To The Moon

🌟🌟🌟 Broadcom $Broadcom(AVGO)$  delivered positive earnings and yet the stock slipped more than 4% in after hours trading.  Why?  The headline number : USD 73 billion in AI product backlogs.  Instead of sparking excitement, it left some investors disappointed, questioning whether demand is slowing or whether expectations had simply run too high. But here is the truth: Backlogs are not abandonment.  They are a sign of demand outpacing supply.  The market wanted fireworks but what it got was a reminder that scaling AI infrastructure is a marathon, not a sprint. The dip is not the death of AI.  It is a recalibration of narratives .  Investors are learning that AI growth will be lum

Visa and Citi Attract $100M in Calls Signaling Further Upside In the latest round of unusual options activity, $Visa(V)$   and $Citigroup(C)$   saw large blocks of call options executed within nearly the same time window, with total premium exceeding $100 million. The scale, timing, and structure of these trades strongly suggest that institutional investors are positioning for upside in both stocks over the coming quarters. Such transactions go well beyond typical speculative activity and instead point to deliberate, medium-term bullish exposure being built through the options market amid ongoing macro uncertainty. Visa: ~$58.7 Mi

Google Parent Alphabet, Amazon Bulls Keep the Faith Despite Bubble Fears The AI trade has taken a beating, putting to the test the conviction of deep pocketed investors and speculators who have piled onto the Magnificent Seven stocks. Two big block trades signal continued confidence in $Alphabet(GOOGL)$   and $Amazon.com(AMZN)$  .  An active seller collected a $9.68 million premium for put options that give their holder the right to sell 125,000 Amazon shares at $290 each in 770 days. That trade could be profitable for the seller should the stock price climb above that strike price over the next two years, allowing the cont

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ China's H200 hunger is off the charts, blasting past Nvidia's production lines and sparking talks of ramped-up output to feed the beast. ByteDance and Alibaba are lining up orders after Trump's green light, signaling a revenue revival that could add billions to the AI king's coffers. But Friday's session saw NVDA slide lower despite the buzz, closing at $175.02 on Dec 12 amid broader tech turbulence. Enter BofA's bullish reset: After a private huddle, they're sticking with Buy and a $275 target, eyeing 50% upside from today's levels on exploding AI chip demand. With China's demand overwhelming supply, this turbulent China path might finally smooth out, but tariffs loom like storm clouds. Can resumed sales supercharge revenue and sna

Gold The rebound suggests that the pullback was corrective rather than structural. With real yields stabilising, central bank buying remaining firm, and geopolitical and fiscal risks unresolved, gold can plausibly revisit its prior highs by year end if financial conditions ease or risk sentiment deteriorates again. That said, a straight line higher is unlikely. Consolidation near resistance would be healthy. Silver Silver’s outperformance reflects its dual nature. It benefits from the same monetary tailwinds as gold, while also riding optimism around industrial demand, especially in energy transition and electronics. This makes silver more volatile but also more explosive in late-cycle or reflationary phases. Gold vs Silver Gold is the cleaner hedge: monetary debasement, central bank deman

The sell-off looks more like a positioning reset than a breakdown, but the near-term path depends on follow-through. What drove the drop Broadcom’s decline was less about earnings quality and more about expectations. AI names were priced for flawless execution, expanding margins, and clear long-term visibility. Any hint of margin normalisation or guidance ambiguity was enough to trigger de-risking. The rotation into defensives reinforces the view that investors were crowded on one side of the trade. Rebound or continuation Short term (next week): A technical rebound is plausible, especially if there is no fresh macro shock. Oversold conditions in large-cap tech and systematic flows can support a bounce. Sustainability: The rebound, if it comes, is likely to be selective rather than broad-b

So I'm in two Australian stocks one gold one silver. The gold one is up over 50%, so I did what I do, trimmed it. So that one is just house money now. $Santana Minerals Ltd(SMI.AU)$ it's an Australia gold mining company with the rights to mine in one of the otago gold fields in New Zealand. Massive long term potential once they start digging. But it's early days not digging up gold yet. So I guess you understand why I trimmed. Analysts saying gold will hit new highs ($5,000) is speculation. So I'm happy if they are correct. But my money in Santana is now just pure profit. So happy to sit on that for 10+ years and let it rock and roll. if gold is only worth $3,200 in 5 years, well Santana was kinda pricing it near that to justify the investment a

