Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! The current price is trading around 4,370. Although it is at a relative high for the day (up +0.95%), it encountered significant resistance after surging to around 4,397.65, leaving an upper shadow on the chart, which indicates some selling pressure above. If the price pulls back to test the support level below and stabilizes there, accompanied by another surge in trading volume, gold is likely to test today’s high of 4,397 again. Once the price effectively breaks through the 4,400 psychological level, upside potential will open up. Here is the strategy for the upcoming New York session: (If the price stabilizes near 4,350) Buy: 4,345–4,350 TP: 4,380–4,385 SL: 4,330
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 7611 was the reactive low -- after the dam's fake break [not exactly yet]. Now, testing from below the purple line--see the RED HAND. So far--the decline from Warsh speech is NOT as impulsive as expected--which gives rise the potential of a complex corrective wave down. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 2 Pretty much nothing happened since my last post. Better do something else, I suppose. 3 MPW Mid-week Update Posted: (1) well, after hitting two small targets, the market took a break and sat there for a day. (2) in a mid-term bearish [weeks], long-term bullish setup [months], this one looks bullish short-term [days].
Seems like a Big Battle now Between Macro and the AI Narrative
Seems like a big battle now between macro (10Y, Oil, PCE etc) and the AI narrative which is only trending in one direction: 1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$: Forecasted 2028 revenue growth at +70% vs Street estimates of 44%. 2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ forecasts $1.3T in hyperscaler CapEx spend for 2027. 3. $SHKY CEO: "We expect the shortage (on storage) to persist until the end of 2030." 4. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$: "We see structurally massive demand for NAND until 2030." 5. $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ giving $Alphabet(GOOGL)$
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Inverse head and shoulders still set up here, for now. 2 $United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$ Well, they went with the "massive breakout" option for #Oil. 3 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ vs. $TNX since 2023. With rates back above 4.75%. Which number (1-3) will we look most like? Note: Initially, the market moved higher for at least 6 weeks after this 4.75% threshold was hit. Follow me to learn more about analysis !!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1 The opening low is 7627, lower than the previous lows near 7640. The second part of my prediction is right [break the previous lows within two trading days]. Now, the next step is to fill the GAP at 7600. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 2 THE DAM WILL BE BROKEN--SOON.
Boomers are rich because they’ve collected a free 2,000% return over 76 years. Here’s how you can grow your portfolio just like them 👇 Every midterm since 1950 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has never once failed to rally the following year. But first, the market makes you bleed for it SEPTEMBER: THE FLUSH Worst month on the calendar. −0.76% average since 1960, and midterm years hit harder. Every red headline between now and November 3 is designed to make you sell the bottom SEPT-OCT: THE TRAP DOOR Midterm lows hit here, before the vote, not after. 2022 bottomed October 12, then ran 14% in twelve months to new highs. 2018 stretched the pain to December 24. Scale in. Don’t lump in POST-ELECTION: THE PAYOFF 19 for 19. Average returns between 12
Gold Intraday & Weekly Outlook: Bearish Bias, Sell on Rallies
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Technical Analysis: $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ Gold prices are currently in a clear short-term downtrend and are testing the key support at the lower Bollinger Band around 4,413! After a previous rally (peaking at 4,696.59), gold prices experienced a sharp pullback, exhibiting a clear pattern of lower highs. Currently, the one-hour chart shows a cluster of bearish candles, with bearish momentum dominating. Intraday price action may see either an oversold rebound or consolidation at lower levels. Following a sharp short-term plunge, the deviation between the candlesticks an
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ moving in the right direction, as expected in the pattern. 2 SPX is still playing with SMA[20], now sitting at 7668. No decisive move yet--and I have a feeling that the first 1% move will be a trap, either up or down. From $NVIDIA(NVDA)$'s pre-earning reaction so far, the script for SPX looks like, 7620, then 7720, then THE BIG BANG.
