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xc__
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2025-09-03

September Effect Strikes: VIX Spike Ahead—Buy the Dip or Run?

Hedge funds are shorting the VIX at record levels, betting on continued calm, but as August fades, the notorious September effect looms, with historical average returns of -0.8% since 1950. The S&P 500 at 6,512.34 reflects optimism, but the VIX at 14.12 signals potential storms, fueled by Fed-Trump tensions and tariff escalations (30-35% on Canada/EU/Mexico). Oil holds at $74.50/barrel, Bitcoin at $123,456, but short VIX positions have hit extremes, per CFTC data, up 20% from July. Is the market in danger, or is this a buy point? Will you follow the trend or hedge risks? How did your portfolio fare in August? This deep dive unpacks the September effect, market dynamics, and strategies to decide: cash out, double down, or hedge. The September Effect: Historical Curse or 2025 Opportunity
September Effect Strikes: VIX Spike Ahead—Buy the Dip or Run?
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958
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Optionspuppy
·
2025-09-03

Selling In-the-Money Covered Calls: A Defensive Play Against Market Highs

$QYLD 20250919 16.0 CALL$  $JEPI 20250919 57.0 CALL$  Selling In-the-Money Covered Calls: A Defensive Play Against Market Highs When equity markets are trading near all-time highs, the risk of a short-term correction always increases. Last Friday, I adopted a defensive options strategy by selling in-the-money (ITM) covered calls on a portion of my holdings. This move was not about chasing upside, but about managing risk, locking in gains, and creating a buffer against potential drawdowns. To illustrate, I held 100 units of QYLD at an average cost of around $16.47. With the ETF trading near $16.71, I sold a covered call at the $16 strike, collecting a pre
Selling In-the-Money Covered Calls: A Defensive Play Against Market Highs
TOPJackQuant: Great experience! Thanks for sharing!
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Selection
MaverickWealthBuilder
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2025-09-03

Google Escapes Disaster: Chrome Saved, But Exclusive Deals Axed!​ Apple Is Winner?

Judge Amit Mehta rejected the Department of Justice's request to force $Alphabet(GOOG)$ to divest Chrome, while prohibiting it from signing exclusive search agreements and mandating a degree of data sharing. The market reaction was straightforward: Google and Apple shares both rose, climbing nearly 6% and 3% respectively in after-hours trading—a classic case of "bad news is priced in." But zooming in reveals the ruling's vastly different implications for each company: $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ managed to "hold the line," while $Apple(AAPL)$ reaped "unearned gains."For Google, retaining Chrome means preserving its most critical gateway for search distribution. With Chrom
Google Escapes Disaster: Chrome Saved, But Exclusive Deals Axed!​ Apple Is Winner?
TOPBelindaHaywood: Wow, what an insightful breakdown! [Great]
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2.69K
General
Pinkspider
·
2025-09-02
TOP HEADLINES THIS MORNING ACROSS THE STOCK MARKET: - Saylor $MSTR buys another 4,048 $BTC Bitcoin - Klarna officially files to go public at $35-$37, raising $1.2B - Tesla $TSLA sells 600 cars with their first month debut in India - UK's 30-Year Yield officially rises above 5.70%, first time since April 1998 despite 5 rate cuts in the past year - Bitmine $BMNR now holds 1.87M $ETH, up from 1.7M last week, total cash + crypto holdings is $8.98B
TOP HEADLINES THIS MORNING ACROSS THE STOCK MARKET: - Saylor $MSTR buys another 4,048 $BTC Bitcoin - Klarna officially files to go public at $35-$3...
TOPPhyllis Strachey: Klarna's IPO at $35 - $37—too pricey or a steal?
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Elliottwave_Forecast
·
2025-09-02

