To The Moon

Here's a concise summary of YTD performance (as of ~March 27, 2026 close) for the major U.S. indices and groups, amid a March pullback driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, rising oil prices, and increased volatility: S&P 500: -6.7% to -7.0% (price return ≈ -7%; total return similar). It peaked near 7,002 in late January and is now ~9% off that high. Nasdaq Composite: Deeper decline, roughly -8% to -10%+ range (tech-heavy weighting amplified losses). It has clearly entered correction territory (≥10% off recent high). Dow Jones Industrial Average: Around -5% to -7% YTD; confirmed correction territory (>10% decline from its February 2026 high). Russell 2000 (small-caps): Started strong with early outperformance and rotation, but gave back gains; now roughly flat to modes

My Investing Muse Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies AirGas Declares Force Majeure On Helium Shipments As Qatar Production Collapses - MacroEdge Forrester found 55% of companies that laid off workers citing AI efficiency now regret it. More than a third spent more on rehiring than they saved. Klarna was the poster child. CEO said their chatbot was doing the work of 700 employees, then customer satisfaction tanked and they started quietly backpedalling. Goldman Sachs says stocks now drop an average of 2% after AI-attributed layoff announcements. - X user Hedgie The price of war A plastics shortage is emerging - X user Lukas Ekwueme “Weekly fuel bills that ran to $13,800-$15,000 before the war are now heading toward $34,000 which amounts to a total value of a fish vessel, leaving no money t

News and my thoughts from the past week (30Mar2026) Domestic Banks making loans to dealers and hedge funds to finance the purchase of Securities hit almost $500B in the 4Q of 2025 - X user Monetary McFly Right now, the downtime and resiliency are more threatening to the operations,” Kirst said. “You’re seeing recent outages with AWS and Azure and Cloudflare, even the outage with Verizon that some metropolitan areas have experienced. Those impact warehouse operations." - FreightWavesBREAKING: Meta stock, $META, falls over -7% after a “landmark” court case ruled that the company failed to adequately warn or protect young users. The stock has erased -$100 billion in market cap today. - X user The Kobeissi Letter People need help with the mortgage - seen in top Google trends

Market Outlook of S&P500 (30Mar2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is trending down. This momentum indicator, which tracks the relationship between two moving averages of a security’s price, signals that bearish sentiment is prevailing in the market for the time being. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at -0.20, indicating there is more selling momentum than buying pressure in the market. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has moved well below the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bearish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, the MA50 line

Earnings Calendar (30Mar2026) Let us deep dive into Nike, with its upcoming earnings report. Stock Performance Analysis Despite recent declines in financial performance, there is a notable divergence between technical analysis and analyst sentiment regarding Nike’s stock. Technical indicators currently suggest a strong sell rating, signalling that the stock may face continued downward momentum in the near term. In contrast, analyst sentiment remains optimistic, with many experts maintaining a buy recommendation. Furthermore, the consensus price target for Nike shares is set at $74.97, indicating a potential upside of 45.94% from the current trading price. This disparity highlights differing perspectives on the stock’s future trajectory, as market indicators and professional forecasts provi

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 30Mar2026) The upcoming period features several significant economic developments and meetings that may introduce volatility into financial markets. Notably, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak, and his remarks could influence market movements. Labor Market Data Job openings are forecasted at 7.0 million, marking an improvement from the previous figure of 6.9 million. This metric is particularly important given the recent wave of retrenchments and layoffs. Initial jobless claims for March are reported at 210,000, and this statistic will serve as a reference point for the Federal Reserve’s impending interest rate decision. Additional employment data includes the US employment report, which stands at 45,000 for March. The une

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 30Mar2026) The upcoming period features several significant economic developments and meetings that may introduce volatility into financial markets. Notably, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak, and his remarks could influence market movements. Labor Market Data Job openings are forecasted at 7.0 million, marking an improvement from the previous figure of 6.9 million. This metric is particularly important given the recent wave of retrenchments and layoffs. Initial jobless claims for March are reported at 210,000, and this statistic will serve as a reference point for the Federal Reserve’s impending interest rate decision. Additional employment data includes the US employment report, which stands at 45,000 for March. The une

what we know is about 9+% delinquency. The black swan may be found in what we do not know. Let us lay out the cards. People who could not borrow from banks go to Private Credit. It would imply more risks (& reward). Without due diligence, defaults is not unexpected. Let us monitor. $KKR & Co LP(KKR)$   $Apollo Global Management Inc(APOS)$  

Several import-dependent countries, particularly in South Asia and Southeast Asia, have implemented fuel/energy rationing or strict conservation measures to cope with shortages, panic buying, hoarding, and soaring costs (oil often exceeding $100/barrel). These are not full nationwide blackouts like Cuba's but targeted restrictions on fuel sales, allocations, or usage to stretch limited supplies.Key countries that have started rationing or equivalent strict measures include: Bangladesh: Implemented fuel rationing (e.g., limits like 15 liters/week for motorists on petrol/diesel, higher for public transport; daily sales caps in some cases). Universities and classes have been closed or curtailed to save energy; restrictions tied to the war's impact on imports. Sri Lanka: Introduced fuel ration

This is the most serious escalation since Day 1. Here's the full picture as of Day 23, 23 March 2026. Through My Asian Lens — Emergency Sitrep Day 23 — 23 March 2026 | The 48-Hour Ultimatum 🚨 THE HEADLINE: TRUMP'S 48-HOUR ULTIMATUM — DEADLINE EXPIRES TONIGHT The war just entered its most dangerous phase yet. At 7:44pm ET Saturday (21 March), Trump posted on Truth Social: "If Iran doesn't FULLY OPEN, WITHOUT THREAT, the Strait of Hormuz, within 48 HOURS from this exact point in time, the United States of America will hit and obliterate their various POWER PLANTS, STARTING WITH THE BIGGEST ONE FIRST!" That deadline expires at 7:44pm ET tonight, Monday 23 March (3:14am Tuesday Tehran time). Iran's counter-threat was immediate and precise. "If Iran's fuel and energy infrastructure is attacked