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I found this episode really practical — breaking MA behaviour into six patterns makes chart reading much clearer. I mainly watch breakouts and alignment; an upward breakout followed by bullish alignment usually confirms the trend, while deep entanglement is still my cue to stay cautious. It’s interesting how these simple patterns often reflect real market sentiment. Recently, I’ve seen a few early golden cross setups after consolidation, and also some short-bull/long-bear divergences — useful to monitor but still too risky to chase since the long-term trend is weak. These mixed signals remind me to stay patient instead of forcing trades. I like combining MAs with volume and RSI to filter noise. When a golden cross appears with rising volume or a pullback matches an RSI rebound, the setup
TOPhenshengqi: Spot on with the volume confirmation! MA + RSI combo really strengthens the strategy[强]
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12-11
Oracle Mixed Earnings Signalling Cracks in The AI Bubble?
The decline in $Oracle(ORCL)$’s share price after its mixed fiscal Q2 results, despite an increase in its Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) and AI-driven cloud revenue, has indeed intensified the debate around a potential "AI bubble." Oracle's situation is often cited as a key example of the risks inherent in the AI boom. In this article, I would like to examine the breakdown of the key factors that lead investors to debate whether this signals cracks in the AI bubble: What Happened with Oracle’s Latest Results Mixed earnings with negative investor reaction Oracle beat earnings per share expectations, helped by a one-time gain from an asset sale, but narrowly missed revenue and cloud growth forecasts — a key metric tied to its AI strategy. I
TOPOracle's AI pivot needs clearer ROI timelines. Markets are pricing patience now.[吃瓜]
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Notable Block Trades
$NVDA$A large player positioned for the H200 news with an unusual in-the-money sell put: $NVDA 20260116 187.0 PUT$ . Premium volume was ~$10 million, with 9,483 contracts opened.Typically, selling in-the-money puts is done only with high conviction that the stock will be at or above the strike price at expiration. This aligns with the earlier judgment for the Dec-Jan period: limited upside, but also resilient downside.While the trade rationale is understandable, it's worth noting such an unconventional block doesn't necessarily come from a seasoned trader.Contradicting this flow are other put openings, which still anticipate a pullback below $180. However, this remains consistent with the overall $170–200 range view.The m
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Rate Cut Lands: How Will Market Move Tonight? How Many Cuts Are Expected in 2026?
Global markets are holding their breath ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision to be released on Wednesday. CME FedWatch tool is pricing in nearly 89.4% probability of a rate cut, yet what investors worry about more is whether the Fed will deliver hawkish signals alongside the cut, which could dampen expectations for a sustained easing cycle.At the upcoming meeting early Thursday morning, Powell’s remarks and the dot plot will be the key focus. His comments will set the tone for the next two meetings.If the message leans dovish, inflation expectations may strengthen further, and equity indices as well as gold and silver could continue to move higher in the short term.If he sounds more hawkish, that would align with current expectations in the bond market, meaning market reactions m
TOPFrom my perspective, tonight’s move will hinge less on the 25 bps cut and more on Powell’s tone. A slightly dovish message could spark a quick gap-up in equities and precious metals, though I still expect an early fade as markets digest the details. Positioning is elevated, so any pop may be short-lived. If Powell sounds hawkish, the reaction may actually be muted since the bond market already expects it. Any dip in stocks or metals would likely be modest, and I’d view that kind of pullback as a potential buying window, especially with easing still on the table for 2025. For the 2026 dots, I’d see them as guidance on the Fed’s long-run comfort zone, not a strict plan. Fewer cuts into 2026 would simply signal caution during a soft-landing phase, meaning more near-term volatility but still a constructive medium-term outlook. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars
