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11-10 09:45
$HIMS Revenue Grows 49% as Subscriber Mix Shifts Upmarket
📊 $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ : Subscriber Decline Doesn't Tell the Whole Story A decline in subscribers isn't ideal, but it's happening alongside a much higher price point. My read is that $HIMS is shifting toward higher-value, higher-revenue subscribers in areas like weight loss, while allowing lower-value customers in ED and hair loss to churn. That could be a worthwhile trade-off, but it also makes the headline subscriber numbers harder to interpret without more detail on customer mix and revenue per subscriber. The earnings "miss" also needs to be viewed in the context of management's comments: "Revenue grew 49% year-over-year, our second consecutive quarter of acceleration, with domestic revenue up 21% year-over-year and internationa
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11-10 09:24
$SPY Bounces as Expected, With Another 1% Upside in Sight
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ had a strong session, just as anticipated. Price was deeply oversold and bounced directly off the Smart Money Zone. There's also very little volume on the volume profile between current levels and roughly $760–764, leaving room for price to move higher. Here's what I'm watching: 🟢 Near-term outlook I expect $SPY to continue moving higher into tomorrow and through the rest of the week, potentially gaining another 1% before facing a possible rejection. 🎯 Key resistance The $760–765 area is where I'd consider taking some short-term risk off the table. 🛡️ Critical support The $727 swing low remains intact. We discussed the worst-case scenario at the start of the week, but that downside risk only becomes a bigger concer
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11-10 05:02
$Alibaba (BABA) Slips -3.74% After-Hours: Key $99.39 Support Under Watch, Rebound Window Narrows ...
📊 Market Recap As of November 10, 2026 (New York time), Alibaba closed at $105.36, down -3.74% from the previous close of $109.45. After-hours quotes indicate further softness near $105.36, while the stock sits roughly 41.8% below its 52-week high of $181.10 and about 14.5% above its 52-week low of $91.99. The decline comes amid fading short-term momentum, with price now testing the lower end of the recent consolidation range. 🚀 Key Drivers Macro sentiment shift: Renewed caution around China-tech regulatory and macro headlines has weighed on large-cap ADRs, leaving 'BABA' vulnerable to profit-taking despite relatively cheap valuation. Capital flow deterioration: Five-day capital flow data shows net outflows on November 3, November 5, and November 6, undermining confidence and limiting intr
TOPmoliya: next week, 'BABA' is expected to fluctuate between $99.39 and $112.00. A sustained move above $112.00 could open the door toward the $118-$122 zone in the medium term. Conversely, a close below $99.39 may trigger accelerated selling toward the $92-$95 area. 38 institutions have issued target prices, with an average target of $184.14, a low of $95.00, and a high of $220.10. Rating distribution includes 11 Strong Buy, 27 Buy, 2 Hold, and 1 Underperform. The consensus target implies significant upside from current levels, but near-term sentiment remains cautious.
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11-10 05:02
$Qualcomm (QCOM) Jumps +3.66% to $171.47: Chip Giant Reclaims Momentum, $176 Breakout in Sight
📊 Market Recap As of November 10, 2026, Qualcomm closed at $171.47, up +3.66% with a daily gain of $6.06. The stock remains about 34% below its 52-week high of $259.92 but has bounced decisively from its recent support near $159.47. Trading volume reached 16.35 million shares with a volume ratio of 0.78, while the intraday range spanned $163.29 to $176.28, reflecting a 7.85% amplitude and renewed buying interest. 🚀 Key Drivers Technical Rebound: QCOM snapped its recent downtrend with a strong +3.66% move, supported by RSI recovery from oversold territory and improving MACD momentum. Institutional Positioning: Major holders including BlackRock (8.91%) and Vanguard (7.00%) maintained stable positions, while short volume ratios eased from over 30% in late October to around 4% in early Novembe
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11-10 05:01
$IREN Ltd (IREN) Drops -1.06%: AI Cloud Momentum Fades, $20 Support Holds the Line