GOLD: Bullish Sentiment Towards Gold is Significantly Intensifying
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 Amid a confluence of factors including a ballooning fiscal deficit, frequent interventions in the bond market, and shifting interest rate expectations, gold is once again on its way to the $5,000 mark. From holding above the key $4,000 support level to the potential for its best monthly performance in 25 years, and with institutions raising their year-end targets, bullish sentiment towards gold is significantly intensifying. However, inflationary pressures and the Federal Reserve's policy direction remain crucial variables influencing gold prices, and whether gold can truly break through the $5,000 barrier before the end of the year remains to be seen. $Gold - ma
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 SPX SMA(20)=7656. Bulls won't give up this point of contest without a fight. Still expect a bounce toward $NVIDIA(NVDA)$'s earnings on Wedn., when a cluster of factors would make the BIG BANG sound across the broader market. Timing is more important than other factors now. 2 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ pre-earning & post-earning play book: 1, a sharp decline toward the earning date. 2, 2-3 days before the earning date, a 50% rebound. 3, post earning day, a sharp pop-up and reversal. 4, plunge afterwards for the same distance of the first leg. It's been a pattern.
The Round of Sharp Gold Price Gains Stem Primarily from Three Factors
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! The core drivers behind this round of sharp gold price gains stem primarily from three factors. First, the weakening U.S. dollar and relatively low U.S. Treasury yields have provided solid support for gold prices. Second, ongoing geopolitical risks—including the U.S. expansion of secondary sanctions against Iran and the escalation of U.S.-Canada trade tensions—have continuously spurred safe-haven buying in the market. Finally, the U.S. Treasury’s plan to expand the scale of Treasury repurchases has been interpreted by the market as a potential erosion of the dollar’s creditworthiness, further highlighting gold’s anti-inflationary and safe-haven attributes. In early Asian trading today, gold surged to a high of $4,696.7. It
GOLD: A Pullback Would Present a Buying Opportunity!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 Gold continued its upward trend; a brief technical pullback couldn't halt the upward momentum, meeting my test results from Friday! $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ It has currently reached a high of around 4640! In an hour, gold will test above 4650. Keep buying! 2 Successfully reached above 4650, breaking through the psychological barrier of 4650! There is no effective resistance above, and there's a chance to reach around $4700 before the European market opens. A pullback would present a buying opportunity! Resistance is now above 4700 before the European market opens!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 H1: Gold is currently consolidating in a high-level flag pattern (a consolidation phase) following the establishment of a bullish trend. The short-term strategy remains focused on buying on dips, with light positions taken for short-term sell trades at high resistance levels. Rally met with resistance: $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ After surging to around 4548, gold failed to break through in one go. The current hourly chart shows a slightly lower bearish doji or small bearish candle, indicating strong intraday selling pressure in the 4545–4550 zone. Although there has been
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Currently, after a sharp rally, the market has confirmed short-term top signals and is in a clear phase of accelerating decline ahead of the European market open. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ The bearish “Dark Cloud Cover” pattern indicates that, after reaching an all-time high of 4,527.45, the 4-hour chart has closed with two consecutive bearish candles featuring extremely large real bodies, completely engulfing the real bodies of the previous bullish candles. Technically, this is a classic signal of a top formation and reversal. Currently, there are no signs of a bottoming out indicated by a lower shadow; prices are expected to continue testing the 4,425–4,430
GOLD: The Area Around $4,362 May Mark the End of the Rally
Gold Technical Analysis: $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Currently, the 4-hour candlestick chart is showing a bearish downtrend, heading straight toward the lower Bollinger Band at $4,320. The price pattern has formed a “head-and-shoulders top” and “M-top” structure, indicating a short-term top. Since the pullback from the mid-August high (above 4,450), the highs have continued to decline. The current price has not only broken below the middle Bollinger Band at $4,378, but the short-term moving averages (MA5/MA10) have also formed a bearish crossover at higher levels above the price, confirming a short-term bearish trend. The area around $4,362
