The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
As a regular Singaporean middle-class investor Ive been nodding along to Warren Buffett’s recent vibes. The Oracle of Omaha (or his successors at Berkshire) has been sitting on a mountain of cash—hundreds of billions—while being a net seller of stocks for quarters on end. Valuations look stretched, the Buffett Indicator is screaming high, and he’s basically saying: “Not much compelling out there right now. Patience is the name of the game.” It makes sense. With the S&P 500 and tech names trading at lofty multiples amid AI hype, chasing growth stocks feels like paying full price for a crowded kopitiam during peak lunch hour. Safe Singapore options? Fixed deposits are hovering around 1.3–1.5% p.a. at best, T-bills barely cracking 1.4%, and even USD deposits top out around 3.5–3.6%.
The S&P 500 Broke Its 200-Day MA. What Its Chart Says Now The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has been rebounding recently after the key index broke its 200-day Simple Moving Average and hit a nearly seven-month low in recent days. Let's see what its chart says might happen next. The S&P 500's Fundamental Analysis The entire ball game for U.S. equities has changed rather quickly as hopes have risen somewhat for an end to both the Iran War and Big Tech's recent sell-off. First, The Wall Street Journal reported last week that U.S. President Donald Trump had told those around him he'd be willing to end America's Iran operation even if the key Strait of Hormuz remains closed. Trump also publicly said the U.S. mil
This Week (06-10 Apr) - High Volatility, Geopolitical Risks, and Friday's CPI Data Drive Uncertainty.
Welcome to Nerdbull1669 Weekly Trading Outlook Tips for this week 06 to 10 April 2026. Before we move to this week, the first week of April 2026 was characterized by significant volatility as markets grappled with a "warflation" narrative—a combination of persistent labor strength and geopolitical supply shocks. While the week ended with some resilience due to technical dip-buying, the primary drivers remained the escalation in the Middle East and its immediate impact on energy markets. Market Summary: April 1–3, 2026 Index Performance The major indices saw mixed results as investors rotated out of growth and into value and energy sectors. S&P 500: Finished the week near 6,578, managing a modest gain despite intraday swings of over 1%. Nasdaq Composite: Remained under pressure, ending
$Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.(LW)$$ConAgra(CAG)$ $General Mills(GIS)$ 📊 Lamb Weston Q3 FY26: North American Volume Acceleration of 12% Reveals Core Competitive Strength Amid International Margin Erosion and Supply Demand Realignment 📊 🟩 Revenue: $1.56B vs $1.48B est 🟩 Adj. EPS: $0.72 vs $0.60 est 🍟📈 12% Volume Surge Masks 80% International Collapse as Margin Reset Forces Strategic Pivot 🌍⚠️ Lamb Weston delivered a headline beat in Q3, but the underlying profile deteriorated meaningfully. Revenue rose 3% to $1.56B, driven almost entirely by a 12% surge in North American volumes 🇺🇸📊. That level of acceleration, particularly against soft restaurant
$Pedevco(PED)$$Ring(REI)$ $Amplify Energy Corp.(AMPY)$ 🛢️📊⚙️ PEDEVCO $PED: Post-Merger Cash Engine Ignites as Scale Rewrites Baseline While LOE Execution Defines the Re-Rating Path ⚙️📊🛢️ The Q4 2025 release marks a genuine inflection point where operational scale has moved materially ahead of reported earnings. The Juniper merger has reset the company’s production, reserves, and cash flow capacity in a single step, yet GAAP accounting is lagging that reality. I see a business that has structurally transitioned into a cash-generative platform. I also see a narrow execution window where cost discipline and integration efficiency will determine
(Part 2 of 5) Earnings Calendar - Delta, time to take off (06Apr2026)
Earnings Calendar (06Apr2026) Let us look at Delta Airlines for this week’s stock analysis. Valuation Metrics The company currently has a Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.7 and an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $7.72. These figures suggest that, based on its earnings, Delta appears to be an attractive investment opportunity. It will be intriguing to observe how Delta manages the ongoing energy crisis, especially given the expected increases in jet fuel prices in various regions. The key question is whether consumers will continue to travel or begin to cut back, as rising energy costs contribute to inflationary pressures throughout the business, including the supply chain and overall cost of living. Analyst Recommendations Tanika’s analysis recommends a strong buy for Delta’s sto
$S&P 500(.SPX)$$SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ $Lumentum(LITE)$ 🔥📊⚖️ Macro Inflection Week: Inflation Collision, Positioning Reset and Gamma Dynamics Set the Next Move ⚖️📊🔥 The week of 6Apr26 is a compressed decision window where inflation data, rate expectations, and positioning collide. Markets have already rotated out of the Q1 momentum phase. What replaces it is a more fragile structure, where liquidity is thinner, positioning is neutralising, and macro surprises transmit quickly across assets. 📅 Macro Catalysts • Tuesday: Durable goods, consumer credit, Goolsbee • Wednesday: FOMC minutes • Thursday: PCE, GDP, jobless claims • Friday: CPI, se
Rare levels of bearish sentiment in $SPX historically lead to relief rallies and often precede major bottoms, while $GOOG shows a bullish stochastic crossover in oversold territory—typically a strong setup for a rebound. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Over the last 30 years, we have seen this level of bearish sentiment (55%) only a few times. Relief rallies have followed without fail; even when those rallies were short-lived A major bottom materialized few weeks after. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 2. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ Bullish stochastic crossovers in the oversold zone (at or below 20) usually precede solid bounces. 11 successful cases and 2 exceptions (2022) in 10 yea
