Earnings Day Game: How Much Will NVDA Swing?
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is set to report earnings soon — On November 19, after market close, and once again, all eyes are on the AI chip giant.
As the powerhouse behind the global AI boom, NVIDIA’s chips drive everything from data centers to advanced model training. Expectations for its revenue and gross margin are still high. AI demand keeps booming, the market’s anticipation for "beat-and-raise" results is intense. But with NVDA trading near record highs, many wonder if too much optimism is already priced in. 🤔
Recent history shows earnings days rarely stay quiet — NVDA often moves ±5–8% right after results, with big swings when the numbers surprise. Will this quarter ignite another rally, or trigger a quick pullback? 📈📉
🎯 Let’s discuss
How much will NVIDIA’s stock move on earnings day?
Share your play — What option strategy would you use?
Example:
Slight pullback after a huge run, selling a covered call to lock in gains and collect premium.
Up about 7% — AI demand still strong. I’d buy call spreads to capture upside with limited risk.
Big swing either way! I’m setting up a long straddle — high risk, but high reward
Common Earnings-Oriented Option Strategies
Covered Call
If you already hold NVDA shares, you can sell a call to earn premium and set a target selling price.
If NVDA stays below that strike, you keep both your shares and the premium. If it rises above, your shares may be called away — but at your chosen sale price. Useful when you’re moderately bullish or neutral and want to collect income.
Vertical Spread
Bull Put Spread. If you expect NVDA to rise slightly or trade sideways. Sell a put at a higher strike and buy a put at a lower strike. You earn premium income while limiting downside risk.
Bear Call Spread. If you expect NVDA to fall slightly or stay flat. Sell a call at a lower strike and buy another at a higher strike. You collect premium, and your potential loss is capped if NVDA rises.
These strategies are useful when you expect limited movement and want defined risk and return.
Long straddle
If you expect a major move but aren’t sure which direction: Buy one call and one put with the same strike and expiration. You profit if NVDA moves sharply up or down after earnings — but lose if the stock stays flat and volatility drops. This strategy is typically used around high-volatility events, like earnings.
Drop a comment to share your NVDA earnings prediction and strategy picks 💬, or ask any option-related questions—— let’s grow our trading skills together!🤝
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Event Period 📅
From now → Nov 20, 2025
Quick Poll:
A. Can Nvidia close above $190? Comment yes or no in the comment section!
B. What strategy would you choose for NVIDIA’s earnings?
Bullish, Buy Calls / Bull Call Spread 🚀
Bearish, Buy Puts, Bear Put Spread 🪂
Neutral / Volatility Play, Straddle / Iron Condor
Other strategies
No trade, just observing
What strategy would you use to bet on nvidia earnings?(2 choices)Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
For my earnings play, I prefer a neutral-to-mildly-bearish setup. I’d use a bear call spread — selling a slightly OTM call and buying a higher strike to cap risk. This lets me collect premium while positioning for a “good but not amazing” reaction, especially with implied volatility already inflated before earnings.
For the poll: A: No, I don’t think NVDA will close above $190 after earnings. For B, my choice is Bearish: Bear Call Spread, which matches my view that upside may be limited and a post-earnings cooldown is possible.
@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG
A. Can Nvidia close above $190? Comment yes or no in the comment section!
B. What strategy would you choose for NVIDIA’s earnings?
Bullish, Buy Calls / Bull Call Spread 🚀
Bearish, Buy Puts, Bear Put Spread 🪂
Neutral / Volatility Play, Straddle / Iron Condor
Other strategies
No trade, just observing
As the powerhouse behind the global AI boom, NVIDIA’s chips drive everything from data centers to advanced model training. Expectations for its revenue and gross margin are still high. AI demand keeps booming, the market’s anticipation for "beat-and-raise" results is intense.
Probability ~60%: NVDA beats, guides modestly above consensus → +6% to +9% move to ~$204-208.
Bearish risk ~25%: Guide is flat or light → –8% to –12% move to ~$176-182.