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Herbalife +6.35%: Breaks $12.58 Resistance
$Herbalife(HLF)$ Herbalife Nutrition Ltd.(HLF) Surges +6.35%: Wellness Giant Breaks Through $12.58 Resistance, Momentum BuildingLatest Close Data HLF closed at $12.57 on December 10th, gaining +6.35% (+$0.75) with strong volume of 2.00M shares. The stock broke through key resistance at $12.58 and now sits just 5.8% below its 52-week high of $13.35.Core Market Drivers Positive institutional sentiment with 2 Strong Buy ratings driving momentum. Net capital inflow of $28.03K today signals renewed investor confidence in the nutrition company. The wellness sector continues benefiting from health-conscious consumer trends post-pandemic recovery.Technical Analysis Volume surged 142% above average, confirming breakout validity. RSI(6) at 64.73 shows bullis
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C3.ai +3.69%: Breaks $16 Resistance, Eyes $17+
$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ C3.ai, Inc. (AI) Surges +3.69%: AI Pioneer Breaks Above $16 Resistance, Momentum Building for $17+ TargetLatest Close DataCurrent Price: $16.03 USD (Close: Dec 10, 2025) Daily Gain: +3.69% (+$0.57) Distance from 52-Week High: -64.4% ($45.08 peak) Trading Range: $15.21 - $16.18Core Market DriversC3.ai continues benefiting from renewed AI sector optimism and enterprise digital transformation momentum. The company's enterprise AI platform positioning aligns with growing corporate AI adoption trends. Volume remained moderate at 5.37M shares with a 0.63 volume ratio, suggesting steady institutional accumulation rather than speculative buying.Technical AnalysisMACD: DIF improving to -0.22 from -0.35, with DEA at -0.58 - bullish convergen
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Roku +3.80%: Breaks $105 Resistance, Eyes $111
$Roku Inc(ROKU)$ Roku Inc. (ROKU) Surged +3.80%: Streaming Pioneer Breaks Key Resistance, $111 Target Zone ActivatedLatest Close Data ROKU closed at $105.56 on December 10th, gaining +3.80% ($3.86), now trading just 9.5% below its 52-week high of $116.66. After-hours trading extended gains to $105.06, showing continued momentum.Core Market Drivers Streaming sector optimism drove ROKU's breakout above $105 resistance as the company benefits from cord-cutting acceleration trends. Strong institutional backing with net inflows of $295M today signals renewed confidence in streaming monetization strategies. Holiday advertising demand provides seasonal tailwinds for the platform business.Technical Analysis Volume of 2.94M shares (0.79x ratio) accompanied
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Illumina +3.83%: Tests $132 Resistance
$Illumina(ILMN)$ Illumina (ILMN) Surged +3.83%: Genomics Leader Tests $132 Resistance, Bullish Momentum BuildingLatest Close Data ILMN closed at $132.13 (+3.83%) on Dec 10, reaching intraday high of $135.83. Stock sits 13.7% below 52-week high of $153.06, showing strong recovery from $68.70 yearly low.Core Market Drivers Strong capital inflow of $7.5M on Dec 8 signals institutional confidence in genomics sector recovery. Volume surged 3.27x average with $427M in trading value, indicating heightened interest in DNA sequencing technology stocks.Technical Analysis RSI(6) at 71.58 shows overbought conditions but maintains bullish momentum. MACD remains negative at -0.84 but DIF line trending upward at 4.89, suggesting potential bullish crossover ahead
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iRobot Surges +11.36%: Breakout from Oversold Levels
$iRobot Corp.(IRBT)$ iRobot Corp.(IRBT) Surged +11.36%: Robotic Vacuum Giant Breaks Above Resistance, Oversold Bounce ActivatedLatest Close Data IRBT closed at $3.53 on December 10th, gaining +11.36% (+$0.36) with massive volume of 36.8M shares. The stock is now 73% below its 52-week high of $13.06, trading in a critical recovery zone.Core Market Drivers Heavy institutional buying drove the breakout above resistance at $3.53, supported by oversold conditions and potential year-end positioning. The massive 115.63% turnover rate indicates strong conviction from both retail and institutional players. Capital flows showed net inflow of $3.19M despite recent weekly outflows.Technical Analysis RSI(6) at 69.29 suggests momentum building but approaching o
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KeyCorp Breaks $20 Resistance, Momentum Toward $21