Cycle Maturity in JPM: Bulls Fatigued, Bears Warming Up

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) trades at $301.42, testing a breakout zone near its 52-week high. This level signals strong bullish momentum. The stock remains above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages by 3.39% and 15.00%, respectively. Investors continue to show confidence in JPM’s earnings and strategic direction. Despite macro uncertainty and policy shifts, the bank maintains upward strength. Analysts remain bullish. The average price target sits at $302.93, suggesting limited upside. BofA Securities and Wells Fargo offer aggressive targets of $340 and $325. They cite JPM’s leadership in digital finance and AI integration. JPM also adapts well to regulatory changes. Although EPS dipped from $19.75 to $18.60, forecasts show a rebound to $19.82 next year. JPMorgan Research expects strong U.S. gro
Cycle Maturity in JPM: Bulls Fatigued, Bears Warming Up
TOPBartonBecky: Wow, this analysis is super insightful! [Great]
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62.53K
General
Elliottwave_Forecast
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2025-09-02

Elliott Wave Update: VST Corrects in Wave ((2)) Before Potential Surge

Vistra Corp., (VST) operates as an integrated retail electricity & power generation company in the United States. It operates through five segments like Retail, Texas, East, West & Asset Closure. It comes under Utilities sector & trades as “VST” ticker at NYSE. As discussed in the previous article, VST favored rally in impulse ((1)) from April-2025 low. It ended ((1)) at $216.85 high above January-2025 high, confirmed bullish bias. Now, it is correcting in 3, 7 or 11 swings that offer buying set ups at extreme area. VST – Elliott Wave Latest Daily View:  In Weekly, it made all time low of $11.30 in March-2020. Above that it ended impulse sequence of (I) at $199.84 high in January-2025. Within (I), it placed I at $107.24 high in May-2024 & II at $66.50 low as 0.382 Fibo
Elliott Wave Update: VST Corrects in Wave ((2)) Before Potential Surge
TOPSiongZ: Incredible analysis! Can't wait for the surge! [Wow]
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1PC
·
2025-09-02
I didn’t have a $100K → $2K moment. But I did have a $50K → $2K or less moment[Sad]—and it was painful[Cry][Cry][Cry] That loss taught me more than any book ever could. Now, I use - MA5, MA12, MA26 for trend confirmation - RSI for momentum - Volume for conviction - MACD for timing - Occasionally, left-side trading methods to anticipate reversals. I built my system through the field — Trial, Error, and Reflection. It wasn’t overnight. It was Earned. [Mybad][Mybad][Mybad].@JC888 @Barcode @Shyon

