S&P 500 market outlook (30Jun25) - what can 20+ indicators say about the coming week?
Market Outlook of S&P500 (30Jun25) Technical observations: MACD - a top crossover is completed, and this implies another rally in the cards. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing an uptrend. Both the 50 MA line and the 200 MA line are showing an uptrend. This speaks of a bullish outlook for both the short and long term. We can expect the formation of a golden cross in the coming days. This is typically a bullish signal when backed with strong volume. The CMF is positive at 0.15, indicating more buying pressure over the past 20 periods. The technical analysis shows a rating of “Strong Buy” from the daily interval. 20 indicators show a “Buy” rating, and no indicator shows a “Sell” rating. Note that the Stochastic RSI is showing a “Sell” rating. Here are
News and my thoughts from last week (30Jun25) - China, gold, PCE & consumer confidence
News and my thoughts from last week (30Jun25) 95% of central banks expect global gold reserves to rise in the next year, according to a World Gold Council survey. A record 43% plan to boost their holdings. 73% expect USD reserves to drop. - X user Global Markets Investor The turning points of wars can pivot on mistakes. Sometimes, it boils down to who makes the bigger mistakes. To assume that the enemies think like you can be fatal. But let us avoid war at all costs. US Commerce Secretary Lutnick says the U.S.-China trade deal was signed a few days ago. An important part of critical services requires redundancy and reliability. More importantly, this can be a key component of Business Continuity. Image Total shipments FELL 76% YoY in May, to 1,238 tons, the least since February 2020. Expor
Nasdaq & SP ATH! If You Went All in April Dip, What's Your Gain So Far?
The stock market has been on a remarkable run. Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite have smashed through their previous records, hitting fresh all-time highs. Since the dip in April — triggered in part by tariff tensions, the S&P 500 has rebounded by about 23%, adding nearly $10 trillion in market cap. NASDAQ (.IXIC) S&P 500 (.SPX) Even more striking, market data shows this is shaping up to be the fastest recovery to record closing levels in U.S. stock market history, taking just 89 trading days to bounce back from a drop of more than 15%. If someone had gone all-in during the April lows, their portfolio would likely look very green right now. But I didn’t go all in and honestly, I’m glad I didn’t. Why I Didn’t Go All In And Why I Don’t Regret It Yes, it’s tempting to imag
H1 2025 Post-Mortem: The Trades You Should've Taken
The calendar pages seem to turn faster each year. We’re already at the halfway mark of 2025, and the market has once again dished out a masterclass in humility, opportunity, and, for many, regret. The first six months were a whirlwind of geopolitical tremors, stubborn inflation, and explosive, sector-specific rallies that either padded accounts handsomely or left investors staring at the charts, wondering, "How did I miss that?" Let's cut to the chase and review the key opportunities of H1 2025. This isn't about bragging rights; it's about dissecting the anatomy of a successful trade to sharpen our instincts for the second half of the year. The Great Deception: The US Tech Momentum Trade On the surface, the most obvious trade was to stay long on US big tech. The momentum seemed unstoppable
How to invest in Asia when US dollar (USD) is down 10% YTD?