This isn't a full-blown market correction , but rather a short-term shakeout driven by profit-taking and sector shifts—similar to the minor dips seen earlier in the year that quickly resolved into rebounds. Fundamentals remain supportive: steady consumer spending, improving corporate earnings, and anticipation of a Federal Reserve rate cut this month are poised to reignite momentum into 2026. Sentiment indicators also flash contrarian buy signals, with volatility presenting opportunities rather than alarm bells.For long-term investors, this dip qualifies as a prime time to add positions, particularly in quality growth names like those in tech or the Magnificent Seven, which have led the year's gains but are now trading at modest discounts. Historically, S&P 500 corrections  have d

The US market sustains its bull run, driven by dominance in AI and clean energy despite interest rate headwinds, while Asia delivers diverse opportunities with strong demographic growth and value potential, though its markets face structural challenges。。。 If could choose only one for the next 10 years, the US markets would likely be preferred, driven by long-term growth in AI, biotech, and clean energy, supported by tech giants with strong profitability and deep moats, ensuring US equities trend upward despite short-term cycles Shifting to Asia offers diversification and stability, with more attractive valuations and high-dividend strategies that perform more steadily, offering a hedge against US downturns In short, US markets remain strong in tech, but interest rate impacts and market cor

I see this Nasdaq $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ pullback more as an AI anxiety overreaction than the start of a true bubble burst. The market is repricing timelines and margins, not abandoning AI itself. Oracle’s delays and Broadcom’s margin comments hurt sentiment, but they don’t change the long-term demand for compute, networking, and AI software. This feels like valuation compression amid Fed uncertainty and policy noise, not a structural break. For my own tech exposure, I’m not adding aggressively and not panic-selling. I’m trimming selectively where valuations ran ahead of fundamentals, while holding core positions in companies with strong moats and balance sheets. I’m also keeping some cash on hand, as volatility could create better entry points. Long

Picture this: On a stormy Friday in the U.S. markets, dark clouds gathered, thunder boomed, and lightning cracked the sky—just as the AI sector got electrocuted! $Oracle(ORCL)$  $Broadcom(AVGO)$  Oracle kicked off the chaos, tumbling after unveiling a blockbuster plan: pouring billions into data centers to grab a bigger slice of the AI pie. But investors freaked out—"We're spending HOW much?!"—fearing the cash burn would outpace the rewards. It was like betting the farm on a golden goose that might not lay eggs fast enough.  Then came

Friday's tech sell off looked ugly on the surface, but structurally this feels less like the start of a prolonged downtrend and more like a coordinated reset across both risk tech and crypto. The key detail is this: nothing fundamentally broke. What broke was positioning. What Really Caused the Drop This was not a collapse in earnings or a sudden end to AI demand. It was a classic macro cocktail hitting crowded trades at once: Treasury yields pushed higher, pressuring long-duration assets Heavy profit taking in AI and momentum names Broadcom margins rattled sentiment across semiconductors Positioning was stretched after a strong year-to-date rally Year-end rebalancing amplified downside volatility When yields rise late in the year, tech and crypto tend to get hit first. That is exactly wha

Whispers from Tokyo are turning into roars – the Bank of Japan is gearing up for a 25 basis-point hike to 0.75% from 0.5% at its December 18-19 meeting, marking the first increase in 11 months and potentially the highest level in 30 years. 😲 This stealth signal has markets buzzing with anticipation, as sources close to the BoJ hint at more hikes ahead, possibly pushing rates beyond 0.75% in the ongoing cycle. With inflation holding steady and wage growth picking up steam, Japan's central bank is flexing its muscles to normalize policy after years of ultra-loose stance. But here's the twist: if this hike lands, expect immediate ripples across global assets – a stronger yen could slam exporters like Toyota and Sony, while easing pressure on U.S. Treasuries amid Fed's own cut path. 🚀 The timi

$Broadcom(AVGO)$  $Oracle(ORCL)$   Oracle vs. Broadcom: Why One is a Gamble, and the Other is Just a Reset The AI sector just took a massive hit, and the culprits are the "Brothers in Trouble"—Oracle and Broadcom. Both stocks are bleeding, but if you treat them as the same trade, you’re making a mistake. The logic behind these drops is completely different. One is facing a crisis of execution confidence, while the other is undergoing a painful (but necessary) business model evolution. Here is why the market is punishing them, and where the opportunity actually lies. 1️⃣ Oracle: The "Existential" Gamble Let’s start with Oracle. As I mentioned in yesterday’s quick update, Oracle’s drop i