Sell-Off Continuation vs. Recovery of Critical Levels
Despite the extreme bearish sentiment last weekend, I anticipated that a bounce was coming, citing a high likelihood of a relief rally, “as the $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$$SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust(DIA)$ were showing potential for a trend reversal.” Pessimism was as high as it was in April 2025, but staying focused on technical indicators is essential, regardless of the noise. Markets closed the first week of April with their first weekly gain since the Iran conflict began. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rose 3.4%
$SPY Key April Levels: $675 Trigger, $662 Test, $630 Support
3 critical levels for $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ in April: 1.$674–$675 → The trigger level This is where the last major breakdown started, meaning trapped buyers are sitting here waiting to get out. If price reclaims and holds above, it signals buyers are back in control and the trend can resume higher. If it fails again, it confirms this area as a lower high and continuation of weakness. 2.$656–$662 → The battlefield (200 SMA) This zone is packed with confluence prior support turned resistance + the 200 SMA, which institutions watch closely. This is where bulls have to prove strength, because acceptance above flips market structure back bullish. Rejection here means sellers are still dominant and rallies are meant to be sold. 3.$630–$634 →
Q2 Won't Be "Straight Line Up". Look At Quality Growth And Energy Sector Strength
The disappointment of 2026 Q1 was largely driven by a "perfect storm" of geopolitical tension in the Middle East, a spike in Brent crude above $100/barrel, and a shift toward a "higher-for-longer" interest rate narrative. However, as we enter the first full week of April, the tone is shifting from panic to a "pensive" recovery. Q2 Market Outlook & Sentiment The consensus for Q2 is cautiously bullish. While Q1 felt like "catching a falling knife," analysts see strong support levels forming. The "TACO" Trade: Markets are increasingly pricing in a pivot by the administration (the "Trump Always Comes Off" trade) to prevent an equity meltdown. Earnings Growth: S&P 500 earnings are projected to grow by 19.1% in Q2, with 9 out of 11 sectors expected to show year-over-year growth. Sentimen
Relief Rally Weekly: Stocks Snap 5-Week Slide as Oil Surges to $112; Earnings Season Kicks Off
Last Week's Recap 1. U.S. Market Summary: Stocks Snap 5-Week Slide as Oil Surges to $112 Relief rally: Major U.S. indexes gained 3–4% last week, snapping a five-week losing streak. Resurgent oil: U.S. crude climbed to ~$112/barrel Friday—highest since mid-2022—amid escalating Strait of Hormuz tensions. Golden rebound: $Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$ recovered March losses, rising nearly 4% to trade around $4,700 on last friday. Yields reverse course: Treasury yields slipped after four weeks of gains that pushed 10-year rates to eight-month highs. March decline: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell ~5% in March for back-to-back monthly losses;
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1 $Micron Technology(MU)$ Trade Idea: April 10 390C Trigger: 368 ✅ Targets: 400 🎯 Stop: 360 🛑 MU got caught in the Google TurboQuant compression algorithm selloff that hammered the entire memory sector. MU dropped sharply along with SNDK last week. The stock had been holding in the 380s and then flushed hard. It bounced with the sector on Tuesday and Wednesday on analyst pushback dismissing the TurboQuant threat, with Cantor Fitzgerald calling MU a top pick and Morgan Stanley maintaining a Buy with a $520 price target. The bounce was real but now we need to see follow through. If MU can break above 375-380 this week the path to 400+ opens up. Calls can work above
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Strategy(MSTR)$ July '25 until now vs. $Celsius Holdings, Inc.(CELH)$ from June '24 to January '25 Very, very interesting similarities. 2 There have been multiple false upside curls on the MACD over the last 6+ months, so this current curl is also guilty until proven innocent. However, when the weekly MACD actually crosses, it is generally pretty bullish for 4+ weeks ahead. $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ 3 MACD curling to the upside on the weekly candle chart which has been a strong upside signal in the past.
As the US-Iran war goes into its 6th week of fighting, we have to be mentally prepared for a worsening of the situation, not unless US stick to its peaceful retreat and not execute another foolish stunt. While the world wait for US to exhibit proof of sincerity, it marches on as it is “business as usual”. Is it really so, when everyone is sucked into this black hole - willingly or otherwise ? Below was US reports released for the week ending 02 Apr 2026. This will be a “last” look at the US economy before quarterly earnings season “takeover”. 31 Mar 2026 - Jobs opening & labour turnover surveys (February). 31 Mar 2026 - US Consumer confidence (March). 01 Apr 2026 - ADP non-farm payroll (March). 01 Apr 2026 - US Retail sales (February). 02 Apr 2026 - Jobless claims - weekly & contin
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1 $Aehr Test(AEHR)$ announces earnings after the closing bell on Tuesday this week. Expected move is ~21%. Am looking to play this for earnings ... taking a put-write trade, April 17 expiry, strike in the 20-25 range. Targeting a put strike in the 20-25 range looks solid based on the 200EMA and the volume support cluster below current price. 2 $APPLIED DIGITAL CORP(APLD)$ announces earnings after the closing bee on Wednesday this week. Expected move is ~14%. Am 👀 writing the April 17 expiry $15 put strike for an #Optionselling trade to play earnings. Not much volume support below current price until it