To The Moon

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ For equities, Q4 “is normally a strong quarter, especially when we’re up substantially year to date. So odds are in your favor for this rally to continue.” 📊🍂🚀 Q4 Rally Season Is Here 🚀🍂📊 “For equities, Q4 is normally a strong quarter, especially when we’re up substantially year to date. So odds are in your favor for this rally to continue.” — Sarah Malik, Nuveen Asset Management ✍️🏦 Q4 has historically delivered the strongest average returns for equities, with positive performance in 78% of Q4s since 1950 and average gains of 4–5%. When the market is already up year to date, those odds skew even higher. The sea

Here’s my take — albeit with the caveat that these are forward-looking views in a highly speculative, fast-moving segment (AI / semiconductors). --- Summary view & caveats The OpenAI-AMD deal is a game changer in headline terms: supply commitment over multiple years (6 GW), plus the option for OpenAI to acquire up to 10% of AMD via warrants. That said: Execution risk is high: supplying 6 GW worth of AI GPUs (especially future generations) will require scaling manufacturing, yield, logistics, and integration.  The warrants are contingent on milestones (deployment, share-price thresholds) — they may never fully vest.  The move may be viewed by some skeptics as an equity-financed “deal structure” to generate hype, rather than purely organic demand.  With that in mind, wheth

Gold’s historic breakout above US $4,000 per ounce marks a significant turning point in global financial sentiment — not just a speculative rally, but a profound revaluation of what investors consider “safe.” --- 1. The “Debasement Trade” Thesis This surge is fundamentally tied to the loss of confidence in fiat stability. Fiscal excess: The U.S. federal debt has surpassed US $35 trillion, with deficits widening even during growth periods. Investors increasingly fear structural inflation and political paralysis on fiscal discipline. Monetary overhang: The Fed’s rate-cut cycle, coupled with renewed quantitative easing in Europe and Japan, has revived concerns of currency dilution — hence the term “debasement trade.” Institutional hedging: Sovereign funds and long-duration allocators are reba

The upcoming week will be pivotal for sentiment, as markets balance between monetary optimism and valuation fatigue. Let us examine the key dynamics. --- 1. Policy Outlook — Will the Fed Cut Again in October? A second consecutive 25 bps cut in October is possible but not guaranteed. Arguments for a cut: The government shutdown, now in its sixth day, may dampen short-term GDP growth. Leading indicators such as the ISM Manufacturing PMI and consumer sentiment have softened. Real yields remain elevated, tightening financial conditions despite prior easing. Arguments against a cut: Powell explicitly noted “upside risks to inflation.” Core PCE remains sticky around 2.9%—3.0%, above the Fed’s comfort zone. Cutting too aggressively could undermine the Fed’s inflation-fighting credibility and trig

This week feels like a crossroads between momentum and prudence. With gold above $4,000, a looming Fed speech, and a government shutdown dragging on, traders should rethink aggressive long positions in overextended tech and AI names — valuations are rich, and sentiment borders on euphoric. It may be time to trim gains or hedge exposure, especially in speculative growth sectors. Instead, consider rotating into defensives (utilities, staples) and quality cyclicals that benefit from a softer dollar or policy easing later in Q4. Short-term traders might also revisit their leveraged bets — volatility could spike if Powell’s tone surprises hawkish. Overall, the setup suggests tactical caution rather than full retreat: protect profits, tighten stops, and wait for confirmation before chasing brea

$BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc.(BMNR)$ $Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust ETF(ETH)$ $T-REX BMNR(BMNU)$  Massive ETF Inflows Continue! 📰 On Oct. 8, spot ETFs scooped up around $440.7M worth of BTC$BTC and $69.1M worth of ETH$ETH, signaling strong institutional appetite once again. Big money isn’t slowing down, it’s accumulating! 🫳 BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) added 23,823 ETH, worth $103.7 million, to its corporate Ethereum treasury on Thursday. Citing data from Arkham, Lookonchain reported that the company received the ETH from a BitGo wallet through the address "0xF8c … 338E7." While the wallet is unmarked on Arkham, Lookonchain identified the wall

Quantum Euphoria. Quantum computing stocks have wrapped up the week ending 04 Oct 2025 with double-digit gains. Shares of $Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$, $D-Wave Quantum Inc.(QBTS)$ and $Quantum Computing Inc.(QUBT)$ have surged more than +20%. Since the start of 2025, RTGI (+119.48%) and QBTS (+271.7%) have more than doubled and tripled, respectively. In just one week (04 Oct 2025), $Arqit Quantum Inc.(ARQQ)$ skyrocketed more than +32%. (see below) Quantum Computing stocks - 2025 YTD performances These are heady numbers that even rational investors should take to them, with a pinch of salt. Quantum Catalysts. The jump in sha

$MSTR 20251017 165.0 PUT$ 餘下的資金再開多兩張，希望小賺點零用錢，其他的等待IPO的購買力釋放後再看看

$Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ Placed order too earlier, it dropped below $20 during the day..it's ok will collect slowly 

$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ 高相對強度，抗跌，而且反彈很快 突破了近期的高點壓力，價格型態轉強。 5%SL ($18.4)

$ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$ Picking up more shares as price edges lower. Initially intended to get in at a lower price but something feels amiss about the rally in the underlying!

$DUOL 20251107 255.0 PUT$ Reenter sell put after profit taking yesterday nite. Very good timing and good premium 

$BBAI 20251010 6.5 PUT$ Collected $97.00  lunch money for the weekend. Closed early to materialise profit. 

$RDDT 20251017 200.0 PUT$ I opened 1 lot(s) $RDDT 20251017 200.0 PUT$  ,Time to start options on the big boys (>$200 stocks). First One, One Lot, One Week. Time to start options on the big boys (>$200 stocks).  First One, One Lot, One Week. 

$TaskUs Inc.(TASK)$ TASK: cut loss at 20%.  The deal to take this company private was now off the table and the stock is dropping like a stone.  With the potential upside catalyst gone, no longer interested to hold the stock.  20% loss of capital for cut loss is a pretty good position to be for a moonshot trade. 

$Occidental(OXY)$ 连续四个交易日都无跌穿4.6,就作为止蚀位，試一下是否短線見底