$KeyCorp(KEY)$ KeyCorp (KEY) Hits New 52-Week High at $20.33: Banking Giant Breaks Through Resistance, Target $21+ ActivatedLatest Close Data KeyCorp closed at $19.98 on December 10th, gaining +3.04% (+$0.59) and achieving a new 52-week high of $20.33. The stock is now trading 57.0% above its 52-week low of $12.72, demonstrating strong momentum in the regional banking sector.Core Market Drivers Regional banks are benefiting from rising interest rate expectations and improved credit conditions. KeyCorp's strong performance reflects investor confidence in the banking sector's earnings potential. The 4.10% dividend yield continues to attract income-focused investors amid favorable rate environment prospects.Technical Analysis Volume surged to 32.5M sh
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Blackstone Surges +3.1%, Eyes $170 Resistance After Breakout
$Blackstone Group LP(BX)$ Blackstone Inc.(BX) Surges +3.07%: Private Equity Giant Breaks Above $156, Momentum Accelerates Toward $170 ResistanceLatest Close Data BX closed at $156.02 on December 10th, up +3.07% (+$4.65) from previous close of $151.37. Stock is now 19.6% below its 52-week high of $194.00, showing strong recovery momentum from October lows.Core Market Drivers Blackstone benefits from renewed institutional appetite for alternative investments amid market volatility. Strong capital flows data shows net inflow of $242.11M on Dec 8th after several days of outflows. The company's diversified portfolio across real estate, private equity, and credit continues attracting institutional capital in uncertain macro environment.Technical Analysis
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Corning Rallies +3.2%, Near 52-Week High, $93 Target in Sight
$Corning(GLW)$ Corning Inc. (GLW) Surges +3.22%: Glass Tech Giant Breaks Resistance, $93 Target Zone ActivatedLatest Close Data Corning closed at $91.11 on December 10th, up +3.22% (+$2.84) from previous close of $88.27. The stock is now just $1.46 below its 52-week high of $92.57, representing a 144% rally from its 52-week low of $37.31.Core Market Drivers The specialty glass manufacturer continues benefiting from robust demand in optical communications and display technologies. Strong institutional backing with 13 out of 16 analysts rating it Buy or Strong Buy suggests confidence in the company's innovation pipeline. The forward P/E of 35.03 indicates elevated growth expectations compared to historical averages.Technical Analysis Volume surged to
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WBD Surges +3.8%, Hits New 52-Week High, Eyes $30+
$Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$ Warner Bros Discovery (WBD) Surged +3.78%: Media Giant Hits New 52-Week High at $28.34, Momentum BuildingLatest Close Data WBD closed at $28.26 on December 10, up +3.78% (+$1.03), hitting a new 52-week high of $28.34. The stock has now gained 275.8% from its 52-week low of $7.52, with after-hours trading extending to $28.33.Core Market Drivers The media conglomerate benefited from improved streaming momentum and cost-cutting initiatives under CEO David Zaslav's leadership. Strong institutional backing from Vanguard (11.35%) and BlackRock (7.45%) provides solid support. Recent capital inflows of $139.88M on December 5th signal renewed investor confidence.Technical Analysis Volume surged to 107M shares (1.13x ratio) with
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HPE Surges +3.8%, Breaks Resistance Toward $26+ Target
$Hewlett Packard Enterprise(HPE)$ Hewlett Packard Enterprise Surges +3.81%: Enterprise Tech Giant Breaks Above Resistance, $26+ Target Zone ActivatedLatest Close Data HPE closed at $24.77 on December 10th, up +3.81% ($0.91), trading within a 4.78% intraday range ($23.67-$24.81). The stock sits just 6.3% below its 52-week high of $26.44, showing strong momentum recovery from November lows.Core Market Drivers Enterprise infrastructure demand continues accelerating amid AI transformation initiatives. HPE's edge-to-cloud portfolio positioning benefits from hybrid cloud adoption trends. Institutional capital flow shows net inflow of $24M today with large order imbalance favoring buyers ($83.5M buy vs $87.7M sell in big blocks).Technical Analysis Volume
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F5 Surges +3.9%, Breaks $257 Toward $296 Target
$F5 Inc(FFIV)$ F5 Inc Surged +3.94%: Network Infrastructure Giant Breaks Above $257, Eyes $296 Target ZoneLatest Close Data F5 Inc closed at $257.98 on December 10, 2025, gaining +3.94% (+$9.77). The stock is now 25.4% below its 52-week high of $346.00, showing strong recovery momentum from its 52-week low of $223.76.Core Market Drivers Strong institutional buying flow with $98.93M total inflow vs $106M outflow indicates controlled profit-taking.Five-day capital flow data shows consistent positive momentum, particularly the $4.14M surge on December 8. Network security and application delivery solutions continue benefiting from enterprise digital transformation trends.Technical Analysis Volume at 1.335M shares with 1.21x volume ratio signals increa
