SmartReversals

I care about helping you navigate this market. Nowadays, it's all about permabears & permabulls, I use technical indicators with objectivity. God First.

    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·02-23 11:44

      SPX Bounce Confirms, NDX Faces Make-or-Break Week

      $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : The bullish Stochastic crossover previously highlighted, combined with the bounce from the lower Bollinger Band, provided excellent confirmation for the recent move. The 20DMA must now be flipped to support to consolidate this bullish continuation for a retest of the highs. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ : A breach of the lower Bollinger Band has propelled a visit to the 20DMA at the very least in previous cases. Even during the 2025 bear market, this pattern held. If the index fails to reach $25,200ish this week and the bounce fades before then, we would be looking at a major bearish signal.
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      SPX Bounce Confirms, NDX Faces Make-or-Break Week
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·02-23 11:41

      QQQ, SPY & XOM Hit Targets as AAPL and COST Fall Short

      As anticipated last week, there was a chance that certain targets would not be fully reached, given how overextended the moves had become for the securities selected. The gap required to hit those primary targets was substantial. Despite this, several of our high-probability setups performed well: $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ moved toward the $583.1 target, and $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ neared well its $673.8 objective. Additionally, $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ successfully reached its target of $145.3. We also held a bearish outlook for $Apple(AAPL)$ , which serves as an important case study analyzed in the charts below. While Apple
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      QQQ, SPY & XOM Hit Targets as AAPL and COST Fall Short
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·02-21 12:27

      MAGS ETF: A Critical Junction

      The weekly chart for the $Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$ ETF (Magnificent Seven) suggests the worst of the bearish move may be behind us. The lower Bollinger Band was breached and oscillators reached oversold territory, conditions that mirrored the April 2025 bottom. As noted above, several securities have recently breached their Central Weekly Level (CWL) reversing from their (bearish) setups. This essential weekly price line is modeled every Friday for 44 core securities. Paid subscribers also have the exclusive benefit of suggesting five additional tickers from their personal watchlists each weekend. For the coming week, the MAGS ETF must hold above $61.8 to maintain its current bullish reversal setup. A successful hold targets $63.5 as
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      MAGS ETF: A Critical Junction
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·02-21 12:26

      SPX/NDX Composite: Tech Rebound Led by NVDA & Amazon

      U.S. equities finished the holiday-shortened week with solid gains, snapping multi-week losing streaks. The $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ surged 1.5% for the week to end a five-week slide, while the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ advanced 1.1% and the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ secured a 0.3% weekly gain. Friday saw broad strength across the market. Market momentum shifted dramatically on Friday following a landmark legal decision that outweighed concerning economic data. Early reports revealed that fourth-quarter economic growth slowed to 1.4%, significantly missing the 3.0% consensus forecast. Inflation metrics also ran hot, with the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index rising 2.9% ye
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      SPX/NDX Composite: Tech Rebound Led by NVDA & Amazon
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·02-21 12:21

      S&P 500 & Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF: Oversold Bounce, $61.8 Key

      $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Weak price action, but the chart may be interesting for bulls, even for a potential short-term bounce, considering the Stochastic crossover (none invalidated for several months), and the recovery of the 5DMA. $Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$ Most of the bearish move may be in considering the lower Bollinger breached and the oscillator getting oversold in the weekly timeframe. To keep momentum, this ETF must stay above $61.8 next week. 100 likes 30 reposts to continue tracking this ETF with price levels. $Apple(AAPL)$ $Alpha
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      S&P 500 & Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF: Oversold Bounce, $61.8 Key
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·02-20

      $XLE $XLB Lead, $XLK Lags as $SPX Faces February Seasonality Test

      The “Market Cycle” acts as a leading indicator for the broader “Economic Cycle.” Historically, sectors rotate in a sequence as the market moves from a bottom to a top: Market Bottom / Early Bull Market: Investors typically flock to Technology and Consumer Discretionary in anticipation of recovery. Expansion / Bull Market: Leadership broadens to include Industrials and Financials as lending and manufacturing activity accelerate. Market Top / Late Expansion: As the economy overheats and inflation rises, capital rotates into Energy and Basic Materials. Bear Market / Recession: Defensive sectors like Utilities, Consumer Staples, and Health Care tend to outperform as investors seek stability. The performance data for 2026 Year-To-Date (YTD) indicates a clear rotation toward late-cycle and defen
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      $XLE $XLB Lead, $XLK Lags as $SPX Faces February Seasonality Test
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·02-15

      Bearish Momentum Builds: SPX Weak at Lower Band, NVDA Targets Volume Support

      Volatility is picking up as downside momentum builds across major indices. With the VIX back above 20 and key leaders breaking short-term support, the current bearish move may not be over yet. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Indecision at the lower Bollinger band, the 20 daily moving average curling down shows the shift in momentum. The bearish move doesn't seem complete considering the widening band and the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ above 20. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Losing the 20DMA with high-conviction suggests bearish continuation. Lately, bearish stochastic crossovers have preceded declines until prices become oversold, which isn't the case yet. Potential target: the lower ed
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      Bearish Momentum Builds: SPX Weak at Lower Band, NVDA Targets Volume Support
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·02-15

      Volatility Returns: MSFT, AVGO & IWM Hit Targets, 75% Weekly Win Rate

      The U.S. stock market faced a stark reality check this week as the tech-heavy Nasdaq failed to recover. Despite strong top-line numbers from several sector leaders, the “billions in Capex” narrative has begun to sour, with investors questioning the immediate ROI on massive AI infrastructure spending. This skepticism has led to a decisive reversals for $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ which struggled under the weight of high expectations. As the tech engines stalled, the broad market was left without its primary
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      Volatility Returns: MSFT, AVGO & IWM Hit Targets, 75% Weekly Win Rate
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·02-14

      Market Cracks Deepen as SPX NDX DJI and QQQ Lose CML Support

      This has been a volatile week for the market. Between seasonality, a high $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ (which, as I mentioned last weekend, it suggested a new spike, and weakness in Bitcoin (acting as a risk-off thermometer), we finally saw a bearish resolution. My notes last week regarding the VIX and $S&P 500(.SPX)$ were clear for paid subscribers: “The current price action doesn’t typically reflect a final ‘top’ in volatility. The current level of 17.7 for the VIX is not the cleanest condition for a sustained bull run; a new spike in volatility remains a viable risk.” Additionally, I cited: “For the SPX, a breach of the CWL of 6,901.8 (-0.4%) points to 6,810.6 (-1.8%).” The actual low of the week wa
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      Market Cracks Deepen as SPX NDX DJI and QQQ Lose CML Support
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·02-12

      SPX is overbought while SPY shows caution and NDX remains weak

      $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Once again, we've reached a moment of truth. The oscillator is overbought, and the 4-hour chart reflects indecision with pullback potential if the pattern repeats. Sooner or later, one of these reversal signals will give way. Bullish breakout? the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ continues above 17. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : The price continues above the 20DMA but today's bearish engulfing candle suggests extreme caution. The VIX is still high and $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ below the 20DMA. If the supports are breached, the lower Bollinger band could be tested again during the usually weak second half of
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      SPX is overbought while SPY shows caution and NDX remains weak
     
     
     
     

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