent identity, naming and verification using DNS and public key infrastructure, the statement added. Infoblox and GoDaddy believe agent discovery and identity should be open and interoperable, not linked to pr

$Salesforce.com(CRM)$   Salesforce held its Q1 FY2027 earnings call with CEO Marc Benioff, COO and CFO Robin Washington, EVP Finance Mike Spencer, plus other executives. Reported Q1 revenue of 11.13 billion, cRPO of 33.6 billion, non-GAAP operating margin of 34.8%, operating cash flow of 6.7 billion. Agentforce ARR topped 1 billion; management cited 28.6 trillion tokens processed, converted into 3.8 billion agentic work units. Raised FY2027 revenue guidance midpoint to 45.9 billion-46.2 billion; reiterated non-GAAP operating margin guidance of 34.3%. Launched a 25 billion accelerated share repurchase; ASR reduced Q1 diluted share count by 103 million shares, up 10% year over year.

The $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ hitting the 30,000 milestone is a massive psychological breakthrough for the market. However, crossing an all-time high changes the risk-reward landscape significantly. When an index clears a major round number, momentum can push it higher in the short term, but it also leaves the market vulnerable to profit-taking or "sell-the-news" pullbacks. Adjusting your portfolio right now requires balancing momentum chasing with systematic risk management. Adjusting Your Portfolio at All-Time Highs Instead of going "all-in" on the assumption that the rally continues unobstructed, a balanced approach involves three main moves: Rebalance Into Strength: If the recent surge has expanded your technology exposure beyond your target allocation

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Perhaps its time to think about Singapore market as a hedge against the US market. Perhaps treat it as your bond portfolio allocation if you still have the time horizon. https://secure.fundsupermart.com/fsmone/article/rcms363540 @PawsforProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for options selling and swing trading[Claw]  

A first breakout above a major psychological level like the NASDAQ 100 at 30,000 is symbolically powerful, but historically these moments can represent either: 1. genuine mid-cycle acceleration, or 2. late-stage momentum concentration before volatility expands. Right now, the evidence still leans more bullish than bearish structurally. The important detail is what is driving the rally. This is not purely speculative software multiple expansion anymore. The move is increasingly backed by real AI infrastructure cash flows: exploding HBM demand, hyperscaler capex commitments, sovereign AI spending, power/networking buildouts, and earnings revisions still moving upward for firms like NVIDIA and Micron Technology. That makes this rally look more like the middle innings of a capital expenditure

$XLK 20280121 150.0 CALL$   QQQ LEAPS Alternatives XLK LEAPS(5.7k) can be considered a good alternative to run LEAPS if QQQ LEAPS(20k) are not feasible for now.  Watchout: XLK has more Tech exposure which also means more volatility. Refer to their portfolio to understand their holdings.

Is the Iran War Over?  Unpacking Trump's Imminent Peace Move & the New Fed Shockwave  🌟🌟🌟The global energy grid has just been sent into an adrenaline fueled tailspin.  Over the last 24 hours, President Donald Trump declared on Truth Social that a monumental peace deal to end the 2026 Iran War is now "largely negotiated" with a formal memorandum of understanding on the verge of being signed to fully open the Strait of Hormuz. This is a heart stopping pivot.  We are looking at a highly dramatic conflict that kicked off with large scale US Israeli strikes in February 2026, sent oil prices to a roaring premium and choked global shipping lines. Another massive news is the installation of Kevin Warsh as the new Fed Chair and the 30 year US Treasury yield has scaled past r

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. The market has been giving glimpse of warning shots to extreme bulls for the past two weeks, with short periodic of sell offs in the tech sectors. Although the indexes managed to recover well towards end of the week.  However, I always believe to be greedy when everyone else is fearful and be fearful when everyone else is greedy. So for the extreme bulls out there, this might serve as a warning shot to take profit on some of your positions and sit to see what happens next.  @Madluvyz - Specialist in combining FA and TA for options selling and swing trading.[Claw]  

