Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1.TRADE PLAN for Thursday 📈 $.SPX(.SPX)$ 6100 ATH big level to get through to set up for 6250+ in February. We have FOMC + tech earnings next week. Let's see if SPX closes above 6100 by FridaySPX 6120C best above 6100 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ setting up for All time highs at 153 by next week. if NVDA can close through 149 it can run to 153 quicklyNVDA Jan 31 155C best near 149 $Microsoft(MSFT)$ to 452-455 in play by Friday. MSFT ran 17 pts today, price action strongMSFT 450C best above 446 tomorrowFollow me to learn more about analysis!!
Stop making these common mistakes if you want to be a profitable trader in 2025.1. Stop averaging down. This is a loser's strategy. If a trade is going to work, there should never be a need to buy more. Averaging down leads to oversizing and will bring many emotions into the trade.2. Stop feeling FOMO. Fomo is an account killer. It causes you to enter trades you have minimal understanding of. You're chasing money and following blindly into a stock you have no business being a part of. Associate FOMO with losing. IF you recognize you're feeling FOMO, you need to sit on your hands.3. Stop relying on others to buy/sell/hold a position. IF you find yourself constantly asking another person if you should hold/sell a position. You will fail. You didn't have a plan before you entered a trade and
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1.TRADE PLAN for Wednesday 📈 $.SPX(.SPX)$ price action strong again today after defending the 6k support. SPX is setting up to test all time highs at 6100 in the next week. I'd stay bullish above 6034 SPX 6070C is best above 6034 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ needs to reclaim 429 to set up for a move to 450+. Wait for the 429 levelTSLA 445C can work above 429 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ higher on Trump AI news today. If NVDA can form a base above 140 we will see a move back to all time highs at 153 in FebruaryNVDA Jan 31 145C is best above 1422.Being bearish in this market is going to be very costly for anyone with
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option analysis with you!1. $Netflix(NFLX)$ We are in! Sold a strangle (not sure why Fidelity keeps calling it a straddle). As mentioned, we are playing this for assignment of shares. Willing to take shares at just below the 200EMA. Sold a few more 730P in an IRA and other account. Jan 24 expiry.Sold a naked call on top of it just to squeeze out more premium. Naked calls are risky, but we don't see a 20%+ move happening on NFLX. If it does, that would be very surprising. It is possible though.ImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!!
Apple: Will it Drop to 200? & Buy 100 Shares of NVIDIA for $6,000!
$Apple(AAPL)$ Apple recently faced two negative factors: first, Pelosi disclosed selling 31,600 Apple shares on Tuesday; second, TSMC's earnings report last week showed a quarter-over-quarter revenue decline due to seasonal factors in smartphone demand.The stock price has pulled back from its peak of 260 to 220, returning to levels before Trump's presidential campaign success.Considering Pelosi sold her shares on the 14th, after Tuesday's pullback, it might seem like a good opportunity to buy the dip or sell puts, but what's the actual situation?According to options trading details, put option positions show strong bearish signals, with downside targets at 210, 200, and 180:This time, sorting by open interest is more telling since Apple's downward
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Trade idea: TSLA JAN 24 450C 📈 Trigger: 429 ✅ Targets: 437,350 🎯 Stop: 414 🛑 TSLA- closed at 426.50. TSLA moved from 380 to 439.74 last week. If TSLA can get back through437 and close above this level on a daily candle, we can see a move to 450,456 this week. Calls can work above 429 or 437 this week. For now, we may see a wider range from 414-437. I'd treat TSLA as a quicker day trade in this range. Puts can work under 414.Image2. $Robinhood(HOOD)$ SWING Trade idea: HOOD June 20 60C 📈 Trigger: 48 ✅ Targets: 55,60 🎯 Stop: 43 🛑 HOOD- closed at 48.15. HOOD break out above 43.81 last week and moved to 49+ by Friday.
