FOMC interest rate decision - Economic Calendar for 16Jun25
Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, Singapore, or Hong Kong. America is closed on 19 June 2025 for the Juneteenth holiday. Economic Calendar (16Jun25) Notable Highlights The most watched event in the coming week will be the Fed’s interest rate decision. The market is expecting the interest rate to remain. Any changes to this rate can bring some volatility to the market. A FOMC statement will be made alongside the economic projections. These are important bearings for the market. Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales updates will be released in the coming week. The forecast shows an increase in retail sales. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index has last reported a -4.0 figure, suggesting contraction in the manufacturing sector. The
Is Kroger worthy of your portfolio - Earnings calendar 16Jun25
Earnings Calendar (16Jun25) I am interested in the earnings of Jabil, Kroger, and Accenture. Let us look at Kroger in detail. The stock price has risen 32.9% from a year ago. The technical analysis has a “Strong Sell” recommendation. The analysts’ analysis has a “Buy” rating. With a target price of $70.69, there is an upside of 7.82%. Let us review the performance of the business from the last 10 years: Gross Profit and Margin: Gross profit grew from $24.334 billion in 2016 to $33.403 billion in 2025, with the 10-year average gross margin at 22.2%, a reflection of stable profitability. Revenue has grown from $109.8B (2016) to $147.1B (2025). Operating profit has grown from $3.576B (2016) to $3.849B (2025). Earnings per share (EPS) have seen steady growth from $2.06 (2016) to $3.67 (2025).
S&P500 technical and candlestick analysis (16Jun25) - what 20+ indicators tell us?
Market Outlook of S&P500 - 16Jun25 S&P 500 chart on 15Jun25 Technical observations: MACD - a top crossover is completed, and this suggests a downtrend is coming. Ranging sideways can be a possible scenario, too. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing an uptrend. However, the 3 lines are converging, and a trend reversal is coming. Both the 50 MA line and the 200 MA line are showing an uptrend. This speaks of a bullish outlook for both the short and long term. The CMF is positive at 0.18, indicating more buying pressure over the past 20 periods. The daily interval is showing a “Strong Buy" for the S&P 500 index. 16 indicators are showing a “Buy” rating, and 4 indicators show a “Sell” rating. Here are the recent candlestick patterns. Outlook and Implications Short-Ter
My Investing Muse (16Jun25) Layoffs & Closure news VA signs a $726K agreement with OPM to help lay off 80,000+ employees. - House Veterans’ Affairs Democrats This is the prequel to market consumption and production demand. Supply chain is the blood of the economy. Without which, goods & services do not reach consumers and users. Layoffs in the supply chain precede layoffs in other sectors. US job postings continue to fall: Job postings on Indeed dropped to the lowest in 4 YEARS at the end of May. Moreover, new job postings hit near the lowest level since December 2020. Both metrics have declined for 3 consecutive years. US job gains were likely OVERSTATED by ~900,000 in 2024: US private payrolls rose 0.6% Y/Y in 2024, according to the BLS's QCEW data covering 97% of employers. This
Quantum Leap Forward: Are These Stocks the Next Market Movers?
The stock market is buzzing with energy, and it’s not just the usual suspects stealing the spotlight. While trade tensions keep investors on edge, a new wave of innovation is shaking things up—quantum computing, green energy breakthroughs, and biotech moonshots are driving a surge of excitement. Companies like IonQ, Tesla, and Moderna are pushing boundaries, and fresh IPOs like QuantumScape are lighting up the boards. Buckle up—here’s why these stocks could be your ticket to the next big rally. Quantum Computing: The New Frontier Quantum computing isn’t sci-fi anymore—it’s here, and it’s rewriting the rules. Forget traditional chips; quantum processors promise to crack problems that would take today’s supercomputers millennia. And the market’s taking notice. IonQ (IONQ): This quantum trail
Donald Trump's USD 40 Million Birthday Bash - Tanks, Tokens and Tumult!