Bull outlier ~15%: Massive beat + raised guide → +12% to +18% move to ~$218-225.
NVDA isn’t just another earnings beat; it’s a market tone-setter.
If NVDA surprises to the upside, the AI trade reignites, and your asymmetric plays gain oxygen.
If it disappoints, high-beta names may under-perform near-term while rotation seeks safe havens.
NVDA beats. Market reacts with a +7% move. Price targets $204–208.
The tape + macro + positioning all support this as the most realistic outcome.
Let’s see if Jensen delivers the shockwave the market expects. ⚡️
I'm not a financial advisor. Trade wisely, Comrades!
They and many others have already proven that AI is not a bubble but really the start of a new global revolution that will impact all sectors, markets and businesses.
There is no reason why NVIDA cannot be a $10 Trillion company within a decade if it continues to lead in its strategic expansion of its influence, revenue streams and impact around the world…..
My Strategy: I’d take a small long straddle (ATM call + ATM put) to play volatility, since direction is uncertain but a sharp move is likely. If I must go directional, I’d choose a bull call spread over naked calls to reduce IV-crush risk.
Above US$190? My vote: Yes, but expect turbulence.
Poll Choice: (3) Neutral / Volatility Play – Straddle.
1. Forecast share price movement for nvidia is +5% on revenue growth due to data centres
2. My strategy for nvidia’s earnings announcement is to buy long positions in call options with expiry after earnings
Expectations are high that Nvidia's earnings will be excellent. Nvidia has hinted at USD 300 billion in AI infrastructure demand for 2026 with OpenAI alone reportedly planning USD 1.4 Trillion in AI build outs over the next few years.
If Jensen Huang reiterates or raise guidance especially around data center growth, it could ignite bullish sentiments.
Nvidia has beaten earnings in 19 of the 20 quarters, so it is possible it will beat the next earnings as well.
If Nvidia delivers, it reaffirms AI's central role in the next decade of growth.
@Tiger_SG @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub @CaptainTiger
For quick poll:
A. Yes, likely can close above $190
B. No trade, just observing
1. Definitely think can close above $190.
2. sell 2 cash secured put but the recent decline in the market makes it now a naked put. Overall confident and willing to take the risk in view of the premium collected [Happy]
But playing safe, the majority of my covered calls are due next year (strike price $140 and $160) - giving me some margin of safety.
Next Fri, my strike price for my Covered Call is $170. Getting ready to roll it to next year [Miser]
Prediction: reach $210 next week
I believe the pessimism in the market is warranted, this kind of growth is not organic and baked in too much optimism and hype. Some correction is necessary if the long term bull run is to persist.
I'll just cash in a small proportion of holdings and see how things play out. Nice to take some profits to enioy a little fruits of my labour.
至于策略，我会偏向 中性或波动性打法（如跨式或铁秃鹰）。原因是短线财报前后波动可能很大，但方向不确定，买入看涨或看跌期权风险较高。通过波动性策略，可以在股价大幅波动中捕捉收益，同时降低单边风险。
总结来说，这次财报对 Nvidia 是一次情绪和基本面的双重检验，我会以观察为主，策略以短线波动套利为辅，而不会轻易追涨或追跌。
A Covered Call Strategy is best for generating income while holding Nvidia.
How it works :
Sell a call option above the current price (out of the money)
You keep the premium if Nvidia stays below the strike price.
If Nvidia rallies past the strike price, your shares maybe called away.
Why use this Options Strategy :
Monetises volatility post earnings
Adds income while holding long term.
Ideal if you expect moderate upside.
@Tiger_SG @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub @CaptainTiger
Therefore, it may be more prudent to consider purchasing puts with a strike price between USD 168 and USD 188, depending on the market developments on Monday and Tuesday.
如果NVDA保持在該罷工水平以下，您將保留您的股票和溢價。如果價格上漲，您的股票可能會被收回，但價格是您選擇的出售價格。當你適度看漲或中性並想收取收入。