Gold May Hit $4500? Would You Add or Expect More Selloff?

Gold was down 5% in two days, hitting $4600 - a six-week low. Silver falls into a "bear trap"? Leveraged ETF AGQ crashes. Is the selloff offering a discount? Would you add gold and silver?

avatarMHh
03-21 22:11
Gold is no longer the safe haven. Inflation is set to remain stuck at higher levels with the destroyed infrastructure in the Middle East that would take years to recover. The hopes of a rate cut is diminishing and this would put a curb on gold prices rising. To me, gold and silver have always been speculative in nature that depends on the supply and demand ratio and have no real growth value of their own. I would prefer to keep away from them. Oil and gas is similar to gold and silver as these are commodities. A lot of the prices depends largely on how the war goes. Since there is no way I can predict that, I do not want to risk being trapped at the currently already high prices in case the war ceases. Based on the current risk ratio, I prefer to wait it out for further price action, and
avatarSuccess88
03-21 22:13
Yes I am monitor gold and can buy when reach $4500
avatarkoolgal
03-20 06:00
The Red Screen of 2026: Why Gold & Silver are Diving Together  🌟🌟🌟As of Friday, 20 March 2026, the commodities market is in a high velocity liquidation flush.  If you are staring at your screen wondering why Gold and Silver are diving despite the Iran war, look no further than the high stakes standoff at the US Federal Reserve. The "Why": The Captain Who Refuses To Leave the Bridge  The Powell Standoff:  The Cause  The market is recoiling because Jerome Powell has effectively declared on Wednesday 18 March 2026 that he is not going anywhere.  He vowed to serve as "Chair Pro Tem" if his term expires on May 15 before a successor is confirmed. The Power Play  Even more disruptive, Powell stated that he would remain on the Board of Governors until 2028 wh
avatarTiger_comments
03-19 20:37

Gold $4600 Crash, Oil & Gas Also Fall: Buy on the Discount?

At the beginning of this week, the precious metals market felt like a falling knife. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ plummeted 8% in two days, touching a six-week low of $4600, while $ProShares Ultra Silver(AGQ)$ staged a gut-wrenching crash.Geopolitical tensions are back with a vengeance. Just as the market was pricing in a "US-Iran rapprochement," the script flipped. Reports of assassination threats against leadership have shattered the fragile trust, and the Habshan gas facility strike in Abu Dhabi has set the energy complex on edge.Despite the chaos, gold is down and oil is sideways. Why isn't the market buying the "safe haven" narrative yet?1. The Liquidity Paradox: Why Gold Fell in a CrisisTypically,
Gold $4600 Crash, Oil & Gas Also Fall: Buy on the Discount?
avatarCC on ETFs
03-19 17:01

Gold Plunges—What happens? Is It a Buy-the-Dip Opportunity?