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LLY Near $980 Support, Oversold
$Eli Lilly(LLY)$ Eli Lilly Dips -1.54%: Pharma Giant Tests Support Near $980, Oversold Signal EmergesLatest Close Data LLY closed at $982.22 on December 10, down -1.54% (-$15.37) from previous close of $997.59. Stock trading 11.7% below 52-week high of $1111.99, with intraday range of $979.18-$1012.00.Core Market Drivers Capital outflows dominated with $129M net selling pressure as institutional profit-taking continued. Volume ratio of 0.79 indicates below-average participation amid year-end portfolio rebalancing. Short interest remains relatively low at 6.65%, suggesting limited bearish conviction.Technical Analysis RSI(6) at oversold 21.85 signals potential bounce, while RSI(12) at 43.22 approaches oversold territory. MACD shows deepening bearish
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NEM Breaks Resistance, Eyes $98 Target Zone
$Newmont Mining(NEM)$ Newmont Corporation (NEM) Surged +5.72%: Gold Mining Giant Breaks Resistance, $98 Target Zone ActivatedLatest Close Data NEM closed at $94.09 (EST Dec 10), up +5.72% (+$5.09), trading within 4.5% of its 52-week high of $98.58. After-hours trading extended gains to $93.33, signaling continued bullish momentum.Core Market Drivers Gold prices strengthened amid inflation hedging demand and geopolitical tensions. NEM's robust capital inflows of $256M vs $240M outflows demonstrate institutional confidence. Strong ROE of 22.88% and ROA of 10.55% underscore operational excellence in current commodity cycle.Technical Analysis Volume surged 11% above average (8.82M shares) with positive momentum indicators. RSI(6) spiked to 71.23, enter
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KKR Surges +4.25%, Eyes $140 Resistance
$KKR & Co LP(KKR)$ KKR & Co L.P.(KKR) Surged +4.25%: Private Equity Giant Powers Through Resistance, $140 Target in PlayLatest Close Data KKR closed at $135.78 on December 10th (ET), gaining +4.25% ($5.54) from the previous close of $130.24. The stock now trades 20.3% below its 52-week high of $170.40, showing strong recovery momentum from the November lows.Core Market Drivers Private equity sector benefited from rising market optimism and strong institutional flows. KKR's diversified alternative asset management platform continues to attract capital in the current economic environment. Recent capital outflows over 5 days totaling -$31.4M indicate some profit-taking, but institutional support remains robust.Technical Analysis Volume spiked
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APP Soars, Clears $720 Resistance
$AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ AppLovin Corp(APP) Soars +5.05%: Mobile Gaming Giant Breaks $720 Resistance, $750 Target ActivatedLatest Close Data APP closed at $724.62 on Dec 10, surging +5.05% (+$34.86) with strong momentum. Stock now trades just 2.8% below its 52-week high of $745.61, demonstrating remarkable strength in the mobile advertising space.Core Market Drivers AppLovin continues benefiting from robust mobile gaming monetization trends and AI-powered advertising optimization. Strong institutional inflows of $1.25B net capital influx signals growing confidence in the company's programmatic advertising platform. The gaming ecosystem expansion and holiday season ad spending boost remain key catalysts.Technical Analysis Volume of 3.94M shares (
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GEV Gains +0.55%, Tests $625 Resistance Amid Institutional Support
$GE Vernova Inc.(GEV)$ GE Vernova Inc. Gains +0.55%: Energy Infrastructure Giant Tests $625 Resistance, Institutional Bullishness IntactLatest Close Data GEV closed at $625.30 on December 10, 2024 (EST), up +0.55% (+$3.40). The stock is trading 7.7% below its 52-week high of $677.29, maintaining solid momentum in the $613-$637 range with after-hours strength at $664.20.Core Market Drivers Global energy transition acceleration continues to fuel investor confidence in GEV's renewable and traditional power infrastructure portfolio. Recent capital flows show mixed institutional activity with net outflow of $6M on December 10, though strong after-hours movement suggests renewed buying interest. The company's diversified power generation assets remain we