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nerdbull1669
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01-05

Tesla Q4 2025 Report A Challenging Reality. Can Tesla Keep Up?

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Q4 delivery miss drives annual sales down 8.5% amid EV competition. So can Tesla keep up with the competition from legacy automakers releasing cheaper EVs and expired federal incentives. In this article, we would like to look at the current, evidence-based view of what’s happening at Tesla and what it could mean for its ability to compete in the EV market and for TSLA stock going forward: What Happened: Tesla’s Q4 & 2025 Delivery Results Tesla’s delivery report showed: 418,227 vehicles delivered in Q4 2025, a year-over-year decline of about 15–16 percent and below Wall Street consensus expectations. Full-year 2025 deliveries were ~1.64 million, down ~8.5 percent from 2024 — marking the second consecutive annual sales decli
Tesla Q4 2025 Report A Challenging Reality. Can Tesla Keep Up?
TOPJamesWalton: Hard to see Tesla keeping up without Robotaxi proof. Competition's brutal![看跌]
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SmartReversals
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01-05

$SPX, $NVDA & $IWM - Markets at an Inflection Point

1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ SPX managed to fill the gap and close at the 20DMA zone. The narrowing price action is anticipating a significant move ahead. A loss of $6,837 and the 20DMA would suggest a breakdown and more consolidation after 7 green months + a muted December.BTC on the other hand, is attempting to breakout, that would be a bullish indication of risk appetite. 2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Very interesting formation, should it be called the twins-shooting star pattern?Short term pullback is likely, the strength of the 50DMA + Volume shelf will be tested. 3. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ The move looks promising, supported by the bounce at the confluence zone of the
$SPX, $NVDA & $IWM - Markets at an Inflection Point
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01-02

🚀🧠📊 SMCI at $29: Compression Dynamics, Contracts, and the xAI Infrastructure Convergence 📊🧠🚀

$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Bullish $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Bullish I’m examining $SMCI through two frameworks right now, and they remain decisively out of sync. Price behaviour reflects fatigue after an extended contraction phase. Product architecture, hyperscale demand, and long-dated options positioning point toward deliberate accumulation. 🧭 Structure Check, Compression Before Commitment On the technical side, the 4H and 30-minute charts remain confined within descending Keltner and Bollinger bands, but the mechanics have changed. Volatility is compressing, lower bands are stabilising, and the $29 zone continues to absorb
🚀🧠📊 SMCI at $29: Compression Dynamics, Contracts, and the xAI Infrastructure Convergence 📊🧠🚀
TOPHen Solo: Strong macro layering. The xAI angle adds cross-asset relevance, not just single-stock bias. $Intel(INTC)$ fits well here, supply chain exposure with improving positioning. Support holding while flow improves usually matters more than headlines.Watching $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ to DC in on position if possible. Thanks BC.
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koolgal
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01-02

The Memory Supercycle: Is Micron the Unsung Hero of the AI Revolution?

🌟🌟🌟While the world has been obsessing over the "brains" of AI like Nvidia and AMD, the "memory" of the AI machines is officially stealing the spotlight.  Micron $Micron Technology(MU)$  surged 3 % yesterday, effortlessly outperforming the broader market and proving that you can't have a super intelligent AI if it can't remember what it is doing. The 2026 Memory Supercycle : A Perfect Storm The whisper in the halls of CES 2026 is that we are in the middle of a massive memory supercycle.  Nomura analysts expect this cycle to stretch through 2027, driven by an insatiable demand for AI servers and enterprise SSDs that is devouring supply faster than a teenager at a buffet. The Supply Crunch:  Significan
The Memory Supercycle: Is Micron the Unsung Hero of the AI Revolution?
TOPfrostiix: Micron's surge is brilliant! ETF approach saves the hassle.[看涨]
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Isleigh
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01-02

🚗 Tesla Q4 Deliveries: Short-Term Pain or a Setup for 2026?

Tesla is heading into Q4 delivery results with expectations already reset lower, and that matters more than the headline number. 📊 The Hard Numbers (What the Market Is Pricing In) Q4 2025 consensus deliveries (median): ~420,400 vehicles Mean estimate: ~422,850 vehicles This implies year-on-year delivery decline for the second consecutive year Tesla shares are already ~8–10% off recent highs, suggesting expectations are no longer euphoric In other words, this is not a blowout expectations quarter—but it may not need to be. 🧠 Why a Miss May Not Break the Stock Tesla is no longer traded purely as an auto company. Investors are increasingly focused on: Autonomy and robotaxi optionality AI compute and inference scale Optimus and long-cycle robotics monetization Margin stabilization vs deli
🚗 Tesla Q4 Deliveries: Short-Term Pain or a Setup for 2026?
TOPJohnMitchell: Spot on, mate. Q4 is just the warm-up for 2026. Hold tight![看涨]
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nerdbull1669
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01-02

Buying opportunity for Broadening Rally, Not Start of Collapse.

