Buying opportunity for Broadening Rally, Not Start of Collapse.
The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ experienced a modest pullback and soft finish to 2025, with a roughly 0.7% drop on the final trading day (December 31, 2025) amidst light volume, we need to look at the dip as a healthy reset rather than a bursting bubble, with some expectations for continued growth and broadening market leadership into 2026 despite some year-end volatility in mega-cap tech. The late-December pullback is better interpreted as a positional reset than a structural warning—however, it does carry information about how 2026 is likely to unfold rather than whether it will be positive. In this article, I would like to share the structured way to think about the two competing interpretations. Why the Late-2025 Dip Looks Like a Healthy Reset Several
CES 2026 would be a defining moment for AI as we are seeing intelligent systems becoming smarter, faster and more integrated into our daily lives. CES 2026 is shaping up to be a pivotal industry moment for AI and semiconductors, not just another gadget show. The narrative this year (and likely beyond) is shifting from raw chip performance to what these chips enable in real-world outcomes, such as energy efficiency, AI-assisted workflows, next-generation mobility, and integrated AI across devices and systems. This has important implications for chip giants and the broader technology ecosystem. From Raw Performance to Outcomes and Experiences Broader Industry Emphasis At CES 2026, the focus extends far beyond benchmark numbers. Companies are presenting AI technologies as enablers of new expe
Berkshire Hathaway Attracts Bullish Option Trade as Buffett's Successor Takes Over $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ attracted its biggest bullish block trade in options in at least a month as investors welcomed billionaire Warren Buffett's successor, Greg Abel as the conglomerate’s new CEO. At 10:14:28 a.m. Wednesday, an active buyer paid a $1.61 million premium for call options that give their holder the right to purchase 350,000 Berkshire Class B shares at $575 over the next 168 days. That strike price is about $70 above the current stock price. The block trade is about 23X the open interest. Berkshire's shares have climbed in 23 of the past 29 years under Buffett's leadership. In announcing tha
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ What trade taught me the most in 2025 The most instructive trade was staying invested in quality AI infrastructure names despite repeated macro scares. Tariff headlines, rate volatility and valuation anxiety created frequent pullbacks, yet fundamentals around compute demand, data centre utilisation and software monetisation continued to compound. The lesson was clear: when a structural cycle is intact, risk management matters more than perfect timing, and exiting too early can be more costly than enduring volatility. How I review my 2025 performance I would assess 2025 as a year of disciplined participation rather than aggressive optimisation. Returns were driven by thematic conviction in AI, selective exposure to megacaps,
With CES opening the year, the key signal investors are watching is not technological ambition, but commercial clarity. Nvidia and AMD will likely reinforce the data-centre AI story, which remains the most defensible and revenue-visible segment, while framing physical AI, edge computing and on-device inference as the next layers of growth rather than immediate profit drivers. The critical test lies in consumer AI. After uneven adoption of earlier AI-branded devices, the market will scrutinise whether new hardware delivers clear, repeatable use cases that justify upgrades, not just higher specifications. A credible consumer AI narrative will require demonstrable productivity gains, seamless software integration and realistic power efficiency, rather than conceptual demos. In short, CES 2026
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ A useful technical insight is to treat indicators as tools for context, not prediction. Trend indicators such as moving averages help define market direction and regime, momentum indicators like RSI and MACD highlight the strength and sustainability of moves, while volume and volatility tools provide clues about conviction and risk. The most common mistake is using indicators in isolation. Signals work best when they align. For example, a pullback into a rising moving average with stabilising RSI and contracting volatility often offers a higher-quality entry than a standalone oversold reading. Equally important is knowing when not to trade. When indicators conflict or markets turn range-bound, patience becomes a position. Ul
$Singtel(Z74.SI)$ Is the +50% run in Singtel ($Z74.SI) sustainable? The data points to a textbook structural turnaround. 🔄 We are witnessing a "Positive Cycle Handoff." The defensive phase of FY23-24—marked by "kitchen sink" impairments at Optus and shedding loss-makers like Trustwave—is largely complete. Now, Singtel is weaponizing its balance sheet. By aggressively recycling capital from legacy asset sales (Airtel stakes, Comcentre), they are funding a massive offensive pivot. The focus has shifted squarely to scaling AI-ready data centers via Nxera, capitalizing on structural ARPU growth at Airtel, and executing a S$2B share buyback program. The narrative has moved from "restructuring for survival" to "structural value realization."
