Strategy Crashed 71% Since The Election—Here's Why It Could Get Worse In January

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Strategy Crashed 71% Since The Election—Here's Why It Could Get Worse In January

Benzinga12-31 23:48

Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ:MSTR) is down 71% from its November 2024 peak of $543 to $156 while facing $8.8 billion in forced outflows if MSCI excludes it on Jan. 15.The Change That Crushed BullsOn July 31,...

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Guavaxf30
·01-01 08:15
Happy new year, everyone. I hope the year ended for you better than if is for MSTR.
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(NASDAQ:MSTR) is down 71% from its November 2024 peak of $543 to $156 while facing $8.8 billion in forced outflows if MSCI excludes it on Jan. 15.The Change That Crushed BullsOn July 31,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/25/12/49649875/strategy-crashed-71-since-the-election-heres-why-it-could-get-worse-in-january\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"MSTX","symbol_name":"2倍做多MSTR ETF-Defiance","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/25/12/49649875/strategy-crashed-71-since-the-election-heres-why-it-could-get-worse-in-january","article_id":"2600083767","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/12/31/MicroStrategy-Stock-Jump.jpeg"],"rights":{"source":"Benzinga","url":"https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/25/12/49649875/strategy-crashed-71-since-the-election-heres-why-it-could-get-worse-in-january","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2600083767","pubTimestamp":1767196089,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"Benzinga","name":"Benzinga Cypto"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Strategy Inc.","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"benzinga.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"MSTX":"2倍做多MSTR ETF-Defiance","3LMI.UK":"GRANITESHARES 3X LONG MSTR DAILY ETP","APED":"STKd 100% MSTR & 100% COIN ETF","WNTR":"做空MSTR期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","MSTY":"MSTR期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","IMST":"MSTR期权收益策略ETF-Bitwise","MSST":"YieldMax MSTR Performance & Distribution Target 25 ETF","BK4516":"特朗普概念","MSTZ":"2倍做空MSTR ETF-T-Rex","LMI3.UK":"GRANITESHARES 3X LONG MSTR DAILY ETP","07799":"南方两倍做多MSTR","MST":"做多杠杆+收益MSTR ETF-Defiance","09799":"南方两倍做多MSTR-U","BK4596":"哈里斯概念","MSTY.UK":"YIELDMAX MSTR OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETC","BK4588":"碎股","MSII":"REX MSTR Growth & Income ETF","BK4600":"加密货币概念","MSTK":"Tuttle Capital MSTR 0DTE Covered Call ETF","BK4595":"比特币概念","MSTR":"Strategy","MSDD":"2倍做空MSTR ETF-GraniteShares","MSTP":"2倍做多MSTR ETF-GraniteShares","MSOO":"2倍上限加速MSTR ETF-Leverage Shares","BK4023":"应用软件","09399":"南方两倍做空MSTR-U","3SMI.UK":"GRANITESHARES 3X SHORT MSTR DAILY ETP","MTYY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST MSTR ETF","SMI3.UK":"GRANITESHARES 3X SHORT MSTR DAILY ETP","SMST":"2倍做空MSTR ETF-Defiance","MSTW":"Roundhill MSTR WeeklyPay ETF","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","07399":"南方两倍做空MSTR"},"translate_title":"自大选以来，策略崩溃了71%——这就是为什么1月份情况可能会变得更糟","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"SMI3.UK":0.6,"MSOO":0.6,"IMST":0.6,"MSTZ":0.6,"09399":0.6,"MSTP":0.6,"MSTY.UK":0.6,"MTYY":0.6,"09799":0.6,"MSII":0.6,"MSTK":0.6,"3SMI.UK":0.6,"MST":0.6,"MSTW":0.6,"MSST":0.6,"WNTR":0.6,"MSTY":0.6,"MSTR":1.98,"MSDD":0.6,"07799":0.6,"3LMI.UK":0.6,"APED":0.6,"MSTX":0.6,"SMST":0.6,"07399":0.6,"LMI3.UK":0.6},"content_text":"Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ:MSTR) is down 71% from its November 2024 peak of $543 to $156 while facing $8.8 billion in forced outflows if MSCI excludes it on Jan. 15.The Change That Crushed BullsOn July 31, Strategy published equity guidance in its earnings deck stating it would not issue common stock below 2.5x mNAV except to pay interest on debt obligations and fund preferred equity dividends.The company has $824 million in annual preferred dividends. However, since that July announcement, Strategy issued $4.9 billion in common stock with $4 billion of that issued at a mNAV below 1.0x in November and December.Strategy claims it’s targeting two years of preferred dividend coverage, which would account for $1.6 billion of the $4.9 billion total.But that still leaves $3.3 billion in dilutive stock sales that violated its own five-month-old guidance.Crypto analyst Novacula Occami called out the broken promise in a Dec. 30 post, highlighting how the company abandoned its disciplined capital allocation framework just months after announcing it.The MSCI Doomsday Clock: January 15Strategy faces an existential threat from MSCI, which proposed excluding companies with digital asset holdings exceeding 50% of total assets from its Global Investable Market