Nothing says "Happy Birthday Mr President" quite like a USD 40 Million military parade rolling through Washington DC. The US Army's 250th anniversary celebration conveniently lands on Donald Trump's 79th birthday. While officials insist it is purely coincidental, critics are calling it a tax payer funded spectacle fit for a king. The parade features 6,700 troops, 38 tanks, helicopters, vintage war planes. President Trump says that this will be a military parade like no other. While Trump will preside over the festivities from a specially built reviewing stand, some lawmakers are less than thrilled. Senator Paul Rand compared the event to North Korea's military display while others questioned whether the funds could be better spent elsewhere. Meanwhile Trump's
🎖️ $40M Parade + Trump Turns 79: Will His Stocks MAGA-fy or Flatline?,
$Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ $Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ 🔍 Setting the Stage: The MAGA Market Narrative Donald Trump is more than a politician — he's a market-moving brand. From Truth Social launches to SPAC drama, his name alone fuels $DJT (Trump Media & Technology Group) with meme-level volatility. But what does the data suggest when spectacle meets ticker? --- 📈 What Could Happen to $DJT? Short-Term Setup: ⚡ Birthday headlines + MAGA crowd = likely pop in $DJT ⚡ Retail volume expected to spike Friday into Monday 🔁 Algo-fueled volatility around Trump-linked hashtags and weekend media coverage Medium-Term Risk: 🔥 If the parade is seen as excessive or sparks backlas
MY TOP 10 STOCKS FOR 2025 : BABA, META, TEM, PDD, VRTX
Updated on June 10th 2025.These stocks are up +32.4% on average YTD vs +3.0% of $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 1) $Alibaba(BABA)$ The biggest ecommerce in the world with >$1T GMV and the biggest cloud services provider in China at 12x Fwd PE. Natan's fair value: ~$162 (+34%)Image2) $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ Stock is up 2X YTD after the unjustified hard sell-off. The company is innovating the transplants market and they plan to achieve 10k transplants in 2028. Natan's fair value: ~$162 (+13%)Image3) $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Meta is my favorite big tech at current prices trading at 27X Fwd PE. The social networks giant i
Axioma ROOF™ Score Highlights: Week of June 16, 2025
Insights from last week's changes in investor sentiment: Investor sentiment remained relatively stable compared to the previous week as investors evaluated the implications of the onset of direct hostilities between Israel and Iran on global markets. The recent positive-to-bullish mood and the favorable supply-and-demand balance for risk assets at the time have contributed to the subdued market reaction so far (as of this writing the Nikkei has already recovered all of the initial dip). However, if the conflict escalates into a broader Middle East war, potentially impacting regional oil facilities or transport through the Strait of Hormuz, investor sentiment is likely to shift, leading to a downturn in the markets. Trade War: With only one out of 90 trade deals signed so far, there wa
Tech IPOs and AI Powerhouses: The Stocks Making Waves Right Now
The stock market is buzzing with excitement, and it’s not just the usual suspects stealing the show. From fresh IPOs making massive debuts to tech giants flexing their AI muscles, there’s a lot to unpack. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just dipping your toes into the market, these are the stocks you need to keep an eye on right now. Let’s dive into the biggest movers, the trends driving them, and what might be next. IPO Fever: Circle and CoreWeave Steal the Spotlight If you’ve been watching the IPO scene, you’ve probably noticed the jaw-dropping performances of two tech-related newcomers: Circle ( $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ ) and CoreWeave ( $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ ). Both have ties to the boomi
Diversified real estate investment trusts (REITs) hold a mixture of assets across multiple sub-sectors such as industrial, retail, office, and hospitality, offering investors the prospect of portfolio stability and flexibility. The larger diversified S-REITs in the Singapore market include $Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ counters such as $CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$ (CICT), $Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr(N2IU.SI)$ (MPACT), $Frasers L&C Tr(BUOU.SI)$ (FLCT), as well as $Suntec Reit(T82U.SI)$ , which is currently on the STI Reserve list. Recent business updates
Weekly Buybacks: Q & M Dental, CosmoSteel, APTT & Anchun Intl Professional directors raise stake
The five trading sessions spanning June 6 through to June 12 saw more than 80 director interests and substantial shareholdings filed for close to 30 primary-listed stocks. Directors or CEOs again filed 13 acquisitions, and no disposals, while substantial shareholders filed 12 acquisitions and one disposal. 1. $Q&M Dental(QC7.SI)$ Between June 10 and June 11, Q & M Dental Group (Singapore) non-independent executive director and group chief executive officer Ng Chin Siau increased his total interest from 54.25% to 54.92%. The 6,427,900 shares were acquired by Quan Min Holdings Pte Ltd at an average price of S$0.395 apiece. Since the end of April, Dr Ng has increased his total interest from 53.02%.The recent spate of acquisitions has also c
After "Liberation Day," U.S. inflation data for May remained mild, fueling expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September.