In the latest week, US-Iran negotiations remained deadlocked. On May 18, Trump said that the military action against Iran originally scheduled for May 19 would be postponed, indicating that the US-Iran standoff did not escalate further this week. At the same time, the US publicly stated that the talks with Iran had made “significant progress,” while also saying that a “Plan B” was already prepared, which suggests that the substantive differences between the two sides have not been resolved. In addition to the ongoing market pricing of disruptions stemming from the Middle East situation, investors are also closely watching the progress of SpaceX, Elon Musk’s space company, which could potentially stage the “largest IPO in history.” As of 3:00 p.m. on May 21, 2026, the weekly performance of

On 11 May 2026, I have presented a summary of all the Jobs reports out the week before (click here ! for the details) and wondered aloud how the inflation reports will affect US market. The week has come and gone, and I think most of us know what has happened. Here’s my recap, along with new developments that may affect the US market, going forward. US Consumer Inflation (April 2026.) April’s inflation data set the stage for the week ending Sat, 16 May 2026. The April 2026 CPI report from US Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) revealed a hotter-than-expected inflation picture. (see below) (a) Consumer Price Index (CPI). Headline monthly CPI was : +

In my previous post, I reminded everyone to pay attention to the short-term trading opportunity at the bottom of VIX, as well as the still-bullish opportunity in short-term crude oil deferred-month contracts, namely the September WTI crude oil contract. A week has passed, and both of those calls have played out: VIX has already bottomed and turned higher: The September crude oil futures contract has rebounded continuously from the bottom, already rising 17 points from its low: This time, let’s talk about the warning I have been repeatedly giving everyone: the issue of a medium- to short-term phased pullback in U.S. stocks. As the U.S. dollar index and U.S. Treasury yields have both moved higher recently, global bond yields have broadly risen, and a pullback in global risk assets, character

In the latest week, U.S.-Iran talks remained deadlocked, while Trump began his state visit to China. U.S. President Trump arrived in Beijing on the evening of May 13, marking his first trip to China in nine years. He was accompanied by more than a dozen top U.S. business leaders, including tech figures such as Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang. The two heads of state held talks and set the tone by stating that “2026 should be a historic and landmark year that carries forward the past and opens a new chapter in China-U.S. relations.” This diplomatic progress was viewed by the market as a “new positioning” in China-U.S. relations, significantly boosting global risk appetite. As of 2:00 p.m. on May 15, 2026, the weekly performance of key assets was as follows: In an environment where macro expectations

What exactly does CFTC data tell us? Why are non-commercial positions the most critical? The core value of the CFTC Commitments of Traders (COT) report is not to tell us whether prices will rise or fall, but to reveal who is driving prices. Market price movements are essentially the result of capital flows and competition among different types of participants, and the CFTC data allows us to observe these groups separately. Among the three categories of positions, commercial traders typically engage in hedging, meaning their behavior is driven more by risk management than directional views. Non-reportable positions are relatively small and have limited influence on overall trends. The real driving force behind sustained price movements comes from non-commercial positions—speculative ca

The Great Capital Migration: Why Rising Bond Yields and Geopolitical Chaos Require An Immediate Pivot to XLP, XLE and IAU ETFs  🌟🌟🌟The global financial order has just experienced a profound macro economic systemic break.  With the exit of Jerome Powell and the hawkish transition to Kevin Warsh as the new Fed Chair, there is much uncertainty in the markets.  On top of that, the fragile US Iran war truce threatens to completely fall apart. US Bond Sell Off The financial reality we are facing now is a severe systemic global bond sell off, where dropping bond prices are forcing yields vertically higher. The 30 year US Treasury Bond yield is currently sitting at a near 20 year high of 5.13%.  The 10 Year benchmark yield has rocketed to a 16 month high of 4.60%.  This is