How Do You Start to Build Your Stock Trade System? 📉📈

@Tiger_SG
Buffett’s ~30% annualized return might look “boring” compared to jawdropping returns in our community, but stable compounding is how he went from $100k → $147B. Now contrast that with retail investors (maybe you’ve been there):Saw a “hot pick”, YOLO’d in, then watched it crash.Bought at the top because of FOMO, sold at the bottom out of fear.Buffett: $100k → $147B. Me: $100k → $2k… in one hour.This is the cost of no system—you’re basically gambling with headlines and emotions.A stock trading system doesn’t mean predicting the future—it means:Rules for when to enter & exitKnowing your position sizeReviewing mistakes and tweaking your playbookQuestions:Ever had a “$100k → $2k” type moment? What did you learn from it?How did you build your own system?Learning through practice or build rul
How Do You Start to Build Your Stock Trade System? 📉📈
I didn’t have a $100K → $2K moment. But I did have a $50K → $2K or less moment[Sad]—and it was painful[Cry][Cry][Cry] That loss taught me more than...
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617
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Shyon
·
2025-09-02
For me, my safe haven over the next 3 years will be gold via $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ ETF. Central banks now hold more gold than Treasuries for the first time in decades — that’s a major structural shift. With Fed rate cuts coming and real yields falling, the macro setup is strongly in gold’s favor. If gold pushes toward $3,800/oz, I see silver easily following. Its smaller market cap makes it more volatile, so a proportional move could send it to the $50–60 range, possibly higher if momentum turns speculative. Between gold, silver, and Bitcoin, I still choose gold through GLD. Bit
For me, my safe haven over the next 3 years will be gold via $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ ETF. Central banks now hold more gold than Treasuries for the ...
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1.27K
General
Shyon
·
2025-09-02
Yes, I’ve definitely had my own “$100k → $2k” type of moment, and the biggest lesson was that without a system, emotions take over. That experience made me realize I needed clear rules instead of chasing headlines or tips. Now, I try to stick to my trading framework and avoid decisions driven by FOMO or fear. My system is quite simple: I enter and exit based on EMA lines, while also using recent support and resistance levels as confirmation. Before making any move, I run through my risk management plan — calculating the risk-reward ratio to make sure the trade makes sense. This has helped me avoid many reckless entries. That said, my biggest challenge is still controlling emotions. Even with rules, I sometimes let fear or greed push me into irrational trades. This is the part I’m working
Yes, I’ve definitely had my own “$100k → $2k” type of moment, and the biggest lesson was that without a system, emotions take over. That experience...
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1.09K
General
Pinkspider
·
2025-09-02
$HOOD Trade Idea: Sept 12 110C Trigger: 105 ✅ Targets: 111, 115 🎯 Stop: 100 🛑 HOOD has been basing above 100 for about 3 weeks now. If HOOD can continue to hold 100 for September we can see 121-128 in October. Calls can work above 100 as a day trade for September. If 100 fails, we can see 95, 90 again.
$HOOD Trade Idea: Sept 12 110C Trigger: 105 ✅ Targets: 111, 115 🎯 Stop: 100 🛑 HOOD has been basing above 100 for about 3 weeks now. If HOOD can con...
TOPMortimer Arthur: Buy below $100 so I can short for
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koolgal
·
2025-09-03
🌟🌟🌟Gold is still the heavyweight champion of safe havens and 2025 has only reinforced that. Gold consistently rallies during geopolitical shocks. Central banks have bought over 1,200 tonnes in 2024 alone.  That is not just a vote of confidence, it is a global insurance policy. Gold is also an inflation hedge.  With CPI rising and Fiat purchasing power eroding, Gold's inflation adjusted highs, show real appreciation. Gold's appeal is almost mythic - stable, tangible and deeply embedded in global financial DNA. I vote Gold in times of geopolitical conflicts and tensions. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG
🌟🌟🌟Gold is still the heavyweight champion of safe havens and 2025 has only reinforced that. Gold consistently rallies during geopolitical shocks. C...
TOPjazzyloo: Absolutely spot on! Gold truly shines! [Great]✨
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koolgal
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2025-09-03
🌟🌟🌟Bitcoin is the Digital Challenger to Gold.  Bitcoin's rise to above USD 107,000 is no fluke but its safe haven credentials are still evolving. Bitcoin is a volatile asset.  It is not ideal when stability is the goal. Bitcoin also hesitated during sudden shocks, often mirroring equity sell offs. Younger investors see Bitcoin as Digital Gold and its scarcity of not more than 21 million coins, mirrors Gold's appeal. Bitcoin's narrative is seductive - decentralised, finite and future facing but in a true crisis, it is still more speculative than sanctuary. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @CaptainTiger
🌟🌟🌟Bitcoin is the Digital Challenger to Gold. Bitcoin's rise to above USD 107,000 is no fluke but its safe haven credentials are still evolving. Bi...
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2.23K
Hot
Barcode
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2025-09-03

