To The Moon

can

$MercadoLibre(MELI)$ beautiful Christmas gift 

I wish

$BABX 20251219 30.0 PUT$ expired worthless for Christmas shopping 

🧭 When Liquidity Shifts, I Shift With It $PLTR 20271217 280.0 PUT$  💡 The recent fatigue in US technology stocks forces me to confront an uncomfortable truth: global liquidity is changing, and I believe the Bank of Japan is a key driver behind it. I no longer see this as panic risk like an August-style crash. Instead, I see an evolving macro transition—one that quietly reshapes how capital flows into growth portfolios and how I must position my capital as a value-focused investor. ⸻ 🏦 The BoJ Meeting Isn’t About the Hike — It’s About the Message 📉 Heading into the December 18–19 BoJ meeting, I note that markets have already priced in a 25bp hike. The uncertainty no longer lies in what the Bank of Japan will do, but in how

This expiry feels less about direction and more about structure. With such a heavy concentration of ODTEs and strikes clustered around 6,800, the pinning effect has a real chance to dominate into the close — unless a macro surprise forces dealers to re-hedge aggressively. My base case is intraday volatility with a compressed close, not a clean Santa rally yet. Liquidity looks thin, sentiment fragile, and positioning crowded. For me, this is a session to trade levels, not narratives, and size down. December has been about survival and discipline, not hero trades.

Okkkk

🌟🌟🌟Why Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike was a non event?  BoJ raised its policy rate to 0.75%, its highest since 1995. While the event was historically significant, the move was a non event for 3 reasons: 1.  It was fully priced in. Investors had already baked the quarter point hike into their plans with  overnight swap market showing a near 100% probability of the move before it happened. 2.  Governor Ueda's lack of  guidance into future rate hikes actually caused the yen to weaken further, dropping 1.3% to 157.53 yen per dollar. 3.  Real interest rates in Japan remain negative (at around -2.2%).  This means that BoJ is still supporting growth even as it "normalises". So it turns out that BoJ 's historic interest rate hike was about as scary as a kitten dr

🌟🌟🌟 Friday's financial showdown saw the biggest options expiration in history worth  USD 7.1 trillion which collided with a rare Bank of Japan rate hike. While traders braced for market chaos, the S&P 500 laughed in the face of the "pinning effect" and went full steam into a gamma fueled rally. The market completely shrugged off the BoJ's predictable move and the massive options overhang to close at 6,834.50, a robust gain of 0.88% for the day. The rally was fundamentally supported by a comeback in the AI trade.  $Micron Technology(MU)$ earlier blowout earnings and news that TikTok would sell its US operations to a venture including

Why 6,800 matters It is a key psychological and options-heavy strike. Without a fresh catalyst or strong mega-cap leadership, rallies into this zone tend to meet supply. Pinning vs swings Base case: Pinning dominates. Heavy near-dated options exposure typically pulls price towards the strike into the close, producing narrow ranges and late-session mean reversion. Alternative: Swings dominate only if volatility expands, for example via a sharp move in yields or a large-cap driven flow. Even then, upside breaks risk being brief without volume follow-through. Expectation Intraday probes above 6,800 are possible. A sustained close above 6,800 requires clear volume expansion. Risk-reward currently favours patience over chasing a breakout. Bottom line: Pinning pressure slightly outweighs direct

Market volatile but likely for S&P to hold 6800.

I believe SP500 will still close above 600, with the upcoming Santa rally

look like santa rally is slowly taking effect,  $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ is seeing 20% pop. this give higher confidence in the market will 6800 is likely hold

it's time for Santa rally. last few days left, and we are going to boomz

Yes definitely, it’s look like it is on the way to hit that. Santa rally is coming.

With 0DTE options trading becoming more popular, business will carry on despite the volatility. In fact, the volatility makes it more interesting and tempting. So, I'd expect the market to keep on swinging rather than being pinned.