Indexes.JPMorgan warned the exclusion could trigger approximately $2.8 billion in forced selling of Strategy shares, with total outflows potentially reaching $8.8 billion if S&P Dow Jones Indices and FTSE Russell follow suit.Polymarket traders assign a 76% probability that major indexes will remove Strategy by March 31, 2026, signaling strong conviction that an exclusion is increasingly likely.Strategy’s Defense: “We’re Not A Fund”In a Dec. 10 letter signed by Executive Chairman Michael Saylor and CEO Phong Le, Strategy argued it’s a conventional operating business, not an investment fund or passive tracking vehicle.The company claimed Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) holdings are used as productive capital to create returns through digital credit instruments, not just passive storage. Strategy also called the 50% digital asset threshold arbitrary, noting other industries like oil, real estate, and timber hold concentrated single-asset reserves without index exclusion.The company warned the proposal could stifle innovation in the digital asset industry and conflict with pro-innovation U.S. policy under the Trump administration.The Technical CarnageMSTR Price Analysis By TradingViewStrategy is trading at $155.61 as of Dec. 31, down approximately 67% from its July peak near $473.The stock is trapped in a descending channel with the Supertrend indicator at $185.36 and SAR at $176.69 acting as overhead resistance. Any meaningful recovery requires reclaiming the $176.69 level first, representing a +13.5% move.Immediate downside risk sits at $140-$145 if $155 support breaks, with catastrophic losses toward $100 possible if the selling accelerates.Read Next: \nBitcoin ATM Scams Skyrocket In 2025, Americans Defrauded Of Over $333 Million: Report\nImage: ShutterstockMSTRStrategy Inc$153.65-1.26%Overview$BTCBitcoin$87880.00-0.58%Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs© 2025 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[{"id":516929555948104,"gmtCreate":1767226516405,"gmtModify":1767226521263,"author":{"id":"3576140222331577","authorId":"3576140222331577","name":"Guavaxf30","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ff15ff6aa254c9130f9af922f7e2447","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3576140222331577","idStr":"3576140222331577"},"htmlText":"Happy new year, everyone. I hope the year ended for you better than if is for MSTR.","listText":"Happy new year, everyone. I hope the year ended for you better than if is for MSTR.","text":"Happy new year, everyone. I hope the year ended for you better than if is for MSTR.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/516929555948104","repostId":2600083767,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2600083767","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1767196089,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2600083767?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-12-31 23:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Strategy Crashed 71% Since The Election—Here's Why It Could Get Worse In January","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2600083767","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Strategy Inc.","content":"<div>\n<p>Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ:MSTR) is down 71% from its November 2024 peak of $543 to $156 while facing $8.8 billion in forced outflows if MSCI excludes it on Jan. 15.The Change That Crushed BullsOn July 31,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/25/12/49649875/strategy-crashed-71-since-the-election-heres-why-it-could-get-worse-in-january\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"Benzinga","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Strategy Crashed 71% Since The Election—Here's Why It Could Get Worse In January</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStrategy Crashed 71% Since The Election—Here's Why It Could Get Worse In January\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-31 23:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/25/12/49649875/strategy-crashed-71-since-the-election-heres-why-it-could-get-worse-in-january><strong>Benzinga</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ:MSTR) is down 71% from its November 2024 peak of $543 to $156 while facing $8.8 billion in forced outflows if MSCI excludes it on Jan. 15.The Change That Crushed BullsOn July 31,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/25/12/49649875/strategy-crashed-71-since-the-election-heres-why-it-could-get-worse-in-january\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/12/31/MicroStrategy-Stock-Jump.jpeg","relate_stocks":{"MSTX":"2倍做多MSTR ETF-Defiance","3LMI.UK":"GRANITESHARES 3X LONG MSTR DAILY ETP","APED":"STKd 100% MSTR & 100% COIN ETF","WNTR":"做空MSTR期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","MSTY":"MSTR期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","IMST":"MSTR期权收益策略ETF-Bitwise","MSST":"YieldMax