To The Moon

🚨 The Fed is Under Siege: Why This CPI Print Could Change Everything S&P 500 E-mini Futures(ESmain) NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures(NQmain) Tingle(Unknown) Gold(GCmain) The market just woke up to a reality check that goes far beyond normal data watching. We aren't just staring down a December CPI print; we are processing a historic structural shock to the Federal Reserve itself. Jerome Powell confirming a DOJ grand jury subpoena is a game-changer. It reintroduces "Political Risk" into US monetary policy in a way we haven't seen in decades. Combine that with a precarious inflation setup, and the market’s "soft landing" narrative is suddenly on thin ice. Futures are red, but the real volatility hasn't even started. 1️⃣ The "Fed Put" is in Danger (The Real Risk) Most retail traders are focused

$NQ100指数主连 2603(NQmain)$  ？？？

"Fed under pressure", investors tend to be anxious and market wobbles. Think Powell in his remaining term will still make decisions based on economic data.

"Fed independence shock" is just another piece of news to digest. Stay calm and trade cautiously.

Potential Implications of Grand Jury Subpoena to the Federal Reserve 1. Impact on Monetary Policy and Rate-Cut Expectations The grand jury subpoena served to the Federal Reserve and the threat of criminal charges against Chair Powell are seen as challenges to the Fed's independence. This situation has introduced uncertainty regarding the future path of U.S. monetary policy. Rate-Cut Expectations: The market is currently pricing in a low 5% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut at the FOMC's next meeting on January 27-28. However, expectations generally include approximately two rate cuts from the U.S. Federal Reserve in 2026. The underlying weakness of the U.S. dollar continues as the FOMC is expected to cut interest rates by about 50 basis points in 2026. Internal Divisions: There are signi

🌟🌟🌟The US markets woke up rattled when Jerome Powell confirmed that the US Department of Justice had issued a grand jury subpoena to the Federal Reserve.  This is a dramatic escalation in pressure from the Trump administration.  For a moment, it felt like the ground shifted beneath investors' feet. A challenge to the independence of the Federal Reserve isn't just another headline.  It strikes at the heart of US monetary credibility.  The pre market dip reflected exactly that fear. Investors suddenly had to price in a new variable : political risk inside monetary policy, the kind that muddles rate cut expectations and injects uncertainty into every macro model. But then something important happened. The US market recovered. Not because the subpoena vanished.  Not be

Navigating Fed interest rate uncertainty in 2026 requires strategic positioning in gold and SPY. Current Fed funds rate projections indicate 1 to 2 cuts this year, with rates settling around 3.4 percent by year end. However, risks include potential executive interference, such as a DOJ probe into Chair Powell, which could disrupt Fed independence and fuel volatility. Gold prices hit records near 4,620 per ounce, trading around 4,584, up about 70 percent over the past year amid safe haven demand. SPY stands near 693.18, with S and P 500 forecasts targeting 7,600 by year end, implying roughly 10 percent upside. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$   For gold, uncertainty favors bullish positioning. Lower rates reduce

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ Whoa, folks – the financial world just got a massive shake-up! Jerome Powell dropped a video statement confirming the U.S. Department of Justice slapped the Federal Reserve with grand jury subpoenas, threatening criminal charges over his testimony on the Fed's HQ renovation project. He's calling it straight-up pressure from the Trump crew to bend monetary policy to their will, prioritizing public good over presidential prefs. 😤 This is Powell's first direct clapback after dodging Trump's jabs for over a year – and markets aren't loving it! U.S. equity futures nosedived more than 0.6% pre-open, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq both feeling the heat as investors freak over

Will pressure on the Fed change rate-cut expectations? At the margin, yes, but not in the way markets initially fear. Policy reality: The Federal Reserve’s reaction function remains anchored to inflation, labour data, and financial conditions. A subpoena does not alter the data path, nor does it grant the executive branch control over rates. Chair Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve are institutionally insulated from direct interference. Market perception: The bigger impact is on risk premia, not the dot plot. Any perceived erosion of independence forces markets to price uncertainty around future policy consistency, which can delay or shallow the expected rate-cut path even if inflation cooperates. Net effect for 2026: Rate cuts are still likely if disinflation continues, but the bar for

Last Friday, stimulated by positive U.S. non-farm payrolls data,$Nasdaq 100ETF (QQQ) $It rose sharply by about 1%, breaking through the pressure level of the previous convergence triangle, and the short-term bulls were active. However, U.S. stocks fell back in night trading today, led by the Nasdaq index, mainly affected by the news that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell was criminally investigated by the U.S. Department of Justice. The market is worried that the independence of the Federal Reserve may be damaged, thus affecting the continuity of monetary policy. Coupled with the release of key economic data (CPI, PPI, retail sales) this week and the start of the earnings season, investors generally increase their defensive positions, and risk as