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1.Pre-earnings trade idea on: $Netflix(NFLX)$ Earnings date: Tuesday, Jan 21 after market close Expected move: Average of past earnings moves is ~8%, with this earnings move being pegged at ~8%Trade Idea:▫️ Sell-to-open a cash-secured put, Jan 24 expiration, targeting strikes in the 700-750 rangePoints to Consider:▫️ Expected move places downside target around 792, and 2X the expected move places it in the 720-725 range▫️ Strongest gamma levels at 835, 840, 880, 900▫️ 200 EMA around 732▫️ Volume point-of-control around 750▫️ Small gap at 704Post Trade Actions:▫️ We are selling a CSP for potential assignment. If you are trading naked and don't want shares, then either close the p
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1.When $.SPX(.SPX)$ broke the 50 day moving average a week ago, every single technical trader on X was calling for a dip to the 200 day moving average which was around 5550. The problem with strictly just technical trading is you don't see the full picture. The market moves on NEWS. It moves on economic data. Technicals are only 30% of trading. You need to see the full picture to make the most well informed decision. While everyone thought SPX would drop to 5550, I was buying calls. SPX is now back near 6000. SPX is about to break all time highs in the next few weeks and we will see a continuation towards 7000+. There will be many opportunities to grow your account this year.The
Hello everyone! Today i want share some option strategies with you!1. $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ is trading under $35 and yet this put-write position is in profit. "How can that be" you ask? The answer is ... VOLATILITY !!What do we mean by that, and how does that explain this 35-strike put being in profit when $SMCI is trading below 35?We sold this put on Dec. 16 when SMCI was trading at a price in the 31.50-33.50 range. As of today, SMCI is trading at 30.82. So, you would think that we should be at a loss on this trade since the underlying's price has dropped lower than the strike as well as lower than the price range where we wrote this put. Look at the volatility chart. Volatility was very elevated on Dec. 16th. Higher volatility = highe
Two additional large orders for Chinese concept stocks:$KWEB 20250919 32.0 CALL$ September-expiring 32 call, exchange-traded, opened 46,000 lots, total transaction value approximately 11 million. $ASHR 20250321 26.0 CALL$ 26 call expiring in March, opened 32,000 lots, with a total transaction value of approximately 3.48 million. The trading direction is relatively neutral. Although the direction label is bearish, the transaction price is 1.09, which is not far from the difference between the bid and ask prices, 0.02 and 0.03 respectively. It can be interpreted in either way.
$300 Million NVIDIA Call Options Purchase, With a Surprising Strike Price!
$NVDA$After TSM's earnings report on Thursday showing long-term AI benefits, I expected to see large bullish options positions in NVIDIA. I was stunned to see 22,800 new June contracts with a $5 strike price! $NVDA 20250620 5.0 CALL$ With NVIDIA trading around $135, a $5 strike means deep in-the-money options, with prices approximately equal to stock price minus strike price. Each contract cost around $13,000, making the 22,800 contracts worth about $296 million.Deep in-the-money options have poor liquidity, and since this large order wasn't executed on-exchange, it took considerable time to fill.While the strike price may not provide much directional guidance, a $300 million purchase representing 2.28 million shares upon
Revealing Analysis from Barclays on Options Market Dynamics
Attached Barclays report sheds light on an intriguing transformation in the options market, particularly focusing on how the introduction of zero-commission trading has reshaped market dynamics. According to their findings, the influx of retail investors has fundamentally changed how short-term call options are traded, effectively turning them into lottery-like instruments. The research highlights a critical observation: When retail traders purchase Out-of-the-Money (OTM) call options at low premiums, they're essentially making a speculative bet with theoretically unlimited upside potential. However, Barclays notes that such scenarios rarely materialize in practice. A key insight from their analysis points to the relationship between implied and realized volatility. Option prices are signi