🌟🌟🌟Friday December 19 2025 wasn't just any "Freaky Friday".  It was the largest options expiration history with a staggering USD 7.1 trillion value in options  set to expire. The "Quadruple Witching" hour was upon us and while everyone braced for a bloodbath, the market had other plans. The S&P500 did not just hold .  It thrived closing decisively above the 6,800 mark.  Here is how the bulls broke the spell: Understanding Pinning and Gamma Hedging  In the complex world of options trading , 2 concepts often dictate the market's behaviour on expiration day: What is Pinning?  This phenomenon describes how a stock or an index can get stuck at a specific strike price (like 6,800) as expiration approaches.  Market makers like the big banks, who have so

yes can hold

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ is impacted by economic weakness with high inflation and slowing economic growth. Strategy is put options on $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ to benefit from decline of the s&p 500 index as the currency depreciates and the economy slows

Opportunity belongs to the best prepared people. Another phenomenal window of opportunity once again!

🧭 When Liquidity Shifts, I Shift With It $PLTR 20271217 280.0 PUT$  💡 The recent fatigue in US technology stocks forces me to confront an uncomfortable truth: global liquidity is changing, and I believe the Bank of Japan is a key driver behind it. I no longer see this as panic risk like an August-style crash. Instead, I see an evolving macro transition—one that quietly reshapes how capital flows into growth portfolios and how I must position my capital as a value-focused investor. ⸻ 🏦 The BoJ Meeting Isn’t About the Hike — It’s About the Message 📉 Heading into the December 18–19 BoJ meeting, I note that markets have already priced in a 25bp hike. The uncertainty no longer lies in what the Bank of Japan will do, but in how

🌟🌟🌟Friday December 19 2025 wasn't just any "Freaky Friday".  It was the largest options expiration history with a staggering USD 7.1 trillion value in options  set to expire. The "Quadruple Witching" hour was upon us and while everyone braced for a bloodbath, the market had other plans. The S&P500 did not just hold .  It thrived closing decisively above the 6,800 mark.  Here is how the bulls broke the spell: Understanding Pinning and Gamma Hedging  In the complex world of options trading , 2 concepts often dictate the market's behaviour on expiration day: What is Pinning?  This phenomenon describes how a stock or an index can get stuck at a specific strike price (like 6,800) as expiration approaches.  Market makers like the big banks, who have so

This Friday, Wall Street faces a record-breaking options expiry—a total of $7.1 trillion! About $5 trillion tied to $S&P 500(.SPX)$; About $880 billion tied to individual stocksAccording to Goldman Sachs, roughly $5 trillion of this exposure is tied to S&P 500, while another $880 billion is linked to individual stocks. The extraordinary concentration of these expiring contracts could amplify market volatility heading into year-end, with traders closely monitoring whether S&P 500 can hold the 6,800 level, a key battleground for bulls and bears. This December’s event surpasses all prior records, with zero-day-to-expiration (0DTE) options on the S&P 500 alone accounting for more than 62% of total option activity, highlighting the comp

🚨 $5.8 Trillion Shockwave: Can the S&P 500 Survive the "BoJ + Quad Witching" Collision? We are staring down the barrel of perhaps the most complex trading session of 2025. Wall Street is bracing for a rare "double tightening" event: a massive $5.8 Trillion Quadruple Witching expiry colliding head-on with a hawkish Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike. The S&P 500 is clinging to the 6,800 handle. The "Santa Rally" narrative is on the table, but the mechanics of today's session suggest we are walking a tightrope between a breakout and a liquidity flush. Here is the deep dive on why tonight’s close determines the trend for 2026. 1️⃣ The "Gamma Unpinning" Event Normally, options expiry is just noise. But today is different. With $5 trillion in S&P 500 exposure and $880 billion in single-s

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Wall Street's on the edge of chaos as quadruple witching unleashes its fury today, December 19, 2025, with a record $5 trillion in S&P 500 options expiring alongside $880 billion tied to single stocks – a volatility vortex that's already ramping volumes 100% above normal and amplifying swings like a market earthquake. 🌪️ This third-Friday frenzy of stock options, index options, stock futures, and index futures expiring together hits near quarter-end, turning the session into a high-stakes showdown where gamma squeezes and dealer hedging could rocket or wreck the tape. Add the Bank of Japan's bombshell 25bps hike to 0.75% – the highest in 30 years and first in 11 months – and you've got a global ripple ready to test US stock