Fed Chair Under Criminal Investigation? 🚨 Why the “Powell vs. Trump” War Just Got Dangerous for Markets $SPY $QQQ $GLD The wall between the White House and the Federal Reserve isn’t just cracking—it’s being sledgehammered. According to the Wall Street Journal, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is now under investigation by US Prosecutors regarding testimony he gave about the central bank’s building renovation. Powell has confirmed that the Fed received grand jury subpoenas from the DOJ, threatening criminal indictment. While the official reason is “spending and testimony,” Powell is calling it what the market fears most: a political pretext to intimidate the Fed into lowering interest rates. With the investigation led by a close Trump ally and Powell’s term ending in May, this is no longer just poli

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$  $CME Bitcoin - main 2601(BTCmain)$   🔍 Why This Matters Right Now I’m watching one of the most dangerous setups I have seen in years quietly build beneath the surface of global markets. Crypto is already reacting, but equities and volatility traders tied to $SPX and $VIX are still asleep, while $BTC continues to trade 24/7 as the first global risk barometer. 🚀 Crypto Is Already Moving $BTC is back above $92,000 in the overnight session, now up more than 1.6% as momentum continues to build across crypto markets. This is exactly what happens when geopolitical risk and macro instability s

1. The Federal Reserve Is Re‑Expanding Liquidity Since early December, the Federal Reserve has expanded its balance sheet by roughly $105 billion, marking the fastest increase since the regional banking turmoil of 2023. This move aims to ease pressure on bank reserves, which had been tightening significantly. St. Louis Federal Reserve Key points The Fed’s balance sheet had fallen by about 30% since 2022, draining liquidity from the system. Facing renewed stress, the Fed resumed injections to stabilize reserves. It is now purchasing around $40 billion in U.S. Treasuries per month, supporting financial markets. Historically, such liquidity waves tend to boost risk appetite and lift asset prices. Bottom line: the Fed has shifted from tightening to quietly re‑adding liquidity. 2. Private‑Secto

🚨 The Fed is Under Siege: Why This CPI Print Could Change Everything S&P 500 E-mini Futures(ESmain) NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures(NQmain) Tingle(Unknown) Gold(GCmain) The market just woke up to a reality check that goes far beyond normal data watching. We aren't just staring down a December CPI print; we are processing a historic structural shock to the Federal Reserve itself. Jerome Powell confirming a DOJ grand jury subpoena is a game-changer. It reintroduces "Political Risk" into US monetary policy in a way we haven't seen in decades. Combine that with a precarious inflation setup, and the market’s "soft landing" narrative is suddenly on thin ice. Futures are red, but the real volatility hasn't even started. 1️⃣ The "Fed Put" is in Danger (The Real Risk) Most retail traders are focused

Potential Implications of Grand Jury Subpoena to the Federal Reserve 1. Impact on Monetary Policy and Rate-Cut Expectations The grand jury subpoena served to the Federal Reserve and the threat of criminal charges against Chair Powell are seen as challenges to the Fed's independence. This situation has introduced uncertainty regarding the future path of U.S. monetary policy. Rate-Cut Expectations: The market is currently pricing in a low 5% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut at the FOMC's next meeting on January 27-28. However, expectations generally include approximately two rate cuts from the U.S. Federal Reserve in 2026. The underlying weakness of the U.S. dollar continues as the FOMC is expected to cut interest rates by about 50 basis points in 2026. Internal Divisions: There are signi

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ Whoa, folks – the financial world just got a massive shake-up! Jerome Powell dropped a video statement confirming the U.S. Department of Justice slapped the Federal Reserve with grand jury subpoenas, threatening criminal charges over his testimony on the Fed's HQ renovation project. He's calling it straight-up pressure from the Trump crew to bend monetary policy to their will, prioritizing public good over presidential prefs. 😤 This is Powell's first direct clapback after dodging Trump's jabs for over a year – and markets aren't loving it! U.S. equity futures nosedived more than 0.6% pre-open, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq both feeling the heat as investors freak over