📊 Market Recap As of November 10, 2026, IREN Ltd closed at $21.41, down -1.06% from the previous session. The stock traded in a wide range of $20.05 to $22.31, reflecting heightened volatility with an amplitude of 10.44%. The price remains approximately 69.7% below its 52-week high of $70.71, while holding about 24.8% above its 52-week low of $17.16. Turnover reached 19.58%, indicating active short-term rotation. Pre-market pricing on November 9 stood at $21.44, while after-hours settled at $21.40, suggesting limited immediate directional conviction. 🚀 Key Drivers AI Cloud Revenue Surge: IREN reported Q1 AI cloud revenue of nearly $200 million, growing close to two-fold year-over-year, which briefly lifted the stock before broader sentiment turned cautious. Musk-Led Sector Pressure: Negati
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11-10 05:01
$Palantir (PLTR) Soars +5.50%: AI Data Giant Breaks $169, Eyes $184 Resistance Rebound
📊 Market Recap As of November 10, 2026 (ET), Palantir Technologies closed at $169.20, surging +5.50% with an intraday amplitude of 6.13%. The stock remains about 20.5% below its 52-week high of $212.94, but today's strong rebound pushed it well above the previous close of $160.38, signaling renewed buying interest. 🚀 Key Drivers AI Data Demand: Persistent enterprise appetite for AI-driven data analytics continues to anchor Palantir's premium valuation and growth narrative. Institutional Positioning: Heavyweight holders including BlackRock and Vanguard maintained their large stakes, reinforcing long-term confidence in the platform. Oversold Rebound: After a sharp multi-week pullback, technical oversold conditions triggered aggressive dip-buying, driving the +5.50% recovery. 🎯 Price Outlook
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11-10 05:00
$SanDisk (SNDK) Surges +6.16% After Hours Momentum: Rebound Off $849 Support Targets $904 Break, ...
📊 Market Recap As of November 10, 2026, 'SNDK' closed at $886.51, up +6.16% with an intraday range of $830.64 to $904.00. The stock remains approximately 62.3% below its 52-week high of $2,354.39, but after-hours trading at $888.19 suggests sustained buying interest following a sharp rebound from the $849.12 support level. 🚀 Key Drivers Technical Rebound Momentum: Price recovered sharply from the $849.12 support zone, with after-hours strength confirming near-term demand recovery. Capital Flow Divergence: Five-day flow shows strong net inflow on November 4 and 5 before a large outflow on November 6, indicating institutional repositioning around the current range. Fundamental Value Signal: TTM P/E of 7.13 and P/B of 6.96 remain well below historical averages, supporting value-oriented buyin
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11-09 22:56
Weekly Options Preview | First Guard Against Panic Selling, Then Look for a Bounce
1. This Week's Market Overview The biggest risk in US stocks has shifted from "AI valuations are too high" to "money is pulling out all at once." Last week the Nasdaq fell 3.4%, its fourth straight weekly drop. The S&P 500 fell 2.7%. Tech bounced Friday, but not enough to confirm a bottom. What's more worrying is the level of fear. On Thursday the fear gauge spiked, the VIX curve inverted, and put volume hit a record. Hedge funds and long-only money both cut tech holdings, and quant strategies face more selling pressure. Right now, strong jobs data actually raises the odds of a Fed hike, so the market may not get policy support quickly. The biggest variable this week is Tuesday's CPI: if inflation runs hot, it could add pressure on tech valuations. Even if inflation cools, we still nee
TOPVIX curve inversion is usually closer to late-panic than fresh downside. I’d watch whether QQQ can reclaim the prior breakdown zone first
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11-09 20:08
Cloudflare 3Q26: Trading Gross Margin for Market Share—Is the Math Worth It?
Cloudflare ( $Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$ ) just delivered a blockbuster quarter. Revenue hit $782.5 million (+39% YoY), the highest growth rate in nearly four years, while non-GAAP operating margin hit a record 17.5%. More importantly, management guided to GAAP profitability a quarter early in Q4. Yet, this is not an "AI compute" fairytale. Strip away the headline numbers, and you find a highly disciplined business model executing a deliberate financial trade-off: using high-margin core security to fund low-margin Workers expansion, while leveraging its "Isolate" architecture to relentlessly drive down unit costs. However, the 57% FCF conversion rate exposes its true nature as a heavy network infrastructure play, and AI (Act IV) remains a call option,
TOP57% FCF conversion is fine for now, but this story really needs that metric back above 60% to prove the infra spend is scaling cleanly
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11-09 20:15
MI450 Must Deliver — What Makes AMD's Bounce Durable?
