To The Moon

Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 06Oct25)

Public Holidays

There are no public holidays in Singapore and the USA. China is closed from 1st to 8th October for the Golden Week. Hong Kong will be closed on October 7, 2025, for the Mid-Autumn Festival.

Market Outlook and Key Economic Events

Impending Market Volatility from Economic Data: The upcoming week features several key economic data releases that are anticipated to introduce market volatility.

• Fixed Income Analysis: Investor sentiment following the recent Federal Reserve interest rate decision can be gauged by observing the pricing of 10-year Note and 30-year Bond options. Should bond rates continue to rise, a potential shift of capital from stocks and equities toward fixed-income assets is expected.

• Federal Reserve Guidance: Market volatility is also likely to arise from the scheduled address by Federal Reserve Chair Powell and the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes. These documents typically offer forward guidance regarding future interest rate policy.

• Key US Economic Indicators: The market will closely monitor several important economic releases, as a significant deviation from consensus forecasts could influence the Federal Reserve’s stance on future rate actions (hike, pause, or cut):

• Initial Jobless Claims: Forecast is for 223,000.

• Average Hourly Earnings: Forecast is for a 0.3% increase.

• Non-Farm Payrolls (September): Expected to be 51,000.

• Unemployment Rate (September): Forecast is 4.3%.

Data Release Uncertainty: It is important to note that the potential for a government shutdown introduces uncertainty regarding the timely release of these scheduled economic data reports.

@TigerStars

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