To The Moon

We saw U.S. tech stocks suffered sharp decline last week as broad sell-off in tech was triggered by a sharp drop in Broadcom, and we are seeing capitals rotating to defensive sectors. Will this rotation trigger another sell-off this week or we could see a potential for rebound which might signal the beginning of a Santa Claus rally. So as investors I think we need to re-assess and use current, evidence-based assessment of the outlook for U.S. equity markets — including the near-term risk of further declines, the potential for a rebound, and whether that might extend into a Santa Claus rally. Market context — U.S. stocks & tech sell‑off (Dec 2025) Recent Market Dynamics: Sell-off and Defensive Rotation What happened last week? U.S. tech stocks sank including significant drops in

$Jabil Circuit(JBL)$ fiscal Q1 2026 earnings release is scheduled for Wednesday, December 17, 2025, before the market opens. Jabil (JBL) Q1 Fiscal 2026 Earnings Analysis The overall sentiment around Jabil heading into this earnings report is bullish, driven primarily by its strong exposure to the AI-driven data center infrastructure segment, which falls under its Intelligent Infrastructure segment. The company has historically been a strong performer, frequently beating analyst estimates. Consensus Estimates and Guidance The table below summarizes the consensus estimates and the company's own guidance for Q1 2026: Jabil's Q1 guidance suggests a quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year decline in earnings and revenue from the prior quarter, which is

Current market analysis and recent activity, as of December 2025, suggest that sector rotations away from a narrow focus on AI tech are currently in progress and are expected to continue.  AI spending not generating sufficient investment returns—exemplified by weak earnings from companies like Oracle and mixed signals from Broadcom— are accelerating a sector rotation away from the AI trade and whether this trend is likely to continue into 2026. 1. Investor Sentiment Has Shifted From Unquestioning AI Enthusiasm to Scrutiny Recent earnings events, particularly Oracle’s earnings disappointment and aggressive AI capex guidance, have acted as a catalyst for investor rethink rather than a standalone fundamental breakdown in AI demand: Oracle’s stock plunged sharply after disappointing forec

$Micron Technology(MU)$ upcoming Fiscal Q1 2026 earnings, which is scheduled for Wednesday, December 17, 2025 (After Market Close). We need to be aware of the concerns about the "beat and drop" phenomenon seen with $Broadcom(AVGO)$ dropping more than 4% even though it handily beat estimates for its fiscal fourth quarter and with its guidance for the current period. Consensus Expectations: Revenue: ~$12.5B – $12.7B (approx. +45% YoY). EPS: ~$3.83 (a massive swing from losses/low profits in previous cycles). The "Broadcom Risk": Broadcom fell because while its AI business boomed, its non-AI segments (broadband) were soft, and guidance was "good, not great." Micron faces a similar dynamic: AI is red-hot, but P

$Broadcom(AVGO)$ expects AI revenue growth to accelerate even higher in 2026, and Broadcom CEO sees spending momentum by customers for AI to continue to accelerate in 2026, but why is Broadcom share price still not surging after earnings release? In this article we would like to discuss why Broadcom (AVGO) did not surge despite bullish AI commentary, what this signals about market expectations, and how investors can still position for advantage. 1. Why Broadcom’s Stock Did Not Surge After Earnings Even with strong AI commentary from management, several market dynamics generally cap post-earnings upside. (A) Expectations were already extremely high By late 2025, Broadcom is widely viewed as one of the “AI infrastructure oligopoly” players. Investor

With institutional bullish, Silver at all-time high, as of early December 2025, the Gold-to-Silver Ratio is around 68.5 to 75:1, now the ratio goes below $68, so a high ratio (above 80) suggests silver is undervalued; a low ratio (below 50) suggests gold is undervalued. In this article, I would like to share a structured, investment-grade assessment of the Gold–Silver environment and how to position across GLD and SLV given the ratio shift below ~68. 1. Interpretation of Today’s Gold–Silver Ratio (≈68 → breaking lower) Current signal: Above 80: silver historically undervalued. Below 50: gold historically undervalued. Between 60–75: transition region where momentum shifts matter more than absolute thresholds. Today (ratio slipping under ~68): Indicates relative strength in silver versus gol

$Adobe(ADBE)$ Q4 earnings and FY2026 guidance beat expectations, they also announced the integration of Photoshop, Adobe Express and Acrobat apps into ChatGPT, this integration looks like Adobe is going for a broader push of its tools into conversational AI platforms, so that this could help their users to reduce the need to switch between different applications. But we are seeing that investors are still concerned of the AI disruption that could bring to Adobe. The recent developments at Adobe (photoshop, Acrobat, Express integration into ChatGPT, FY2026 guidance, investor reactions) reveal both opportunities and risks. In this article I would like to share how we can look at each issue from current available public evidence. What Adobe’s ChatGPT

The decline in $Oracle(ORCL)$’s share price after its mixed fiscal Q2 results, despite an increase in its Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) and AI-driven cloud revenue, has indeed intensified the debate around a potential "AI bubble." Oracle's situation is often cited as a key example of the risks inherent in the AI boom. In this article, I would like to examine the breakdown of the key factors that lead investors to debate whether this signals cracks in the AI bubble: What Happened with Oracle’s Latest Results Mixed earnings with negative investor reaction Oracle beat earnings per share expectations, helped by a one-time gain from an asset sale, but narrowly missed revenue and cloud growth forecasts — a key metric tied to its AI strategy. I

Before we jumped at the news of President Trump’s approval for Nvidia's H200 chips export to china, we might need to ask ourselves whether $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is benefitting from this approval, and what are some factors and uncertainities we need to be aware of. The headline “approval” helps remove one big permission roadblock, but the 25% surcharge + Beijing’s likely curbs create a large accounting & commercial uncertainty that can meaningfully dent Nvidia’s reported revenue and margins depending on who legally/contractually ends up paying that 25%. In this article, I would like to share how we can walk through the mechanics, 3 quantified scenarios (optimistic / base / bearish), accounting consequences, and the exact signals to watch. What the new

$Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$ leading up to its fiscal Q3 2025 earnings report, which is currently expected to be released on Thursday, December 11, 2025, after the market closes. Lululemon Athletica (LULU) Q3 2025 Earnings Outlook The consensus view for Lululemon's Q3 2025 suggests a challenging quarter in terms of profitability and growth deceleration, especially in its largest market. Note: Some analysts' estimates have seen slight downward revisions over the last 30 days, suggesting a slightly more bearish sentiment. Lululemon (LULU) Fiscal Q2 2025 Earnings Summary Lululemon's Q2 2025 results were a classic example of the market punishing a miss on the top line (revenue) and a disappointing outlook, even if the bottom line (EPS) beat expectation