🔮🚀📊 WorkingIntelligenceAI, Patents, Shorts & Options: PLTR’s Defining Moment 📊🚀🔮

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  🌐 Enterprise Momentum I believe Palantir has entered its most consequential inflection since going public; the convergence of patents, sovereign contracts, and option flows makes this setup unlike any other moment in its history. Palantir isn’t just announcing AI anymore; it’s embedding it into real economies and sovereign infrastructure. Fresh off unveiling WorkingIntelligenceAI to integrate AI into enterprise and government workflows, Palantir has signed a £500K/year deal with Coventry City Council to modernize social care and public services in the UK. In Japan, its global Fujitsu par
🔮🚀📊 WorkingIntelligenceAI, Patents, Shorts & Options: PLTR’s Defining Moment 📊🚀🔮
TOPCool Cat Winston: 🔥I’m struck by how the patents lock in Palantir’s moat while shorts pile on with 25 percent of the float against them. The gamma coil you outlined around 155 to 160 reminds me of the setup we saw in NVDA before its last breakout, positioning looks explosive if momentum flips!
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2.09K
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Barcode
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2025-09-03

🔥⚡📉 NVDA at the Apex of Chaos: Flows, Fed, and September’s Trapdoor 📉⚡🔥

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ $Micron Technology(MU)$  🚨 Strategic Inflection Point I am fully convinced that Nvidia’s 3.22% drop to $169.97 is not just another dip; it is the epicenter of a seismic risk-off rotation tearing through the Magnificent 7 and semiconductors. Top flow has flipped bearish, supply chain uncertainty lingers, and September, the cruelest month in 70 years of equity history, has arrived. This is not noise; it is the battleground defining the market’s next move. 📊 Market Snapshot The Magnificent 7 all bled red to start the week: Tesla −1.83%, Meta −1.89%, Amazon −2.36%, Alphabet −2.22%, Microsoft −1.81%, Apple −1.80%. Nvidia led the carn
🔥⚡📉 NVDA at the Apex of Chaos: Flows, Fed, and September’s Trapdoor 📉⚡🔥
TOPCool Cat Winston: 📉I’m looking at that 50-day MA break on NVDA and it really does change the tone, especially when you line it up with the $165.50 pivot and the $147 fib target you mentioned. Reminds me of how AMD lost momentum last quarter once it slipped below its own trendline 📉
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1.22K
Hot
Barcode
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2025-09-03

🚀🤖📉 Tesla’s Future: EV Decline or Optimus Breakthrough? 📉🤖🚀

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $BYD COMPANY(01211)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ⚡ I’m convinced Tesla’s defining battle isn’t about quarterly Model Y sales in Shanghai; it’s about whether Optimus can cross the chasm from hype to execution. That’s why this technical and narrative setup matters right now. 🚦 Technical Breakdown: Compression Near Breakdown On the 4H chart, Tesla trades at $328.20, pinned near the lower Keltner and Bollinger bands, with EMAs curling lower and the 55 EMA acting as heavy resistance. • Support: $324 (volume shelf) and $310 (structural line in the sand). • Resistance: $335 and $353 (cluster + Fib confluence). The 30M view shows relentless lower-highs and faile
🚀🤖📉 Tesla’s Future: EV Decline or Optimus Breakthrough? 📉🤖🚀
TOPCool Cat Winston: 🚦I’m looking at that $324 support you called out and it lines up perfectly with the way $BYD has been slipping too. The whole EV space feels like it’s in a liquidity flush while $NVDA still carries the AI momentum. If Tesla can’t reclaim $353 soon it risks losing narrative control entirely.
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6.16K
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Barcode
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2025-09-03

✨🥇⚡ Gold & Silver’s Supercycle: $3,800 Gold & $42 Silver in Play? ⚡🥇✨

$SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ $iShares MSCI Global Silver and Metals Miners ETF(SLVP)$ $Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$  🎯 Executive Summary I’m convinced we are at a structural turning point for gold and silver, where macro catalysts, technical momentum, and derivative flows align. Gold surged to $3,560, breaking out above the $3,430 barrier triangle resistance, marking a +30% YTD move. Silver exploded past $40 for the first time since 2011. Fed cut expectations for September and intensifying Trump-Fed tensions are accelerating safe-haven demand. CTA positioning confirms the rotation, with silver’s 3M Z-score at +2.96 and aluminum only higher at +3.31. Gold’s moment
✨🥇⚡ Gold & Silver’s Supercycle: $3,800 Gold & $42 Silver in Play? ⚡🥇✨
TOPHen Solo: ⚡That $22.67 breakout on $SLVP you called out is textbook strength, and the intraday entry zone at $22.40–$22.50 is the kind of precision level that keeps risk defined. It reminds me of how $WPM once behaved before it stretched way beyond what anyone expected.
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3.09K
General
ToNi
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2025-09-03