As we head into mid month December and what looks to be a shaky week, it is timely to look back at last week’s US economic reports to see where US economy is heading. Like it or not, there is “synergy” between the US economy and stock market. Jobs Opening and Labour Turnover surveys (JOLTs) The delayed JOLTs report for October 2025 was finally out. (see below) Job Openings were basically unchanged at 7.7 million, that was slightly better than market expectations. However, this headline strength masked signs of a cooling labor market: Weakening Worker Confidence: The most telling figure was Quits rate, that held steady at 1.8%, its lowest level since May 2020. This signals that workers are less confident in their ability to easily switch jobs for better pay or opportunities. Rising Layoffs:

From my perspective, tonight's market setup is less about chasing upside and more about surviving a highly technical session. A record $5 trillion S&P 500 options expiry means price action is likely to be heavily influenced by dealer hedging flows rather than fresh fundamental conviction. In this kind of environment, intraday moves can look dramatic, but they don't always reflect a true change in trend. Whether the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$   can hold the 6800 level will depend more on positioning and gamma dynamics than on headlines. On the Bank of Japan rate hike, I see the impact on U.S. equities as indirect but not negligible. The move itself was expected, so it doesn't shock the market, but it reinforces the broader t

Hi Tigers, Welcome to “What the Tigers say”This is a weekly column planned to share the great opinion from Tigers on a specific topic and today our Theme is Santa Rally & BOJ.As markets head into December, the usual expectations of a Santa Rally are being tested by an unexpected source: the Bank of Japan. With the BOJ signaling a potential shift away from ultra-loose policy, investors are reassessing one of the longest-standing pillars of global liquidity.For years, Japan’s easy money environment has supported yen-funded carry trades and risk appetite across U.S. equities, crypto, and growth assets. Even a modest policy shift now raises a critical question:Is this just a temporary pause in year-end momentum — or the start of a deeper pullback driven by a global liquidity reset?This wee

1) Current Market Momentum (Bullish Signals) Soft Inflation & Fed Rate Outlook • U.S. CPI inflation data came in lower than expected, easing concerns about prolonged higher rates. This sparked rally action in stocks including the S&P 500.  • Softer inflation strengthens the case for rate cuts next year, which historically supports equities as borrowing costs fall and valuations expand.  Recent Market Gains • Major U.S. indices — including the S&P 500 — ended sharply higher recently, snapping multi-day losing streaks.  • Asian markets are advancing, reflecting global risk appetite; this often correlates with U.S. strength.  Seasonal & Strategic Optimism • Analysts at Goldman Sachs point to a historically bullish late-December effect with gains often clustered in this per

$Genprex, Inc.(GNPX)$  The Genprex Inc. stock price fell by -4.53% on the last day (Wednesday, 17th Dec 2025) from $2.43 to $2.32. It has now fallen 5 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.52% from a day low at $2.30 to a day high of $2.45. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -18.02% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -168 thousand shares and in total, 83 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $191.50 thousand. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 30.96% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability h

On December 17 (Wednesday), Eastern Time, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively closed down. As of the close, the Dow Jones index fell 0.47%, the S&P 500 index fell 1.16%, and the Nasdaq index fell 1.81%.According to the analysis of Associated Press, artificial intelligence-related stocks fell further, dragging down the U.S. stock market. Investors still question whether the stock price is too high and whether the company's huge investment in artificial intelligence can bring enough profits and productivity. In addition, the huge amount of debt some companies carry is also worrying.According to market sources, a major investor of Oracle Bone Inscriptions has withdrawn from one of its data center projects. Oracle's share price fell more than 5%, triggering a collective decline

🚨🚨🚨Today, December 19, 2025, markets are reacting to a significant policy shift from Japan and stabilizing after recent tech-driven volatility. Global sentiment is cautiously optimistic as investors balance cooling U.S. inflation against higher interest rates in Asia. 1. Global Stock Markets  * Japan’s Historic Move: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised its key interest rate to 0.75%, its highest level since 1995. While a tightening move, markets reacted calmly as the hike was largely priced in. The Nikkei 225 rose 1% in response.  * U.S. Markets: Futures are mixed (S&P 500 up 0.1%, Dow down 0.2%) following a recovery session yesterday. Tech stocks, led by a 10% jump in Micron Technology, are providing a floor for the Nasdaq after a rough week for AI heavyweights like Nvidia and Br