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1. $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ released earnings tonight and beat on both EPS and revenue estimates. Stock is up over 5% in overnight trading. Let's see where it opens at in pre-market and how it trades at open.Our $230 covered call strike might get challenged by Friday expiry, but that's okay! Cash-secured puts will most likely expire worthless for max profit. 🤑Will be 👀 to see if TSM takes $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$$Micron Technology(MU)$ up with it. ImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.TRADE PLAN for LOTTO Friday 🔥 $.SPX(.SPX)$ consolidation day after the big gap up after CPI. If SPX gets through 5973 we will see 6000 test next. Price action can be more choppy from 5938-5973SPX 6000C best above 5973 $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ setting up for a move to 380,390 next. #bitcoin back above 100k as well.MSTR 380C can work above 370 tmrw $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ if it can defend 414 in the first hour we can see a rally back up to 420-429 rangeTSLA 420C best above 4142.Trading should never be your only source of income. Only a select few can actually do this for a living. The amount of pressure
$TSM$Like Tesla, TSM publishes monthly reports, so earnings focus on Q1 outlook and overall 2025 expectations.Overall revenue in 2025 is expected to grow 20% to $113 billion. Q1 2025 sales are projected at $25-25.8 billion. Capital expenditure for 2025 is expected to increase to $38-42 billion.Regarding revenue growth, institutions believe annual growth will exceed TSM's expectations, projecting 26-30%.Earnings data generally meets analyst expectations, with institutional price targets at 250, so continue bullish on NVIDIA!TSM is also good, but considering margin efficiency and implied volatility, NVIDIA offers better value.$ASHR$The large single-leg call position of 66,400 contracts traded on December 10-11 $ASHR 20250221 29.0 CA
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ Thursday (January 16) Asian market, spot gold narrow range shock, currently trading near 2596 U.S. dollars / ounce. Gold prices extended gains on Wednesday, closing at $ 2696.61 / ounce, the United States core inflation data weaker than expected, weakening inflationary pressures, rekindling hopes that the Fed's easing cycle may not yet be over, U.S. bond yields fell sharply from nearly 14-month highs, the U.S. dollar weakened, to provide upward momentum to the price of gold. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
Stop making these common mistakes if you want to be a profitable trader in 2025.1. Stop averaging down. This is a loser's strategy. If a trade is going to work, there should never be a need to buy more. Averaging down leads to oversizing and will bring many emotions into the trade.2. Stop feeling FOMO. Fomo is an account killer. It causes you to enter trades you have minimal understanding of. You're chasing money and following blindly into a stock you have no business being a part of. Associate FOMO with losing. IF you recognize you're feeling FOMO, you need to sit on your hands.3. Stop relying on others to buy/sell/hold a position. IF you find yourself constantly asking another person if you should hold/sell a position. You will fail. You didn't have a plan before you entered a trade and
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1.TRADE PLAN for Thursday 📈 $.SPX(.SPX)$ 6100 ATH big level to get through to set up for 6250+ in February. We have FOMC + tech earnings next week. Let's see if SPX closes above 6100 by FridaySPX 6120C best above 6100 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ setting up for All time highs at 153 by next week. if NVDA can close through 149 it can run to 153 quicklyNVDA Jan 31 155C best near 149 $Microsoft(MSFT)$ to 452-455 in play by Friday. MSFT ran 17 pts today, price action strongMSFT 450C best above 446 tomorrowFollow me to learn more about analysis!!
Apple: Will it Drop to 200? & Buy 100 Shares of NVIDIA for $6,000!