Gold prices saw a sharp decline yesterday, dropping about 3.7%, followed by another 2% decline today. Within just two days, prices broke below the $5,000 and $4,900 levels, falling toward $4,800 and even briefly dipping under $4,700. From a one-day performance perspective, gold-related ETFs declined broadly. Physical gold ETFs saw $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ fall 3.16%, $Gold Trust Ishares(IAU)$ drop 3.14%, and $Spdr Gold Minishares Trust(GLDM)$ decline 3.18%. Gold mining ETFs experienced steeper losses, with $VanEck Gold Miners ETF(GDX)$ down 6.23%, $VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF(GDXJ)$
Gold Plunges—What happens? Is It a Buy-the-Dip Opportunity?
avatarzhingle
03-19 19:55
🟔 Gold Pullback to $4,600 — Discount or Start of a Deeper Flush? Gold just dropped ~5% in two days, flushing weak hands and dragging silver and leveraged plays (AGQ) with it. On the surface, it looks ugly. But step back — this doesn’t look like a breakdown. It looks like a textbook reset inside a structural bull market. āø» šŸ” What actually caused the selloff? This wasn’t random panic. It was macro-driven: • Stronger USD + higher yields • Hawkish Fed expectations (rates staying higher longer) • Profit-taking after a massive 2025–2026 rally Gold does not yield. So when rates rise, it temporarily loses appeal — hence the drop. ļæ¼ Even more interesting: Despite geopolitical tensions (which usually boost gold), prices still fell — showing this is positioning + macro unwind, not demand collapse. ļæ¼
avatarAqa
03-21 00:06
$WTI Crude Oil - main 2605(CLmain)$ shows suppressed volatility. If oil stays above $90 for a sustained period, a 10-15% correction in the $S&P 500(SPY)$ becomes the base case. If it hits $120+, the selloff accelerates as the "Wealth Effect" reverses. Gold is not as attractive this time because of Trump’s market intervention. With the Fed staying "higher for longer," real yields get pushed up and temporarily choking gold's momentum. See if the oil reserves exhausted soon, the market will face a physical supply wall. If the strategic release ends before the U.S. and Iran set on ceasefire, then betting on oil is better than gold. Thanks @Tiger_comments @TigerStars
avatarkoolgal
03-20 13:59
🌟🌟I do not believe the current gold/silver is a Bear Trap nor the start of a regime change.  Gold does not depend on a dividend or a corporate board's permission to exist. Gold's value is dictated by the law of physics and scarcity. Gold never had a "bad quarter".  It doesn't have to worry about missing an EPS target or a DOJ investigation into its office renovations. Unlike Gold, Silver is a working class metal with its sleeves rolled up. If the AI revolution is the "Brain" of 2026, Silver is the nervous system that transmits the thoughts . Silver is indispensable as it is the most conductive metal on Earth. From HBM chips to solar panels, the demand for Silver is insatiable. That is why the current USD 4600 dip in Gold and the 30% plunge in Silver prices offer a great time to
avatarLanceljx
03-19 23:15
Short answer: this looks more like a violent reset than a clean ā€œdiscountā€. I would not rush in aggressively yet. --- What just happened (key drivers) 1) Rates & dollar flipped the narrative Fed signalling ā€œhigher for longerā€ → yields up, USD up Gold (non-yielding) lost relative appeal  2) Oil spike crowded out ā€œsafe havenā€ flows Energy became the primary hedge in this conflict Capital rotated out of gold into oil  3) Positioning was extreme (this is critical) Silver and gold were crowded trades after a parabolic run Unwinding triggered cascade selling  4) Leverage blew up the downside (AGQ effect) Leveraged ETFs must sell into declines AGQ crash amplified the drop mechanically  --- Is silver a ā€œbear trapā€? Possible, but too early to confirm. Why it could be: Indust
avatarShyon
03-20 09:25
The recent drop in gold doesn’t surprise me—it’s more of a rate-driven repricing than a structural breakdown. With the Fed turning more hawkish and real yields rising, assets like $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ and $Gold Trust Ishares(IAU)$ naturally come under pressure. The speed of the move shows how crowded the ā€œrate cutsā€ trade was. That said, I’m not bearish on gold structurally. Rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions are rebuilding the inflation narrative, which supports gold over time. This is a push-pull between higher real rates short term and inflation risk in the medium term, and I’m watching how gold holds the $4,700–$4,800 range. From a positioning standpoint, I’m staying selective—avoiding hi

Is the Oil Rally Running Out of Steam? Is It Time to Go Long U.S. Equities?

Global financial markets have recently grown increasingly complex, and it is evident that market capital is currently undergoing a drastic risk repricing. Against this backdrop, both commodities and equity markets are exhibiting signs of exhaustion, struggling to sustain their recent trajectories. Crude oil may be facing fading upward momentum, while US equities—battered by capital outflows and suppressed by rising yields—appear vulnerable to further weakness at any moment.​ Short Bets Intensify on US Equities Institutional trading desk data reveals that the selling pressure on US equities is not to be underestimated. Goldman Sachs' Prime Book data flashes a distinctively negative signal: US equities have faced sell-offs for the fourth consecutive week. More alarmingly, hedge funds are not
Is the Oil Rally Running Out of Steam? Is It Time to Go Long U.S. Equities?
avatarAncient One
03-20 13:52
Gold price drop is rather silly. At $4500, central banks are accumulating. The excuses for gold price drop is supposedly oil prices going up and Fed not reducing interest. 1. less oil or more expensive oil would means less gold available or more expensive gold going forward but oil prices don't affect gold already mined. 2. War = expensive oil which gold mining requires , meaning more higher ASIC in future, so gold will cost more 3. War = inflation and unemployment going up hand in hand - ie stagflation, ie QE, ie value of USD dropping regardless of interest rates.  4 institutions are caught pants down and are setting the narratives so that they can rotate in. 