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Technical Analysis: The 1-hour chart for gold shows a sideways consolidation at high levels. The short-term bearish trap has ended, and signals of a bottoming pattern have emerged. Key resistance: today’s intraday highs at 4436–4440! $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ First Support (Short-Term Stop-Loss): 4386–4388 (intraday low and lower Bollinger Band). Second Support (Pivotal Point for Swing Strength): 4374–4376 (key 50% Fibonacci retracement level and resonance zone with the previous consolidation platform; this is a bottom line that bulls must defend at all costs)! Continue to focus on Buy trades. Strategy: Buy: near 4395–96; TP: 4420–4425–4430; SL: 4382
GOLD: The Overarching Trend of Gold Remains Bullish
1 The past week saw a dramatic tug-of-war between bulls and bears in the global gold market. Gold opened at $4346 on Monday (August 11th), surging to a two-month high near $4450 mid-week. However, profit-taking led to a sharp 1.3% drop on Thursday, and further declines to a weekly low near $4310 on Friday. Just when bears thought they had the upper hand, unexpectedly weak US retail sales data reversed the tide, resulting in a textbook V-shaped reversal for gold prices, ultimately closing at $4375.80, a weekly gain of approximately 0.8%. The weekly swing of approximately 140 points resulted in a bullish weekly candlestick with a long lower shadow, demonstrating the resilience of the bulls. This was a result of cooling US economic data, expectations of a Fed rate cut, and escalating geopolit
Gold has now accelerated its decline, breaking below the lower Bollinger Band. Bearish momentum is unleashing with great force, and the price action is exhibiting an extremely weak, one-sided downtrend. The current downward slope is extremely steep, with bearish forces completely dominating the market. It is expected that, following a weak short-term rebound, the gold price will directly target the extremely critical psychological and technical round number level of 4300–4310. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ A short-term downtrend has formed in gold, and blindly buying the dip is absolutely forbidden today. The strategy is to sell on rallies! The key resistance level is currently at 4342-4350! Optimal strategy for the Asian and Euro
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 7611 was the reactive low -- after the dam's fake break [not exactly yet]. Now, testing from below the purple line--see the RED HAND. So far--the decline from Warsh speech is NOT as impulsive as expected--which gives rise the potential of a complex corrective wave down. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 2 Pretty much nothing happened since my last post. Better do something else, I suppose. 3 MPW Mid-week Update Posted: (1) well, after hitting two small targets, the market took a break and sat there for a day. (2) in a mid-term bearish [weeks], long-term bullish setup [months], this one looks bullish short-term [days].
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! The current price is trading around 4,370. Although it is at a relative high for the day (up +0.95%), it encountered significant resistance after surging to around 4,397.65, leaving an upper shadow on the chart, which indicates some selling pressure above. If the price pulls back to test the support level below and stabilizes there, accompanied by another surge in trading volume, gold is likely to test today’s high of 4,397 again. Once the price effectively breaks through the 4,400 psychological level, upside potential will open up. Here is the strategy for the upcoming New York session: (If the price stabilizes near 4,350) Buy: 4,345–4,350 TP: 4,380–4,385 SL: 4,330
Seems like a Big Battle now Between Macro and the AI Narrative
Seems like a big battle now between macro (10Y, Oil, PCE etc) and the AI narrative which is only trending in one direction: 1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$: Forecasted 2028 revenue growth at +70% vs Street estimates of 44%. 2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ forecasts $1.3T in hyperscaler CapEx spend for 2027. 3. $SHKY CEO: "We expect the shortage (on storage) to persist until the end of 2030." 4. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$: "We see structurally massive demand for NAND until 2030." 5. $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ giving $Alphabet(GOOGL)$
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you! 1 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Inverse head and shoulders still set up here, for now. 2 $United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$ Well, they went with the "massive breakout" option for #Oil. 3 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ vs. $TNX since 2023. With rates back above 4.75%. Which number (1-3) will we look most like? Note: Initially, the market moved higher for at least 6 weeks after this 4.75% threshold was hit. Follow me to learn more about analysis !!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1 The opening low is 7627, lower than the previous lows near 7640. The second part of my prediction is right [break the previous lows within two trading days]. Now, the next step is to fill the GAP at 7600. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 2 THE DAM WILL BE BROKEN--SOON.