AMD gave the market a two-day lesson in bounce maths. On Thursday, the stock fell 17.26% to $404.40 from Wednesday's $488.78. On Friday, it rose 11.04% to $449.04. That is a sharp bounce — and it still leaves AMD about 8% below Wednesday's close. After a 17% fall, it takes about a 21% gain to get all the way back. Friday recovered roughly half the ground lost, not all of it. Nothing about AMD's business changed between Thursday and Friday. The same third-quarter report was behind both moves: revenue of $13.38 billion, up about 45% year on year, adjusted EPS of $2.09, and data-centre revenue up 97% to $8.55 billion — now 64% of total sales. Fourth-quarter guidance was about $17 billion, and management expects total revenue growth of more than 80% in 2027. Thursday was the market selling the
TOPFirst watch MI450 shipments. If data-center revenue is already 64% of sales, what quarterly MI contribution or customer count would make the bounce feel durable to you
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11-09 20:20
NVIDIA MACRO ALERT: THE JENSEN HUANG CONTINGENCY & THE 4-PILLAR RUNWAY
Let’s talk capital preservation, asymmetric risk, and the elephant in the room. Jensen Huang’s recent disclosure has triggered an independent board investigation. Right now, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$
TOPThe four-pillar runway matters more here—CUDA lock-in and the full-stack ecosystem are still miles ahead, governance noise alone does not break that moat
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11-09 20:25
From AI Expansion to AI Efficiency
Why NeuroStream™ could become a critical layer of AI infrastructure The artificial intelligence boom has been built on a simple formula: more chips, more servers and more power. Over the past several years, investors have poured capital into semiconductor makers, cloud providers and data center operators on the assumption that AI performance would keep improving as long as infrastructure kept expanding. That formula is now running into physical limits. The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that data centers consumed about 415 terawatt-hours (TWh) of electricity in 2024. In its base case, that figure more than doubles to around 945 TWh by 2030, slightly more than Japan’s entire electricity consumption today, with AI the single largest driver of the increase.
TOPOne thing I like is that $Robo.ai Inc.(AIIO)$ addresses an existing problem. Storage, bandwidth, and compute expenses are already real issues for many organizations.
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11-09 21:59
My Returns Are Still 2x Of S&P 500 and Nasdaq. What's Next?
hey everyone, Wonton Investor here. quick update on where things stand. my portfolio is up around 15% this year, while the nasdaq and the S&P 500 are both up around 7% as of writing. and that's after a pretty ugly drawdown along the way (if you've been keeping up with my COIN position and the recent markets, you should know how bloody the market has been lol) i'm not saying that to flex, because one good year doesn't make anyone a genius, and i've had my fair share of bad calls. i'm saying it because i haven't posted much this year, and i want to explain what i was doing instead: reading and analysing a lot. earnings calls, filings, newsletters, and a lot of writing down why i own what i own. so from now on i'm going to pen those thoughts down more regularly, with dates on everything,
TOPCommoditized optics and power usually push returns toward the integration layer. The next post should dig into who actually keeps pricing power when the hardware gets standardized.
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11-06
How Mild Leverage with Options Lets You Play Market Downturns Without Betting the Farm The recent market downturn is brutal. With usual starwarks like Nvidia, Micron, Amazon, Meta and Tesla all falling sharply. Markets do not decline in a straight line, and they rarely stay down forever. The investors who treat every sharp drop as pure catastrophe usually lock in losses or sit paralyzed. The ones who treat the same drop as a pricing error and express that view with tightly controlled leverage tend to come out ahead over full cycles. Options are the cleanest tool for the second approach, provided you keep the leverage mild and the risk defined. A market downturn raises two useful things at once: the probability of further weakness (or a sharp rebound) and the price of insurance. That combin
TOPwhen you’re holding downside puts in a fast selloff, here’s how I think about it. You just weigh what’s left in the time value against how much further you really expect the stock to drop. If that expected drop is big compared to the remaining premium, the move is what’s driving everything and theta takes a back seat. If the expected drop is small, theta is still chewing away. The volatility spike can buy you a little time, but once things calm down that extra vol starts fading too. And for put spreads, my simple rule is this: the moment your short put gets deep in the money and there’s almost no time value left say under a nickel or a dime just close it or roll it. Especially if expiration or an ex-dividend is coming up. That’s when the other side is most likely to exercise early. Don’t wait around.