$Apple(AAPL)$ Apple recently faced two negative factors: first, Pelosi disclosed selling 31,600 Apple shares on Tuesday; second, TSMC's earnings report last week showed a quarter-over-quarter revenue decline due to seasonal factors in smartphone demand.The stock price has pulled back from its peak of 260 to 220, returning to levels before Trump's presidential campaign success.Considering Pelosi sold her shares on the 14th, after Tuesday's pullback, it might seem like a good opportunity to buy the dip or sell puts, but what's the actual situation?According to options trading details, put option positions show strong bearish signals, with downside targets at 210, 200, and 180:This time, sorting by open interest is more telling since Apple's downward
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1.TRADE PLAN for Wednesday 📈 $.SPX(.SPX)$ price action strong again today after defending the 6k support. SPX is setting up to test all time highs at 6100 in the next week. I'd stay bullish above 6034 SPX 6070C is best above 6034 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ needs to reclaim 429 to set up for a move to 450+. Wait for the 429 levelTSLA 445C can work above 429 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ higher on Trump AI news today. If NVDA can form a base above 140 we will see a move back to all time highs at 153 in FebruaryNVDA Jan 31 145C is best above 1422.Being bearish in this market is going to be very costly for anyone with
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option analysis with you!1. $Netflix(NFLX)$ We are in! Sold a strangle (not sure why Fidelity keeps calling it a straddle). As mentioned, we are playing this for assignment of shares. Willing to take shares at just below the 200EMA. Sold a few more 730P in an IRA and other account. Jan 24 expiry.Sold a naked call on top of it just to squeeze out more premium. Naked calls are risky, but we don't see a 20%+ move happening on NFLX. If it does, that would be very surprising. It is possible though.ImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Trade idea: TSLA JAN 24 450C 📈 Trigger: 429 ✅ Targets: 437,350 🎯 Stop: 414 🛑 TSLA- closed at 426.50. TSLA moved from 380 to 439.74 last week. If TSLA can get back through437 and close above this level on a daily candle, we can see a move to 450,456 this week. Calls can work above 429 or 437 this week. For now, we may see a wider range from 414-437. I'd treat TSLA as a quicker day trade in this range. Puts can work under 414.Image2. $Robinhood(HOOD)$ SWING Trade idea: HOOD June 20 60C 📈 Trigger: 48 ✅ Targets: 55,60 🎯 Stop: 43 🛑 HOOD- closed at 48.15. HOOD break out above 43.81 last week and moved to 49+ by Friday.
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1.Pre-earnings trade idea on: $Netflix(NFLX)$ Earnings date: Tuesday, Jan 21 after market close Expected move: Average of past earnings moves is ~8%, with this earnings move being pegged at ~8%Trade Idea:▫️ Sell-to-open a cash-secured put, Jan 24 expiration, targeting strikes in the 700-750 rangePoints to Consider:▫️ Expected move places downside target around 792, and 2X the expected move places it in the 720-725 range▫️ Strongest gamma levels at 835, 840, 880, 900▫️ 200 EMA around 732▫️ Volume point-of-control around 750▫️ Small gap at 704Post Trade Actions:▫️ We are selling a CSP for potential assignment. If you are trading naked and don't want shares, then either close the p
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1.When $.SPX(.SPX)$ broke the 50 day moving average a week ago, every single technical trader on X was calling for a dip to the 200 day moving average which was around 5550. The problem with strictly just technical trading is you don't see the full picture. The market moves on NEWS. It moves on economic data. Technicals are only 30% of trading. You need to see the full picture to make the most well informed decision. While everyone thought SPX would drop to 5550, I was buying calls. SPX is now back near 6000. SPX is about to break all time highs in the next few weeks and we will see a continuation towards 7000+. There will be many opportunities to grow your account this year.The
Hello everyone! Today i want share some option strategies with you!1. $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ is trading under $35 and yet this put-write position is in profit. "How can that be" you ask? The answer is ... VOLATILITY !!What do we mean by that, and how does that explain this 35-strike put being in profit when $SMCI is trading below 35?We sold this put on Dec. 16 when SMCI was trading at a price in the 31.50-33.50 range. As of today, SMCI is trading at 30.82. So, you would think that we should be at a loss on this trade since the underlying's price has dropped lower than the strike as well as lower than the price range where we wrote this put. Look at the volatility chart. Volatility was very elevated on Dec. 16th. Higher volatility = highe
$300 Million NVIDIA Call Options Purchase, With a Surprising Strike Price!
