AI Software Stress Test: Is Claude Their Partner or Replacement?

In early February, U.S. tech stocks narrowly escaped a scare triggered by fears that "AI software might be replaced." Although the partnership between AMD and Meta restored some confidence yesterday, the market remains on edge.

Over the past three months, software stocks have endured a "massacre." Investors previously assumed that AI Agents would act like bulldozers, leveling traditional software companies. However, a recent presentation by AI giant Anthropic shifted the narrative: Claude no longer aims to be the "Terminator"; it wants to be a "Partner."

Market Status: From "Universal Hype" to "Selective Picking"

Recent price action shows a shift in the market's attitude toward AI:

  • Focus on Efficiency, Not Just Growth: Previously, simply mentioning "AI" sent stock prices up. Now, if your AI investment is high and revenue generation is slow, the market responds with an immediate sell-off.

$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$: The market focuses on CoreWeave’s plan to raise $8.5 billion.

Credit & Interest: With a B+ rating, can it leverage Meta’s credit backing to lower interest rates? If financing hits a snag (e.g., rumors of failed $4 billion talks with Blue Owl), its high leverage could become a market nightmare. Whether it can reach the 850MW computing power target by the end of 2026.

$Salesforce.com(CRM)$: Is Anyone Actually Paying for AI?

All eyes are on the $550 million ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue). This is the litmus test for "AI software monetization." If numbers miss, the market will fear AI is "cannibalizing" traditional subscriptions rather than driving growth.

Whether FY2026 revenue guidance can maintain double-digit growth. If it drops to single digits, fears of a "SaaSpocalypse" (Software Apocalypse) will intensify.

$Snowflake(SNOW)$: Is "Data Consumption" Rebounding?

Previous slowdowns worried the market. Investors want to see growth above 25%–28%. Anything less suggests that after buying chips, companies aren't actually busy processing data.

RPO expected between $8.8B – $9.0B. This reflects future spending intent and is key to determining if AI demand is "phantom heat" or real.

Note: Former darling $C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ also reports after the bell tonight.

Can AI stocks assure the market rally?

Who will prove themselves in the new AI era?

Leave your comments to win tiger coins!

# SNOW, CRWV, CRM, Can AI Earnings Assure the Market Rally?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Report

Comment11

  • Top
  • Latest
  • 北极篂
    ·06:33
    所以AI股能不能带动市场反弹,关键不在技术突破,而在财报里有没有真金白银。未来一年,更像一场“商业模式验证期”,而不是情绪驱动的牛市。
    Reply
    Report
  • 北极篂
    ·06:32
    我个人觉得,所谓“SaaS被终结”的概率并不高,但行业会进入强分化阶段——能把AI变成提高客单价和粘性的公司,会重新获得溢价;只能增加成本却带不来收入的,估值可能长期被压。
    Reply
    Report
  • 北极篂
    ·06:32
    现在的软件股走势,其实透露出一个新共识:资本只愿意为“可验证的变现路径”买单。像 Salesforce 的AI ARR、Snowflake 的数据消费增长,已经变成检验AI需求是否真实的硬指标,而不是概念故事。
    Reply
    Report
  • 北极篂
    ·06:32
    我这段时间最大的感受是,市场对AI的态度明显从“信仰模式”切换到了“审计模式”。年初那波恐慌,本质是大家突然意识到——如果AI代理真的能自动完成大量工作,很多传统软件的订阅价值可能会被压缩。但最近像 Anthropic 的演示把叙事拉回现实:AI更像协作层,而不是完全替代层。
    Reply
    Report
  • Leeskies
    ·05:08
    我相信人工智能在它认为有用的商业领域的真正应用还没有实现。业务底线和利润的效率提高是💯然而,在那里,集成问题和人机界面的采用仍处于起步阶段。

    人工智能的崛起似乎已经停止了,但相信作为人类,我们已经一次又一次地证明了我们将会获胜。为了“赚钱”,我们情不自禁地变得更有效率,解决问题,适应和改变我们所知道的一切。我认为这是问题的一部分。我们的目标不仅仅是生存。它没有与消费一切和“现金充裕”的需求混为一谈。所以,是的,人工智能和科技将再次反弹。我想说,从2026年6月到10月,我们将再次看到该行业跟踪ATHs。

    Reply
    Report
  • Chrishust
    ·03:20
    Can ai stocks assure the market rally? No, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is currently in a bear trend as markets react to low profitability of ai services
    Who will prove themselves in the new ai era $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ is the strongest of the declining ai stocks
    Reply
    Report
  • Shyon
    ·01:02
    Over the past three months, I’ve seen software stocks shift from AI darlings to a full reset. The hype phase is clearly over — now the market wants proof. Even after the sentiment boost from $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ deal, investors are demanding real monetization and disciplined spending, not just AI narratives.

    I’m closely watching $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ , $Salesforce.com(CRM)$ and $Snowflake(SNOW)$ . CoreWeave’s leverage and funding plans test infrastructure sustainability. Salesforce’s AI ARR shows whether customers are truly paying for AI. Snowflake’s consumption and RPO trends reveal if enterprise AI demand is real or just experimentation.

    In my view, AI stocks can still support the rally — but only selectively. This is no longer about universal hype; it’s about execution. The winners will be those turning AI into durable revenue and cash flow, not just headlines.

    @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub

    Reply
    Report
  • highhand
    ·06:58
    我们要上去了。克劳德大多是这些公司的合作伙伴,但那些护城河薄弱的公司有被取代的危险
    Reply
    Report
  • AN88
    ·04:33
    ai stocks can't assure market rally
    Reply
    Report
  • wow
    Reply
    Report