🌟🌟🌟Why Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike was a non event?  BoJ raised its policy rate to 0.75%, its highest since 1995. While the event was historically significant, the move was a non event for 3 reasons: 1.  It was fully priced in. Investors had already baked the quarter point hike into their plans with  overnight swap market showing a near 100% probability of the move before it happened. 2.  Governor Ueda's lack of  guidance into future rate hikes actually caused the yen to weaken further, dropping 1.3% to 157.53 yen per dollar. 3.  Real interest rates in Japan remain negative (at around -2.2%).  This means that BoJ is still supporting growth even as it "normalises". So it turns out that BoJ 's historic interest rate hike was about as scary as a kitten dr

🌟🌟🌟 Friday's financial showdown saw the biggest options expiration in history worth  USD 7.1 trillion which collided with a rare Bank of Japan rate hike. While traders braced for market chaos, the S&P 500 laughed in the face of the "pinning effect" and went full steam into a gamma fueled rally. The market completely shrugged off the BoJ's predictable move and the massive options overhang to close at 6,834.50, a robust gain of 0.88% for the day. The rally was fundamentally supported by a comeback in the AI trade.  $Micron Technology(MU)$ earlier blowout earnings and news that TikTok would sell its US operations to a venture including

This expiry feels less about direction and more about structure. With such a heavy concentration of ODTEs and strikes clustered around 6,800, the pinning effect has a real chance to dominate into the close — unless a macro surprise forces dealers to re-hedge aggressively. My base case is intraday volatility with a compressed close, not a clean Santa rally yet. Liquidity looks thin, sentiment fragile, and positioning crowded. For me, this is a session to trade levels, not narratives, and size down. December has been about survival and discipline, not hero trades.

Will the bull hold S&P 500 at 6,800? 6,800 is a critical but not fragile level. The index is entering quadruple witching with an unusually large options overhang. This typically amplifies intraday volatility, but does not automatically reverse the trend. Positioning data suggests large dealer gamma clustered between ~6,750–6,850. As long as price stays within this zone, dealers are more likely to dampen downside moves through hedging flows. A clean break below 6,750 would matter. Above 6,800, the path of least resistance remains sideways to higher. Base case: 6,800 holds into expiry unless macro shocks emerge. --- How much does the BOJ rate hike matter for US stocks? Direct impact is modest. Indirect impact is real but gradual. Why the immediate effect is limited The hike from 0.5% to

Why 6,800 matters It is a key psychological and options-heavy strike. Without a fresh catalyst or strong mega-cap leadership, rallies into this zone tend to meet supply. Pinning vs swings Base case: Pinning dominates. Heavy near-dated options exposure typically pulls price towards the strike into the close, producing narrow ranges and late-session mean reversion. Alternative: Swings dominate only if volatility expands, for example via a sharp move in yields or a large-cap driven flow. Even then, upside breaks risk being brief without volume follow-through. Expectation Intraday probes above 6,800 are possible. A sustained close above 6,800 requires clear volume expansion. Risk-reward currently favours patience over chasing a breakout. Bottom line: Pinning pressure slightly outweighs direct

From my perspective, the BoJ rate hike itself is no longer the real story — it's the expectation that matters. A 25 bps hike is widely priced in, and markets have spent weeks adjusting positioning around a "Japan normalization" narrative. When something becomes this consensus, the actual announcement often loses its shock value. That's why I see this meeting less as a trigger and more as a potential release valve for uncertainty. The "shoe dropping" argument makes sense on paper: higher Japanese rates can strengthen the yen, unwind carry trades, and tighten global liquidity, which in theory pressures US equities. But markets rarely react most violently to what everyone already expects. If the BoJ delivers a clean, predictable hike without signaling an aggressive follow-up path, that clarit

$BABX 20251219 30.0 PUT$ expired worthless for Christmas shopping 

$MercadoLibre(MELI)$ beautiful Christmas gift