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ experienced a modest pullback and soft finish to 2025, with a roughly 0.7% drop on the final trading day (December 31, 2025) amidst light volume, we need to look at the dip as a healthy reset rather than a bursting bubble, with some expectations for continued growth and broadening market leadership into 2026 despite some year-end volatility in mega-cap tech. The late-December pullback is better interpreted as a positional reset than a structural warning—however, it does carry information about how 2026 is likely to unfold rather than whether it will be positive. In this article, I would like to share the structured way to think about the two competing interpretations. Why the Late-2025 Dip Looks Like a Healthy Reset Several
Buying opportunity for Broadening Rally, Not Start of Collapse.
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nerdbull1669
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01-02

CES 2026: From Hype to "Physical AI" and Outcomes

CES 2026 would be a defining moment for AI as we are seeing intelligent systems becoming smarter, faster and more integrated into our daily lives. CES 2026 is shaping up to be a pivotal industry moment for AI and semiconductors, not just another gadget show. The narrative this year (and likely beyond) is shifting from raw chip performance to what these chips enable in real-world outcomes, such as energy efficiency, AI-assisted workflows, next-generation mobility, and integrated AI across devices and systems. This has important implications for chip giants and the broader technology ecosystem. From Raw Performance to Outcomes and Experiences Broader Industry Emphasis At CES 2026, the focus extends far beyond benchmark numbers. Companies are presenting AI technologies as enablers of new expe
CES 2026: From Hype to "Physical AI" and Outcomes
TOPOgdenHerbert: Absolutely! CES 2026 could be a game-changer for semis stocks with its focus on real-world outcomes.[看涨]
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Mrzorro
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01-02
Berkshire Hathaway Attracts Bullish Option Trade as Buffett's Successor Takes Over $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$   attracted its biggest bullish block trade in options in at least a month as investors welcomed billionaire Warren Buffett's successor, Greg Abel as the conglomerate’s new CEO.  At 10:14:28 a.m. Wednesday, an active buyer paid a $1.61 million premium for call options that give their holder the right to purchase 350,000 Berkshire Class B shares at $575 over the next 168 days. That strike price is about $70 above the current stock price. The block trade is about 23X the open interest.  Berkshire's shares have climbed in 23 of the past 29 years under Buffett's leadership. In announcing tha
Berkshire Hathaway Attracts Bullish Option Trade as Buffett's Successor Takes Over $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ attracted its biggest bullish block ...
TOPYNWIM: Solid move! Berkshire's future looks bright under Greg.[看涨]
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Lanceljx
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01-02
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ What trade taught me the most in 2025 The most instructive trade was staying invested in quality AI infrastructure names despite repeated macro scares. Tariff headlines, rate volatility and valuation anxiety created frequent pullbacks, yet fundamentals around compute demand, data centre utilisation and software monetisation continued to compound. The lesson was clear: when a structural cycle is intact, risk management matters more than perfect timing, and exiting too early can be more costly than enduring volatility. How I review my 2025 performance I would assess 2025 as a year of disciplined participation rather than aggressive optimisation. Returns were driven by thematic conviction in AI, selective exposure to megacaps,
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ What trade taught me the most in 2025 The most instructive trade was staying invested in quality AI infrastructure names desp...
TOPClarenceNehemiah: Solid points on AI fundamentals! Discipline pays off big time.[强]
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Lanceljx
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01-02
With CES opening the year, the key signal investors are watching is not technological ambition, but commercial clarity. Nvidia and AMD will likely reinforce the data-centre AI story, which remains the most defensible and revenue-visible segment, while framing physical AI, edge computing and on-device inference as the next layers of growth rather than immediate profit drivers. The critical test lies in consumer AI. After uneven adoption of earlier AI-branded devices, the market will scrutinise whether new hardware delivers clear, repeatable use cases that justify upgrades, not just higher specifications. A credible consumer AI narrative will require demonstrable productivity gains, seamless software integration and realistic power efficiency, rather than conceptual demos. In short, CES 2026
With CES opening the year, the key signal investors are watching is not technological ambition, but commercial clarity. Nvidia and AMD will likely ...
TOPDebbyLily: Spot on. Consumer AI needs real gains, not just hype.[看涨]
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Lanceljx
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01-02
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ A useful technical insight is to treat indicators as tools for context, not prediction. Trend indicators such as moving averages help define market direction and regime, momentum indicators like RSI and MACD highlight the strength and sustainability of moves, while volume and volatility tools provide clues about conviction and risk. The most common mistake is using indicators in isolation. Signals work best when they align. For example, a pullback into a rising moving average with stabilising RSI and contracting volatility often offers a higher-quality entry than a standalone oversold reading. Equally important is knowing when not to trade. When indicators conflict or markets turn range-bound, patience becomes a position. Ul