The US Dollar has devalued by 10% in 2025 (YTD). Image from barchart - USD fell 10% in value in 2025 YTD It can take months or years before the market enters a correction. It can also happen in a moment. A market top cannot conceal some of the market weaknesses in debt and demand. Consider building a portfolio that benefits from a bull, bear or baboon run. Inputs from Grok: Market corrections are unpredictable, as evidence suggests they can strike suddenly or develop slowly due to factors like tariffs or recessions, with 2025 forecasts ranging from 10-16% drops. Hidden weaknesses, such as high debt or weak demand, often lurk at market peaks, as seen in past crises like 2008. Diversifying portfolios across asset classes and regions is a solid strategy to navigate bull, bear, or volatile mar
Singapore Retail Focused REITs Comparison @ 22 June 2025
$Lendlease Reit(JYEU.SI)$$CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$$Frasers Cpt Tr(J69U.SI)$$StarhillGbl Reit(P40U.SI)$ Below is a comparison using the latest data from comparison tables on S-REITs Comparison page. The most favorable figures are marked in blue and given a +1 score, while the least favorable are in red with a -1 score. The highest score in each category determines the winner. Note that this is a simple comparison without weightage assigned to each figure. Image Generated by AIEASE Fundamental Overview, Related Parties Shareholding & Lea
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Overnight action lit a fresh spark in AI and chip names; structure, confluence, and seasonality are aligning again. Palantir defended its critical zone, Tesla is riding a historic July wave, and semis are coiling for their next leg. 🤖🚀💥 Overnight Charge Ignites the AI Chip Race 💥🚀🤖 $PLTR just delivered the first signal of the week; it bounced cleanly from $130.10 support after last week’s 9.37 % flush and is up 3.72 % overnight. This move wasn’t random; it held exactly where it needed to, just above the rising harmonic channel and inside the zone marked by the 2.618 Fib at $120.55 and 3.272 at
$AML3D LTD(AL3.AU)$ Where the rubber meets the road... That's when you see the real result... I have been screaming out loud about AML3D. I understand that there has been no news out for sometime since it started a new manufacturing site in US last December. When there's no contract win announcements during this period doesn't mean that nothing is going on in the background. As we can from the chart below, the share price has been gradually correcting since the excitement from December last year. That obviously was the recent top. As could be observed, I have also been quietly adding to my initial positions during this lull period. As posted a couple of times, additive manufacturing is the next wave in defence. US and Europe are both goin
QuantumCape’s Battery Breakthrough: The Moment EV Investors Have Been Waiting For?
$Quantumscape Corp.(QS)$ The electric vehicle (EV) industry has spent much of the last two years in a painful correction. After a meteoric rise in 2020 and 2021, many EV stocks have come crashing back to Earth. Investors, once intoxicated by visions of a battery-powered future, were sobered by the realities of poor unit economics, technological roadblocks, and slower-than-expected consumer adoption. But now, amid the wreckage of overhyped IPOs and broken SPAC dreams, a glimmer of real innovation has emerged — and it’s coming from a small, under-the-radar company called QuantumCape. The firm’s breakthrough in solid-state lithium-metal battery manufacturing has ignited excitement across the sector. QuantumCape stock surged more than 31% in a single tr
What Signals Can Be Gathered From ASML’s Aggressive Buyback Activity
$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ ’s aggressive buyback activity is more than just financial housekeeping. It is a strategic signal that savvy investors should pay close attention to. I would not say that I am a savvy investors yet, but I wanted to find signal which could give me opportunity to trade ASML. ASML's consistent share buyback program is a significant aspect of its capital allocation strategy, and we as investors should be aware of several implications. In this article, I would like to discuss these implications and also what is really happening behind ASML’s buyback, by looking at the fundamentals (e.g. valuation) and also technical analysis to see whether we can find an opportunity to trade ASML. Management Confidence and Valuation Signal Posit
Tesla’s EV Sales Collapse in Europe Is More Than a Blip — It’s a Warning Sign for the Entire Business Model
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla has long been positioned as the crown jewel of the electric vehicle revolution and the gateway to an AI-powered future. But recent sales data from Europe suggests the company may be losing its grip on the very industry it helped create. And that erosion has implications far beyond quarterly earnings—it directly threatens Tesla’s ability to fund the next phase of its growth story: full autonomy, robotics, and artificial general intelligence. A Troubling Divergence On the surface, the numbers released by the European Automobile Manufacturers Association appear straightforward. Tesla’s European EV registrations in May fell 28% year-over-year to 13,863 units. Meanwhile, total EV registrations across Europe—including the UK—r
Can Quantum command some interest? Earnings calendar (30Jun25)
Earnings Calendar (30Jun25) Let us look at Quantum Corporation’s recent performance. This is the description of the business. From investing.com, the analysts’ sentiment is neutral with a price target of $19.00. This suggests an upside of 110.18%. The technical analysis recommends a rating of “Strong Sell”. Observations: Revenue has fallen from $553 million in 2015 to $312 million in 2024. Gross profit has fallen from $245 million in 2015 to $125 million in 2024. Operating profit started at $16 million in 2015 but ended in 2024 with a loss of $26 million. The company has been making losses since 2022. Earnings per share (EPS) started at $10.22 in 2015 to -$8.60 in 2024. With a -0.5 P/E ratio, the business continues to operate at a loss. (The next section is made with help from Gr
Can Stablecoin Momentum Continue As Catalyst For Possible Crypto July Rally?