U.S. May Consumer Price Index (CPI) Rises Below Expectations for the Fourth Consecutive Month The May CPI data came in below expectations across the board. The annual CPI rose by 2.4%, lower than the market forecast of 2.5%; core CPI increased by 2.8% year-on-year, also below the expected 2.9%; and the monthly core CPI rose by just 0.1%, under the forecasted 0.3%. These figures have further eased market concerns about runaway inflation and reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates in September. However, while overall price pressures remain manageable, the Trump administration's tariff policies could still exert upward pressure on inflation, allowing the Fed to maintain a relatively hawkish stance in the short term. Energy Prices Continue to Decline,
With multiple fundamental factors providing support, has the turning point for oil prices arrived?
Recently, the international crude oil market has exhibited a series of complex and volatile dynamics, with price movements showing a dual characteristic of short-term strength and medium-to-long-term pressure under the interplay of multiple factors.Since June, although the overall increase in oil prices has been limited, the continuous upward trend has drawn widespread market attention. Now that the market has fully digested the earlier expectations of an OPEC+ production increase, can the sustained rally truly shift the prevailing pessimism or alter the medium-to-long-term outlook? Short-Term Bullish Factors Support Oil Price Rebound The recent resilience in oil prices is primarily driven by three short-term bullish factors: First, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have
🌟🌟🌟Investing is about balancing rewards versus risks. $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ meteoric rise signals confidence that Stablecoins are more than just crypto currencies. It is a revolution as Stablecoins are now vaulted into mainstream finance. Circle's hallmark of building trust through regulatory compliance has pivoted USDC to command 24% of the total stablecoin market. I believe that as global payments, cross border remittance grow, so too will Circle's core business. However it is important to strike a good balance between rewards and risks. This can be done by position sizing any speculative trade to no more than 5% of my total portfolio. I would also diversify my portfolio to minimise my risks. There is a va
Last Friday. On Fri, 06 Jun 2025, US stock markets rallied, with the S&P 500 climbing +1.03% to surpass the 6,000-point mark for the first time since February 2025. On Fri, 13 Jun 2025, US stock markets faced a sharp downturn, with the S&P 500 dipping below the 6,000-point mark to close at 5,977, down -1.13% to close off the week. The Dow fell more than 700 points, ending the session down -1.79%, while Nasdaq declined by -1.3%. For the week, each composite index fell by -0.46% , -1.38%, -0.85% respectively. Despite Friday rout, earlier in the week the S&P 500 had reached as high as 6,045.26, less than 2% from its all-time high, buoyed by optimism over (a) US-China trade negotiations and (b) softer-than-expected inflation data. However, the late-week geopolitical shock of Israel
Technology Macro: From Pseudo Bull To Structural Bull?
This week's tech market has hidden a lot of structural variability in the midst of overall moderation.From the macro to the plate, to the company's fundamentals, multiple dimensions intertwined the current complex and full of opportunities.First, the macro risk is rising: tariff game resurfacesWhile the military tension between Israel and Iran has not subsided, a new round of tariff negotiations between the US and Vietnam has become the focus of recent market attention.Bloomberg reported that the U.S. is proposing to impose 20-25% tariffs on Vietnam's exports, significantly higher than the 10% range previously expected by the market.Tariff risk has re-emerged as a major variable weighing on risk appetite as the July 9 deadline for negotiations approaches.Over the past few weeks, market cap
Weekly: Stocks Retreat, Oil Surges Amid Middle East Tensions; Fed’s decision in focus
Last Week's RecapThe US Market - Stocks retreated amid escalating tensions in the Middle EastThe stock market erased modest weekly gains on Friday after Israel launched a wave of airstrikes on Iran. Friday sell-off pushed major indexes into negative territory for the week, The Dow ended the week with a decline of 1.32%. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) spiked 24%, reflecting heightened investor anxiety amid the escalating Middle East conflict.Brent and WTI crude futures both surged around 12%, with WTI briefly approaching $74 per barrel. Gold prices also climbed to a near two-month high as investors sought safe-haven assets.“If elevated crude prices persist, they’ll have an almost immediate impact on inflation,” said Mark Malek, Chief Investment Officer at Siebert Financial.The May CPI and
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ one of the best long term investments ever! Ever since reporting earnings the stock price keeps rising without much pullback. MSFT posted Q3 FY2025 earnings of $3.46 per share, well above the ~$3.23 consensus estimate, and $70.1 billion in revenue, topping the ~$68.5 b expectation. Both profit and revenue upside was driven by excellent performance in its cloud and AI divisions, showcasing robust demand. Azure cloud revenue grew ~33% YoY, with AI-related infrastructure fueling a large portion of that growth. • Nadella emphasized that “cloud and AI are the essential inputs…”, reinforcing investor confidence in Microsoft’s long-term strategy. Following the earnings beat, multiple analysts raise