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ A useful technical insight is to treat indicators as tools for context, not prediction. Trend indicators such as moving avera...
TOPEmilyMark: Spot on! Aligning signals boosts entry quality, patience is crucial.[看涨]
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Huat99
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01-02
$Singtel(Z74.SI)$ Is the +50% run in Singtel ($Z74.SI) sustainable? The data points to a textbook structural turnaround. 🔄 We are witnessing a "Positive Cycle Handoff." The defensive phase of FY23-24—marked by "kitchen sink" impairments at Optus and shedding loss-makers like Trustwave—is largely complete. Now, Singtel is weaponizing its balance sheet. By aggressively recycling capital from legacy asset sales (Airtel stakes, Comcentre), they are funding a massive offensive pivot. The focus has shifted squarely to scaling AI-ready data centers via Nxera, capitalizing on structural ARPU growth at Airtel, and executing a S$2B share buyback program. The narrative has moved from "restructuring for survival" to "structural value realization."
$Singtel(Z74.SI)$ Is the +50% run in Singtel ($Z74.SI) sustainable? The data points to a textbook structural turnaround. 🔄 We are witnessing a "Pos...
TOPChrisColeman: Yes, sustainable! Structural shift solid with AI and buybacks.[看涨]
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WeChats
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01-02
📉 The Dollar Just Crashed -9% (Worst Since 2017) — Is the “Everything Rally” About to Ignite? The "King Dollar" wrecking ball didn't just slow down in 2025—it was dismantled. After a crushing -9% collapse in 2025, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has officially posted its worst performance since 2017. If you exclude that one anomaly, you have to go back to 2003 to find a year this weak for the Greenback. This is a violent regime change. We went from a +8% "US Exceptionalism" rally in 2024 directly into a capitulation. For traders, this is the single most important chart to watch right now. A crashing dollar changes the math for everything—from Bitcoin to Commodities to Big Tech earnings. Here is why the Smart Money is flipping, and how to trade the wreckage in 2026. 1️⃣ The "Smart Money" Has Capi
📉 The Dollar Just Crashed -9% (Worst Since 2017) — Is the “Everything Rally” About to Ignite? The "King Dollar" wrecking ball didn't just slow down...
TOPOswaldFinger: DXY really smashed, mate! Gold's dip buying time[看跌]
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Subramanyan
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01-02
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ 2025 taught me some valuable lessons about the interplay of political, economic & technological factors: typically rewarding investors who stayed disciplined & diversified. I was mostly disciplined (Except when I bought DJT) but faltered in diversification viz. especially in a single region US &  sector like Crypto stocks. And this cost me dear. Patience pays off in the long run is the 2nd lesson I learnt & hope that this will save me in the long run along with the 3rd - Fundamentals matter most. Policy impact is significant is the final lesson. And the Bove sums up my performance overview as well.
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ 2025 taught me some valuable lessons about the interplay of political, economic & technological factors: typically rewarding ...
TOPRgSFO: Individual stocks performance is mostly based on perception and fundamentals and big funds. Total market or S&P 500 gives the widest diversification, and its performance depends on monetary policy, fiscal policy. In this situation, a long term focus is ideal. Because, bear markets don’t last longer than 6 to 18 months and the markets proceed to make new highs after that. But the same thing can’t be said about individual stocks. There are stocks like Intel which is in a bear market since it hit a high of $80 in 2000.
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Subramanyan
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01-02
Whether robotics is the bext growth engine is dependent on the following factors in jy opinion: (1) Market Potential: As per analysts, global robotics market is projected to grow substantially, potentially reaching $104.7 billion by 2026 and over $375 billion by 2035 driven by automation demand, labor shortages and AI integration. (2) Market & analyst sentiment: most analysts are bullish on both stocks. Nvidia has a "Strong Buy" consensus rating with a target price that suggests a potential 40% upside in 2026, partly due to its clear lead in the AI and robotics platform space. AMD also enjoys a "Strong Buy" consensus and analysts predict a potential 32% rally in 2026, driven by its competitive data center and AI offerings. So, encouraging I would say. (3) Investment Focus: While AI cur
Whether robotics is the bext growth engine is dependent on the following factors in jy opinion: (1) Market Potential: As per analysts, global robot...
TOPRiver0: Spot on! Physical AI will drive massive growth for Nvidia and AMD.[看涨]
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Pinkspider
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01-02
Looking forward to the day when the market doesn’t care about $TSLA quarter to quarter deliveries, but more on fleet size, rides given, total miles driven, fleet uptime, safety metrics etc. Autonomy and real world AI will drive Tesla’s business into a higher margin recurring revenue stream. It doesn’t stop there. Each product in Tesla’s ecosystem has potential for additional revenue streams such as subscriptions, insurance, infotainment, and likely new services. So we are going from a one time gross profit per vehicle to a multiple recurring revenue stream. Now imagine millions and tens of millions of vehicles in Tesla’s fleet. This makes Apple look like a joke. The market is definitely not pricing this in today.
Looking forward to the day when the market doesn’t care about $TSLA quarter to quarter deliveries, but more on fleet size, rides given, total miles...
TOPtwixzy: Spot on! Tesla's recurring revenue potential is massive.[看涨]
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Spiders
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01-02

