To The Moon

Here are the macro snapshot for the risk appetite, interest rate direction, and volatility regime heading into the first full trading week of 2026 (January 5–9). This overview integrates market positioning, policy expectations, and broad asset trends based on the latest available institutional research and market commentary. Market Summary: First Trading Day of 2026 (Friday, Jan 2) Wall Street kicked off 2026 with a mixed but resilient session. Investors engaged in a "rotation" trade, moving capital away from some 2025 high-flyers (like Tesla) into cyclical and industrial sectors, while semiconductor demand kept the tech-heavy indices afloat. S&P 500: Closed slightly higher (+0.19%), finishing around 6,858. The index struggled to break the psychological 6,900 barrier, resulting in chop

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Q4 delivery miss drives annual sales down 8.5% amid EV competition. So can Tesla keep up with the competition from legacy automakers releasing cheaper EVs and expired federal incentives. In this article, we would like to look at the current, evidence-based view of what’s happening at Tesla and what it could mean for its ability to compete in the EV market and for TSLA stock going forward: What Happened: Tesla’s Q4 & 2025 Delivery Results Tesla’s delivery report showed: 418,227 vehicles delivered in Q4 2025, a year-over-year decline of about 15–16 percent and below Wall Street consensus expectations. Full-year 2025 deliveries were ~1.64 million, down ~8.5 percent from 2024 — marking the second consecutive annual sales decli

CES 2026 would be a defining moment for AI as we are seeing intelligent systems becoming smarter, faster and more integrated into our daily lives. CES 2026 is shaping up to be a pivotal industry moment for AI and semiconductors, not just another gadget show. The narrative this year (and likely beyond) is shifting from raw chip performance to what these chips enable in real-world outcomes, such as energy efficiency, AI-assisted workflows, next-generation mobility, and integrated AI across devices and systems. This has important implications for chip giants and the broader technology ecosystem. From Raw Performance to Outcomes and Experiences Broader Industry Emphasis At CES 2026, the focus extends far beyond benchmark numbers. Companies are presenting AI technologies as enablers of new expe

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ experienced a modest pullback and soft finish to 2025, with a roughly 0.7% drop on the final trading day (December 31, 2025) amidst light volume, we need to look at the dip as a healthy reset rather than a bursting bubble, with some expectations for continued growth and broadening market leadership into 2026 despite some year-end volatility in mega-cap tech. The late-December pullback is better interpreted as a positional reset than a structural warning—however, it does carry information about how 2026 is likely to unfold rather than whether it will be positive. In this article, I would like to share the structured way to think about the two competing interpretations. Why the Late-2025 Dip Looks Like a Healthy Reset Several

With much talks surrounding $Microsoft(MSFT)$ OpenAI and $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Google Gemini for consumers and developers looking for model practicality, we are also seeing the growing need to show that AI can actually be useful. One of the much talk about in 2025 is the AI agents, so with $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ acquiring Manus AI, are we seeing a shift of big tech looking for ways to start making money from AI while they continued to build their internal AI competitive advantage. In this article, we would look at a structured view of why Meta’s acquisition of Manus AI matters — particularly in the context of the ongoing conversation about AI agents, practical

A Happy New Year to all my fellow tigers! As we draw a close to 2025, where Fed policy shifts include lower rates and renewed balance sheet expansion, these signal a bullish environment for value stocks and broader market participation in 2026. In this article, we would like to look at a comprehensive analysis of the U.S. equity market performance for calendar year 2025 and what it may signal for 2026, with emphasis on how monetary policy (including your mentioned lower rates and balance-sheet stance) ties into market dynamics and sector leadership. Market Performance: How U.S. Equities Closed 2025 Major Index Returns The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ S&P 500 finished 2025 with double-digit gains (~16.4%) despite ending the final session on a down note.

AI Hype is once again being ignite by the Big Short, this time, discussion around whether OpenAI is going to become the next Netscape due to its cash burn rate seems to be getting humongous. In this article we would like to discuss a comprehensive, current assessment of whether OpenAI is headed toward a “next Netscape” outcome (rapid rise then decline) given concerns about cash burn, funding, competition ( $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Google Gemini and Chinese players), and $Microsoft(MSFT)$’s strategic posture. Cash Burn vs. Revenue Reality OpenAI is spending at an unprecedented scale, and that drives the “Netscape comparison” — a high-profile pioneer that failed to sustain competitive advantage. OpenAI’s revenue

The reason why I would like to look at $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ is because this stock seem to be trapped in consolidation for a very long time, and the other fundamental reasons are its valuation at around 27 and below mean that it is trading at a 1.1 PEG and it price to sales remains in the mid 7s, And SOFI is expanding their operating and net margins and their growth for the next few years, this kind of stock would be an attractive opportunity to me, so in this article I would like to share how I would like to play bull put spread on SOFI with expiration on 09 Jan 2026. Beautiful Monthly Uptrend We are seeing SOFI is now on a beautiful monthly uptrend and it has just been looking to set some monthly higher lows into the 2021 highs which wa

Over the past week trading sessions, $CME Bitcoin - main 2601(BTCmain)$ Bitcoin has gained more than 2% to climb back above the $90,000 per BTC zone, a level not seen since we saw $84,000 around 22 Nov 2205, and Bitcoin have been trying to push for a renewed bullish momentum. It looks like the current sideways trading, primarily in the $85,000 to $95,000 range, is a natural period of market indecision where buying and selling pressures are temporarily balanced. Currently, Bitcoin continued to hover around $87,000, so is the current behavior gearing more towards a “Pump and Dump”, or we think that the current price behavior is far more consistent with a high-level consolidation following a prior impulse move than with a classic “pump and dump”

We saw $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ getting a slight decline of 0.19% on Monday (29 Dec) after the Christmas holiday, and guess this show that Amazon fundamental is still strong enough to go through the volatility we are going to see coming from S&P 500 and NASDAQ dip. AMZN implied volatility (IV) is 24.3, which is in the 9% percentile rank. This means that 9% of the time the IV was lower in the last year than the current level. The current IV (24.3) is -10.1% below its 20 day moving average (27.1) indicating implied volatility is trending lower. In this article, I would like to share my plan for a Bull Put spread for Amazon. With Amazon expected move for 09 Jan at around $238 to $225, I have decided to do 230/225 bull put spread with expiration on 09 J