Why NVIDIA (NVDA) Is a Must-Buy: Bullish Outlook Across Short, Medium, and Long Term

Introduction NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) continues to dominate the semiconductor and AI landscape, positioning itself as a cornerstone of technological innovation. As of September 3, 2025, NVDA trades at around $170, reflecting a recent dip but still boasting a year-to-date gain of over 25% and a market cap exceeding $4 trillion.  With its leadership in AI GPUs, data centers, and emerging technologies, NVIDIA is primed for growth across all time horizons. Recent Q2 FY2026 earnings, which shattered expectations with $46.7 billion in revenue (up 56% year-over-year), underscore this potential.  Analysts overwhelmingly rate NVDA as a “Strong Buy,” with an average 12-month price target of $203.88—implying nearly 20% upside from current levels.  This article explores why NVDA is a compelling in
Why NVIDIA (NVDA) Is a Must-Buy: Bullish Outlook Across Short, Medium, and Long Term
TOPMortimer Arthur: When AVGO reports earnings tomorrow, NVDA will fly back up to above $180
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ToNi
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2025-09-03
Seizing the September Surge: Why the Market is Poised for a Bullish Run Introduction The markets are bracing for the much-discussed “September Effect,” a historical period often marked by increased volatility and potential declines. With whispers of a rising VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) and seasonal uncertainties, some investors may feel cautious. However, this perceived turbulence is not a signal of doom but a golden opportunity for those ready to embrace it. The market’s underlying strength, bolstered by anticipated Federal Reserve actions and resilient economic indicators, sets the stage for a bullish outlook across short, medium, and long-term horizons. Here’s why now is the time to be aggressively optimistic. The Bullish Case Amid September Volatility The “September Effect,” while root
Seizing the September Surge: Why the Market is Poised for a Bullish Run Introduction The markets are bracing for the much-discussed “September Effe...
TOPMegan Barnard: Fed rate cut in Sept—will it really fuel a 5% S&P gain by year-end?
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Sporeshare
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2025-09-03
 The listing of ipo may happen! Submitted to SGX and MAS for approval. I think price may rise higher!  July 2025 Boustead - Yesterday spotted a long and overly extended candlesticks appearing in the chart seem overrun, likely to take a breather! The recent price movement being pushed up was due to the potential listing of the reit assets! I think seem overly extended at this moment. A pullback is expected! Yearly dividend of 5.5 cents. Plus special dividend of 2 cents. Yield is about 3.5 to 4.8%. Not a call to buy or sell! PLS DYODD.  https://sporeshare.blogspot.com/2025/07/boustead-yesterday-spotted-long-and.html
The listing of ipo may happen! Submitted to SGX and MAS for approval. I think price may rise higher! July 2025 Boustead - Yesterday spotted a long ...
TOPYoungYun: Exciting times ahead! Thanks for sharing! [Wow]
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1.96K
General
Shyon
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2025-09-03
I am thrilled to see Alibaba's $Alibaba(BABA)$  $Alibaba(09988)$  recent performance, especially with the stock jumping ten percent following the earnings report. The development of a new artificial intelligence chip to address the gap left by Nvidia $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  in the Chinese market is a bold move that I find promising. It suggests that Alibaba is positioning itself strategically, and I am encouraged by this innovative step forward. Despite the expected drag from food delivery on profits and the significant net outflow of RMB 18.815 billion due t
I am thrilled to see Alibaba's $Alibaba(BABA)$ $Alibaba(09988)$ recent performance, especially with the stock jumping ten percent following the ear...
TOPchipzzy: Your analysis is insightful
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