📉 The Dollar Just Crashed -9% (Worst Since 2017) — Is the “Everything Rally” About to Ignite? The "King Dollar" wrecking ball didn't just slow down in 2025—it was dismantled. After a crushing -9% collapse in 2025, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has officially posted its worst performance since 2017. If you exclude that one anomaly, you have to go back to 2003 to find a year this weak for the Greenback. This is a violent regime change. We went from a +8% "US Exceptionalism" rally in 2024 directly into a capitulation. For traders, this is the single most important chart to watch right now. A crashing dollar changes the math for everything—from Bitcoin to Commodities to Big Tech earnings. Here is why the Smart Money is flipping, and how to trade the wreckage in 2026. 1️⃣ The "Smart Money" Has Capi
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ 2025 taught me some valuable lessons about the interplay of political, economic & technological factors: typically rewarding investors who stayed disciplined & diversified. I was mostly disciplined (Except when I bought DJT) but faltered in diversification viz. especially in a single region US & sector like Crypto stocks. And this cost me dear. Patience pays off in the long run is the 2nd lesson I learnt & hope that this will save me in the long run along with the 3rd - Fundamentals matter most. Policy impact is significant is the final lesson. And the Bove sums up my performance overview as well.
Whether robotics is the bext growth engine is dependent on the following factors in jy opinion: (1) Market Potential: As per analysts, global robotics market is projected to grow substantially, potentially reaching $104.7 billion by 2026 and over $375 billion by 2035 driven by automation demand, labor shortages and AI integration. (2) Market & analyst sentiment: most analysts are bullish on both stocks. Nvidia has a "Strong Buy" consensus rating with a target price that suggests a potential 40% upside in 2026, partly due to its clear lead in the AI and robotics platform space. AMD also enjoys a "Strong Buy" consensus and analysts predict a potential 32% rally in 2026, driven by its competitive data center and AI offerings. So, encouraging I would say. (3) Investment Focus: While AI cur
Looking forward to the day when the market doesn’t care about $TSLA quarter to quarter deliveries, but more on fleet size, rides given, total miles driven, fleet uptime, safety metrics etc. Autonomy and real world AI will drive Tesla’s business into a higher margin recurring revenue stream. It doesn’t stop there. Each product in Tesla’s ecosystem has potential for additional revenue streams such as subscriptions, insurance, infotainment, and likely new services. So we are going from a one time gross profit per vehicle to a multiple recurring revenue stream. Now imagine millions and tens of millions of vehicles in Tesla’s fleet. This makes Apple look like a joke. The market is definitely not pricing this in today.
2025 slipped away quietly. It’s now only the second day of 2026, and like any reflective investor, I found myself staring at numbers—specifically, the P&L analysis in my Tiger Brokers account. Rows of numbers, green and red, unrealised and realised. I’ve learned that if you stare long enough, numbers stop being numbers and start becoming memories. I opened my Tiger Brokers account back in 2023. Those early years felt encouraging. Both 2023 and 2024 ended with positive overall P&L, reinforcing a sense that I was doing something right. The market rewarded my decisions, and confidence slowly but surely grew. Then came 2025—a humbling reminder that investing is never a straight line upward. For the first time since I started, my overall P&L for the year turned negative. Seeing red
$Adobe(ADBE)$$Workday(WDAY)$ $Intuit(INTU)$ 📉 Adobe Liquidity Flush, Valuation Reset, Big Money Setup 📊 I’m watching Adobe $ADBE get absolutely smacked today, now -4.5% to $334.29, and it’s dragging the software complex with it as $WDAY and $INTU slide in sympathy. This is not noise. This is volatility asserting control and forcing rotation. On the charts, the message is unmissable. The recent rally was rejected cleanly at the 200DMA resistance. On the 4H and 30m views, price smashed through the mid Keltner, accelerated into the lower volatility bands, and printed a textbook liquidity flush. Wide ranges, heavy red candles, urgency everywher
