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2025-11-01

🚀💎 XLY’s Capitulation-to-Breakout Reversal: Institutional Rotation Fuels the Next Cyclical Surge 💎🚀

$Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLY)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ I’m tracking one of the sharpest sentiment pivots this quarter in the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund ($XLY). Yesterday’s session delivered a textbook capitulation candle; price swept liquidity below the 50-day EMA near $232 and reversed more than 2% intraday on expanding volume. Today, 01Nov25, XLY gapped up and closed +2.85% higher near $240 on 50% above-average turnover. I’m reading this as a deliberate washout of weak hands followed by aggressive institutional re-risking. The price reclaimed the 21-day EMA, crossed the mid-Keltner band, and the upper Bo
🚀💎 XLY’s Capitulation-to-Breakout Reversal: Institutional Rotation Fuels the Next Cyclical Surge 💎🚀
TOPTui Jude: I like how you tied Amazon and Tesla into the discretionary leadership, BC. That inflow data around $470 million really nails the institutional angle. I’m watching $AMZN holding above $190 as a key pivot; if Tesla clears $466, this rotation could extend into December.
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SmartReversals
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2025-11-03

IWM: Candle Below 20DMA — Possible Reset Targeting $242

$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ : This is the third consecutive weekend that I post the pattern of a candle breaching the upper Bollinger band followed by a visit to the 20DMA. The difference this time is the price still below the 20DMA, will it recover it?A healthy reset breaching the series of higher lows carried by the 50DMA (or 40DMA to be precise) is possible next week, targeting $242 at least. Stock chart for IWM on daily timeframe displays candlestick price action with green and red bars forming higher lows. Blue line represents 20-day moving average, orange line the 50-day moving average. Gray bands indicate Bollinger bands with price breaching upper band marked by red arrows. Green shaded volume bars at bottom. S/R watermark in white circl
IWM: Candle Below 20DMA — Possible Reset Targeting $242
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SmartReversals
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2025-11-03

GOOG: Chasing Price Action Here is Risky

$Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ : Chasing Price Action Here is RiskyGreat fundamentals with overextended technicals. Google is returning to its Bollinger range with. The bearish RSI divergence is playing out in the reversal picture. A 5% move is likely this week. Which direction? It depends on the central weekly level posted last Friday🎃.Stock chart for GOOG on daily timeframe showing candlestick price action with overlaid 10 MA in orange 20 MA in blue 50 MA in yellow upward trend lines in green and orange Bollinger bands in purple and green volume bars below in green and red support and resistance levels marked with arrows and numbers like 182.50 181.20 179.50 on the price axis and a lower panel with
GOOG: Chasing Price Action Here is Risky
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SmartReversals
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2025-11-03

Mega-Cap Earnings: Winners AMZN/GOOG/LLY, Losers META/MSFT

The busiest week of the quarter, and perhaps of the entire year, has concluded. Out of the six mega-cap companies that reported earnings, four beat expectations and saw their stocks rally. The net weekly moves were significant: $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ +4.5%, $Apple(AAPL)$ +2.9%, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ +8.9%, and $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ +8.2%. Conversely, two stocks failed to hold their ground: $Microsoft(MSFT)$ closed -1.1% for the week, and $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ cratered -12.2%. Overall
Mega-Cap Earnings: Winners AMZN/GOOG/LLY, Losers META/MSFT
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TRIGGER TRADES
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2025-11-03

SPX 4th-Wave Low Confirmed at 6814

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ extended its 4th-wave pullback to the lower end of the Daily FVG support (6870–6807)A long signal 📈 was sent after a bullish SMT at the PDL followed by H1 iFVG confirmationTherefore, the 4th wave is favored as complete✅ at the 6814 low targeting 6950 for the 5th wave 🎯However, a reversal would be expected following the 5th wave 📉- potentially of a higher degree.A cross under 6814 would invalidate the 4th->5th set up, but a Daily close below 6749 would be needed to favor a bearish reversal.$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2512(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$
SPX 4th-Wave Low Confirmed at 6814
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RgSFO
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2025-11-02
$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$  October deliveries 42013. M2M increase ~1% that is less than what we have seen earlier during the year.  YoY is less than 100+% that we saw earlier. Overall, not a blow out number to take the stock higher. The price may hold in this area or fall slightly until earnings release. Unless the delivery numbers increase to 5-6% month2month, this stock will trade between $19-$24. They are opening sales in many countries, that will increase operations cost, hopefully the sales picks up briskly compared to cost of operations. 
$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ October deliveries 42013. M2M increase ~1% that is less than what we have seen earlier during the year. YoY is less than 100+% t...
TOPEnid Bertha: Xpeng has entered Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, and Cambodia, expanding its international presence to 49 countries and regions.
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Chryft
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2025-10-31
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来财1996
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2025-10-31
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Julian Low
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2025-10-31
$STI ETF(ES3.SI)$ the most boring investment is to DCA your savings into STI. But it pays long term..
$STI ETF(ES3.SI)$ the most boring investment is to DCA your savings into STI. But it pays long term..
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Julian Low
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2025-10-31
$ISHARES CHINA(02801)$ When people say China is done... You start investing. Went through covid, trade war.. whatever. Just DCA
$ISHARES CHINA(02801)$ When people say China is done... You start investing. Went through covid, trade war.. whatever. Just DCA
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