$NVDA$After TSM's earnings report on Thursday showing long-term AI benefits, I expected to see large bullish options positions in NVIDIA. I was stunned to see 22,800 new June contracts with a $5 strike price! $NVDA 20250620 5.0 CALL$ With NVIDIA trading around $135, a $5 strike means deep in-the-money options, with prices approximately equal to stock price minus strike price. Each contract cost around $13,000, making the 22,800 contracts worth about $296 million.Deep in-the-money options have poor liquidity, and since this large order wasn't executed on-exchange, it took considerable time to fill.While the strike price may not provide much directional guidance, a $300 million purchase representing 2.28 million shares upon
Two additional large orders for Chinese concept stocks:$KWEB 20250919 32.0 CALL$ September-expiring 32 call, exchange-traded, opened 46,000 lots, total transaction value approximately 11 million. $ASHR 20250321 26.0 CALL$ 26 call expiring in March, opened 32,000 lots, with a total transaction value of approximately 3.48 million. The trading direction is relatively neutral. Although the direction label is bearish, the transaction price is 1.09, which is not far from the difference between the bid and ask prices, 0.02 and 0.03 respectively. It can be interpreted in either way.
$TSM$Like Tesla, TSM publishes monthly reports, so earnings focus on Q1 outlook and overall 2025 expectations.Overall revenue in 2025 is expected to grow 20% to $113 billion. Q1 2025 sales are projected at $25-25.8 billion. Capital expenditure for 2025 is expected to increase to $38-42 billion.Regarding revenue growth, institutions believe annual growth will exceed TSM's expectations, projecting 26-30%.Earnings data generally meets analyst expectations, with institutional price targets at 250, so continue bullish on NVIDIA!TSM is also good, but considering margin efficiency and implied volatility, NVIDIA offers better value.$ASHR$The large single-leg call position of 66,400 contracts traded on December 10-11 $ASHR 20250221 29.0 CA
Revealing Analysis from Barclays on Options Market Dynamics
Attached Barclays report sheds light on an intriguing transformation in the options market, particularly focusing on how the introduction of zero-commission trading has reshaped market dynamics. According to their findings, the influx of retail investors has fundamentally changed how short-term call options are traded, effectively turning them into lottery-like instruments. The research highlights a critical observation: When retail traders purchase Out-of-the-Money (OTM) call options at low premiums, they're essentially making a speculative bet with theoretically unlimited upside potential. However, Barclays notes that such scenarios rarely materialize in practice. A key insight from their analysis points to the relationship between implied and realized volatility. Option prices are signi
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.TRADE PLAN for LOTTO Friday 🔥 $.SPX(.SPX)$ consolidation day after the big gap up after CPI. If SPX gets through 5973 we will see 6000 test next. Price action can be more choppy from 5938-5973SPX 6000C best above 5973 $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ setting up for a move to 380,390 next. #bitcoin back above 100k as well.MSTR 380C can work above 370 tmrw $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ if it can defend 414 in the first hour we can see a rally back up to 420-429 rangeTSLA 420C best above 4142.Trading should never be your only source of income. Only a select few can actually do this for a living. The amount of pressure
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1. $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ released earnings tonight and beat on both EPS and revenue estimates. Stock is up over 5% in overnight trading. Let's see where it opens at in pre-market and how it trades at open.Our $230 covered call strike might get challenged by Friday expiry, but that's okay! Cash-secured puts will most likely expire worthless for max profit. 🤑Will be 👀 to see if TSM takes $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$$NVIDIA(NVDA)$$Micron Technology(MU)$ up with it. ImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!!
Open Interest Data Update: Chinese Stock Options See Large Orders Exit, Market Makers Profit Another
In December, we summarized the bullish positioning in Chinese stocks, with two large orders particularly noteworthy: 98,000 contracts of $YINN 20260116 27.0 CALL$ traded in one day, and 210,000 contracts of $CHAU 20250516 15.0 CALL$ .These two large orders were positioned just before the December 9th surge, becoming highly visible in the market, with various media speculating about the source of the funds. After a month of volatility, on January 10th evening, Yinn plunged 8.69% and CHAU dropped 4.44%, finally forcing these large positions to close at a loss.According to Monday's updated open interest data,