To The Moon

I won’t say I regret missing opportunities in 2025. Regret is a heavy word, one that implies certainty—that I should have known better, that the outcome was obvious. Markets don’t work that way. What I will say is that there are moments, charts, and earnings calls I sometimes revisit with a quiet sense of curiosity: What if? 2025 was a year that made hindsight feel louder than it deserved to be. The headlines were cinematic. Trump’s return to the political stage reintroduced policy uncertainty like a recurring plot twist—tariffs resurfaced, trade rhetoric hardened, and markets oscillated between panic and indifference. At the same time, artificial intelligence stopped being a “theme” and became an infrastructure race. Capital flowed not just into models, but into chips, storage, energy, an

Bitcoin $CME Bitcoin - main 2601(BTCmain)$   reclaiming the $90,000 level feels more like a test of conviction than a clean victory lap. When price approaches a major psychological level like this, I'm less focused on the headline and more on how the market behaves around it. The strength in crypto-related equities alongside Bitcoin suggests risk appetite is still there, but historically, these levels often come with hesitation rather than immediate follow-through. Between direct Bitcoin exposure and crypto-related equities, I still prefer holding Bitcoin itself when prices are near key levels. Bitcoin gives me cleaner exposure without company-specific risks like balance sheets, dilution, or operational issues. Crypto equities

Buffett Era Ends: Will Berkshire Crash or Pull an "Apple-Under-Cook" Surge? The inevitable has finally arrived. Warren Buffett is stepping down as CEO at the end of the year, closing the book on perhaps the greatest capital allocation run in history—from a struggling textile mill in 1965 to a $1 trillion conglomerate today. But for traders and long-term holders of $BRK.B and $BRK.A, the nostalgia needs to be replaced immediately with cold calculation. The market hates uncertainty, and the "Buffett Premium" has anchored this stock for decades. With Greg Abel taking the wheel, we are facing the single biggest structural test in Berkshire’s history. Is this the moment the fortress cracks, or are we about to see a value-unlocking phase similar to Apple after Steve Jobs? 1️⃣ The "Buffett Premiu

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$  $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$  29 Dec 2025 🇺🇸 | 30 Dec 2025 🇳🇿 Midday Check: I’m watching the Santa Claus rally clearly fade as the final week of 2025 opens with disciplined profit taking across the Street. $DJI and $IXIC are both down more than 150 points midday, $SPX is lower by roughly 0.44%, and volatility is finally repricing, with $VIX up nearly 7% and tracking its largest one-day pop since 08Dec. Market internals confirm the tone, NYSE and Nasdaq decliners are firmly in control, A D ratios sit near 0.52 and 0.42, and new lows are expanding faster tha

$Reddit(RDDT)$ $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$  $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  Needham reiterates a BUY on $RDDT with a $300 price target, pointing to ~33% upside from current levels. I’m focused on the AI search transition. As users move from link-based discovery to direct AI-generated answers, Reddit is evolving into core infrastructure rather than a traffic endpoint. Needham references multiple studies showing Reddit accounts for 20–40% of AI citations, even as traditional referral traffic declines. I don’t see that as a demand issue. I see a distribution shift. Value is migrating from clicks to citations,

$Noodles(NDLS)$ $Yum(YUM)$  $XIAO NOODLES(02408)$  🍝📉🍝 Al Dente No More: $NDLS Fails the Nasdaq Stress Test 🍝📉🍝 I’ve just watched Noodles & Company discover that comfort food offers very little comfort when compliance comes knocking. $NDLS has received a Nasdaq delisting notice, a reminder that exchanges care less about flavour profiles and far more about balance sheet resilience. Falling below minimum listing requirements is not a branding issue, it’s a capital markets problem, and the clock now matters more than the menu. From a structural standpoint, this has been slowly boiling over. Weak traffic trends, margi

L🚨 New Year, New Rules: The "Easy Mode" Trade is Officially Dead The confetti has settled, and the charts are resetting. Are you ready for the 2026 reality check? If you made money in 2025 just by blindly buying the index, congratulations—but don’t expect that strategy to work in January. We are shifting from a market powered by liquidity promises to one that demands profit proof. While the street consensus is calling for a smooth ride to new highs, the internal plumbing of the market tells a different story. The "Fed Put" is in the rearview mirror; now it’s all about execution. Before you load up your portfolio for Q1, here is why the 2026 playbook is completely different. 1️⃣ The Bull Thesis: It’s Time to "Show Me the Money" 💵 The bulls aren't relying on hope anymore—they are betting on