$Interactive Brokers(IBKR)$$Goldman Sachs(GS)$ $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ 🥊📈 Retail Just Beat Wall Street for a Third Straight Year, and the Data Is Now Undeniable 📊🔥💰 👀📈 I’m looking at this chart attached and it captures something structural, not cyclical. 📌📊 What the data actually says • $IBKR: Retail average return 19.2% vs S&P 500 17.9% • $GS: “Retail favourites” basket +30.5% vs S&P 500 +16.4% • $JPM: AI and metals trades drove 40%+ of retail gains For the third consecutive year, retail capital has outperformed the S&P 500. This is no longer anecdotal and it’s no longer narrow. It’s confirmed across independent datasets from Goldman
🚀🧠⚙️ Cycles don’t whisper. They detonate. 2026: Silicon owns the entire AI decade ⚙️🧠🚀
$VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$$iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF(IGV)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ 2Jan26 🇺🇸|3Jan26 🇳🇿 📊 This is rotation on tape, not theory I’ve learned over decades that the first trading sessions of a new year often reveal the real leadership map. Early 2026 has done exactly that. We are seeing record outperformance of semiconductors versus software, with $SMH decisively outperforming $IGV. This is not sentiment noise. It is capital rotating toward the physical constraints of AI scaling. 🧠 The regime shift is structural The long-term $SMH versus $IGV relative chart has already done the hard work. Hardware broke out of multi-yea
Steel Meets Silicon: Why Robots, Not Models, May Drive the Next Leg
CES used to be where we pretended to care about smart refrigerators. Now it’s where Nvidia and AMD duke it out to see who gets to power the robot that might replace your job—or at least the one you didn’t want anyway. This year, I’m less interested in marginal GPU gains and more focused on whether these chip titans can convincingly present themselves as robotics platforms rather than pure AI silicon vendors. If robotics is the next stock engine, it will look very different from the last one. AI is leaving the cloud and learning to lift real weight When Compute Leaves the Cloud The first structural shift investors often underestimate is how robotics changes the AI compute demand profile. Data-centre spending remains lucrative but cyclical, tied to hyperscaler budgets. Robotics flips that mo
1. What is driving the recent Baidu share surge? Baidu’s stock has rallied sharply in late 2025 and early 2026, driven principally by market reaction to its artificial intelligence (AI) strategy and corporate actions: • The company filed a confidential listing application for its AI chip unit Kunlunxin with the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. This announcement sparked renewed investor interest as the potential spin-off could unlock value in what investors see as a high-growth segment. • The broader Chinese tech sector, especially AI and semiconductor names, experienced strong gains at the start of 2026 following a series of high-profile IPOs and heightened demand for domestic AI capabilities. • Analyst activity has been mixed but includes upgrades and increased target prices from som
Why 2026 Could Be the Year the IPO Market Finally Roars Back to Life
Look, after years of false starts and tepid activity, I'm convinced 2026 is going to be a breakout year for initial public offerings. The stars are aligning: interest rates are easing, investor appetite for growth stories is returning, and there's a massive backlog of mature, high-profile companies itching to tap public markets. We've seen glimpses of momentum in 2025, but next year feels different—like the dam is about to break. I believe we're on the cusp of a genuine resurgence, driven by megadeals in AI, space, and fintech. Sure, not every IPO will be a home run, and volatility could derail things, but the potential upside is enormous. Investors who position themselves wisely could ride some truly transformative waves. The Case for a 2026 IPO BoomIn my view, the IPO drought of recent y
S&P 500 Ushers in 2026 with a Cautious Rally, Powered by Semiconductor Surge
The dawn of 2026 brought a flicker of optimism to Wall Street as U.S. stock markets kicked off the new year with modest gains, defying the sluggish first-day trends of recent years. On January 2, the first trading day of the year, the S&P 500 managed to eke out a small advance, closing up 0.19% at 6,858.47 points after touching intraday highs that suggested a more robust 0.7% rise earlier in the session. The Nasdaq Composite, meanwhile, flirted with stronger momentum, surging as much as 1.5% intraday—but ultimately dipped 0.03% to end at 23,235.63. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fared better, climbing 0.66% to 48,382.39, providing a steady anchor amid the volatility. This performance marks a subtle reversal from the pattern of the past three years, where the S&P 500 started