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Because the Iran conflict remains the "X-factor," I wouldn't go long without protection. Instead of a standard stop-loss (which often gets triggered by noise), I’d buy Out-of-the-Money Call Options on Crude Oil (USO).
If Trump’s intervention fails and oil spikes toward $100, the gains from these calls will offset the temporary drawdown in my equity portfolio. If the market stabilizes as I expect, the small premium paid is simply the "cost of sleep" while I hold bottom-tier entries in the S&P and Tencent.
Nam Cheong’s core business in building and managing offshore support vessels puts it right at the center of this trend. As drilling activity picks up, we should see higher fleet utilization and improved day rates, which could translate into stronger revenue and potentially better margins. This makes the company a leveraged play on sustained energy demand.
While geopolitical tensions create uncertainty across many sectors, they often reinforce the need for energy security and continued offshore exploration. In this context, Nam Cheong’s exposure to offshore oil and gas gives it a direct tailwind.
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Indices Outlook: Major US indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are heading for their fourth consecutive weekly decline.
Geopolitical Relief: Markets are seeing a modest rebound today as tensions in the Middle East show signs of cooling, with oil prices retreating from recent highs.
Stocks to Watch
AI & Semi Momentum: Despite broader market weakness, Micron Technology (MU) and Western Digital (WDC) have shown strong 2026 momentum driven by the AI storage cycle.
India Focus: The GIFT Nifty and Sensex have opened higher today, with early gains of over 1% following a sharp sell-off in the previous session.
The Play: Counter-Cyclical Accumulation near 6500
I am capitalizing on the extreme retail pessimism (the 52% bearish reading) by initiating a laddered entry into the S&P 500. Markets rarely crash when everyone is already hiding in cash and put options; instead, they tend to bottom out.
Long S&P 500 (SPY/VOO): I would deploy 40% of my available cash at the current 6515–6530 range, with a secondary limit order sitting right at 6505. This levels the playing field against the "6500 trap" narrative by securing a position just before a potential short-squeeze.