Boomers are rich because they’ve collected a free 2,000% return over 76 years. Here’s how you can grow your portfolio just like them 👇 Every midterm since 1950 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has never once failed to rally the following year. But first, the market makes you bleed for it SEPTEMBER: THE FLUSH Worst month on the calendar. −0.76% average since 1960, and midterm years hit harder. Every red headline between now and November 3 is designed to make you sell the bottom SEPT-OCT: THE TRAP DOOR Midterm lows hit here, before the vote, not after. 2022 bottomed October 12, then ran 14% in twelve months to new highs. 2018 stretched the pain to December 24. Scale in. Don’t lump in POST-ELECTION: THE PAYOFF 19 for 19. Average returns between 12
Gold Intraday & Weekly Outlook: Bearish Bias, Sell on Rallies
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Technical Analysis: $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ Gold prices are currently in a clear short-term downtrend and are testing the key support at the lower Bollinger Band around 4,413! After a previous rally (peaking at 4,696.59), gold prices experienced a sharp pullback, exhibiting a clear pattern of lower highs. Currently, the one-hour chart shows a cluster of bearish candles, with bearish momentum dominating. Intraday price action may see either an oversold rebound or consolidation at lower levels. Following a sharp short-term plunge, the deviation between the candlesticks an
GOLD: The Overarching Trend of Gold Remains Bullish
1 The past week saw a dramatic tug-of-war between bulls and bears in the global gold market. Gold opened at $4346 on Monday (August 11th), surging to a two-month high near $4450 mid-week. However, profit-taking led to a sharp 1.3% drop on Thursday, and further declines to a weekly low near $4310 on Friday. Just when bears thought they had the upper hand, unexpectedly weak US retail sales data reversed the tide, resulting in a textbook V-shaped reversal for gold prices, ultimately closing at $4375.80, a weekly gain of approximately 0.8%. The weekly swing of approximately 140 points resulted in a bullish weekly candlestick with a long lower shadow, demonstrating the resilience of the bulls. This was a result of cooling US economic data, expectations of a Fed rate cut, and escalating geopolit
Trading Ideas: The Winner or the Loser in the Turmoil Market?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some ai trading ideas with you! 1 Everyone Wants to Build the Best AI Model. Amazon Wants Something More Valuable. When investors talk about the artificial intelligence race, the conversation usually revolves around one question: Who will build the best AI model? That's certainly an important question. But it may not be the most profitable one for investors. A better question is this: Who stands to make the most money as AI becomes ubiquitous, regardless of which model ultimately wins? To answer the question, here's one company that deserves our attention: $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ A person's face filled with information on the right side. Amazon is selling the picks and shovels History offers useful
GOLD: Bullish Sentiment Towards Gold is Significantly Intensifying
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 Amid a confluence of factors including a ballooning fiscal deficit, frequent interventions in the bond market, and shifting interest rate expectations, gold is once again on its way to the $5,000 mark. From holding above the key $4,000 support level to the potential for its best monthly performance in 25 years, and with institutions raising their year-end targets, bullish sentiment towards gold is significantly intensifying. However, inflationary pressures and the Federal Reserve's policy direction remain crucial variables influencing gold prices, and whether gold can truly break through the $5,000 barrier before the end of the year remains to be seen. $Gold - ma
The Round of Sharp Gold Price Gains Stem Primarily from Three Factors
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! The core drivers behind this round of sharp gold price gains stem primarily from three factors. First, the weakening U.S. dollar and relatively low U.S. Treasury yields have provided solid support for gold prices. Second, ongoing geopolitical risks—including the U.S. expansion of secondary sanctions against Iran and the escalation of U.S.-Canada trade tensions—have continuously spurred safe-haven buying in the market. Finally, the U.S. Treasury’s plan to expand the scale of Treasury repurchases has been interpreted by the market as a potential erosion of the dollar’s creditworthiness, further highlighting gold’s anti-inflationary and safe-haven attributes. In early Asian trading today, gold surged to a high of $4,696.7. It
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 SPX SMA(20)=7656. Bulls won't give up this point of contest without a fight. Still expect a bounce toward $NVIDIA(NVDA)$'s earnings on Wedn., when a cluster of factors would make the BIG BANG sound across the broader market. Timing is more important than other factors now. 2 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ pre-earning & post-earning play book: 1, a sharp decline toward the earning date. 2, 2-3 days before the earning date, a 50% rebound. 3, post earning day, a sharp pop-up and reversal. 4, plunge afterwards for the same distance of the first leg. It's been a pattern.