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11-06
APP: The 31% Surge Defying the "AI Doomsday" Sell-Off
The broader market just suffered its worst single-day rout since April 2025, wiping out roughly $2.5 trillion in market cap as a proposed "AI Super Ban" sparks fears of regulatory annihilation for advanced AI development. Amidst this panic, AppLovin (APP) surged 31%. Why? Because in a market priced for an apocalypse, $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ APP's Q3 print proved the growth engine is still intact. Revenue hit $2.185 billion (+55% YoY), net income reached $1.439 billion (+72% YoY), and adjusted EBITDA margins held near 84%. The Street was bracing for a growth deceleration and margin compression from AI compute costs. Instead, APP delivered 78% operating margins. Here is the breakdown of how APP is monetizing the AI ad-tech flywheel—and the hidden
TOP78% margin is nasty, but a 17.5% tax rate creeping up can bite harder than people think. If that tailwind fades, does the net income story still look this clean?
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11-06
2.5Trillion dollars gone in a day. The bleeding is officially a haemorrhage!
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. So it happened, the “feel good” knee jerk reaction only last for a day when the democrats won. The market flipped a switch yesterday, and recorded its highest sell off of 2.5T dollars from the tech sector itself, levels never seen before since the covid pandemic, which was in line with what I anticipated. The optimism and potential in AI can only carry companies that far. The reality has to hit at some point, whereby profitability and debt ratio comes to scutiny under microscopic focus. Adding the common concensus that Trump is going to veto any plans that Democratic party is going to present, and the general reluctance to accelerate AI capabilit
TOPHard to call, but I lean repricing first. Debt matters, but which veto risk hits tech cash flows first here: chips, AI infra, or crypto-linked names? That decides whether this is rotation or repricing.
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11-07
Redwire: A 21% Crash, a Record Backlog, and a $17.5 Million Question
Redwire (NYSE: RDW) reported third-quarter revenue of $109.0 million after the close on November 4 — up 5.4% year over year, but $17.5 million short of the $126.5 million Wall Street consensus compiled by Fiscal.ai. The stock fell 21% to $6.13 on November 5, the steepest single-day drop among the major US-listed space names that day. The same press release, however, reported a record 32.3% gross margin, a record $619.7 million backlog up roughly 75% year over year, a quarterly book-to-bill of 1.73, and a reaffirmed full-year revenue forecast of $450 million to $500 million. This piece answers one question: is RDW's crash a repricing of broken demand, or a mechanical overreaction to shipment timing in a falling market? Figure 1 — The quarter in four numbers: revenue, record gross margin, re
TOPThat $619.7M backlog and 1.73 book-to-bill matter more to me than one ugly quarter. If Q4 lands inside guidance, this dump will look emotional
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11-07
SpaceX's 8.6% Jump Is Really a Bond-Market Test
On Friday 6 November, $SPCX(SpaceX)$ closed up 8.62%, adding roughly $144.6 billion of market value in one session, while the Dow fell 0.46% (BigGo Finance; Sina Finance, 7 Nov 2026). The better read is structural: SpaceX has become the market's largest levered buyer of AI chips, financed off its own balance sheet, and this week the bond market started deciding whether that machine gets built. The question: will Goldman Sachs and Apollo place a roughly $40 billion chip financing — and what happens to the equity if they cannot? Figure 1 — The four numbers that define the story: Friday's move, the compute mix, the equipment bill, the loan tranche. Sources: BigGo Finance; Reuters via Economic Times; Bloomberg via Lianhe Zaobao. A rocket company with a bond-financed compute habit On 26 October
TOPThe equity likely rerates lower if the $40 billion financing stalls. Without residual support or force-majeure relief, who is really warehousing the downside if delivery slips in H1 2027 and the lease economics reset?
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11-07
When AI Titanic sinks, it drags the whole crew with it.
Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. $Modine Manufacturing(MOD)$
TOPCooling is still the bottleneck here, and MOD sits right in that lane. Broken supports matter short term, but the long runway for data center thermal demand matters more.
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11-08 09:27
11.57 VIX points: check the level, not just the jump
A larger jump is not the same as a higher finish. Compare the move, the starting point and the closing level before deciding what the headline means. The Nasdaq Composite fell 5.5% on 5 Nov, versus 6.0% on 3 Apr 2025. Similar falls give us a comparison, not proof that the episodes are the same. The VIX rose 11.57 points from 16.61 on 5 Nov. Its April comparison rose 8.51 points. The starting level is context, not a mechanical explanation for a bigger points jump. My read: the jump overstates fear. But the counter-case matters. It finished at 28.18, near April's 30.02. Looking only at the change could make me dismiss the closing level. Keep the read separate from the test. I'll withdraw it if any daily VIX close is above 28.18 during 9-13 Nov. Equality does not trigger it. Staying below wou
TOPTerm structure matters more here: spot at 23.48 while front-end vol is still rich tells me this is stress, not full panic repricing