Travis Hoium
Travis Hoium
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Keys to Surviving a Bear Market

The last few days have felt different on the stock market. Questions are being asked about former rocket ships (including Rocket Lab), Anthropic’s revenue growth is slowing, neocloud yields are rising, companies are cutting back on AI spending, inflation is stubbornly high, and it’s possible the semiconductor and AI stocks that have held up the entire market in 2026 could come crashing down. At least, that’s the narrative. A few days doesn’t make a trend, but if you’ve felt uneasy the last few days, it’s time to remind ourselves how to survive — and thrive — in a bear market. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Do Your Research Ahead of Time! It’s almost impossible to think clearly in a fal
Keys to Surviving a Bear Market
avatarTravis Hoium
2024-04-04

Hot stock reviews - SPOT, DIS & NVDA

1.SPOT $Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$ Spotify's user base has increased at a 26.6% compound annual growth rate.ImageA year ago, I wrote that SPOT had 10x potential over the next 10 years. 1 year in, the stock is up 118.4% and I'm more bullish than ever. 2.DIS $Walt Disney(DIS)$ As the parks go, Disney goes.Image3.NVDA $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ NVIDIA's data center business didn't exist a decade ago. Insane!Imagehttps://twitter.com/TravisHoium/status/1775558658186695161
Hot stock reviews - SPOT, DIS & NVDA
avatarTravis Hoium
2024-04-04

Investing Over-Simplified

Investing Over-SimplifiedIf you can explain how the stocks you own will grow earnings AND benefit from multiple expansion you are 5 steps ahead of most investors. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $DJIA(.DJI)$ $GLOBAL X DOW 30® COVERED CALL ETF(DJIA)$ ImageYou won't beat the market if no one thinks you're a little crazy.90% of beating the market is really just:Buy great companiesDoing nothing for YEARSProfitIt's harder than it looks, but the formula is simple.https://twitter.com/Travi
Investing Over-Simplified

It’s Over! Google has beaten OpenAI and ChatGPT

A year ago, if you wrote something nice about $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ , someone would respond with something like, “They’re cooked. Ever heard of ChatGPT?”The sentiment around Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai was about as bad as it could get. He didn’t know how to innovate. Google was terrible at making new products. A “woke” culture couldn’t win in AI (see early Gemini images). Today, Google seems inevitable. And I’m struck by how simple the answer was and continues to be as an investor. Buy Alphabets stock and just hang on for the ride! The History of DisruptionThe negative sentiment around Google was always about disruption. ChatGPT was first to “figure out” the AI chatbot, and that would disrupt
It’s Over! Google has beaten OpenAI and ChatGPT

Five Fastest Growing Stocks

A picture is worth 1,000 words. So, today, I’m replacing a lot of words with pictures. Over time, owning growth stocks that can compound year after year gives us a great chance to beat the market. So, what are the fastest-growing stocks in the Asymmetric Portfolio? #1: $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ ( ▲ 1.22% ) #2: $Robinhood(HOOD)$ ( ▲ 1.88% ) #3 $Zeta Global Holdings Corp.(ZETA)$ ( ▲ 0.18% ) #4 $Duolingo, Inc.(DUOL)$ ( ▼ 0.86% ) #5 $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ ( ▲ 10.19% ) Over time, growth will drive stock performance, but over the past year, that hasn’t been the case
Five Fastest Growing Stocks

Mobileye is going to own robotaxis, which is a big risk

$Mobileye Global Inc.(MBLY)$ ’s Gambit Mobileye is going to own robotaxis, which is a big risk. Mobileye made one of the most surprising announcements in the market this week. Instead of waiting for customers to adopt its Level 4 robotaxi software and hardware solutions — continuing the modular business model it’s been using for years — Mobileye is making its own robotaxi vehicle and ride-sharing app. Mobileye isn’t abandoning its old business model, but it is bolting on a high-risk vertical integration model. Upon further review, this makes a lot of sense, even if it’s not being done from a point of strength. Mobileye’s current business model is selling autonomy hardware and software to automakers, which is ultimately reliant on OEMs for demand.
Mobileye is going to own robotaxis, which is a big risk

Regulatory Capture vs Disruption: $COIN $HIMS Challenge the System

The common theme is I want to own companies playing offense, not defense. But defense does have its advantages in business, and this week, we saw how regulatory capture can be used to delay, if not prevent, disruptive businesses. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ saw just how powerful the banking lobby is and $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ sees opportunities blocked by the economics and incentives of regulatory capture. This dynamic isn’t new in business. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ had to get laws changed to operate in most states and $Uber(UBER)$ operated illegally in some instances, blocked by a legal monopoly taxis held. W
Regulatory Capture vs Disruption: $COIN $HIMS Challenge the System
avatarTravis Hoium
2024-02-13

Disney's Bob Iger Isn't Playing Around

$Walt Disney(DIS)$ hasn’t been the most popular stock over the past year and that’s understandable for a lot of reasons. Films have been disappointing, cable TV is dying, and the streaming business is losing money like crazy.But in the August 2023 spotlight of Disney, I laid out how the company could be a leader in streaming everything from proprietary IP to sports with an experiences business attached.Q1 2024 financial results showed Bob Iger is not only taking Disney in that direction, but he may be burning some bridges along the way.First Things FirstAt a high level, the quarter was about treading water on the top line and cost cuts on the bottom line. The cuts were deeper than expected and that’s why the market reacted positively to the quarter
Disney's Bob Iger Isn't Playing Around

$GOOG's $85B Raise Is a Warning Shot to AI Competitors

$Alphabet(GOOG)$ raising $85 billion at peak hype is brilliant. They can now watch competitors scrounge to either dilute with equity or watch rising debt costs eat their business. I wouldn’t want to be a neocloud up against that beast. The Asymmetric Portfolio has been underperforming the market all year because I have no semi/memory/chip exposure outside of $GOOG. Frankly, I'm not buying the bubble. BUT now that we have a big selloff in bubbl-y stocks, I'm up 2% and the market is down 1%. Time will show the slow and steady approach of buying great companies at reasonable prices will win. FOMO has a bad connotation for a reason. On the internet, the power goes to the company people CHOOSE to interact with every day.
$GOOG's $85B Raise Is a Warning Shot to AI Competitors
avatarTravis Hoium
2025-07-27

Google Flexes Its AI Muscles

Whether the market realizes it or not, the biggest news of the week was $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ earnings report. The company told us search continues to grow, Gemini is taking market share, and Google Cloud is becoming a behemoth.Despite the momentum, Alphabet stock trades at the lowest P/E multiple of any Mag7 stock and about one-third than owning the market overall. The market’s perception is that Alphabet is being disrupted.I disagree.This is the fourth largest position in the Asymmetric Portfolio, and I think a decade from now, this will be seen as one of the “no-brainer” winners in AI. But that’s not the conventional wisdom today.Search Isn’t DeadLet’s start with search. The theory is tha
Google Flexes Its AI Muscles

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