Market Outlook of S&P500 (26Jan2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has completed a top crossover, which implies a bearish outlook. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated above both the 50-day and 200-day moving average (MA) lines. This positioning indicates a bullish trend in both the short-term and long-term outlooks. Furthermore, both the 50 MA and the 200 MA are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are converging. We can expect a change from the current bullish trend after the 3 lines have completed their overlap. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)

One day does not make a trend.  If we bought with convictions after research, we can consider another purchase if there is adequate margin of safety.  $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$   $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$  

My Investing Muse (19Jan2026) Layoffs, Bankruptcy & Closure news Big Tech is quietly moving jobs overseas. 52% of tech and banking professionals say their companies will increase hiring in India in 2026. 38% say those hires are replacing US jobs. 93% of employees at global firms expect India's headcount to keep expanding. Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Uber, eBay… the shift is real. This is not globalisation. It is workforce offshoring in plain sight. - IB Times CITIGROUP Layoffs -- They are done with participation trophies. Jane Fraser: “We are not graded on effort. We are judged on results.” This week: 1,000 jobs cut. Target: 20,000+ total. - X user Amanda Goodall My Final Thoughts War threats against Iran and Greenland remain unresolved despite diplomatic efforts, heightening global con

News and my thoughts from the past week (19Jan2026)TRUMP THREATENS TARIFFS OVER GREENLAND "I may put a tariff on countries if they don’t go along with Greenland because we need Greenland for national security." - ClashReportBig Banks Are Secretly Part-Owners of Super-Risky Loan Funds And That Increases The Risk Of A 2008 Type Crisis with Private Credit - X user Kristen ShaughnessyBREAKING: Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent just CONFIRMED, we’re bleeding AT LEAST $600 BILLION in FRAUDULENT spending EVERY SINGLE YEAR! Elon Musk says that’s the LOW END! - X user Gunther EaglemanTomorrow, in an unprecedented move, President Trump is expected to announce an "emergency power auction" that would force technology giants to pay for new power plants. The initiative is expected to construct $15 BILLION wor

Market Outlook of S&P500 (19Jan2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has completed a top crossover, which implies a bearish outlook. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated above both the 50-day and 200-day moving average (MA) lines. This positioning indicates a bullish trend in both the short-term and long-term outlooks. Furthermore, both the 50 MA and the 200 MA are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a bullish outlook as they continue to fan upwards. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) currently registers at 0.11 and is also trending upward

short

TQQQ

$S&P 500(.SPX)$  A strong January does tilt probabilities in favour of a constructive 2026, but the path is unlikely to be linear. U.S. equities: Double-digit gains remain plausible, though harder than in prior years. Valuations are elevated, so returns will depend more on earnings delivery than multiple expansion. Expect higher volatility and sharper rotations rather than a broad, smooth rally. Relative performance: The U.S. may outperform on absolute earnings quality, but could lag selectively versus parts of Asia and Europe where valuations are lower and policy cycles are more accommodative. Leadership may narrow rather than broaden. AI leadership rotation: Near term, memory and infrastructure stocks benefit from capacity tightness and

From my perspective, the strong January start in 2026 is an encouraging signal, but not a guarantee. The "January effect" works more as a sentiment and momentum indicator than a forecasting tool. A positive January usually tells me risk appetite is alive and liquidity conditions are supportive, yet the real determinant for the rest of the year will still be earnings delivery and macro stability, not seasonality alone. For U.S. equities, I don't automatically assume another straight-line double-digit rally. Valuations are no longer cheap, especially for mega-cap tech, and the market has already priced in a lot of optimism around AI, rate cuts, and soft-landing narratives. I think the U.S. can still post positive returns in 2026, but the path is likely to be more volatile and more selective

Usual to expect pullback after hit high and think overall still bullish.

$S&P 500(.SPX)$   The defence stocks rally continues. In overnight trading, Defense stocks gain after Trump’s comments about the military budget, with $RTX Corp (RTX.US)$ up 3.3%, $L3Harris Technologies (LHX.US)$ up 3.5%, $Lockheed Martin (LMT.US)$ up 6.1%, and $Northrop Grumman (NOC.US)$ up 5.4%. $Applied Digital (APLD.US)$ rises 4.2% after its quarterly revenue, boosted by AI data center demand, beat estimates.

$S&P 500(.SPX)$   $American Homes 4 Rent(AMH)$   $Invitation Homes Inc.(INVH)$   Today's Big Picture Trump Targets Corporate Landlords The President wants to ban big investors from buying single-family homes. Invitation Homes $INVH and AMH $AMH sold off immediately. If Congress codifies this, it's a structural shift for single-family rental. I'm skeptical it survives legal challenges but am in support of getting corporate out of residential homes. Labor Market Keeps Cooling Job openings fell to 7.15 million in November, lowest since September 2024. ADP p

$S&P 500(.SPX)$  up up

$S&P 500(.SPX)$  Yes we are running with the Bulls I'am very bullish 

With QE, or whatever you wish to call money injected into the economy, will create further pressure on inflation and potential rate cuts there is the likelihood of a strong 2026. I do think that the upcoming mega IPOs may signal a market top though through perhaps the end of 2026 or maybe 2027. Interesting times ahead.

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$   🎯 Executive Summary I’m extremely confident this is one of the most structurally important $SPX setups traders will face in early 2026. $SPX has just completed three straight double-digit years, +24% → +23% → +16%. Since 1950, that has occurred only eight times. I’m not reading that as “trend broken.” I’m reading it as “regime sensitivity rising,” where forward returns compress and volatility becomes the tax. I’m also focused on the second layer most traders underweight. 2026 is Year 2 of the presidential cycle, historically the weakest year, lowest average return ar

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$  $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$  Midday Market Check 07Jan26 ET 🇺🇸 | 08Jan26 NZT I’m seeing a textbook digestion tape after Tuesday’s record-setting session. $DJI is pulling back triple digits, while $SPX and $IXIC continue to hover near fresh highs. This reads as rotation and consolidation, not rejection. The S&P 500 tagged new all time highs again early in the session. Yes it’s only +0.01%, and yes it still counts. What matters to me is altitude. Price is holding highs while volatility remains contained, with $VIX around 15. That combination signals risk appetite is still alive, even as positioning becomes more se