From the Revaluation of ā€œHard Assetsā€ to the Repricing of Circular Metals: How YDDL Interprets Recent Market Shifts

Recently, Morgan Stanley noted in its U.S. equity strategy report that despite rising concerns around the structural impact of artificial intelligence, capital expenditure cycles, and potential labor displacement, its outlook for an ā€œearly-cycle, rotational recoveryā€ in 2026 remains unchanged. At the same time, investor attention toward ā€œhard assetsā€ has continued to strengthen, with sectors such as industrials, materials, and metals outperforming in recent months. The report also highlights that companies with relatively higher capital expenditure-to-sales ratios have generally been favored by the market since mid-last year. Key drivers include the onset of a new business and earnings cycle, accelerated data center construction linked to AI, and policy support for investment expansion. Fo
From the Revaluation of ā€œHard Assetsā€ to the Repricing of Circular Metals: How YDDL Interprets Recent Market Shifts
avatarShyon
03-19 23:02
I don’t see this as a structural breakdown in gold—it looks more like a liquidity-driven shakeout. The drop in $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ despite rising geopolitical risk tells me real yields are in control, not fear. With inflation expectations rising, the Fed staying ā€œhigher for longerā€ is capping gold. For now, this feels more like a bear trap than a regime shift. I’m watching oil more closely than gold. The muted move in $WTI Crude Oil - main 2605(CLmain)$ feels artificial given the situation. If the strategic reserve buffer runs out soon, we could see a delayed spike, and that’s where real market stress begins. Positioning-wise, I’m not rushing into gold yet—I want to see yields peak first. I’m more focused on energy and broader risk like $S&P 500(SPY)$, and will look at gold again
avatar1419 cyc
03-20 19:48
[Miser]  [Miser]  [Miser]  [Miser]  [Miser]  
avatarLanceljx
03-19 23:23
1) Bear trap or regime change? Likely a correction, not regime change. Gold’s core drivers (central banks, geopolitics) remain. But short term pressure from USD + rates is real. Silver still looks like a liquidity flush, not confirmed trap yet. 2) Positioning Gold: gradual accumulation (no leverage) Silver: wait for stabilisation Energy: trade pullbacks, not chase 3) $4600 gold dip? Nibble, don’t go heavy. Good reset level, but momentum is still weak. Another leg down possible if USD strengthens. Bottom line: This is a transition from gold-led fear → energy-led fear. Patience and staggered entries matter more than conviction now.
avatarRagz
03-20 04:44
Surprisingly, gold and silver dipped amidst the oil crunch. However the situation may change and the familiar role as a safe haven reappears. @Veldora @grab @Syw @Jeffyap96 @karenykw @MKTrader @Subramanyan @Tiger_Merch @Success88 @MuchMoreLee <
avatarCadi Poon
03-19 23:57
The sell-off continued today. In pre-market trading, $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ and $Gold Trust Ishares(IAU)$ fell 2.86% and 2.77%, respectively. Mining ETFs $VanEck Gold Miners ETF(GDX)$ and $VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF(GDXJ)$ declined 5.12% and 5.24%, while leveraged products amplified the downside, with $MicroSectors Gold Miners 3x Leveraged ETN(GDXU)$ down 15.37%, $Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 2X Shares(NUGT)$ down 10.39%, and $Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bull 2X Shares(JNUG)$ falling 7.03%.
avatarChrishust
03-20 02:52
1. The current gold and silver sell off is a bear trap since there is high market volatility and the price of gold is likely to increase sharply 2. To benefit from this position the best position is to short $ETFS Physical Gold(GOLD.AU)$ 3 at the moment gold is falling in value and oil is appeciatinf in value, however over supply of oil is forecast in the near term to benefit from selling oil today
avatarCadi Poon
03-19 23:56
Typically, war equals higher gold prices. But 2026 is proving different. With gasoline prices up 21% since the conflict began, inflation expectations are ripping higher. The market is betting the Fed will stay "higher for longer," pushing real yields up and temporarily choking gold's momentum.