Navigating Fed interest rate uncertainty in 2026 requires strategic positioning in gold and SPY. Current Fed funds rate projections indicate 1 to 2 cuts this year, with rates settling around 3.4 percent by year end. However, risks include potential executive interference, such as a DOJ probe into Chair Powell, which could disrupt Fed independence and fuel volatility. Gold prices hit records near 4,620 per ounce, trading around 4,584, up about 70 percent over the past year amid safe haven demand. SPY stands near 693.18, with S and P 500 forecasts targeting 7,600 by year end, implying roughly 10 percent upside. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$   For gold, uncertainty favors bullish positioning. Lower rates reduce

🌟🌟🌟The US markets woke up rattled when Jerome Powell confirmed that the US Department of Justice had issued a grand jury subpoena to the Federal Reserve.  This is a dramatic escalation in pressure from the Trump administration.  For a moment, it felt like the ground shifted beneath investors' feet. A challenge to the independence of the Federal Reserve isn't just another headline.  It strikes at the heart of US monetary credibility.  The pre market dip reflected exactly that fear. Investors suddenly had to price in a new variable : political risk inside monetary policy, the kind that muddles rate cut expectations and injects uncertainty into every macro model. But then something important happened. The US market recovered. Not because the subpoena vanished.  Not be

$NQ100指数主连 2603(NQmain)$  ？？？

Will pressure on the Fed change rate-cut expectations? At the margin, yes, but not in the way markets initially fear. Policy reality: The Federal Reserve’s reaction function remains anchored to inflation, labour data, and financial conditions. A subpoena does not alter the data path, nor does it grant the executive branch control over rates. Chair Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve are institutionally insulated from direct interference. Market perception: The bigger impact is on risk premia, not the dot plot. Any perceived erosion of independence forces markets to price uncertainty around future policy consistency, which can delay or shallow the expected rate-cut path even if inflation cooperates. Net effect for 2026: Rate cuts are still likely if disinflation continues, but the bar for

Last Friday, stimulated by positive U.S. non-farm payrolls data,$Nasdaq 100ETF (QQQ) $It rose sharply by about 1%, breaking through the pressure level of the previous convergence triangle, and the short-term bulls were active. However, U.S. stocks fell back in night trading today, led by the Nasdaq index, mainly affected by the news that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell was criminally investigated by the U.S. Department of Justice. The market is worried that the independence of the Federal Reserve may be damaged, thus affecting the continuity of monetary policy. Coupled with the release of key economic data (CPI, PPI, retail sales) this week and the start of the earnings season, investors generally increase their defensive positions, and risk as

Fed Chair Under Criminal Investigation? 🚨 Why the “Powell vs. Trump” War Just Got Dangerous for Markets $SPY $QQQ $GLD The wall between the White House and the Federal Reserve isn’t just cracking—it’s being sledgehammered. According to the Wall Street Journal, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is now under investigation by US Prosecutors regarding testimony he gave about the central bank’s building renovation. Powell has confirmed that the Fed received grand jury subpoenas from the DOJ, threatening criminal indictment. While the official reason is “spending and testimony,” Powell is calling it what the market fears most: a political pretext to intimidate the Fed into lowering interest rates. With the investigation led by a close Trump ally and Powell’s term ending in May, this is no longer just poli

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$  $CME Bitcoin - main 2601(BTCmain)$   🔍 Why This Matters Right Now I’m watching one of the most dangerous setups I have seen in years quietly build beneath the surface of global markets. Crypto is already reacting, but equities and volatility traders tied to $SPX and $VIX are still asleep, while $BTC continues to trade 24/7 as the first global risk barometer. 🚀 Crypto Is Already Moving $BTC is back above $92,000 in the overnight session, now up more than 1.6% as momentum continues to build across crypto markets. This is exactly what happens when geopolitical risk and macro instability s

"Fed under pressure", investors tend to be anxious and market wobbles. Think Powell in his remaining term will still make decisions based on economic data.

"Fed independence shock" is just another piece of news to digest. Stay calm and trade cautiously.

1. The Federal Reserve Is Re‑Expanding Liquidity Since early December, the Federal Reserve has expanded its balance sheet by roughly $105 billion, marking the fastest increase since the regional banking turmoil of 2023. This move aims to ease pressure on bank reserves, which had been tightening significantly. St. Louis Federal Reserve Key points The Fed’s balance sheet had fallen by about 30% since 2022, draining liquidity from the system. Facing renewed stress, the Fed resumed injections to stabilize reserves. It is now purchasing around $40 billion in U.S. Treasuries per month, supporting financial markets. Historically, such liquidity waves tend to boost risk appetite and lift asset prices. Bottom line: the Fed has shifted from tightening to quietly re‑adding liquidity. 2. Private‑Secto