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TSMC 2026Q1 Earnings Conference Call
Netflix 2026Q1 Earnings Conference Call
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Not because it is bad, but because it is too perfect right now.
+7% move, pushing $400
FSD “Streaks” adds narrative fuel
Everyone leaning bullish into earnings
Yet:
Deliveries already soft
FSD revenue still unproven at scale
Valuation pricing in future autonomy profits
This is peak “conviction trap” territory.
> Looks strongest when risk is highest.
If earnings + guidance fail to justify the story, the unwind can be sharp. If it delivers, it rips.
That tension is exactly why it is the easiest stock to love… and regret.
Let's see.
What makes this rebound more interesting is the backdrop. Concerns around AI disruption—driven in part by Anthropic and its Claude Mythos model—have raised questions about whether traditional software models can hold up. The narrative is shifting from “who benefits from AI” to “does software itself get disrupted.” In my view, the massive selloff has already priced in.
I see Microsoft as a battleground between short-term skepticism & long-term strength. While its innovation pace may look slower than pure AI labs, its enterprise reach & ecosystem remain key advantages. This rally could be the market beginning to reassess that.
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