My focus today will be on silver $FUT:Silver - main 2603(SImain)$ , especially after this sharp pullback. The recent move feels more like a liquidity-driven shakeout than a breakdown in fundamentals, but that doesn’t mean prices can’t stay volatile in the near term. After such a crowded trade unwinds, the market needs time to rebuild confidence & depth. At this stage, I’m firmly in the “steady first, act later” camp. The long-term logic for precious metals remains intact, yet short-term liquidity is clearly thin and sentiment fragile. I’d rather anchor my portfolio with gold ETFs as a core holding, while watching silver patiently for signs that

Iy really means nothing if the S&P fell on Monday. Days are irrelevant, so are weeks, even months. And let's face it, most are on holiday atm so everything that happens will be based on low volumes. So don't worry bout a thing.  I invest in companies with a 1 to 3 year outlook Minimum. to make meaningful predictions beyond that timeframe is pure conjecture. Example, 10 years from now will $McDonald's(MCD)$  still be the world's biggest burger maker? Well actually McDonalds doesn't make burgers. It owns property and collects franchise fees from franchises that make burgers. So will they be doing that in ten years from now, or will they bulldoze all their restaurants and build high rise apartments and hotels. I know I'm being

I see the recent pullback in the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$   less as a reason to panic and more as a stress test for a very crowded bullish consensus. When every major strategist is on the same side of the boat, I become cautious—not because the trend is broken, but because expectations are already high. A market that has delivered three strong years in a row doesn't need bad news to correct; it only needs reality to come in slightly below perfection. That said, I don't view this pullback as an outright warning signal either. The macro backdrop going into 2026 still looks constructive: easing financial conditions, resilient corporate earnings, and productivity gains driven by AI investment. The fact t

Lost $93,000 on $JD.com(JD)$ this year following an A+ setup. ❌Monthly BX had just triggered a new bull cycle (55% win rate, 12–15 month rallies on average) and a whale bought 300k worth of Jan 2026 40C. I took the same calls, sized correctly… and they went basically to zero.If I had traded shares, I would’ve only lost ~15% when our exit criteria hit in December. The options amplified the loss, but here’s the key point:I lost $93K and I did not do anything wrong.-The setup met my rules.-Position sizing was correct.-I sold when the system said sell.-A+ setups fail. Whales are wrong. That’s part of trading any real system.-You’re only “wrong” when you:-Oversize-Ignore your exit criteria-Double down out of ego-Bag hold and pray-The moral:Losing money ≠

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ Is Up 2300%… And That’s Exactly Why I’m Not Buying Here Everyone loves PLTRIt’s up over 2,300% since my Monthly BX system flipped it into a bull cycle back in February 2023.Every dip has felt like “the last chance.” Most people on the timeline want to buy more here.I don’t.Not because I hate PLTR. Not because I think the company is done.But because I care more about cycles and risk/reward than narratives.Let me walk you through how I’m thinking about it.1. PLTR’s Bull Cycle Is Old, Not NewIn my system, Monthly BX is the macro filter:Dark red → no interestIncreasing / green → macro bull cycle, allowed to be longPLTR triggered a bull cycle signal in Feb 2023. Since then it’s run over 2,300%.That matters.Across a w

$Eightco Holdings Inc.(ORBS)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$  $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  🔥🧠💥 Eightco $ORBS: When Capital Returns Collide With a Vanishing Float 💥🧠🔥 🧠 This buyback is not symbolic, it is strategic firepower I’m focused on the $125M share buyback authorised by the board on 28Dec25 and disclosed 29Dec25 because, relative to Eightco’s current market size, this is a material deployment of capital. Management is explicitly signalling valuation dislocation. Dan Ives calling the stock “increasingly attractive” based on valuation and partnership pipeline matters, because he rarely highlights buybacks unless he sees asymmetry forming. This is

$Devon(DVN)$  $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$  $apache(APA)$  Crude is firming, flows are stabilising, and energy equities are starting to diverge in ways that usually matter. Two stocks I’m watching today 30Dec25 🇺🇸 | 31Dec25 🇳🇿 Energy is rotating back into focus quietly. Not on breakout euphoria, but on the clear deceleration of downside pressure. After months of oversupply-driven weakness, crude is stabilising into a geopolitically fragile backdrop, and volatility across energy equities is no longer being priced consistently. When price respects structure while volatility di