My 2025 Investment Journey

2025 slipped away quietly. It’s now only the second day of 2026, and like any reflective investor, I found myself staring at numbers—specifically, the P&L analysis in my Tiger Brokers account. Rows of numbers, green and red, unrealised and realised. I’ve learned that if you stare long enough, numbers stop being numbers and start becoming memories. I opened my Tiger Brokers account back in 2023. Those early years felt encouraging. Both 2023 and 2024 ended with positive overall P&L, reinforcing a sense that I was doing something right. The market rewarded my decisions, and confidence slowly but surely grew. Then came 2025—a humbling reminder that investing is never a straight line upward. For the first time since I started, my overall P&L for the year turned negative. Seeing red
My 2025 Investment Journey
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apple26
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2025-12-31
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01-03
$Adobe(ADBE)$ $Workday(WDAY)$  $Intuit(INTU)$  📉 Adobe Liquidity Flush, Valuation Reset, Big Money Setup 📊 I’m watching Adobe $ADBE get absolutely smacked today, now -4.5% to $334.29, and it’s dragging the software complex with it as $WDAY and $INTU slide in sympathy. This is not noise. This is volatility asserting control and forcing rotation. On the charts, the message is unmissable. The recent rally was rejected cleanly at the 200DMA resistance. On the 4H and 30m views, price smashed through the mid Keltner, accelerated into the lower volatility bands, and printed a textbook liquidity flush. Wide ranges, heavy red candles, urgency everywher
$Adobe(ADBE)$ $Workday(WDAY)$ $Intuit(INTU)$ 📉 Adobe Liquidity Flush, Valuation Reset, Big Money Setup 📊 I’m watching Adobe $ADBE get absolutely sm...
TOPHen Solo: Your point on valuation disconnect stands out. $Adobe(ADBE)$ earnings strength versus price compression is hard to ignore. Seen this movie in $Oracle(ORCL)$ before, momentum vanished then snapped back once flow stabilised.
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01-03
$Interactive Brokers(IBKR)$ $Goldman Sachs(GS)$  $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ 🥊📈 Retail Just Beat Wall Street for a Third Straight Year, and the Data Is Now Undeniable 📊🔥💰 👀📈 I’m looking at this chart attached and it captures something structural, not cyclical. 📌📊 What the data actually says • $IBKR: Retail average return 19.2% vs S&P 500 17.9% • $GS: “Retail favourites” basket +30.5% vs S&P 500 +16.4% • $JPM: AI and metals trades drove 40%+ of retail gains For the third consecutive year, retail capital has outperformed the S&P 500. This is no longer anecdotal and it’s no longer narrow. It’s confirmed across independent datasets from Goldman
$Interactive Brokers(IBKR)$ $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ 🥊📈 Retail Just Beat Wall Street for a Third Straight Year, and the Data Is No...
TOPHen Solo: 📈 Strong take. Gamma and Vanna effects clearly amplified retail timing last year. When structure breaks resistance, flow follows. I’m seeing the same behaviour in $Apple(AAPL)$ where positioning stayed sticky even through earnings volatility.
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