If you are into stablecoin, Bitcoin or crypto stocks, you might be interested to find out whether the relationship between stablecoin interest and the broader crypto market, including Bitcoin and crypto stocks, which is complex could benefit some crypto stocks and the crypto sector. In this article I would be sharing on the outlook for July 2025 based on recent trends and analysis which seem to indicate that stablecoin momentum is shaping up to be a major catalyst for crypto markets this July, and the data backs it up. Stablecoin's Influence and Outlook Growing Significance: Stablecoins are increasingly becoming a crucial part of the financial landscape. Their market capitalization has surged, and they are now processing trillions in transactions, even surpassing traditional networks like
The Silent Compounder - Why ST Engineering Deserves a Spot In Your Long Term Portfolio
🌟🌟🌟In a market often dazzled by flashy tech names and volatile meme stocks, ST Engineering $ST Engineering(S63.SI)$ has quietly built a legacy of resilience, innovation and shareholder returns. With a 10 year total return of nearly 233% including dividends, ST Engineering is the kind of stock that rewards patience and time in the market, not hype. Backed by Temasek Holdings which owns a commanding 51% stake, this Singaporean powerhouse blends defensive stability with forward looking innovation. With a strong dividend track record, a record breaking order book and bullish analysts, ST Engineering is more than just a blue chip. It is a strategic anchor for long term investors like me. Why ST E
My top-down approach to investing and trading involves four key steps
My top-down approach to investing and trading involves four key steps:1) The 'WHAT,' focusing on identifying fundamental strength.2), the 'WHEN,' spotting technical triggers. 3) The 'WHERE,' using predictive S/R levels. 4) The 'HOW,' selecting the appropriate investment instrument (stock, option, leveraged ETF).Follow along, I offer educational content for each stage, and my publications are consistently aligned with these principles.My content consistently covers:Indices: $S&P 500(.SPX)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Dow Jones(.DJI)$$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ ETFs: $SPDR S&P 500 ETF T
$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$Last week, I anticipated in the Weekly Compass (link in bio) a potential visit to the 20 weekly average followed by bullish continuation, the price effectively started in the red the week bouncing at the bearish target using the S/R levels, which was $207.3 and then it bounced. It is a good example why such levels are more accurate than moving averages.$216.8 level set exact rejection in confluence with the point of control (peak) of the volume shelf, so consolidation is very likely at this point for a couple of days before bullish continuation to the upper Bollinger band. In the near term, let’s be centered around the $213.2 mark. If this level holds as support, the immediate bullish target is $219.7 next week.On the
US vs Global Rotation: The Dollar at a Turning Point
Closely tied in with the US vs Global stocks rotation theme is the US Dollar.Global flows have been a key tailwind for US stocks (and the US dollar); this has resulted in a self-reinforcing loop.There are signs this dynamic is starting to reverse... which could end up driving a sustained period of US dollar weakness and relative strength in global stocks. $S&P 500(.SPX)$$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$Dow Jones(.DJI)$ ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in tr
Is AMD Rally Beginning After Surging Over 60% Since April Fueled By Bullish Analysts Target
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ has indeed shown strong performance recently, with its stock surging over 40% in a relatively short period and analysts raising price targets to $165 and $175, and even as high as $250 by some. This certainly suggests a potential "rally" is underway or strengthening. It definitely looks like AMD’s rally is more than just a blip, there is real momentum building behind it. Since bottoming out in April, the stock has surged over 60%, fueled by a wave of bullish catalysts. I have been holding AMD long-term after a series of DCA. Now it is looking good for a good momentum upside. 🚀 What’s Driving the Rally? AI Hardware Momentum: AMD unveiled its MI350 AI accelerators, claiming 4x the compute power of the previous generation