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ moving in the right direction, as expected in the pattern. 2 SPX is still playing with SMA[20], now sitting at 7668. No decisive move yet--and I have a feeling that the first 1% move will be a trap, either up or down. From $NVIDIA(NVDA)$'s pre-earning reaction so far, the script for SPX looks like, 7620, then 7720, then THE BIG BANG.
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Currently, after a sharp rally, the market has confirmed short-term top signals and is in a clear phase of accelerating decline ahead of the European market open. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ The bearish “Dark Cloud Cover” pattern indicates that, after reaching an all-time high of 4,527.45, the 4-hour chart has closed with two consecutive bearish candles featuring extremely large real bodies, completely engulfing the real bodies of the previous bullish candles. Technically, this is a classic signal of a top formation and reversal. Currently, there are no signs of a bottoming out indicated by a lower shadow; prices are expected to continue testing the 4,425–4,430
GOLD: A Pullback Would Present a Buying Opportunity!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 Gold continued its upward trend; a brief technical pullback couldn't halt the upward momentum, meeting my test results from Friday! $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ It has currently reached a high of around 4640! In an hour, gold will test above 4650. Keep buying! 2 Successfully reached above 4650, breaking through the psychological barrier of 4650! There is no effective resistance above, and there's a chance to reach around $4700 before the European market opens. A pullback would present a buying opportunity! Resistance is now above 4700 before the European market opens!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 H1: Gold is currently consolidating in a high-level flag pattern (a consolidation phase) following the establishment of a bullish trend. The short-term strategy remains focused on buying on dips, with light positions taken for short-term sell trades at high resistance levels. Rally met with resistance: $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ After surging to around 4548, gold failed to break through in one go. The current hourly chart shows a slightly lower bearish doji or small bearish candle, indicating strong intraday selling pressure in the 4545–4550 zone. Although there has been
Macro Market: How to be the Top Winner in the Wave?
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some ai trading stories with you! 1 Semiconductor stock charts just formed this bearish shape that signals more potential losses The bears may not be going anywhere on semiconductor stocks. Quick insight: $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$— which counts $NVIDIA(NVDA)$, $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$, and $Broadcom(AVGO)$ as its top three holdings — has begun to form a head-and-shoulders stock pattern, according to Yahoo Finance AlphaSpace chart analysis (below). The left shoulder took shape starting in mid-May, wit
GOLD: The Area Around $4,362 May Mark the End of the Rally
Gold Technical Analysis: $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Currently, the 4-hour candlestick chart is showing a bearish downtrend, heading straight toward the lower Bollinger Band at $4,320. The price pattern has formed a “head-and-shoulders top” and “M-top” structure, indicating a short-term top. Since the pullback from the mid-August high (above 4,450), the highs have continued to decline. The current price has not only broken below the middle Bollinger Band at $4,378, but the short-term moving averages (MA5/MA10) have also formed a bearish crossover at higher levels above the price, confirming a short-term bearish trend. The area around $4,362