MSTR Performance & Distribution Target 25 ETF","BK4516":"特朗普概念","MSTZ":"2倍做空MSTR ETF-T-Rex","LMI3.UK":"GRANITESHARES 3X LONG MSTR DAILY ETP","07799":"南方两倍做多MSTR","MST":"做多杠杆+收益MSTR ETF-Defiance","09799":"南方两倍做多MSTR-U","BK4596":"哈里斯概念","MSTY.UK":"YIELDMAX MSTR OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETC","BK4588":"碎股","MSII":"REX MSTR Growth & Income ETF","BK4600":"加密货币概念","MSTK":"Tuttle Capital MSTR 0DTE Covered Call ETF","BK4595":"比特币概念","MSTR":"Strategy","MSDD":"2倍做空MSTR ETF-GraniteShares","MSTP":"2倍做多MSTR ETF-GraniteShares","MSOO":"2倍上限加速MSTR ETF-Leverage Shares","BK4023":"应用软件","09399":"南方两倍做空MSTR-U","3SMI.UK":"GRANITESHARES 3X SHORT MSTR DAILY ETP","MTYY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST MSTR ETF","SMI3.UK":"GRANITESHARES 3X SHORT MSTR DAILY ETP","SMST":"2倍做空MSTR ETF-Defiance","MSTW":"Roundhill MSTR WeeklyPay ETF","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","07399":"南方两倍做空MSTR"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/crypto/cryptocurrency/25/12/49649875/strategy-crashed-71-since-the-election-heres-why-it-could-get-worse-in-january","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2600083767","content_text":"Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ:MSTR) is down 71% from its November 2024 peak of $543 to $156 while facing $8.8 billion in forced outflows if MSCI excludes it on Jan. 15.The Change That Crushed BullsOn July 31, Strategy published equity guidance in its earnings deck stating it would not issue common stock below 2.5x mNAV except to pay interest on debt obligations and fund preferred equity dividends.The company has $824 million in annual preferred dividends. However, since that July announcement, Strategy issued $4.9 billion in common stock with $4 billion of that issued at a mNAV below 1.0x in November and December.Strategy claims it’s targeting two years of preferred dividend coverage, which would account for $1.6 billion of the $4.9 billion total.But that still leaves $3.3 billion in dilutive stock sales that violated its own five-month-old guidance.Crypto analyst Novacula Occami called out the broken promise in a Dec. 30 post, highlighting how the company abandoned its disciplined capital allocation framework just months after announcing it.The MSCI Doomsday Clock: January 15Strategy faces an existential threat from MSCI, which proposed excluding companies with digital asset holdings exceeding 50% of total assets from its Global Investable Market Indexes.JPMorgan warned the exclusion could trigger approximately $2.8 billion in forced selling of Strategy shares, with total outflows potentially reaching $8.8 billion if S&P Dow Jones Indices and FTSE Russell follow suit.Polymarket traders assign a 76% probability that major indexes will remove Strategy by March 31, 2026, signaling strong conviction that an exclusion is increasingly likely.Strategy’s Defense: “We’re Not A Fund”In a Dec. 10 letter signed by Executive Chairman Michael Saylor and CEO Phong Le, Strategy argued it’s a conventional operating business, not an investment fund or passive tracking vehicle.The company claimed Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) holdings are used as productive capital to create returns through digital credit instruments, not just passive storage. Strategy also called the 50% digital asset threshold arbitrary, noting other industries like oil, real estate, and timber hold concentrated single-asset reserves without index exclusion.The company warned the proposal could stifle innovation in the digital asset industry and conflict with pro-innovation U.S. policy under the Trump administration.The Technical CarnageMSTR Price Analysis By TradingViewStrategy is trading at $155.61 as of Dec. 31, down approximately 67% from its July peak near $473.The stock is trapped in a descending channel with the Supertrend indicator at $185.36 and SAR at $176.69 acting as overhead resistance. Any meaningful recovery requires reclaiming the $176.69 level first, representing a +13.5% move.Immediate downside risk sits at $140-$145 if $155 support breaks, with catastrophic losses toward $100 possible if the selling accelerates.Read Next: \nBitcoin ATM Scams Skyrocket In 2025, Americans Defrauded Of Over $333 Million: Report\nImage: ShutterstockMSTRStrategy Inc$153.65-1.26%Overview$BTCBitcoin$87880.00-0.58%Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs© 2025 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SMI3.UK":0.6,"MSOO":0.6,"IMST":0.6,"MSTZ":0.6,"09399":0.6,"MSTP":0.6,"MSTY.UK":0.6,"MTYY":0.6,"09799":0.6,"MSII":0.6,"MSTK":0.6,"3SMI.UK":0.6,"MST":0.6,"MSTW":0.6,"MSST":0.6,"WNTR":0.6,"MSTY":0.6,"MSTR":1.98,"MSDD":0.6,"07799":0.6,"3LMI.UK":0.6,"APED":0.6,"MSTX":0.6,"SMST":0.6,"07399":0.6,"LMI3.UK":0.6}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"isCrawlerRequest":true}